Timmy Supercell Posted September 23, 2022 Report Share Posted September 23, 2022 The weather actually listened to the calendar this year. A much cooler 74 degrees for a high today (from 93 yesterday) and wind gusts following the passage of a cold front. Fall arrived on schedule. I realize we've had several drops in temps like this over the last few months, but, no days warmer than 76 show on wunderground 10-day. A few 60's in there to end September even! 4 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted September 23, 2022 Report Share Posted September 23, 2022 On 9/21/2022 at 5:53 AM, Clinton said: Today will be the last day of the ridiculous heat. The cold front should move through mby around 4 to 5pm I can't wait for it to get here. It's hard to believe thunderstorms won't occur with a front like this but only the Euro shows any significant rain for the KC area. I noticed Paducah hit 100 two days in a row through yesterday. They broke their record latest 100 reading I'm told. 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted September 23, 2022 Report Share Posted September 23, 2022 Today only made it to 63 up here in the MN home. Really nice weather. Tonight my fiancee and I roasted hotdogs over a campfire in the backyard to ring in Fall. It was 52° when we came outside and 48 when we went back inside. Mostly clear but clouds were moving in from the west from the approaching system. Steady light rain in the forecast for tomorrow with a high of 57. Love this current weather. Been waiting a long time for this. #hoodieseason 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted September 23, 2022 Report Share Posted September 23, 2022 On 9/20/2022 at 11:01 PM, OmahaSnowFan said: That 8-14 is in a jeopardy of a major bust if the Euro is correct. But then again- the 8-14 could be .1F above normal and the probability outlook still verifies no matter how red the graphics are. Here is the next 10 days for KDSM (so pretty much includes all but 1-2 days of the 8-14 from Tuesday) max of near 80F this Sat and warm overnight into Sun- other than that its at or below normal. The dryness is almost a given- but we are now at a point where nights are getting long enough to balance out the dry air heating with = cooling at night with regards to temps. This upcoming cooldown middle of next week is evident of that. FORECAST MODELS ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: LAT = 41.61 LON = -93.88 00Z SEP23 2 M 850 SFC SFC 700 6 HR 500 1000 TMP TMP PRS RHU RHU QPF HGT 500 (C) (C) (MB) (PCT) (PCT) (IN) (DM) THK FRI 00Z 23-SEP 16.4 7.8 1023 62 6 582 563 FRI 06Z 23-SEP 14.3 8.9 1022 62 31 582 563 FRI 12Z 23-SEP 14.0 7.2 1021 68 86 0.01 579 562 FRI 18Z 23-SEP 14.1 7.0 1018 73 97 0.22 577 562 SAT 00Z 24-SEP 15.7 7.3 1014 70 33 0.00 574 563 SAT 06Z 24-SEP 14.0 12.4 1013 89 60 0.00 574 563 SAT 12Z 24-SEP 15.3 13.0 1012 88 55 0.00 574 564 SAT 18Z 24-SEP 24.5 12.0 1012 41 26 0.00 575 565 SUN 00Z 25-SEP 21.7 14.0 1011 49 55 0.00 573 564 SUN 06Z 25-SEP 19.9 12.1 1012 49 79 0.00 569 559 SUN 12Z 25-SEP 15.2 8.5 1015 59 37 0.00 570 558 SUN 18Z 25-SEP 22.4 9.0 1016 37 3 0.00 573 560 MON 00Z 26-SEP 19.5 9.6 1015 36 3 0.00 572 559 MON 06Z 26-SEP 14.5 6.4 1017 45 5 0.00 570 555 MON 12Z 26-SEP 11.1 5.6 1019 56 11 0.00 570 554 MON 18Z 26-SEP 19.1 5.3 1019 34 24 0.00 570 554 TUE 00Z 27-SEP 17.9 8.1 1017 36 50 0.00 570 555 TUE 06Z 27-SEP 13.7 8.6 1018 54 94 0.00 570 555 TUE 12Z 27-SEP 11.1 6.3 1021 60 71 0.00 571 554 TUE 18Z 27-SEP 17.3 4.2 1024 37 4 0.00 574 554 WED 00Z 28-SEP 14.9 4.2 1024 38 2 0.00 576 556 WED 06Z 28-SEP 8.2 1.9 1029 58 2 0.00 579 555 WED 12Z 28-SEP 4.8 2.3 1032 74 9 0.00 581 555 WED 18Z 28-SEP 14.2 1.7 1032 45 24 0.00 584 557 THU 00Z 29-SEP 12.3 3.0 1029 53 17 0.00 584 560 THU 06Z 29-SEP 7.8 5.6 1030 71 18 0.00 584 560 THU 12Z 29-SEP 5.4 6.9 1031 87 20 0.00 584 559 THU 18Z 29-SEP 16.4 8.3 1029 45 25 0.00 583 560 FRI 00Z 30-SEP 14.6 10.0 1025 54 52 0.00 582 561 FRI 06Z 30-SEP 10.7 11.6 1025 72 68 0.00 582 561 FRI 12Z 30-SEP 8.3 9.7 1026 82 83 0.00 580 559 FRI 18Z 30-SEP 19.0 9.6 1023 45 73 0.00 580 561 SAT 00Z 01-OCT 16.8 11.3 1020 53 59 0.00 579 562 SAT 06Z 01-OCT 12.0 11.5 1022 74 43 0.00 579 561 SAT 12Z 01-OCT 8.7 10.3 1024 89 37 0.00 579 560 SAT 18Z 01-OCT 19.8 10.8 1023 41 36 0.00 580 560 SUN 00Z 02-OCT 16.6 11.9 1022 53 39 0.00 580 561 SUN 06Z 02-OCT 11.0 11.8 1024 78 62 0.00 580 560 SUN 12Z 02-OCT 7.7 11.8 1025 91 60 0.00 580 559 SUN 18Z 02-OCT 20.7 10.9 1025 44 57 0.00 581 560 MON 00Z 03-OCT 17.5 11.6 1024 53 54 0.00 581 561 1 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted September 23, 2022 Author Report Share Posted September 23, 2022 9 hours ago, Madtown said: Freeze warning tonight. 