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24 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

79 / 47 here today.  Classic September day.

I'm going to be interested to see what kind of mins we can come up with later in the week before the strong offshore flow kicks in.

As I've said....other than the two warm days coming up it looks like nothing to complain about over the next two weeks.  A good mix being shown on the models.

ECMWF had 74 today. 

GFS had 80. 

Actual high at SEA was 80.

No comments on GFS temp output today?

 

 

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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27 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

ECMWF had 74 today. 

GFS had 80. 

Actual high at SEA was 80.

No comments on GFS temp output today?

 

 

Tiny minds simp for inferior models.

The ECMWF will always be superior to the GFS. And palm trees will never grow in North Bend. The sooner you accept that the happier a life you will live.

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11 minutes ago, Phil said:

Tiny minds simp for inferior models.

The ECMWF will always be superior to the GFS. And palm trees will never grow in North Bend. The sooner you accept that the happier a life you will live.

mate that is so edgy...

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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4 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

So Phil’s all in for a PNW torch this winter?

Intriguing….

I don’t have a f***ing clue what will happen this winter. Not even going to try right now.

Unprecedented stratosphere in a 3rd year niña with fastest boreal summer +QBO downwell ever recorded. Good luck with that.

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14 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Don’t have the best cell service at the moment but it looks like cedar creek is taking off this evening. Hopefully it’s not too smoky at Paulina peak and bend tomorrow. 

I could see the pyrocumulus from south Salem. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Random post. I’ve been whining a lot over recent summers, but after doing some digging, I think I might’ve simply lost touch with how bad things can really get. Decided to look at verified records of those 2010-12 summers and, my god, 2022 was a literal cakewalk compared to that.

It was 99°F by 945AM on 7/7/12. Countless days breaching 90°F between 830-930AM, several reaching 90°F even before 8AM. Dews reaching 88°F. I basically blocked all of that trauma out of my mind.

How I survived that in the face of multiple prolonged power outages is beyond me. I had basically convinced myself that I had grown acclimated to heat but in reality it hasn’t been all that hot recently.

Pretty sure I’m going to get banned if/when that type of pattern returns. Probably explains why I was such a nutcase back then. :lol: 

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8 minutes ago, MossMan said:

78/48 on the day. 
Currently the same inside and out! 
 

ACF309DD-70DB-4B6A-87D7-4B2FB1C3E2BD.jpeg

I forgot what 48°F feels like. 😭 

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50 minutes ago, Phil said:

Tiny minds simp for inferior models.

The ECMWF will always be superior to the GFS. And palm trees will never grow in North Bend. The sooner you accept that the happier a life you will live.

ECMWF is definitely the superior model.   No doubt about it.   I just like to give Jim crap for being outaged when it's off and the silent on all days it does better.   And this week is going to be GFS friendly.  

And palm trees do grow in North Bend and very well.   I can post some pics tomorrow if you want.  👍

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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That hurricane tracking into the SW US might the marker for a more substantial pattern change to open boreal autumn.

That’s my hunch. We’ll see if I’m right.

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3 minutes ago, Phil said:

That hurricane tracking into the SW US might the marker for a more substantial pattern change to open boreal autumn.

That’s my hunch. We’ll see if I’m right.

The second half of September will be cooler than the first. 

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

ECMWF is definitely the superior model.   No doubt about it.   I just like to give Jim crap for being outaged when it's off and the silent on all days it does better.   And this week is going to be GFS friendly.  

And palm trees do grow in North Bend and very well.   I can post some pics tomorrow if you want.  👍

Jim is right about its warm/dry 2m bias, though. Doesn’t seem to handle BL moisture/evaporative processes well at all.

And if Palm Trees grew in North Bend you would have surrounded your house with them by now. 😉

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6 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z ECMWF is pretty much sunny for the next 10 days... marine layer clouds barely make it to Seattle on a few mornings next week but it clears quickly.    

Jesus man. Take a break. You’ll be better off. You may break the the first time ever for most posts in a day in a row. Yes. It’s going to be warm. We get it. 

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1 hour ago, Phil said:

Jim is right about its warm/dry 2m bias, though. Doesn’t seem to handle BL moisture/evaporative processes well at all.

And if Palm Trees grew in North Bend you would have surrounded your house with them by now. 😉

There are many plam trees in NB.  And I wouldn't want them in my yard.    

And I am well aware of the days where the GFS will struggle.   And there are many other days it's the best model.  Like today.

Drinking tonight?

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 hour ago, Deweydog said:

GFS went with 83 at Olympia but they only reached 59.

POS model.

But I don't really care about OLM specifically for this, just wondering if Tim's focus on solely SEA in criticizing the Euro temp output is at all representative of other areas.

Guessing probably not!

A forum for the end of the world.

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Everyone in our area is extremely nervous about Friday and Saturday. We are all watering around our homes and outbuildings. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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5 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Zima was ahead of its time. Now similar seltzer beverages are everywhere.

Never heard of Zima. But I loved Truly (Rose flavor) and would recommend that to others.

A lot of seltzers are not great. Most of the White Claw drinks are swill, but there may have been one flavor I liked on a hot day. 

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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Check out Medford's 107 and even K-Falls almost hit the century mark today!

Hottest September day since 2017 in southern Oregon, but if you guys are lucky, middle of that month did drop off in highs. This one may still be an above average month.

Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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Was always more of a whiskey drinker myself. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 hour ago, Deweydog said:

The second half of September will be cooler than the first. 

The biggest concern would be if the second half actually ran a cool departure, the former is a no brainer! 😜

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 11
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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One of my friends posted this from Redmond. 😳

C7556522-38AA-46A8-8A72-82DA60D37851.jpeg

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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