January 2014 in the PNW

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Hope its not to foggy on my drive home from Corvallis tonight. Going to the Oregon vs. Oregon St. basketball game, won't even be watching the Seahawk game. Don't care.

[MossMan]

Hope its not to foggy on my drive home from Corvallis tonight. Going to the Oregon vs. Oregon St. basketball game, won't even be watching the Seahawk game. Don't care.

I don't mind driving in heavy rain, heavy snow, heavy winds, ect. But dense fog just plain sucks to drive in, I hate it! Be safe!

[TT-SEA]

Getting her game face on right now...  

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I don't mind driving in heavy rain, heavy snow, heavy winds, ect. But dense fog just plain sucks to drive in, I hate it! Be safe!

 

Thank you. With the cloudcover here it looks like the fog has thinned a bit in the valley. However, with clearing overnight it will probably thicken back up again.

[MossMan]

Getting her game face on right now...  

 

That's awesome! Looks like a summer day in the background at your place!

[TT-SEA]

That's awesome! Looks like a summer day in the background at your place!

 

 

Yeah... its nice here.

 

Noticing rain actually showing up now on the web cams in some places in Seattle!    Just perfect.

 

http://s24.postimg.org/lwdaxk00l/005vc17828.jpg

[snow_wizard]

Nice improvement on the 12z ECMWF ensemble today. That positive center is VERY close to the sweet spot and the intensity of it is rapidly increasing at the end of the run.

[snow_wizard]

Yeah... its nice here.

 

Noticing rain actually showing up now on the web cams in some places in Seattle!    Just perfect.

 

It's actually getting more gloomy as the day wears on. Apparently we have some weak onshore flow right now.

[lightning 2.0]

That's awesome! Looks like a summer day in the background at your place!

She will need a tissue box in a few hours. As a Packer fan I got to go for the lesser of 2 evils. 

[TT-SEA]

She will need a tissue box in a few hours. As a Packer fan I got to go for the lesser of 2 evils. 

 

 

She actually has no idea what is going on... she will be fine.  

[MossMan]

 

Gloomy but dry up here! Come on sun!

[snow_wizard]

image.jpg

 

Gloomy but dry up here! Come on sun!

Not going to happen today. In fact it appears Tim is about to get swallowed up in the muck if he hasn't already.

[TT-SEA]

Not going to happen today. In fact it appears Tim is about to get swallowed up in the muck if he hasn't already.

 

 

Yeah... its coming in now.   Still had a great day and even got some yardwork done in warm sunshine.

 

I would rather it get deeper right now so the conditions improve a little in Seattle.    

 

Offshore flow coming back tonight and it will be sunny here all week.  

[snow_wizard]

Yeah... its coming in now.   Still had a great day and even got some yardwork done in warm sunshine.

 

I would rather it get deeper right now so the conditions improve a little in Seattle.    

 

Offshore flow coming back tonight and it will be sunny here all week.  

I wish we could have the inversion temperatures but with sunny skies. No question the offshore flow will be strong enough tonight to force the inversion lower again.

[snow_wizard]

We need more topics in the NW section of the forum. Looks pretty pathetic to only have one topic on a forum. I will try to add some this week.

[westcoastexpat]

Hope its not to foggy on my drive home from Corvallis tonight. Going to the Oregon vs. Oregon St. basketball game, won't even be watching the Seahawk game. Don't care.

 

I can imagine that the 213 can really fog up. Drive safely!

[Parksvillewx]

Overcast day here.  Must have sprinkled last night too. Everything was soaked this morning. 44F High.

[East Dubzz]

Hey, from the Midwest here. From what I see on long range models and teleconnections, I really think the beginning of February is when you guys are gonna start seeing the pattern change, as well as us over here.

[whitechristmas]

Hey, from the Midwest here. From what I see on long range models and teleconnections, I really think the beginning of February is when you guys are gonna start seeing the pattern change, as well as us over here.

 

I hope you mean cold for us and warm for you!