29 for the low A little early for this but I'm sure you'll be enjoying this abrupt end to Summer? Next major trough to crash into the GL's next week. Crazy blocking pattern setting up and something that perks my interests as we monitor the seasonal changes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted September 23, 2022 Author Report Share Posted September 23, 2022 8 hours ago, Timmy Supercell said: The weather actually listened to the calendar this year. A much cooler 74 degrees for a high today (from 93 yesterday) and wind gusts following the passage of a cold front. Fall arrived on schedule. I realize we've had several drops in temps like this over the last few months, but, no days warmer than 76 show on wunderground 10-day. A few 60's in there to end September even! Get ready to enjoy more of this as we continue down the seasonal changes...I think a big year is ahead for the cold season across the Eastern CONUS. 8 hours ago, james1976 said: Today only made it to 63 up here in the MN home. Really nice weather. Tonight my fiancee and I roasted hotdogs over a campfire in the backyard to ring in Fall. It was 52° when we came outside and 48 when we went back inside. Mostly clear but clouds were moving in from the west from the approaching system. Steady light rain in the forecast for tomorrow with a high of 57. Love this current weather. Been waiting a long time for this. #hoodieseason Wow, that is just what I'm yearning for when I get back home. Enjoy my friend! I know you love this type of weather. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted September 23, 2022 Author Report Share Posted September 23, 2022 3 hours ago, Grizzcoat said: That 8-14 is in a jeopardy of a major bust if the Euro is correct. But then again- the 8-14 could be .1F above normal and the probability outlook still verifies no matter how red the graphics are. Here is the next 10 days for KDSM (so pretty much includes all but 1-2 days of the 8-14 from Tuesday) max of near 80F this Sat and warm overnight into Sun- other than that its at or below normal. The dryness is almost a given- but we are now at a point where nights are getting long enough to balance out the dry air heating with = cooling at night with regards to temps. This upcoming cooldown middle of next week is evident of that. FORECAST MODELS ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: LAT = 41.61 LON = -93.88 00Z SEP23 2 M 850 SFC SFC 700 6 HR 500 1000 TMP TMP PRS RHU RHU QPF HGT 500 (C) (C) (MB) (PCT) (PCT) (IN) (DM) THK FRI 00Z 23-SEP 16.4 7.8 1023 62 6 582 563 FRI 06Z 23-SEP 14.3 8.9 1022 62 31 582 563 FRI 12Z 23-SEP 14.0 7.2 1021 68 86 0.01 579 562 FRI 18Z 23-SEP 14.1 7.0 1018 73 97 0.22 577 562 SAT 00Z 24-SEP 15.7 7.3 1014 70 33 0.00 574 563 SAT 06Z 24-SEP 14.0 12.4 1013 89 60 0.00 574 563 SAT 12Z 24-SEP 15.3 13.0 1012 88 55 0.00 574 564 SAT 18Z 24-SEP 24.5 12.0 1012 41 26 0.00 575 565 SUN 00Z 25-SEP 21.7 14.0 1011 49 55 0.00 573 564 SUN 06Z 25-SEP 19.9 12.1 1012 49 79 0.00 569 559 SUN 12Z 25-SEP 15.2 8.5 1015 59 37 0.00 570 558 SUN 18Z 25-SEP 22.4 9.0 1016 37 3 0.00 573 560 MON 00Z 26-SEP 19.5 9.6 1015 36 3 0.00 572 559 MON 06Z 26-SEP 14.5 6.4 1017 45 5 0.00 570 555 MON 12Z 26-SEP 11.1 5.6 1019 56 11 0.00 570 554 MON 18Z 26-SEP 19.1 5.3 1019 34 24 0.00 570 554 TUE 00Z 27-SEP 17.9 8.1 1017 36 50 0.00 570 555 TUE 06Z 27-SEP 13.7 8.6 1018 54 94 0.00 570 555 TUE 12Z 27-SEP 11.1 6.3 1021 60 71 0.00 571 554 TUE 18Z 27-SEP 17.3 4.2 1024 37 4 0.00 574 554 WED 00Z 28-SEP 14.9 4.2 1024 38 2 0.00 576 556 WED 06Z 28-SEP 8.2 1.9 1029 58 2 0.00 579 555 WED 12Z 