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Bolt Creek Fire looks nasty. Terrain-driven winds looking to continue until evening, and it's already burning hot and fast to the west in those steep drainages. 

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

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Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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17 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

I've never been much on small dogs but she has our hearts.  Probably the only maltese around that's been hiking in Colorado at 14k lol.  She comes from a long line of show dogs and they should have long hair, we keep it short because she loves playing outside and getting dirty.

I'm always amazed at the number of small dogs I've seen on 14er hikes. Guess I shouldn't be though, dogs are much tougher and more athletic than us, in general 😁

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A forum for the end of the world.

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4 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

That fire is going to be bad, very steep terrain to fight and the weather is the perfect recipe for a bad wild fire. This sucks.

No idea how it started, but whether from a campfire or a hot car or power lines, almost certainly it has to be human caused. I can deal with the lightning caused wildfires, but when they're caused by human stupidity it makes me pretty angry. Obviously accidents happen, but in weather conditions like these you can't afford to let them happen. If it was a campfire I hope they catch the person who started it

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 8.0"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 

2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16)

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3 hours ago, BLI snowman said:

Spooky warm night, as expected. 

Out here at the coast at Cannon Beach and it appears that the low at the station in town was 72. Also 72 for a low at PDX.

If the low of 66 at AST holds up then it would be an all time record for that station. Might push that down though later this evening.

66 as an all time record for any time of year at AST? Or just the month? Can’t imagine how they wouldn’t have had at least an upper 60s low in June 2021.

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13 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said:

No idea how it started, but whether from a campfire or a hot car or power lines, almost certainly it has to be human caused. I can deal with the lightning caused wildfires, but when they're caused by human stupidity it makes me pretty angry. Obviously accidents happen, but in weather conditions like these you can't afford to let them happen. If it was a campfire I hope they catch the person who started it

I feel like it's definitely human caused... the area appears to be quite active. Beckler River and Money Creek campgrounds are within the area. Also several trailheads and cabins. Even a cigarette butt being thrown out going from HW2 can cause this kind of explosion with the current conditions. 

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061A6A8B-FDB4-466E-8A2D-0966F8AF53DF.jpeg

E6B5A457-0286-4E9E-AFD5-55B2C0F57980.jpeg

Snowing ash in the vicinity of Everett right under the Skykomish fire plume. Can look right at the sun.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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16 minutes ago, Phil said:

66 as an all time record for any time of year at AST? Or just the month? Can’t imagine how they wouldn’t have had at least an upper 60s low in June 2021.

66 at KAST would absolutely be an all time record max/min, but it will certainly get erased tonight.  It’s hard to keep hardcore anomalies like that in place on the coast as they decouple very easily and warm nights like last night are often followed by a southerly surge the following day.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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2 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

66 at KAST would absolutely be an all time record max/min, but it will certainly get erased tonight.  It’s hard to keep hardcore anomalies like that in place on the coast as they decouple very easily and warm nights like last night are often followed by a southerly surge the following day.

Do you think the 72 at PDX will stand for the September record?

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This trough next weekend looks like it has potential to bring some well below normal temps.  Remains to be seen if that will be mostly on the min temp side of things or the max temps or both.  Really nice GOA block being depicted.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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3 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said:

And just like that, the only chance we have at meaningful rainfall in the foreseeable future has vanished. 

12Z ECMWF still brings some rain to western WA by next Sunday night... but not much.    And that trough is just so much weaker than on the runs yesterday.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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4 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said:

And just like that, the only chance we have at meaningful rainfall in the foreseeable future has vanished. 

Yeah...the trough has a mostly cool look to it with not much moisture in all likelihood.  

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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4 minutes ago, Doiinko said:

Do you think the 72 at PDX will stand for the September record?

I'm going 60/40 in favor of it standing.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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36 minutes ago, Phil said:

66 as an all time record for any time of year at AST? Or just the month? Can’t imagine how they wouldn’t have had at least an upper 60s low in June 2021.

Doesn't really matter, they will almost certainly go below 66 before midnight once the wind shifts onshore.

A forum for the end of the world.

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Was surprised we fell into the mid 50s last night. I think Eugene s low was down near 50.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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The air quality is horrendous in the North Cascade valleys right now. The fires up near the border don't seem to be too active today, but the smoke from previous days is just sitting up there. AQI is above 400 in both the upper Skagit Valley near Ross Lake and in the Nooksack Valley.

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 8.0"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 

2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16)

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Lovely 

D6FACBD0-690C-495C-B8D5-5BF04E80A9DD.jpeg

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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17 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

87 and sunny here... 88 in North Bend.   There is a slight haze but really lucking out here today in terms of smoke.   Gusty east wind continues.

68 here and the smoke is really bad now. 

B6CC55E2-CDD3-4594-B7BE-3E7FABB7B79B.jpeg

7E08A850-1A3B-4902-A30C-9E7826317F9A.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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