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August 2022 PNW Observations and Discussion - 1956 Redux!1!!1!


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18 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Happy for you man! When was the last time you saw a decent lightning storm?

August, 2006.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 22-23 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 4F (Dec 1, 2022)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Nov 19, 2022)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 13 (Most recent: Dec 2, 2022)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Jan 17, 2022)
  • Total snowfall: 0.5"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 1, 2022
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 1, 2022
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 40.2"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 0

 

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Another view of the ECMWF... the initial blow up happened a little farther east than shown.    But this probably gives us a good idea how this will evolve going forward.    Its coming north. 

 

ecmwf-deterministic-nw-precip_3hr_inch-1660068000-1660089600-1660176000-10.gif

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Just now, TT-SEA said:

Another view of the ECMWF... the initial blow happened a little farther east than shown.    But this probably gives a good idea how this will evolve going forward.    Its coming north. 

 

ecmwf-deterministic-nw-precip_3hr_inch-1660068000-1660089600-1660176000-10.gif

That is excellent analysis Tim. Looks like it was about 20 miles too far west. 

22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-34

Coldest min-24

Sub 40 highs-3

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-10

Total snowfall-5.2”

Monthly rainfall-0.56”

Wet season rainfall-7.76”

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Hopefully that's a good one in Eugene. ⛈️

KRTX_loop (1).gif

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Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Winter

Snowfall - 16.1" (biggest storm 4.8" March 12th)
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"
Snow days: 10
First freeze: Nov 3rd

Other 2022 Stats

Thunders: 52
Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 4 / 4
Frequent Lightning: 5 (5/20), (6/13), (7/6), (7/21), 8/1
Hailstorms: 1 (1/2" on 10/12)
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13), ~55 (7/6)

'22-'23 Winter

Snowfall - __.__
First freeze: Oct 9th
 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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Just now, TacomaWx said:

That is excellent analysis Tim. Looks like it was about 20 miles too far west. 

And a slight shift east puts Tacoma and Seattle in the action later tonight.  

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1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

And a slight shift east puts Tacoma and Seattle in the action later tonight.  

Don’t want to get my hopes up just yet but that could bode well for us later on. 

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22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-34

Coldest min-24

Sub 40 highs-3

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-10

Total snowfall-5.2”

Monthly rainfall-0.56”

Wet season rainfall-7.76”

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Just now, Dave said:

Omfg. We just got the biggest hail I've ever seen. 1.25". Unbelievable 

Pics my guy 

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22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-34

Coldest min-24

Sub 40 highs-3

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-10

Total snowfall-5.2”

Monthly rainfall-0.56”

Wet season rainfall-7.76”

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5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Another view of the ECMWF... the initial blow up happened a little farther east than shown.    But this probably gives us a good idea how this will evolve going forward.    Its coming north. 

 

ecmwf-deterministic-nw-precip_3hr_inch-1660068000-1660089600-1660176000-10.gif

The whole euro map is shifted 15-20 miles too far west. Saw it with snow maps this winter. Maybe it’s just the mesoscale stuff but this is like the third or fourth time this has happened in the last 9 months. @Deweydog was first to call out the issue

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1 minute ago, Dave said:

Omfg. We just got the biggest hail I've ever seen. 1.25". Unbelievable 

WOW Genuinely one of the more shocking weather events of this year...

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 48"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 2.75"*

-Most recent snowfall: 1.5”; December 3rd, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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Let’s fuckking goooo!!!!

60951ED7-9200-42C3-AEEC-0A2547967661.png

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 22-23 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 4F (Dec 1, 2022)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Nov 19, 2022)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 13 (Most recent: Dec 2, 2022)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Jan 17, 2022)
  • Total snowfall: 0.5"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 1, 2022
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 1, 2022
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 40.2"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 0

 

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I know everyone is excited about the cells in Oregon, but I'm worried about fires.  Oregon had at least 29 new fires started in the past 24hrs simple due to lightning. This is not going to be helpful.  I hope it's raining as well. 

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3 minutes ago, NWbyNW said:

I know everyone is excited about the cells in Oregon, but I'm worried about fires.  Oregon had at least 29 new fires started in the past 24hrs simple due to lightning. This is not going to be helpful.  I hope it's raining as well. 

By the sounds of it, it's been a couple summers since one washed out my old place.

With the spike in DP's in central Oregon maybe these later rounds became wetter. 

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Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Winter

Snowfall - 16.1" (biggest storm 4.8" March 12th)
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"
Snow days: 10
First freeze: Nov 3rd

Other 2022 Stats

Thunders: 52
Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 4 / 4
Frequent Lightning: 5 (5/20), (6/13), (7/6), (7/21), 8/1
Hailstorms: 1 (1/2" on 10/12)
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13), ~55 (7/6)

'22-'23 Winter

Snowfall - __.__
First freeze: Oct 9th
 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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Can clearly see those storms down in Eugene training right on that area. Definitely one for the books down there. 

G18_sector_pnw_GEOCOLOR_24fr_20220810-0044.gif

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22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-34

Coldest min-24

Sub 40 highs-3

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-10

Total snowfall-5.2”

Monthly rainfall-0.56”

Wet season rainfall-7.76”

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KMAX briefly picked up 70+ dbz returns before Eugene's cell drifted out of its range. 