28-SEP 4.8 2.3 1032 74 9 0.00 581 555 WED 18Z 28-SEP 14.2 1.7 1032 45 24 0.00 584 557 THU 00Z 29-SEP 12.3 3.0 1029 53 17 0.00 584 560 THU 06Z 29-SEP 7.8 5.6 1030 71 18 0.00 584 560 THU 12Z 29-SEP 5.4 6.9 1031 87 20 0.00 584 559 THU 18Z 29-SEP 16.4 8.3 1029 45 25 0.00 583 560 FRI 00Z 30-SEP 14.6 10.0 1025 54 52 0.00 582 561 FRI 06Z 30-SEP 10.7 11.6 1025 72 68 0.00 582 561 FRI 12Z 30-SEP 8.3 9.7 1026 82 83 0.00 580 559 FRI 18Z 30-SEP 19.0 9.6 1023 45 73 0.00 580 561 SAT 00Z 01-OCT 16.8 11.3 1020 53 59 0.00 579 562 SAT 06Z 01-OCT 12.0 11.5 1022 74 43 0.00 579 561 SAT 12Z 01-OCT 8.7 10.3 1024 89 37 0.00 579 560 SAT 18Z 01-OCT 19.8 10.8 1023 41 36 0.00 580 560 SUN 00Z 02-OCT 16.6 11.9 1022 53 39 0.00 580 561 SUN 06Z 02-OCT 11.0 11.8 1024 78 62 0.00 580 560 SUN 12Z 02-OCT 7.7 11.8 1025 91 60 0.00 580 559 SUN 18Z 02-OCT 20.7 10.9 1025 44 57 0.00 581 560 MON 00Z 03-OCT 17.5 11.6 1024 53 54 0.00 581 561 Just like the local mets back home that were pushing temps in the 90's a week out bc they are big time warm wx fans. The WGN producer Loves the heat and warmth but ORD never even hit 90F and held in the mid/upper 80's with plenty of rain. Like you mentioned, and I agree, the Euro/EPS are a step ahead of the GEFS sniffing out the trough underneath the big Ridge up Top in Canada which leads to a number of days in a row of BN temps. #BlockyBlocky 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted September 23, 2022 Report Share Posted September 23, 2022 Yesterdays official H/L at Grand Rapids was 63/45 There was a reported trace of rain fall and 67% of possible sunshine. So far, the official overnight low at GRR is 42 here in MBY it was 39 and that is the current temperature here in MBY. For GRR that 42 is the coldest it has been since May 23rd that reading of 39 here at my house would be the coldest since May 8th For today the average H/L is now down to 71/50 the record high of 96 was set in 2017 and the record low of 28 was set in 1974. The spread for today is from hot to a frosty cold. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted September 23, 2022 Report Share Posted September 23, 2022 32 minutes ago, Tom said: Just like the local mets back home that were pushing temps in the 90's a week out There was some talk of reaching 90 here as well but the warmest it go that last round was 83 but it was nice and warm for mid September. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted September 23, 2022 Report Share Posted September 23, 2022 A cool and maybe wet day ahead. Hopefully the Euro can get the rainfall forecast right as it lays down a strip of 1/2 -1in of rainfall right through mby, the other models are much lighter with amounts. The weekend looks great to get outside! 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted September 23, 2022 Author Report Share Posted September 23, 2022 A local phenomenon back home...#ChicagoHenge https://www.nbcchicago.com/news/local/here-are-the-best-times-and-places-to-see-chicagohenge/2946913/ 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted September 23, 2022 Report Share Posted September 23, 2022 With no rain in the forecast September will likely finish with only 0.96" at LNK, after only 0.55" in August. Currently at 18.4" for the year, so I doubt we will remain below the 19.14" in 2012, but I wouldn't be surprised if we barely make it above 20". 2 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted September 23, 2022 Author Report Share Posted September 23, 2022 14 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Average high temperature for FSD is 73 today, making it's march down to 70 by 9/30. Including today, 5 of those next 8 days are below normal per the latest EPS. The 25-75% bracket for temps barely reaches over 80 for the entirety of the run. Definitely looking like we have turned a page into a new season. I was about a week late with my call of there being two halves to September but overall it will end up looking pretty close to that with the first half being dominated by 80s/90s and the last 1/3 or so being normal or below normal. I'll take it as a W! #Winning Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted September 23, 2022 Report Share Posted September 23, 2022 4 hours ago, Tom said: Get ready to enjoy more of this as we continue down the seasonal changes...I think a big year is ahead for the cold season across the Eastern CONUS. Wow, that is just what I'm yearning for when I get back home. Enjoy my friend! I know you love this type of weather. I didn't realize how warm October 2021 was here right before I arrived in town. Think this October runs a cold departure? (Even though it didn't get to 90 here last Oct, it had warm lows...) Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 11 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted September 23, 2022 Author Report Share Posted September 23, 2022 1 hour ago, Timmy Supercell said: I didn't realize how warm October 2021 was here right before I arrived in town. Think this October runs a cold departure? (Even though it didn't get to 90 here last Oct, it had warm lows...) You'll prob end up being BN in the temp dept with AN precip for OCT as I'm seeing several opportunities for real heavy rain threats...Possible App's early season snows late month. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted September 23, 2022 Author Report Share Posted September 23, 2022 3 hours ago, someweatherdude said: Just for the record, not everyone who comments on, and highlights, the warmth are pushing an agenda. I personally love winter, and I don't for a minute want global warming to be a thing. I've resisted buying into it for years because I hate the idea of my beloved winters here in the mid latitudes becoming warmer and less snowy. I've looked high and low for evidence that things aren't truly warming. Lately, I'm focused on the warmth out of frustration, not to prove a point about a political issue. It's a complicated issue, and I'm very open minded as to what might be causing increased warmth. But I just don't see how anyone can deny that things are warmer right now. Whether that will continue or not, I don't know. But between permafrost melting, glaciers melting, average temps having risen in most areas, etc., it just seems to be a fact we have to accept. I'm not saying there can't be reasonable debate about the cause. I just don't see how there can be any debate about the fact of the warmth, though. That post was not geared towards global warming or being political but rather how their personal wants/needs influence a forecast. It’s a fine line when your a wx man/woman on TV and always pushing a warmer forecast in summer or less snowier one in the winter. It must be hard for someone to be disciplined enough to exclude their preferences. I see it happen a lot on this network and I’m sure there are other Mets around the country that do the same. It’s just human nature I guess. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted September 23, 2022 Report Share Posted September 23, 2022 Welcome to the first full day of Autumn! Low clouds all day and 0.04" of rain so far. Only 55 out. What a great way to ring in fall. My grids for next week are mainly 60s...even 50s one day. The other day it was looking like 70s so it's nice to see the cooler trend. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted September 23, 2022 Author Report Share Posted September 23, 2022 25 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: We had a similar situation in Seattle. A few local mets always fed into their snow-hating side and banked on the side of less snow in the winter. As such, they got a lot of flack from the weather enthusiast community. Just mention the name "Rich Marriott" in the PNW subforums and see the response you get! Then you had a few other local mets who leaned into their "weather weenie" side and would clearly get excited when snow was in the forecast, often times leaning on the higher end of snow totals for their forecasts. Granted in Seattle you will most likely be right when you forecast less snow as that's usually how it works out but lemme tell ya - when the low-end forecast would occasionally bust and we would get a whallop of snow, I would surely be sticking my