March 2016 Observations and Discussion

[jaster220]

12*F and fog over 9-10" snow cover greeted me this morning. Beautiful January morn!  Hoping for spring skiing Sunday before more actual spring temps starting on Monday torches away this nice snow cover. 

[Geos]

Did not like the look of the 12z GFS. After a couple mild days in the 50s early week, then it turns colder and wet the rest of the week... actually through the 19th. O well that's typical. 

[gosaints]

Did not like the look of the 12z GFS. After a couple mild days in the 50s early week, then it turns colder and wet the rest of the week... actually through the 19th. O well that's typical.

Yep. Cutoff season. Hopefully the euro doesnt show the same but they are hard to ignore

[jcwxguy]

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/day48prob.gif?1457112188839

[Niko]

Did not like the look of the 12z GFS. After a couple mild days in the 50s early week, then it turns colder and wet the rest of the week... actually through the 19th. O well that's typical. 

Typical March! Hopefully, we have a nice Spring weather pattern.

[Niko]

12*F and fog over 9-10" snow cover greeted me this morning. Beautiful January morn!  Hoping for spring skiing Sunday before more actual spring temps starting on Monday torches away this nice snow cover. 

I promise you it will feel so nice outside feeling that nice mild, to warm breeze for a change.

[Geos]

So far the EURO shows 40s in the lakes for Sunday, 30s farther north. Then 50s and dry on Monday. Tuesday looks like 60° in most of IL on Tuesday with 50s elsewhere. Very wet on Tuesday. Stays wet Tuesday night early Wednesday before a front drops in from the north.

[jaster220]

I promise you it will feel so nice outside feeling that nice mild, to warm breeze for a change.

 

   ?? Last Sunday it was 60*F with full sunshine in Marshall. I doubt this beats that tbh, This has not been like the past two winters when intervals between truly warm days were much, much longer.  Nonetheless, I'm game for an early spring/summer

[Geos]

Yuck. EURO shows the a huge synoptic rain event from MO to lower Michigan late Wednesday - early Thursday. Cold rain too. Then NE to E winds. Then a repeat for the weekend. 

 

Going to enjoy Monday and the dry hours of Tuesday.

[Niko]

   ?? Last Sunday it was 60*F with full sunshine in Marshall. I doubt this beats that tbh, This has not been like the past two winters when intervals between truly warm days were much, much longer.  Nonetheless, I'm game for an early spring/summer

Your right. It was here 64 in my area also, but it did not last. Forgot about that brief mildspell.

[gosaints]

Yuck. EURO shows the a huge synoptic rain event from MO to lower Michigan late Wednesday - early Thursday. Cold rain too. Then NE to E winds. Then a repeat for the weekend. 

 

Going to enjoy Monday and the dry hours of Tuesday.

Sounds like a frost sucker.  

[Jaycee]

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/exper/day4-8/day48prob.gif?1457112188839

 

Disco doesn't sound promising. Sounds like cloud cover is going to wreck our chances (imagine that). Sure hope the GFS is right, as it has it partly sunny vs. all clouds. Would love to kick off this season early, I wouldn't think there'd be a day 4 with us in it if the SPC didn't believe the GFS was onto something. I guess we'll see.

[Geos]

Sounds like a frost sucker.  

 

You get about an inch of rain out of the whole 10 days. Warmest day on Tuesday, pushing 60°, upper 50s. After that it is mainly 40s in SE MN, except near 50° on Friday.

[gosaints]

You get about an inch of rain out of the whole 10 days. Warmest day on Tuesday, pushing 60°, upper 50s. After that it is mainly 40s in SE MN, except near 50° on Friday.

Yep lots of clouds.

[jaster220]

Sounds like a frost sucker.  

 

WHAT FROST????    Got zero in SMI last I knew. Every snow's fallen on warm ground this season 'cept maybe the mid-Jan clipper/Les. That had a few days AOB freezing ahead of it.

[gosaints]

WHAT FROST????    Got zero in SMI last I knew. Every snow's fallen on warm ground this season 'cept maybe the mid-Jan clipper/Les. That had a few days AOB freezing ahead of it.

LOL never a winter without frost in minnesota

[Geos]

Upper 30s and a steady rain now on the GFS for Wednesday. Forecast is looking more and more typical of March.

 

Yeah I can start a storm thread.

[gosaints]

Upper 30s and a steady rain now on the GFS for Wednesday. Forecast is looking more and more typical of March.

 

Yeah I can start a storm thread.

Typical temp over the top of geos.

