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Just now, Deweydog said:

Getting dark out again.

9/8/1949 was getting dark right about now.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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Trip has been going well…unfortunately had to cancel my 3 night stay at lava lake and 1 night at crescent lake. Cascade scenic Highway is closed through the whole area. Staying at the end of the closure elk lake tonight then staying 2 nights in La pine then coming home on Sunday. Definitely a real bummer that I can’t go to lava lake love that place. 

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6 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

As someone else keenly pointed out, there’s a banter thread for this crap

Then a fair question is why YOU are bringing it back up? 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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2 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Fwiw, I don’t think this was discussed and know what the models outputs are for Saturday but if smoke becomes a significant factor for this day, you can expect to knock a few degrees off of the projection and deny SEA #13. We’ve seen this before. 

2020 if I recall

Eastside Tacoma/Salishan, WA. Elv 263ft

Family home in Spanaway, WA. Elv 413ft

☥𓂀✡️

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9 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Fwiw, I don’t think this was discussed and know what the models outputs are for Saturday but if smoke becomes a significant factor for this day, you can expect to knock a few degrees off of the projection and deny SEA #13. We’ve seen this before. 

Yeah... smoke could definitely keep it in the 80s.     

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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On 9/7/2022 at 4:50 PM, MossMan said:

I can still hear the jingle in my 10yr old head…

”Yugo Yugo Yugo See Cal” (He sold Fords and Yugo’s) 

“Worthington Ford in Federal Way, the only way, open til midnight everyday…Will see you there!” 

Here in Socal it was Cal Worthington and his dog Spot, which was almost anything but a dog. I remember the jingle from back in the 1980's: "If you need a new car go see Cal, if you need a new truck go see Cal, if you need a new car or you need a new truck go see Cal go see Cal go see Cal!"

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1 minute ago, Cloud said:

00z is still projecting 90-91 for Sat. at SEA. Again, model may be too warm if there is enough smoke in the area. My guess is we fall 1-2 degrees short. 

00Z GFS actually shows 95... but I agree that SEA probably falls short.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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15 minutes ago, AlTahoe said:

This morning started off with blue skies. now it is raining ash from a fire 40 miles away. Fire has burned 5k acres in the last 4 hours. This is looking worse than last years Caldor. I guess by next week we will see if we have to evacuate again. 

 

 

This is depressing. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 hour ago, Cloud said:

Fwiw, I don’t think this was discussed and know what the models outputs are for Saturday but if smoke becomes a significant factor for this day, you can expect to knock a few degrees off of the projection and deny SEA #13. We’ve seen this before. 

12 is a good number anyway. No matter what Andrew says.

A forum for the end of the world.

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2 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

12 is a good number anyway. No matter what Andrew says.

😀

I think a 2015 tie is fine.

Went into this summer expecting a 1999 and came out with a 2015.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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13 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

I’m so bummed the cedar creek fire messed up my chance to camp at lava lake and crescent lake. It burned the entire west and north side of Waldo lake. Such a beautiful area it’s a shame. 

That sucks man. I'm sorry. :(

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

That sucks man. I'm sorry. :(

I had no idea that the forest service closed all those areas down until I ran into a guy on top of mount bachelor on my hike told me. Everything is closed south of elk lake I’m glad he told me before I went down there. I was at Paulina lake with no service yesterday so we didn’t know. I’m going to camp at the la pine state park for the next couple nights though which should still be fun just gotta make the best of the situation…atleast I got all my campsite fees refunded. 

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Just now, Cloud said:

A dry 00z run thru day 10. 

And then another ridge builds in... as opposed to a big trough on the 18Z run.

Jim and Phil need to stop talking about troughing or it might never rain here again.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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I swear to god if some idiot starts a fire around Jasper or Pisgah...

They need to close those areas off.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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15 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

I swear to god if some idiot starts a fire around Jasper or Pisgah...