tongue out at the TV any time those nay-sayer weathermen were on! Like you said, I'm sure it's hard to put aside your weather preferences when making a forecast. That being said, I wish professional mets made a bit more of a concerted effort to remain neutral in their forecast discussions and predictions. Seems like when local decisions are being made based on your forecast (and are not just a part of an online weather forum, like us) it would be ultra important to ensure you are accurate and not just wish-casting one way or the other. When you cater to bigger markets like Chicago or Seattle you would think they have more pressure to be accurate…or…maybe not. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted September 23, 2022 Report Share Posted September 23, 2022 Parts of New England got snow recently Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted September 23, 2022 Report Share Posted September 23, 2022 Do we have members in Florida? Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted September 24, 2022 Report Share Posted September 24, 2022 About as good as it gets in September here. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted September 24, 2022 Report Share Posted September 24, 2022 17 hours ago, Grizzcoat said: That 8-14 is in a jeopardy of a major bust if the Euro is correct. But then again- the 8-14 could be .1F above normal and the probability outlook still verifies no matter how red the graphics are. Here is the next 10 days for KDSM (so pretty much includes all but 1-2 days of the 8-14 from Tuesday) max of near 80F this Sat and warm overnight into Sun- other than that its at or below normal. The dryness is almost a given- but we are now at a point where nights are getting long enough to balance out the dry air heating with = cooling at night with regards to temps. This upcoming cooldown middle of next week is evident of that. FORECAST MODELS ECMWF Deterministic FORECAST FOR: LAT = 41.61 LON = -93.88 00Z SEP23 2 M 850 SFC SFC 700 6 HR 500 1000 TMP TMP PRS RHU RHU QPF HGT 500 (C) (C) (MB) (PCT) (PCT) (IN) (DM) THK FRI 00Z 23-SEP 16.4 7.8 1023 62 6 582 563 FRI 06Z 23-SEP 14.3 8.9 1022 62 31 582 563 FRI 12Z 23-SEP 14.0 7.2 1021 68 86 0.01 579 562 FRI 18Z 23-SEP 14.1 7.0 1018 73 97 0.22 577 562 SAT 00Z 24-SEP 15.7 7.3 1014 70 33 0.00 574 563 SAT 06Z 24-SEP 14.0 12.4 1013 89 60 0.00 574 563 SAT 12Z 24-SEP 15.3 13.0 1012 88 55 0.00 574 564 SAT 18Z 24-SEP 24.5 12.0 1012 41 26 0.00 575 565 SUN 00Z 25-SEP 21.7 14.0 1011 49 55 0.00 573 564 SUN 06Z 25-SEP 19.9 12.1 1012 49 79 0.00 569 559 SUN 12Z 25-SEP 15.2 8.5 1015 59 37 0.00 570 558 SUN 18Z 25-SEP 22.4 9.0 1016 37 3 0.00 573 560 MON 00Z 26-SEP 19.5 9.6 1015 36 3 0.00 572 559 MON 06Z 26-SEP 14.5 6.4 1017 45 5 0.00 570 555 MON 12Z 26-SEP 11.1 5.6 1019 56 11 0.00 570 554 MON 18Z 26-SEP 19.1 5.3 1019 34 24 0.00 570 554 TUE 00Z 27-SEP 17.9 8.1 1017 36 50 0.00 570 555 TUE 06Z 27-SEP 13.7 8.6 1018 54 94 0.00 570 555 TUE 12Z 27-SEP 11.1 6.3 1021 60 71 0.00 571 554 TUE 18Z 27-SEP 17.3 4.2 1024 37 4 0.00 574 554 WED 00Z 28-SEP 14.9 4.2 1024 38 2 0.00 576 556 WED 06Z 28-SEP 8.2 1.9 1029 58 2 0.00 579 555 WED 12Z 28-SEP 4.8 2.3 1032 74 9 0.00 581 555 WED 18Z 28-SEP 14.2 1.7 1032 45 24 0.00 584 557 THU 00Z 29-SEP 12.3 3.0 1029 53 17 0.00 584 560 THU 06Z 29-SEP 7.8 5.6 1030 71 18 0.00 584 560 THU 12Z 29-SEP 5.4 6.9 1031 87 20 0.00 584 559 THU 18Z 29-SEP 16.4 8.3 1029 45 25 0.00 583 560 FRI 00Z 30-SEP 14.6 10.0 1025 54 52 0.00 582 561 FRI 06Z 30-SEP 10.7 11.6 1025 72 68 0.00 582 561 FRI 12Z 30-SEP 8.3 9.7 1026 82 83 0.00 580 559 FRI 18Z 30-SEP 19.0 9.6 1023 45 73 0.00 580 561 SAT 00Z 01-OCT 16.8 11.3 1020 53 59 0.00 579 562 SAT 06Z 01-OCT 12.0 11.5 1022 74 43 0.00 579 561 SAT 12Z 01-OCT 8.7 10.3 1024 89 37 0.00 579 560 SAT 18Z 01-OCT 19.8 10.8 1023 41 36 0.00 580 560 SUN 00Z 02-OCT 16.6 11.9 1022 53 39 0.00 580 561 SUN 06Z 02-OCT 11.0 11.8 1024 78 62 0.00 580 560 SUN 12Z 02-OCT 7.7 11.8 1025 91 60 0.00 580 559 SUN 18Z 02-OCT 20.7 10.9 1025 44 57 0.00 581 560 MON 00Z 03-OCT 17.5 11.6 1024 53 54 0.00 581 561 Correct. Even the Barney maps only show likelihood of below normal temperatures and even if it’s .1 degrees. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted September 24, 2022 Report Share Posted September 24, 2022 2 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted September 24, 2022 Report Share Posted September 24, 2022 5 hours ago, Tom said: That post was not geared towards global warming or being political but rather how their personal wants/needs influence a forecast. It’s a fine line when your a wx man/woman on TV and always pushing a warmer forecast in summer or less snowier one in the winter. It must be hard for someone to be disciplined enough to exclude their preferences. I see it happen a lot on this network and I’m sure there are other Mets around the country that do the same. It’s just human nature I guess. Yep bias will probably always show up. Especially on a winter weather forum site. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted September 24, 2022 Report Share Posted September 24, 2022 Thought this was cool 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted September 24, 2022 Report Share Posted September 24, 2022 Halifax, Canada braces for Fiona. Hurricane conditions expected there. Crazy! 2 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted September 24, 2022 Author Report Share Posted September 24, 2022 1 hour ago, OmahaSnowFan said: Yep bias will probably always show up. Especially on a winter weather forum site. The difference is, I don’t get paid $100k+ salary…I donate my time and efforts on this forum. I have fun with it. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted September 24, 2022 Report Share Posted September 24, 2022 34 minutes ago, Niko said: Halifax, Canada braces for Fiona. Hurricane conditions expected there. Crazy! That's wild! 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OttumwaSnomow Posted September 24, 2022 Report Share Posted September 24, 2022 Tuesday 97f 4pm Friday 51f 4pm Quite a shock honestly for mid afternoon. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted September 24, 2022 Author Report Share Posted September 24, 2022 My Dad is in the motherland of Poland visiting family and he’s going hiking in the southern Tatra’s mountains. There is a wonderful resort town called Zakopane that is a very popular ski town and summertime mountain climbing and hiking destination. The town is known for its old school wooden chalets. It’s a gorgeous part of the country as the beauty of the mountain ranges tower into the sky. The weather in Eastern Europe has been unusually chilly and there is already a lot of snow on the peaks as you can see in the picture below. I’ll post more pics as I receive them. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted September 24, 2022 Author Report Share Posted September 24, 2022 I like the latest trends out here as there is one last hoorah for the official Monsoon season. Some models are spitting out some decent moisture for the valley starting next Tue through the rest of the month. Come on baby...I'm hoping PHX can record some more precip to break past normal for the season. Meantime, Tropical Storm Ian has formed and I'm worried for my friends down in FL. This blocking GL's HP is going to do some dirty work. Not only are models increasingly showing colder temps around the GL's region for a longer period mid next week but that Big Block up Over The Top may stall out the storm over or near FL. So much to digest over the next few days. Should be fun tracking this potential major threat. LR signals showing up in the GEFS/EPS that the BSR rule may come into fruition during the 1st week of OCT....my early call of a storm system tracking into the N Rockies around the 3rd-5th is showing up. Should be an interesting start to the new LRC. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted September 24, 2022 Report Share Posted September 24, 2022 It's a beautiful, cool and foggy morning here with a temp of 52. Temps are expected to rise over 30 degrees today as some warm air pushes in. Tomorrow it's back to great Fall weather with highs back in the low to mid 70s. