August 2022 PNW Observations and Discussion - 1956 Redux!1!!1!

[Deweydog]

41 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

weather related anxiety is how i deal with real life anxiety

I drop acid for that.

[TT-SEA]

Next weekend's cool down showing up nicely on the EPS mean now.   

[Winterdog]

Very glad to see possible cooling in the models. I'm proud to be a Weenie, I've joined the 8-week club.  8 weeks of warm/hot is enough for me now that I'm past puberty. I don't mind dry but no more 90's please. 74 after a low of 63.

[TT-SEA]

My phone just notified me of an HCS alert for the Portland area.   

[Frontal Snowsquall]

1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Analogs used for Oregon department of agriculture fall forecast are 1956,1971, 2008. 2008 replaces 1975 this month. 

Fall is coming early this year if they are right.  

 

[Doinko]

52 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said:

Fall is coming early this year if they are right.  

 

Those winters

[Deweydog]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

My phone just notified me of an HCS alert for the Portland area.   

Probably wanna do away with that App. HCS criteria clearly states that the forecast high has to be 93 or higher down here. At BEST this would be an HCMS (high cloud mild surprise). 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, Eujunga said:

90º+ #23 at EUG. Should be seeing a new football jersey soon.

Today caught me a little off guard. Not sure why. Pretty much any sunny day without marine influence will hit 90+
in the valley this time of year. I believe I predicted EUG would hit 24 this year. Hope everyone took the over. Still nothing compared to last year. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

82 and sunny. Really nice day. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

4 minutes ago, Eujunga said:

Plenty of 90º+ arrows left in summer's quiver. Probably end up in the low 30s somewhere.

I certainly hope last year doesn't become the new standard against which the number of 90º+ days is measured.

Pre-2010 normal was 15.

Fewer than 30 would be a win. 

[TT-SEA]

84 out here... only 76 at SEA.     The usual this summer.    

[ChrisEl Elyon]

79° KBFI

77° KSEA 

76° here in Belltown Seattle Neighborhood 

 

 

[RentonHill]

Only 91 in othello. That’s a win. 

[TT-SEA]

Just now, RentonHillTC said:

Only 91 in othello. That’s a win. 

Are you at the water park?

[Deweydog]

Dew point DIVE at PDX!!!

[RentonHill]

16 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Are you at the water park?

We were. Home now

[Anti Marine Layer]

32 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Only 91 in othello. That’s a win. 

There's the Shakespeare festival at UCI. Much cooler there too with some actual drizzle this morning.

[Tyler Mode]

88 for a high here...so far.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

And that’s another 90F burger!!

[Tyler Mode]

Nice drop in dewpoint taking place now!

[T-Town]

78 here with HCMS in progress. 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

2 hours ago, Doiinko said:

Those winters

We all know about December 2008 but January 1957 was also nice. The last half of the month PDX stayed mostly below freezing.  

Portland International Airport Temperature History January 1957

[Phil]

I predict it will rain at Tim’s house at some point this fall/winter. 

[Omegaraptor]

PDX hit 90

[GobBluth]

Not to lean on the NBM as a crutch as the Portland AFD has a habit of doing, but it's now showing low 90s on Wednesday and Thursday. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

1 hour ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

And that’s another 90F burger!!

What's the score?

[NWbyNW]

WILDFIRE UPDATE 

NEW Known Wildfires started today! 8/21/22  

Washington - 9 (9 new fires today.  Lightning went to town on the Blue Mountains in the SE corner of the state, east of Walla Walla. Crews have been dispatched to the fires. There are four large fires in the state. The total increases from 36 to 44.) Total: 44

Oregon - 11 (11 new fires in the state. We have increased from three large fires to now four.  Welcome the Hat Top Fire in remote eastern Oregon, nearest to Vale.  A new fire is burning close to populated places between Klamath Falls and Altamount.  No crews at the time of posting have responded yet but they likely will soon. The total number of fires increases from 29 to 36.) Total: 36

Idaho - 12 (More fires sparked by lightning have been found on top of the 19 from yesterday.  Today there was 12 new fires. There are three large fires in the state. Idaho is seeing spectacular growth of fires this week after a very quiet year prior. The total number of fires grows from 43 to 51.) Total: 51

California - 25 (25 new fires in the state of California. Monsoon season has blessed California with a real lack of fires this year. The total increases from 56 to 61.) Total: 61

British Columbia - 83 (83 new fires in the province.  Lightning sparked fires are increasing in size around Revelstoke.  As documented yesterday, there has been a massive cluster of fires around the city, blocking it from all sides.  Crews have taken out fires close to the main highway, with the remaining fires being in more rugged locations.  There are 28 separate fires surrounding Revelstoke.  The total amount of fires continues to increase from 170 to 199.) Total: 170

Who Has had The Most Amount of Fires (Ranked by days in which they've had the most fires, only counting days we've kept track here.)

