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7 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Next weekend looks very pleasant. I get to watch BYU clean the field with Oregon and then go to a wedding that evening. Should be nice. 

Ditto except Cougars vs CSU at Pullman in our case. Looks like sweater weather for the second half though.

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Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches

HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24.

Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24

Days with  trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel)

First Freeze: 10/27/2023

Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24)

Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

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44 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

A little more definitive now.

Estimated power shut off start times by area for Friday, Sept. 9 are as follows:

  • Area 1: Mt. Hood Corridor/Foothills: 3 – 6 a.m.

  • Area 2: Columbia River Gorge 5 – 8 a.m.

  • Area 3: Oregon City 8 – 11 a.m.

  • Area 4: Estacada 3 – 6 a.m.

  • Area 5: Scotts Mills 5 – 8 a.m.

  • Area 6: Portland West Hills 10 a.m. – 1 p.m.

  • Area 7: Tualatin Mountains 10 a.m. – 1 p.m.

  • Area 8: North West Hills 10 a.m. – 1 p.m.

  • Area 9: Central West Hills 10 a.m. – 1 p.m.

  • Area 10: Southern West Hills 11 a.m.– 2 p.m.

In addition, while the following areas are not in the designated high fire risk zones or in the PSPS areas, because of the imminent high winds, the extreme fire conditions currently found in Oregon and in partnership with local officials, the areas of Silverdale/Corbett and Silver Falls will also experience preventive outages. We expect the outages for these two areas to start Friday, Sept. 9 between 5:00 a.m. and 8:00 a.m.

Actually pretty nice that they have timed it all out for everyone.

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Cold Season 2023/24:

Total snowfall: 26"

Highest daily snowfall: 5"

Deepest snow depth: 12"

Coldest daily high: -20ºF

Coldest daily low: -42ºF

Number of subzero days: 5

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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It appears that Montana made it through mostly unscathed from its wind and high fire danger event with no real new big ones started. Of course the Moose fire exploded again which gave us some bad air quality for a day but that was about it. Currently 45F with a highs only in the 50's there today.

Now all eyes are on the west coast and this wind and high fire danger event. I've been monitoring and following closely from Germany. I of course have family in Portland, Estacada and down in Northern Cali in Auburn right near the Mosquito fire. So lots to worry about. Stay safe everyone!

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Cold Season 2023/24:

Total snowfall: 26"

Highest daily snowfall: 5"

Deepest snow depth: 12"

Coldest daily high: -20ºF

Coldest daily low: -42ºF

Number of subzero days: 5

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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Another warm season without a substantial thunderstorm outbreak. Sad.

Had a decent morning storm in early June, but that was about it. Only other event is when I saw a couple lightning bolts hit the Sound back on the 10th of August, but barely any thunder.

Probably a good thing sadly, given the lack of precip over much of the region. I'd trade the destructive smokefest in for a dreadfully boring end to Summer any time.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Careless people is the most frustrating aspect.   I remember the most catastrophic fire in San Diego County history was started by a hunter with a campfire during a 70 mph Santa Ana wind event back in October 2003.     We were on edge for days and eventually had to evacuate... and it was dark enough to need headlights during the middle of the day.   We sold our house right after that firestorm.   We were at the end of a long, narrow road out in a rural area near Valley Center.   It was a 2-mile drive to get out to other roads.   One way in and one way out.   But almost 20 years later and that house is still there.

It was horrible the smoke was. Up near Riverside where I lived there were two or three ore fires closer to us so it was nothing but smoke. My aunt flew out for a high school reunion and they didn't cancel it despite it being outside.

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Cedar Creek Fire has quite the heat signature for so late at night-- doesn't exactly bode well once those winds do hit it. 

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

00Z GEM still goes crazy with troughing by day 10... but the GEM at that range is about the same as throwing darts.

And the GFS isn’t? :lol: 

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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13 minutes ago, Phil said:

The Euro looks exactly like the CMC. I wonder why nobody has mentioned it? 🤔 

I fell asleep.   Sorry about that!  Do you honestly think I ignore model runs I don't like?  That is Jim.   I talk about everything.   I even mentioned the GEM earlier.   15 years and you don't know that I talk about everything??  😀

ECMWF looks a little warmer for the next week than previous runs... and then drops the hammer.

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-total_precip_inch-3545600.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

I fell asleep.   Sorry about that!  Do you honestly think I ignore model runs I don't like?  That is Jim.   I talk about everything.   I even mentioned the GEM earlier.   15 years and you don't know that I talk about everything??  😀

ECMWF looks warmer for the next week than previous runs... and then drops the hammer.

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-total_precip_inch-3545600.png

This is not bad for WV. Really hope it just sticks… I think they need it. 

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Control run looks very similar to ECMWF and then parks a big ULL over CA by day 12.

EPS agrees with operational in its muted way and then goes back to weak ridging after day 10. 

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Honestly... we all need some rain right now.    

I think we’ve gotten a fair share of people’s preferences the past 4 months or so. May-1st week of July was good for people who likes cool/rainy weather. July-now for warm/hot/dry. 

i personally won’t complain. 

windstorms and thunderstorms outbreak aside of course. 

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Only 67F for a high yesterday which was the coolest since mid-July.

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 8.0"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 

2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16)

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20 minutes ago, Cloud said:

I think we’ve gotten a fair share of people’s references the past 4 months or so. May-1st week of July was good for people who likes cool/rainy weather. July-now for warm/hot/dry. 

i personally won’t complain. 

windstorms and thunderstorms outbreak aside of course. 

It can also be a mix of weather... it usually works out thay way.    Just not this year.  

We need rain right now.   That doesn't mean it needs to start raining every day. But some variety is definitely needed.   

I just want to know what makes Phil think I ignore things that I don't like?  Does he remember this spring?   😀

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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00Z EPS goes right back to the default pattern after a few days of troughing.   Better be some rain with that troughing or smoke could still be an issue.

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-3977600.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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I'm wondering if the town of Oakridge will still exist in 48 hours. The fire is less than 5 miles to the east. At least about every resource available is there now to fight for it. I've been there many times and it would be a huge tragedy to see another Oregon mountain town burn.

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6 minutes ago, Dave said:

I'm wondering if the town of Oakridge will still exist in 48 hours. The fire is less than 5 miles to the east. At least about every resource available is there now to fight for it. I've been there many times and it would be a huge tragedy to see another Oregon mountain town burn.

That fire is just exploding to the west per the IR satellite. 

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

HRRR smoke model shows that the return to onshore flow later in the weekend won't end the smoky conditions.  

trc1_NW_int_f048.png

Son of a bitchh!!!!!

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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GODDAMMIT!!!

EWU @ Oregon is toast if this happens.

Smoke2.png

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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13 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Smoke is pouring in here through Snoqualmie Pass... looks disgusting out there now that its getting light.

Not horrible here yet. 

8B4809B3-B904-476F-AE03-D238809FF37D.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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1 minute ago, MossMan said:

Not horrible here yet. 

8B4809B3-B904-476F-AE03-D238809FF37D.jpeg

That's good.    It appears to be at ground level here... even the ridge behind our house looks a little hazy.   I am sure that is because its able to come in lower through Snoqualmie Pass.   

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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10 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said:

Hottest week ever in July.

Hottest month ever in August.

Running +5 in September so far.

Longest dry streak of all-time almost in the bag. 

00z and 6z GFS bone dry through the whole run.

Gorgeous summer, huh?

Hoping that Tim let’s it rain at some point

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