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted September 24, 2022 Author Report Share Posted September 24, 2022 6 minutes ago, Clinton said: It's a beautiful, cool and foggy morning here with a temp of 52. Temps are expected to rise over 30 degrees today as some warm air pushes in. Tomorrow it's back to great Fall weather with highs back in the low to mid 70s. Love those type of mornings and the smells of the fresh air and moisture...out in the country where you are it is something I miss seeing. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted September 24, 2022 Report Share Posted September 24, 2022 The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 64/38 with a daily mean of 51.0 it was the coldest day since May 23rd there was no rain fall and there was 62% of possible sunshine. The overnight low here in MBY was 52 the official overnight low so far at GRR has been 51. There has been 0.02” of rain fall here and 0.03” at GRR. For today the average H/L remains at 71/50 the record high of 94 was in 2017 the record low of 29 was in 1950 and 1976. Today looks to be cloudy and cool with a chance of rain. At the current time it is cloudy and 53 here in MBY there is now some color showing up on some of the trees some nice yellow and yes some red as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted September 24, 2022 Report Share Posted September 24, 2022 3 minutes ago, Tom said: Love those type of mornings and the smells of the fresh air and moisture...out in the country where you are it is something I miss seeing. Sounds like you need a road trip, your always welcome to come visit. Oct in Missouri CAN lol be the best weather anywhere. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted September 24, 2022 Report Share Posted September 24, 2022 @Nikoand @westMJim looks like a chilly cold rain for you guys this last week of September. Florida is going to get hit hard, hopefully everyone stays safe. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted September 24, 2022 Report Share Posted September 24, 2022 1 hour ago, Tom said: I like the latest trends out here as there is one last hoorah for the official Monsoon season. Some models are spitting out some decent moisture for the valley starting next Tue through the rest of the month. Come on baby...I'm hoping PHX can record some more precip to break past normal for the season. Meantime, Tropical Storm Ian has formed and I'm worried for my friends down in FL. This blocking GL's HP is going to do some dirty work. Not only are models increasingly showing colder temps around the GL's region for a longer period mid next week but that Big Block up Over The Top may stall out the storm over or near FL. So much to digest over the next few days. Should be fun tracking this potential major threat. LR signals showing up in the GEFS/EPS that the BSR rule may come into fruition during the 1st week of OCT....my early call of a storm system tracking into the N Rockies around the 3rd-5th is showing up. Should be an interesting start to the new LRC. It's very exciting to see the start of a new weather pattern and hopefully it will be one that doesn't keep most of in drought or on the verge of drought. A little early to draw any conclusions about this storm but a potentially wet storm in a blocked up pattern is a great way to start Oct! 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted September 24, 2022 Report Share Posted September 24, 2022 12 hours ago, OmahaSnowFan said: That is the funniest NWS tweet I've ever seen! XD 1 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted September 24, 2022 Report Share Posted September 24, 2022 Mowed the yard this morning. Grass is as green and thick as you might expect in early June. Not seeing really any signs of color change in trees or vegetation. Already September 24, will probably be a late leaf change this year. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted September 24, 2022 Report Share Posted September 24, 2022 Looks like were going for 90s today, it's already 89 at LNK. Forecast was only 84. 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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