1. British Columbia - 27 days with the most wildfires

2. Oregon - 2 days with the most wildfires.

SMOKE UPDATE

Western Washington is clear with no smoke.  Smoke has blown east for the entirety of Eastern Washington except for the Wenatchee Valley and Okanogan Valley.  Wenatchee is dealing with smoke from nearby fires, and the Okanogan is dealing with BC wildfire smoke.

Smoke has snuck past the Cascade crest from fires in the Cascade's between Eugene and Bend.  Southern portions of the Willamette Valley, specifically Eugene are seeing some smoke and moderate air conditions.  Bend is also seeing moderate conditions to the south of the city.  Medford and Klamath Falls are having a break today thanks to smoke having blown eastward.

Boise is smoke free today, but locations from Lewiston northward are under some smoke from British Columbia and California. This smoke is mostly trapped against the mountain ranges.  It is much less than yesterday as winds are carrying the smoke east. Sandpoint and locations closest to the BC border may see more smoke as BC wildfire smoke is pouring southeast into the region.  Salmon is also isolated in it's valley with smoke.

Western Montana is under heavy to moderate smoke with lower air quality conditions. After Helena, air is clean throughout the eastern half of the state.

Wind has blow most of Northern California's smoke away and it is now clustered around the Trinity National Forest area. Eureka is in the clear, but head inland into the mountains and conditions become smokey and hazardous. Smoke is aloft over Redding, but not low down to the ground.  The northern end of the LA metro against the San Gabriel Mountains is seeing moderate air quality today, but coastal locations, and Inglewood south are all clear, all the way to San Diego. 

Air quality in Lower Mainland is clear. Locations near fires are seeing moderate to unhealthy conditions especially in deep valleys. Smoke aloft is also flowing into the Prairie Provinces and into Eastern Washington, Idaho's Panhandle, and Montana. 

[Cloud]

24 minutes ago, Phil said:

I predict it will rain at Tim’s house at some point this fall/winter. 

The boldest and riskiest prediction you've made yet!

[NWbyNW]

73F here today, feels good. Our peak temperature was 75F which we hit at 4pm. Nice ocean breeze, clear blue skies with some wispy white clouds. Humidity is at 59%.

[Cloud]

80 today at 5pm update. Maybe 81 at the inter-hour. We'll see. 

[MossMan]

Full sun and no HCS here. 

79/60 on the day. 
Currently 75 degrees.

I mowed again. 

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 hour ago, Frontal Snowsquall said:

We all know about December 2008 but January 1957 was also nice. The last half of the month PDX stayed mostly below freezing.  

Portland International Airport Temperature History January 1957

All time January record low at EUG!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

31 minutes ago, GobBluth said:

Not to lean on the NBM as a crutch as the Portland AFD has a habit of doing, but it's now showing low 90s on Wednesday and Thursday. 

Low 90s is somewhat of a nothing burger in our current climate. Unless it was January or something 

[TT-SEA]

We have about 25 college kids at our house right now... my son is hosting a BBQ in celebration for a couple of them that were in the Iron Horse Marathon in NB today.    Haven't had this kind of excitement here since their high school days.     Beautiful evening.  

[TigerWoodsLibido]

10 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

All time January record low at EUG!

In Jan 1957 EUG had a 7 day stretch with low temps of...

23F

14F

6F

-4F

5F

2F

5F

All of this with like 7"+ of snow on the ground.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, TigerWoodsLibido said:

In 1957 EUG had a 7 day stretch with low temps of...

23F

14F

6F

-4F

5F

2F

5F

All of this with like 7"+ of snow on the ground.

Yeah and as great as it was at EUG it was just as good at PDX! Great month. One of the all time January BLASTS! 
 

[Doinko]

1 hour ago, Frontal Snowsquall said:

We all know about December 2008 but January 1957 was also nice. The last half of the month PDX stayed mostly below freezing.  

Portland International Airport Temperature History January 1957

Portland saw 12 subfreezing highs in a row!

[Deweydog]

23 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Full sun and no HCS here. 

79/60 on the day. 
Currently 75 degrees.

I mowed again. 

 

Mowed here too!!!

[Meatyorologist]

[Deweydog]

3 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Gonna be a BIG winter above the fray!