PNW September 2022 Wx Obs/Disc

[Doinko]

1 hour ago, Doiinko said:

Well time to add another one, SLC hit 107 today. That ties their all time record too.

[Timmy Supercell]

1 hour ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

90F-burger again!

We need to add a spinning cheeseburger react.. It's like Elvis Presley's diet these last few summers back there!

2022 outdid my estimate on fewer than 40 at KLMT. They're at 45 right now. Which is in top several highest number. Maybe @Doiinko can remind me what they are. Last year wasn't the record to my surprise.

[kokaneekidz]

2 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Lala Land

Lookin golden at whistler blackcomb##*************##$$

[Timmy Supercell]

Stukel Mountain has a fire today, if its like the other times they had one there, should be contained in time and not effect any homes. 

I remember one there in October 2018, though this one has a lot more beef to it. 

[Doinko]

8 minutes ago, Timmy Supercell said:

We need to add a spinning cheeseburger react.. It's like Elvis Presley's diet these last few summers back there!

2022 outdid my estimate on fewer than 40 at KLMT. They're at 45 right now. Which is in top several highest number. Maybe @Doiinko can remind me what they are. Last year wasn't the record to my surprise.

Hmm, it shows 41 at "Klamath Falls Area" but 44 (not including today) at KLMT. Which one is better to use? The first one seems to have a longer POR and it seems like there's a gap in KLMTs data 1970-2000? If you go by the "Klamath Falls Area" one, the 2022 would be at #6 since 1897.

 

[Phil]

18z says bye bye summer.

[Timmy Supercell]

1 minute ago, Doiinko said:

Hmm, it shows 41 at "Klamath Falls Area" but 44 (not including today) at KLMT. Which one is better to use? The first one seems to have a longer POR and it seems like there's a gap in KLMTs data 1970-2000? If you go by the "Klamath Falls Area" one, the 2022 would be at #6 since 1897.

 

I forget which one we both used, though both stations are not without their quality issues since they began.

Some of the 1990's might have had some faulty data, since 1992 and 1998 on NOWdata appear to have warmer months than their respective records on Mean temperature. June 1992 (+7.7), Aug 1998 (+6.4). July 1994 as well, is warmer than 2014. NWS lists August 1998 at third warmest on record, 1967 being #1 with a +5.0 departure. Not sure what to make of that. 

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Those Salt Lake City numbers are bananas. 

[Cloud]

36 minutes ago, Phil said:

18z says bye bye summer.

Even got some snow in northern ID and MT by day 10! 

[High Desert Mat?]

3 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Exactly. Better weather cannot come soon enough. 

Cue the (Tim) I mean Jaws music. 

[High Desert Mat?]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

78 at SEA today.    

ECMWF had 73 and GFS had 78.

Goofus is always 10-15 degrees too warm.  

 

It must be exhausting to be you. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 hour ago, Phishy Wx said:

lol they said the news today over here on the east side some people thought they saw steam coming out of Rainier today and they thought it was about to blow.  turns out it was clouds

It’s true. There was quite the kerfluffle about it on Twitter this morning.

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

It’s true. There was quite the kerfluffle about it on Twitter this morning.

Kerfuffle.   

[High Desert Mat?]

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Red Flag warning. 

[Doinko]

Looks like PGE will cut power for areas in the foothills/coast range and parts of the West Hills too.

[Phishy Wx]

35 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

It’s true. There was quite the kerfluffle about it on Twitter this morning.

perfect use of Kerfuffle

[SilverFallsAndrew]

40,000 people will likely have their power shut off 3-4 days. If it prevents fires it is worth it. That’s just PGE. 
 

Pacific power has already announced the Santiam canyon will go dark in just over 24 hours. 

[Phishy Wx]

5 minutes ago, High Desert Mat? said:

They'll both be Iceland soon enough.

[Doinko]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

40,000 people will likely have their power shut off 3-4 days. If it prevents fires it is worth it. That’s just PGE. 
 

Pacific power has already announced the Santiam canyon will go dark in just over 24 hours. 

Some parts of the West Hills too including areas a few miles north of me and a few parts near downtown.

[Front Ranger]

1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Those Salt Lake City numbers are bananas. 

Unreal late season 4CH. But everything about that station is unnaturally enhanced.

[Front Ranger]

1 hour ago, High Desert Mat? said:

It must be exhausting to be you. 

It's not. He's been this for 15+ years.

[Front Ranger]

42 minutes ago, High Desert Mat? said:

Climate changes.

[ChrisEl Elyon]

64° here in Belltown Seattle 

[Meatyorologist]

he is here

[TT-SEA]

12 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

It's not. He's been this for 15+ years.

Same can be said for many of us.   We all seem to like it here.

[TT-SEA]

2 hours ago, Phil said:

18z says bye bye summer.

00Z GFS agrees.   

[Cloud]

This may be the last weekend with potentially near 90s weather. Fall is here by mid-month and look right on schedule. 

[The Blob]

56 minutes ago, Doiinko said:

Some parts of the West Hills too including areas a few miles north of me and a few parts near downtown.

Is there a map? I can't seem to find one. Never mind I found it

[Cloud]

And we're finally having movement... the western heat is being shifted to the plains and east -- outta here. 

[TT-SEA]

Just now, Cloud said:

This may be the last weekend with potentially near 90s weather. Fall is here by mid-month and look right on schedule. 

Of course we said that a week ago too.   But yeah... not going to hold back the true seasonal change much longer.    Its right on schedule.   Jarad has said that PNW summer weather generally follows astronomical summer from mid-June through mid-September and this year is going to fit that mold perfectly.  

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, Cloud said:

And we're finally having movement... the western heat is being shifted to the plains and east -- outta here. 

The 00Z GFS has similar timing to the 12Z EPS in pushing the troughing through the west.

[TT-SEA]

FWIW... the 00Z GEM has a very different idea in the 7-10 day range.    Almost looks like the pattern this week repeating.   It will be interesting to see if the ECMWF goes in that direction.

[Cloud]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Of course we said that a week ago too.   But yeah... not going to hold back the true seasonal change much longer.    Its right on schedule.   Jarad has said that PNW summer weather generally follows astronomical summer from mid-June through mid-September and this year is going to fit that mold perfectly.  

I've always believed this as well. 

Unfortunately for me, I'm leaving a current summer climate right now into a very tropical one (Going to VN) next week for a couple weeks coming back Oct. 1st. It's currently not bad over there now but every day is pretty much a thunderstorm fest.  Maybe I'll come back to some PWN rain and not tropical rain. 

[TT-SEA]

Just now, Cloud said:

I've always believed this as well. 

Unfortunately for me, I'm leaving a current summer climate right now into a very tropical one (Going to VN) next week for a couple weeks coming back Oct. 1st. It's currently not bad over there now but every day is pretty much a thunderstorm fest.  Maybe I'll come back to some PWN rain and not tropical rain. 

Enjoy the thunderstorms... that should be fun for you!  

[TT-SEA]

The 00Z GEM at day 10 looks very similar to what we have right now.  

[TT-SEA]

Meanwhile the 00Z GFS has multiple systems and a decent amount of rain after day 10... which would be close to climo.

[The Blob]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Meanwhile the 00Z GFS has multiple systems and a decent amount of rain after day 10... which would be close to climo.

My parents fly up the weekend of the 24th, probably should tell them to pack a rain jacket.

[TT-SEA]

We always debate whether its June or September that is more of a summer month... but splitting both in half is the best answer.

[Phil]

Watch the arctic air build on the 00z GFS.

We’re so close.