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34 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

62F with thick smoke. And we’re only just getting started. Winds should be coming over the Belknap Gap and down the McKenzie and Willamette rivers soon. 😔

Have a feeling EUG is going to fall just a bit short of their predicted high of 96 today.

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15 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Wind hasn’t broke through here as of yet. Definitely a good subsidence inversion in place keeping things in check thus far.

When would you estimate the period of strongest downslope to be? Later tonight into early Saturday?

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Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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9 minutes ago, Requiem said:

When would you estimate the period of strongest downslope to be? Later tonight into early Saturday?

The gradient peaks tonight, but slowly shallows and becomes more east/west oriented as the mid levels warm.

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4 minutes ago, T-Town said:

The wind is ripping here but only 67. No downsloping in T Town. 

Still dead calm here and also 67.   Smoke is clearly keeping temp in check.  

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East wind noticeable now. Flags have switched to easterly from the McKenzie. Strong gradient to our east to push the flow over the cascades in a mountain wave event. Matter of time before temps spike. Already are to our north and east…

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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12Z ECMWF shows a huge shift west with the troughing late next week so the rain is delayed by 2 full days but it still gets there by day 9.      Hard to trust it though when its changing so much from run to run.  

ecmwf-deterministic-namer-precip_6hr_inch-3502400.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Tim beat me to it. EC looks good!

0.69” Nice!!

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

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Down-low angle for EC precip totals.


7656742B-665F-4A77-BAA5-671F4FC75F2A.png
59B488E8-E604-4677-A7A0-7E5D2162C77F.png

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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3 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Down-low angle for EC precip totals.


7656742B-665F-4A77-BAA5-671F4FC75F2A.png
59B488E8-E604-4677-A7A0-7E5D2162C77F.png

Was just going to update my precip map... noticed it was at 234 and not 240.   Lots of rain down there in the last 6 hours and more coming.

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-precip_6hr_inch-3588800.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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22 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z ECMWF shows a huge shift west with the troughing late next week so the rain is delayed by 2 full days but it still gets there by day 9.      Hard to trust it though when its changing so much from run to run.  

ecmwf-deterministic-namer-precip_6hr_inch-3502400.png

Kind of a dirty ridge all week, but onshore flow for normal temps.

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53 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Yeah I’m sure the smoke is a factor as well. I was kind of surprised how cool the wind felt. 

Yeah, I was just outside and the wind definitely has a cool feel to it.  The last couple of times we have dealt with this the winds felt like a blast furnace, and that's up here....I can't imagine how it felt at points further south.

 

Temp is up to 76 here.

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Anyone remember what the peak winds were at PDX in Sept 2020? PDX is already seeing 25 gusting 40mph.

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Cold Season 2023/24:

Total snowfall: 26"

Highest daily snowfall: 5"

Deepest snow depth: 12"

Coldest daily high: -20ºF

Coldest daily low: -42ºF

Number of subzero days: 5

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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Really strong signal for Alaska troughing on the 12Z EPS in the long range.  This about as strong as it gets at 15 days out.  Hopefully the ECMWF is right and we get a big rain event in between.

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-3977600 (1).png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 minute ago, Kayla said:

Anyone remember what the peak winds were at PDX in Sept 2020? PDX is already seeing 25 gusting 40mph.

Already 40mph gusts? It hasn't been nearly that windy here yet and we usually get a stronger east wind. The WRF does show our wind peaking late tonight.

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3 minutes ago, Kayla said:

Anyone remember what the peak winds were at PDX in Sept 2020? PDX is already seeing 25 gusting 40mph.

I know they had a few gusts of 50+.

And there’s a good chance 40ish will be PDX’s top end. Even though the gradient steepens, the downslope component will shallow a bit.

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6 minutes ago, Kayla said:

Anyone remember what the peak winds were at PDX in Sept 2020? PDX is already seeing 25 gusting 40mph.

36g52 if I recall correctly, I-205 Bridge gusted to 60.

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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3 minutes ago, JBolin said:

50+mph with occasional gusts over 60

Just looked it up. They actually only peaked at 52mph.

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Cold Season 2023/24:

Total snowfall: 26"

Highest daily snowfall: 5"

Deepest snow depth: 12"

Coldest daily high: -20ºF

Coldest daily low: -42ºF

Number of subzero days: 5

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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54 minutes ago, Eujunga said:

Was just 70º here at noon, but already starting to climb quickly. Was hoping both the smoke and the winds would stay aloft, but that's probably unrealistic.

Things are deteriorating pretty quickly on the east side of town where the divide between the Willamette and McKenzie rivers is. Sun is heating the surface as the smoke thickens and begins to also surface. If the fire explodes tonight then we will probly have an ash storm.

Fuckk this shitt!!

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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