 

http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2016030500/gfs_T2ma_us_20.png

[gosaints]

Hey look at the vortex split. Had to wait until baseball season to get it. Oh judah had a tough season

[Geos]

Not looking much warmer tomorrow now than it was today. Clouds and snow melt helping keep the clouds in place. 

[Hawkeye]

We have part sun with a temp well into the 40s already this morning.  With the southerly wind, the first robins just arrived.

 

Southwest Iowa was 60 two days ago, 60 yesterday, and 60s already today.  That part of Iowa warms up so easily this time of year.

[Tom]

The Torch has begun...looks like a prolong period of above normal temps this week in the Plains/Midwest and parts of the Lakes.  First 70's are quite possible this week near Chitown if cloud cover doesn't hamper temps.  Euro suggests a couple days hitting very close to that 70F mark.

[Geos]

Wouldn't call it a torch around here yet. Sitting at 44° with some clouds. Looking like mid 60s on the EURO for Tuesday around here. Maybe 70° towards Pontiac. 

Wednesday looks mild and wet, then cooler the rest of the week with a back door cold front dropping south.

[Money]

Gfs trolling the region with a snowstorm at the end of the run lol

[gosaints]

Wouldn't call it a torch around here yet. Sitting at 44° with some clouds. Looking like mid 60s on the EURO for Tuesday around here. Maybe 70° towards Pontiac.

Wednesday looks mild and wet, then cooler the rest of the week with a back door cold front dropping south.

Lol

[Geos]

Now we're getting close to the forecasted high. Patches of snow cover still around.

[Tom]

It'll be time to Spring forward next Sunday as we turn to daylight savings.  Sunrise and sunsets will be an hour later and the time difference between here and back home will be 2 hours instead of one.

 

As I type this....Kaner just scored 21 seconds in baby!!!!  Go Hawks!!!  Detroit sucks!  No offense Niko's...lol

[WildWisconsinWeather]

Money is in line to get a garden variety storm or two this evening.  We weren't really even expecting precip here or nearby until yesterday's forecast, so a thunderstorm or two would be a nice entrance into spring weather.

[Hawkeye]

The GFS suddenly has showers into eastern Iowa every day, Tuesday through the weekend, thanks to the front getting hung up much farther nw.  We could certainly use a nice post-winter rinsing.  We may not see much sun, though.

[Snowlover76]

I think it has been like 5 weeks since we've last had decent precip here in Lincoln. 

[gosaints]

60 at 1115. Could be an overachiever

[Geos]

Over achiever here as well. 62°

[jcwxguy]

78 here currently 

[Niko]

It'll be time to Spring forward next Sunday as we turn to daylight savings.  Sunrise and sunsets will be an hour later and the time difference between here and back home will be 2 hours instead of one.

 

As I type this....Kaner just scored 21 seconds in baby!!!!  Go Hawks!!!  Detroit sucks!  No offense Niko's...lol

None taken.....I'm from NYC.   

[Niko]

Beautiful day today. Spring in the air.  I think the temperature got to near 60F.

[Jaycee]

78 here currently 

 

I know we're fine on moisture, but it doesn't seem like it. It's dry as a bone outside, and our chances diminished quickly for the system today. Factor in this persistent heat, it feels like 2012 again.

[CentralNebWeather]

We may be fine on moisture now, but this warm weather this early with wind everyday will only dry things out.  Right now 79 degrees with a humidity of 10% with a south wind gusting to 41 mph.  Our pathetic winter (except for one blizzard) to an early warm and dry spring.

[Hawkeye]

Cedar Rapids made it to 70 this afternoon.  I certainly did not expect such an overperformance, especially with all the clouds.

[westMJim]

I had a high here at my house of 64° and it made it to 60° at GRR. We started the day with 5” on the ground and now its just down a few inches in the woods and shade and the snow piles. The forecasted high for tomorrow is for the upper 60’s so maybe 70 or better is not out of the question. And I expect much more of the snow to be gone by late in the day.

[NEJeremy]

It's way too early to make claims of 2012. It seems like every winter and early spring there's claims of a crippling drought coming just because there hasn't been a bunch of huge snowstorms. Moisture in winter isn't THAT important. I think we make a bigger deal out of it than what it is because we want a bunch of snowstorms. Again there's so much moisture in the ground right now that we have an elevated risk of spring flooding. If it somehow stops raining and is still overly hot in June than lets revisit this. We get warm days like this every year this early and it doesn't mean squat about what the rest of the spring is going to be like.