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Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Winter

Snowfall - 16.1" (biggest storm 4.8" March 12th)
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"
Snow days: 10
First freeze: Nov 3rd

Other 2022 Stats

Thunders: 52
Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 4 / 4
Frequent Lightning: 5 (5/20), (6/13), (7/6), (7/21), 8/1
Hailstorms: 1 (1/2" on 10/12)
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13), ~55 (7/6)

'22-'23 Winter

Snowfall - __.__
First freeze: Oct 9th
 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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1 minute ago, Dave said:

This is after some melting and on a dirty plate.

20220809_214734.jpg

Put that sh*t in the freezer. Thanks for sharing man that’s incredible for the western lowlands. 

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22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-34

Coldest min-24

Sub 40 highs-3

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-10

Total snowfall-5.2”

Monthly rainfall-0.56”

Wet season rainfall-7.76”

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3 minutes ago, Dave said:

This is after some melting and on a dirty plate.

20220809_214734.jpg

If you have any extra change, quarters measure 1" and half dollars exactly 1.25" ;)

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Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Winter

Snowfall - 16.1" (biggest storm 4.8" March 12th)
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"
Snow days: 10
First freeze: Nov 3rd

Other 2022 Stats

Thunders: 52
Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 4 / 4
Frequent Lightning: 5 (5/20), (6/13), (7/6), (7/21), 8/1
Hailstorms: 1 (1/2" on 10/12)
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13), ~55 (7/6)

'22-'23 Winter

Snowfall - __.__
First freeze: Oct 9th
 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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Been a long time since we've had such a widespread thunderstorm event in the Willamette Valley.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 22-23 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 4F (Dec 1, 2022)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Nov 19, 2022)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 13 (Most recent: Dec 2, 2022)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Jan 17, 2022)
  • Total snowfall: 0.5"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 1, 2022
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 1, 2022
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 40.2"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 0

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @363jerseys4hope

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1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Been a long time since we've had such a widespread thunderstorm event in the Willamette Valley.

Really glad to see Eugene do well after missing out a lot. Maybe this means they'll finally do well next winter with cold and subfreezing highs!!

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5 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Put that sh*t in the freezer. Thanks for sharing man that’s incredible for the western lowlands. 

Lol. It's in there. I was like a kid in a candy store looking for the biggest ones. I can confirm that getting bonked in the head with one doesn't feel great. 

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10 minutes ago, MV_snow said:

Feels like it will be borderline here. If I hear thunder in the middle of the night I’m getting up to watch for sure. Can’t remember the last good t’storm here.

Well for sure September 2019... that was one of the most prolific thunderstorm outbreaks in Seattle area history.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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6 minutes ago, James Jones said:

Holy , that's insane. I would imagine it's gotta be up there for biggest hail ever in the PNW lowands.

A humid 76 with light rain here. Very tropical feeling.

And the Eugene/Springfield metro area wasn’t even forecast to get any thunderstorms. They literally blew up in like an hour.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 22-23 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 4F (Dec 1, 2022)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Nov 19, 2022)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 13 (Most recent: Dec 2, 2022)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Jan 17, 2022)
  • Total snowfall: 0.5"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 1, 2022
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 1, 2022
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 40.2"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 0

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @363jerseys4hope

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6 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Though to be honest, Eugene is now part of northern California, climactically speaking.

Their storms are a bit more like Medford in comparison. And well, Medford might as well be Redding.

  • Storm 1

Ashland, KY Weather

'21-'22 Winter

Snowfall - 16.1" (biggest storm 4.8" March 12th)
December: 0.1"
January: 9.9"
February: 1.3"
March: 4.8"
Snow days: 10
First freeze: Nov 3rd

Other 2022 Stats

Thunders: 52
Tornado Watches/Warnings: 2 / 0 
Severe T'storm Watches/Warnings: 4 / 4
Frequent Lightning: 5 (5/20), (6/13), (7/6), (7/21), 8/1
Hailstorms: 1 (1/2" on 10/12)
Max Wind: 50mph (6/13), ~55 (7/6)

'22-'23 Winter

Snowfall - __.__
First freeze: Oct 9th
 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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Flower's are bloomin' this year!  How is everyone else's gardens doing?  Flowers here are great, my strawberries are doing great, my hot chili peppers are doing great, onions, sweet chard, lettuce, rhubarb are doing good, but my tomatoes aren't doing a whole lot, nor my figs or blueberries. 

 

 

2022-08-09 11.08.05.jpg

2022-08-09 11.08.52.jpg

2022-08-09 11.09.19.jpg

2022-08-09 11.09.43.jpg

2022-08-09 11.10.07.jpg

2022-08-09 11.10.15.jpg

2022-08-09 11.11.07.jpg

2022-08-09 11.13.04.jpg

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7 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

And the Eugene/Springfield metro area wasn’t even forecast to get any thunderstorms. They literally blew up in like an hour.

I hope you finally saw your bolts. I saw at least 50 of them but I was standing outside like an Oregon idiot. 

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28 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said:

I feel like you guys don't post these enough. (Or I just miss them lol)

Hoping for a good show tonight/tomorrow, but i'm over this heat. 

18z GFS (Usually don't subscribe until fall, but i'm ready to go!) 

 

gfs-deterministic-KPLU-daily_tmin_tmax-0068000.png

gfs-deterministic-KSEA-daily_tmin_tmax-0068000.png

Busted warm for today...

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A forum for the end of the world.

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Dylan Robichaud with a great tweet

 

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 22-23 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 4F (Dec 1, 2022)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Nov 19, 2022)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 13 (Most recent: Dec 2, 2022)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Jan 17, 2022)
  • Total snowfall: 0.5"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 1, 2022
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 1, 2022
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 40.2"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 0

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @363jerseys4hope

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