[Parksvillewx]

Todays 12Z CFS..FWIW.

 

[Skagit Weather]

Board certainly quiets down during the game. Overcast up here currently after a high of 44F.

[TT-SEA]

Board certainly quiets down during the game. Overcast up here currently after a high of 44F.

 

 

Seahawks look overmatched.     Not good.

[East Dubzz]

I hope you mean cold for us and warm for you!

That's exactly what I mean. Or at least warm for us. It looks like the AO/NAO will go positive, which I don't know for sure what effect that will have for the West Coast, but it looks like there will be a -PNA and MJO will be in phase 6 or 7, which both good for the west coast. I'm think by the end of the month that ridge breaks and you guys start actually seeing a little of winter, and then things start to warm up over here.

[TT-SEA]

Fog cleared here just as fast as it moved in.    Crystal clear again.

[snow_wizard]

Hey, from the Midwest here. From what I see on long range models and teleconnections, I really think the beginning of February is when you guys are gonna start seeing the pattern change, as well as us over here.

Thanks for thinking about us. It's been pretty painful the past several weeks.

[snow_wizard]

Todays 12Z CFS..FWIW.

 

cfs.jpg

The CFS is certainly picking up on something especially toward mid Feb. Most of the recent runs have been cold for most of Feb and particularly the final 1/2 or 2/3. Today's 12z ECMWF ensemble was really promising by Feb 2. A lot of tools are coming together showing something good for Feb.

[BLI snowman]

Seahawks look overmatched.     Not good.

 

Just like with the weather, you like to make things sound really dire.

[TT-SEA]

Just like with the weather, you like to make things sound really dire.

I think Wilson ran for 200 yards backwards. Kaepernick was running over us at the time. Luckily he decided to make plenty of mistakes.

[BLI snowman]

I think Wilson ran for 200 yards backwards. Kaepernick was running over us at the time. Luckily he decided to make plenty of mistakes.

 

Eh, "overmatched" is a weird choice of words. Obviously Seattle matches up well with SF, it just took them a half to get it together. Being down 10 in the 2nd quarter isn't the end of the world.

[snow_wizard]

I have a pretty good shot at having every low this week below freezing. This area does really well with these ultra damp inversions compared to most locations in the western lowlands due to drier air seeping in from the passes which lowers the dew point. So far from this inversion I've recorded...

 

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[luvssnow_spokane]

How about those Seahawks and improving chances of winter here. Maybe we can get a Super Bowl when and some snow around the same time!!! How does that sound?! See-hAwwwkwss

[Skagit Weather]

Hmm... Any important weather analogues from the last time the Seahawks made it to the Superbowl?

[Skagit Weather]

I have a pretty good shot at having every low this week below freezing. This area does really well with these ultra damp inversions compared to most locations in the western lowlands due to drier air seeping in from the passes which lowers the dew point. So far from this inversion I've recorded...

 

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It is amazing how well you have done. The lowest temperature I have recorded is still 35F, even though it hasn't really been that wet up here in terms of heavy fog.

[TT-SEA]

Well... at least we have the Super Bowl to look forward to because the GFS has taken an ugly turn in the long range.

[GobBluth]

Latest gfs is more ridge stubborn in the long term.

[Deweydog]

Well... at we have the Super Bowl to look forward to because the GFS has taken an ugly turn in the long range.

 

Next weekend looks absolutely gorgeous.  

[Deweydog]

Hmm... Any important weather analogues from the last time the Seahawks made it to the Superbowl?

 

It got quite chilly a couple weeks later!  

[TT-SEA]

Next weekend looks absolutely gorgeous.  

 

Assuming we get some offshore flow and the inversion season is waning.   

[Deweydog]

Assuming we get some offshore flow and the inversion season is waning.   

 

Week by week things will get noticeably tougher.  And it's a great setup down here, at least at face value. 

[East Dubzz]

Not buying the latest GFS. Has been way too inconsistent past this week.