westcoastexpat Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 I thought you were in South Surrey, BC? Back and forth right now. I flew back out east a few days after the New Year. I was in BC for about seven and a half weeks. Not sure how much longer I'll be out here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 It will suck. I'm not looking forward to it. The continental cold really isn't that bad until the winds kick in. It was below -5F for most of the middle of the week last week here but I could barely tell with the calm winds. Of course, once you take your gloves off and your hands start to feel pain, you know it's cold... but I've never felt as cold out East as I do out west. The humid cold is just bone chilling. You just shiver in the dampness.Then you must have leather skin and a fast metabolism, lol. That blast in early Jan was ridiculous. It went from 43F to -18F in 12hrs on 50mph winds, and it literally hurt to be outside. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 Hmmmm.....AREA FORECAST DISCUSSIONNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR250 PM PST THU JAN 16 2014.CLIMATE...TROPICAL CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE GATHERING STEAM IN THE WESTERN PACIFIC. MJO CLIVAR PLOTS INITIALIZED IN THE LAST DAY INDICATE THE MJO SHOULD BECOME COHERENT IN THE NEXT WEEK. THIS IS WORTH WATCHING, SINCE IT IS A FEATURE THAT COULD BUMP OUR PERSISTENT PATTERN OUT AROUND THE END OF THE MONTH. BOTH ANALOGS AND THE MORE SKILLFUL COUPLED OCEAN ATMOSPHERIC MODELS DO INDICATE A SHIFT IN OUR WEATHER PATTERN TO MORE NORMAL IN FEBRUARY. IN FACT THE 16 MEMBER ENSEMBLE CFSV2 MODEL INITIALIZED ON THE 14TH INDICATED AN ABRUPT SHIFT IN THE PRECIPITATION PATTERN ON THE WEST COAST IN WEEK 3, WHICH WAS JANUARY 29TH THROUGH FEBRUARY 4TH. THIS WAS MUCH DIFFERENT THAN THE PRECEDING DAY`S MODEL RUN, THOUGH. WE`LL BE LOOKING TO SEE IF THIS MODEL REMAINS CONSISTENT OR NOT WITH THIS FORECAST FOR WETTER CONDITIONS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westcoastexpat Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 Then you must have leather skin and a fast metabolism, lol. That blast in early Jan was ridiculous. It went from 43F to -18F in 12hrs on 50mph winds, and it literally hurt to be outside. Right. I'm not situated on top of a mountain. I don't think anyone at sea level in the midwest saw 50mph winds. This really isn't the place to be discussing east coast weather anyway, Phil. You know that better than anyone. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Utrex Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 Hmmmm..... AREA FORECAST DISCUSSIONNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR250 PM PST THU JAN 16 2014 .CLIMATE...TROPICAL CONVECTION APPEARS TO BE GATHERING STEAM IN THE WESTERN PACIFIC. MJO CLIVAR PLOTS INITIALIZED IN THE LAST DAY INDICATE THE MJO SHOULD BECOME COHERENT IN THE NEXT WEEK. THIS IS WORTH WATCHING, SINCE IT IS A FEATURE THAT COULD BUMP OUR PERSISTENT PATTERN OUT AROUND THE END OF THE MONTH. BOTH ANALOGS AND THE MORE SKILLFUL COUPLED OCEAN ATMOSPHERIC MODELS DO INDICATE A SHIFT IN OUR WEATHER PATTERN TO MORE NORMAL IN FEBRUARY. IN FACT THE 16 MEMBER ENSEMBLE CFSV2 MODEL INITIALIZED ON THE 14TH INDICATED AN ABRUPT SHIFT IN THE PRECIPITATION PATTERN ON THE WEST COAST IN WEEK 3, WHICH WAS JANUARY 29TH THROUGH FEBRUARY 4TH. THIS WAS MUCH DIFFERENT THAN THE PRECEDING DAY`S MODEL RUN, THOUGH. WE`LL BE LOOKING TO SEE IF THIS MODEL REMAINS CONSISTENT OR NOT WITH THIS FORECAST FOR WETTER CONDITIONS.It seems the approach of El Nino conditions and upcoming -QBO may force the ridge to shove off. Like Weather Phil said, the PV does indeed look like it will split (due to the ridge shifting West, and the PV trying to shift West so it splits since it requires sitting over colder areas). I also noticed the QBO phase 6 conditions strikingly resembled our current pattern, signifying the QBO has been pretty active lately. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 Somebody should contact Jim. I am almost positive that he has no idea that this new forum exists... he just thinks there is something wrong with the old forum. Completely oblivious. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 Somebody should contact Jim. I am almost positive that he has no idea that this new forum exists... he just thinks there is something wrong with the old forum. Completely oblivious. He was an Admin on the other forum. I highly doubt he had no idea it was being shut down . . . Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 He was an Admin on the other forum. I highly doubt he had no idea it was being shut down . . . He did not notice any of the messages. Guarantee it. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 Somebody should contact Jim. I am almost positive that he has no idea that this new forum exists... he just thinks there is something wrong with the old forum. Completely oblivious. I doubt he does not know how to get here. Big old links on the other forum and he was also an admin. Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 I doubt he does not know how to get here. Big old links on the other forum and he was also an admin. Really? He is thinking only of retrogression... ONLY. He is like a robot sometimes. He would be on here tonight with the model improvement if he had any idea this place existed. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 Somebody should contact Jim. I am almost positive that he has no idea that this new forum exists... he just thinks there is something wrong with the old forum. Completely oblivious. I don't think you're giving him enough credit. We were actually in correspondence a few days ago regarding the forum switch. He knows all about it. He probably knew before most of us did. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 I started a topic over there directed at him. We will see if that works. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 I don't think you're giving him enough credit. We were actually in correspondence a few days ago regarding the forum switch. He knows all about it. He probably knew before most of us did. Ahhh... well then maybe he just doesn't want to deal with us. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 Jim knows of this place, we've discussed it. Correct. Waiting for him to come back. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 I started a topic over there directed at him. We will see if that works. Won't be the same without Snowwizard. PuyallupJohn managed to make it, I am sure Jim will soon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 Jim knows of this place, we've discussed it. Did he say he was coming?? I can't believe he is not posting tonight. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 Did he say he was coming?? I can't believe he is not posting tonight. He had a little meltdown a few days ago about the perceived negativity. I think it's more associated with that. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 I'm surprised that they didn't email everyone on the old board to tell them about the new one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Black Hole Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 Yeah, this may be Jim's chance to quietly exit if he really wants to. Hopefully he will join us though, I would miss his posts! Quote Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2") Total Ice (0.2") Coldest Low: 1F Coldest High: 5F Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan the Weatherman Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 Yeah, this may be Jim's chance to quietly exit if he really wants to. Hopefully he will join us though, I would miss his posts! Hopefully he decides to come back. I always enjoy reading his posts as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 00z GFS .... Endless ridging? Split flow? Pineapple Express? Occasional Rain? Arctic Blast(s)? Snow? Rampant and unprovoked Sasquatch attack? HR 168 http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/00/gfs_npac_168_500_vort_ht_l.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 To lament what Jesse has said on the old board. But, this transition is quite sudden and a little weird. I am all for it, but the way it happened was very strange. It turned into an all or nothing kind of situation very fast, with minimal warning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 00z GFS .... Endless ridging? Split flow? Pineapple Express? Occasional Rain? Arctic Blast(s)? Snow? Rampant and unprovoked Sasquatch attack? HR 168 http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/00/gfs_npac_168_500_vort_ht_l.gifYuck. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 To lament what Jesse has said on the old board. But, this transition is quite sudden and a little weird. I am all for it, but the way it happened was very strange. It turned into an all or nothing kind of situation very fast, with minimal warning.Yeah, I agree with all of this. I will say this new site is really nice, and I find the server to be very fast. Nice job, iFred. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 I am thinking February 10th to 20th is the time to watch, maybe a small warning shot at the end of January. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GobBluth Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 Yuck.no support for retrogression or pattern change here. There is no kicker to knock the Hudson Bay low out of there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 Yeah, I agree with all of this. I will say this new site is really nice, and I find the server to be very fast. Nice job, iFred.I agree that response time, and fast updates of new posts is phenomenal, but the whole this is the new thing and good bye to Western just like that is weird. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 HR 192 *Makes a puke face*http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/00/gfs_npac_192_500_vort_ht_l.gif Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 There, so you go from Newbie to Member after you make your 10th post, got it. I thought that the other day, but had nothing to say then LOL. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 I agree that response time, and fast updates of new posts is phenomenal, but the whole this is the new thing and good bye to Western just like that is weird.Yep, absolutely. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 HR 192 *Makes a puke face*http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/data/gfs/00/gfs_npac_192_500_vort_ht_l.gifStill yuck, however, unless we are seeing some snow and cold I will gladly take a ridge this time of year, as it makes my job that much easier to handle. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GobBluth Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 384 hr gets us to Super Bowl Sunday, and -22 850s over NYC... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 It's nice to look at. I suppose if you're going to get there(to a major pattern change and chances of cold/snow) you do have to start somewhere. Who knows this could be step 1 in that process. We won't know that for several days.Is that dj magic mikes truck in your pic? Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 384 hr gets us to Super Bowl Sunday, and -22 850s over NYC... If that arctic air mass deviates from model projection slightly just 3,000 miles to the west we might be onto something! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 If that arctic air mass deviates from model projection slightly just 3,000 miles to the west we might be onto something!It will. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 Is that dj magic mikes truck in your pic?Nah, it's the owner of Team Implode Audio(based in Medford, OR). He was gracious enough to let me use his truck for my album cover. I did talk to Mike yesterday though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 We'll the 18z was on crack ... The 00z is slap in the face back to reality. *sigh*... Release the Krackin, or the Sasquatch or anything to give us some action other than this death ridge!!! Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 Model riders... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 17, 2014 Author Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 384 hr gets us to Super Bowl Sunday, and -22 850s over NYC... The Niners will handle it just fine... they played in colder weather in GB. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DominicR Posted January 17, 2014 Report Share Posted January 17, 2014 I agree that response time, and fast updates of new posts is phenomenal, but the whole this is the new thing and good bye to Western just like that is weird. Yeah I know what you mean but we needed a change badly. With the rising central members it was good idea to change domain to more national feel and now we have owner that has really good skills with tech issues is def a plus. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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