They need to close those areas off.

Careless people is the most frustrating aspect.   I remember the most catastrophic fire in San Diego County history was started by a hunter with a campfire during a 70 mph Santa Ana wind event back in October 2003.     We were on edge for days and eventually had to evacuate... and it was dark enough to need headlights during the middle of the day.   We sold our house right after that firestorm.   We were at the end of a long, narrow road out in a rural area near Valley Center.   It was a 2-mile drive to get out to other roads.   One way in and one way out.   But almost 20 years later and that house is still there.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Careless people is the most frustrating aspect.   I remember the most catastrophic fire in San Diego County history was started by a hunter with a campfire during a 70 mph Santa Ana wind event back in October 2003.     We were on edge for days and eventually had to evacuate... and it was dark enough to need headlights during the middle of the day.   We sold our house right after that firestorm.   We were at the end of a long, narrow road out in a rural area near Valley Center.   It was a 2-mile drive to get out to other roads.   One way in and one way out.   But almost 20 years later and that house is still there.

At least our red flag and East wind is happening this weekend as opposed to last. The risk would’ve been much higher last week for the holiday. 

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1 minute ago, Cloud said:

At least our red flag and East wind is happening this weekend as opposed to last. The risk would’ve been much higher last week for the holiday. 

Not on a weekend would be even better.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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29 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

I swear to god if some idiot starts a fire around Jasper or Pisgah...

They need to close those areas off.

Because we live in essentially a de facto third world country there are thousands of people every day cooking over open fires all around us. I see it all along the Willamette in Salem on a daily basis. Many of these people are unfortunately in the throes of mental Heath issues or serious addictions. Probably not people who should have unsupervised fires in any circumstances. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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46 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

I had no idea that the forest service closed all those areas down until I ran into a guy on top of mount bachelor on my hike told me. Everything is closed south of elk lake I’m glad he told me before I went down there. I was at Paulina lake with no service yesterday so we didn’t know. I’m going to camp at the la pine state park for the next couple nights though which should still be fun just gotta make the best of the situation…atleast I got all my campsite fees refunded. 

La Pine State Park is nice. Love the Deshutes down there. I don't know if you fish, but throw a Rooster tail or any lure along the banks and you can pick up some nice brown trout. They just closed those areas Wednesday or Tuesday, the fire really made a run Tuesday evening.  We could see the plume from Salem. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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A little more definitive now.

Estimated power shut off start times by area for Friday, Sept. 9 are as follows:

  • Area 1: Mt. Hood Corridor/Foothills: 3 – 6 a.m.

  • Area 2: Columbia River Gorge 5 – 8 a.m.

  • Area 3: Oregon City 8 – 11 a.m.

  • Area 4: Estacada 3 – 6 a.m.

  • Area 5: Scotts Mills 5 – 8 a.m.

  • Area 6: Portland West Hills 10 a.m. – 1 p.m.

  • Area 7: Tualatin Mountains 10 a.m. – 1 p.m.

  • Area 8: North West Hills 10 a.m. – 1 p.m.

  • Area 9: Central West Hills 10 a.m. – 1 p.m.

  • Area 10: Southern West Hills 11 a.m.– 2 p.m.

In addition, while the following areas are not in the designated high fire risk zones or in the PSPS areas, because of the imminent high winds, the extreme fire conditions currently found in Oregon and in partnership with local officials, the areas of Silverdale/Corbett and Silver Falls will also experience preventive outages. We expect the outages for these two areas to start Friday, Sept. 9 between 5:00 a.m. and 8:00 a.m.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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25 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

La Pine State Park is nice. Love the Deshutes down there. I don't know if you fish, but throw a Rooster tail or any lure along the banks and you can pick up some nice brown trout. They just closed those areas Wednesday or Tuesday, the fire really made a run Tuesday evening.  We could see the plume from Salem. 

The entire west coast is becoming a banana republic. 

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