PNW September 2022 Wx Obs/Disc

[Cascadia_Wx]

3 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Friday night is probably gonna be stupid warm near the foothills.

Stupid warm is kind of what we do these days.

[BLI snowman]

As Doiinko has mentioned, definitely gonna be a nail biter to see if PDX can match or potentially break their record for consecutive days without measurable rain. They will be at 64 after today, with the record at 71. Euro would give them 69 () before some sprinkle potential gets in the way on Wednesday.

Edited September 8, 2022 by BLI snowman

[TT-SEA]

8 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Also base on models projections that we’ll be in top 2 or top 3 for longest 70+ Days streak. 72 may be out of reach but 62 is very doable for #2.
 

 

ECMWF had 69 for a high at SEA today.

It was 70 at noon.    

[BLI snowman]

3 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Stupid warm is kind of what we do these days.

But hey the spring was rainy and kinda chilly if you take away March and you take away June and pretend that the 1991-20 averages were always the averages. 

[SnowWillarrive]

Will Friday be mostly clear of smoke? Hope so.

[Meatyorologist]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

ECMWF had 69 for a high at SEA today.

It was 70 at noon.    

my god man

[Phil]

The GFS is projecting 95°F at SeaTac on Saturday. I think it might be a tad off.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, Meatyorologist said:

my god man

OUT OF CONTROL

[TT-SEA]

Just now, Meatyorologist said:

my god man

GFS only has 72.     A few days I was thinking today had a shot to break the streak.

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, Phil said:

The GFS is projecting 95°F at SeaTac on Saturday. I think it might be a tad off.

My god man.  

Are we still talking about model temp output?   

[Meatyorologist]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

GFS only has 72.     A few days I was thinking today had a shot to break the streak.

with the wall to wall sun i highly doubted it. some real nice dewpoints though

[Cloud]

1 minute ago, Phil said:

The GFS is projecting 95°F at SeaTac on Saturday. I think it might be a tad off.

Oh boy.... here. we. go. 

[Requiem]

Reminding me of that period in early September 2017 when the Eagle Creek Fire made the run through the Gorge. Maybe a fair bit stronger than that event actually

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, Requiem said:

Reminding me of that period in early September 2017 when the Eagle Creek Fire made the run through the Gorge. Maybe a fair bit stronger than that event actually

Requiem, you are correct. I think this event will be somewhere between 2020 and 2017. 

[Cloud]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

My god man.  

Are we still talking about model temp output?   

You seem to be LOCKED in once you decide you want to pick something to talk about. Pretty sure the temps output stuff was LAST month! 

[ShawniganLake]

3 minutes ago, Phil said:

The GFS is projecting 95°F at SeaTac on Saturday. I think it might be a tad off.

It could conceivably end up 90/91 or so if they catch some downslope.  Smoke could be a wild card.  So it’s probably a few degrees high. 

[FroYoBro]

Tim is trying to put up 50 on us today. 
 

The GOAT!

[Phil]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

My god man.  

Are we still talking about model temp output?   

tHe gFs cAn dO nO wRoNg. eVeN wHeN iTs wRoNg. bUt aT LeAsT iTs wRoNg iN tHe wArM dIrEcTiOn. gO tEaM gFs! yAy!

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

It could conceivably end up 90/91 or so if they catch some downslope.  Smoke could be a wild card.  So it’s probably a few degrees high. 

ECMWF has 91 that day... not too different than the GFS.     But smoke will definitely be a factor. 

[Iceresistance]

4 minutes ago, Phil said:

tHe gFs cAn dO nO wRoNg. eVeN wHeN iTs wRoNg. bUt aT LeAsT iTs wRoNg iN tHe wArM dIrEcTiOn. gO tEaM gFs! yAy!

Oh my goodness, the monstrosity!

[Omegaraptor]

15 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

ECMWF had 69 for a high at SEA today.

It was 70 at noon.    

 

10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

My god man.  

Are we still talking about model temp output?   

5 minutes apart. How do you do this all day man

[ChrisEl Elyon]

73 at Nisqually Valley 

[ChrisEl Elyon]

67° Belltown

70° Boeing Field 

[TT-SEA]

Just now, Omegaraptor said:

 

5 minutes apart. How do you do this all day man

5 minutes apart on the same topic?  

[Cloud]

4 minutes ago, Phil said:

tHe gFs cAn dO nO wRoNg. eVeN wHeN iTs wRoNg. bUt aT LeAsT iTs wRoNg iN tHe wArM dIrEcTiOn. gO tEaM gFs! yAy!

Bro.. this is so 1990s stuff! Get with the program! Even though I don't even know what the program is these days w/ the lingo. 

[Phil]

1 minute ago, Omegaraptor said:

 

5 minutes apart. How do you do this all day man

He’s getting angsty because summer is about to end and he’s gonna be socked in the clouds for the next 8+ months.

[Omegaraptor]

Can someone check if the 13z Zimbabwe model is still showing wall to wall 90s and sun for the Willamette Valley?

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Beautiful morning and afternoon! Currently 77F.

[Meatyorologist]

Blue contour past Seattle!! Everyone!! grab your dogs, i got the grill fired up!!!

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, Phil said:

He’s getting angsty because summer is about to end and he’s gonna be socked in the clouds for the next 8+ months.

I was definitely getting anxious in early June that we would not have summer this year.   But very satiated now.    

[Cloud]

6 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Blue contour past Seattle!! Everyone!! grab your dogs, i got the grill fired up!!!

culd! 

[MossMan]

3 hours ago, Winterdog said:

I was a bit surprised I had a low of 40 this morning. Currently 55 with a beautiful day ahead.  One more miserable short stretch and it'll be see ya later 90's, don't let the door hit you in the butt.

Wow! I had a low of 54 and it was still 59 at 4:30am when I let the dogs out with fairly a fairly strong wind blowing! 
Currently 68. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

7 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Blue contour past Seattle!! Everyone!! grab your dogs, i got the grill fired up!!!

Night shift engaged!

[Cloud]

Quite gusty out there currently.  BFI clocked a 20mph gust 30 mins ago. Feeling it in SODO as well. 

[Cloud]

2 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Night shift engaged!

The return of the Robinator will soon be upon us! 

[TT-SEA]

NFL season starts in 4 hours!   Sign of fall?

[ChrisEl Elyon]

3 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Quite gusty out there currently.  BFI clocked a 20mph gust 30 mins ago. Feeling it in SODO as well. 

Yeah gust of 16 mph here in Belltown, and 21 mph western shore of Union Lake

[Cloud]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

NFL season starts in 4 hours!   Sign of fall?

GO BILLS! Even though I'm still rooting like hell for BWagz. 

[ChrisEl Elyon]

Can't wait for first 40+ mph wind. Definitely a windstorm lover here!!!

[Deweydog]

37 minutes ago, Requiem said:

Reminding me of that period in early September 2017 when the Eagle Creek Fire made the run through the Gorge. Maybe a fair bit stronger than that event actually

Yeah, 2017 was much more of a straight up summer subsidence pattern with a relatively weak thermal trough. In this case, the deep thermal gradient thanks to the shortwave dropping into the Rockies.  Aside from the comparisons to the 2020 juggernaut, it’s also comparable to mid September 2014, albeit a considerably warmer version, which will probably actually help keep wind speeds down a bit thanks to a shallower inversion layer (no mountain wave…)