Jump to content

Recommended Posts

16 minutes ago, yellowstone said:

Starting to wonder exactly what needs to happen for Boeing Field to stop reporting smoke…

I was thinking the same thing earlier when I noticed my computer was still saying smoke in the lower right corner.    

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

KSEA recorded a high of 69F today... the first sub-70F day since July 17th when they reached 69F as well. To find a high cooler than that, we need to go back to the 3rd... Also our last sub 60F day, with a high of 58F, and the last gasp of those blissfully consistent warm season cold anomalies we enjoyed from April-early July.

  • Like 2

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

Link to comment
Share on other sites

55 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

I would go as far to say that very wet Septembers are often a good sign for those rooting for a very dry October or November. 2019, 2013, 1978, 1969, 1911 to name a few.

Probably true.     

Feels like the same thing is true for wet springs.    I was certain July-Sept would be way drier than normal here after the spring we had.   It was the complete opposite of 2019 with a dry spring and wet summer.    I know you will give me examples down there to refute it... but I spent most of May and the first half of June thinking the rain lovers on here cheering for the rain to continue are going to regret the Yang to this Ying.    

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

KSEA recorded a high of 69F today... the first sub-70F day since July 17th when they reached 69F as well. To find a high cooler than that, we need to go back to the 3rd... Also our last sub 60F day, with a high of 58F, and the last gasp of those blissfully consistent warm season cold anomalies we enjoyed from April-early July.

I can't even imagine seeing multiple highs in the 50s here now like August 1968. That month had some 40+ diurnal ranges in some spots here as well.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

2502F8E5-3AB9-4448-8F5A-3CF489529FB8.png

Severe warning just east of Omak.

  • Excited 1

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Jesus christ I gotta go inside

63326C46-D47D-4152-B6C9-10E2DBD8562D.gif

wowowowowow!!!!! supper excited for you dude enjoy the show!!

  • Like 4

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 hours ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Heather Lake Fire and Flood Falls Trail Fire continue to belch out the smoke in SW BC. And the Bolt Fire smoke is affecting us as well.

Was hoping the air quality would be better here today, but it’s still iffy.

Visually the air quality was much worse here today. Could barely see the hills to our west.  No sure what the Aqi was. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

00z GFS has highs in the low 50s with rain south of PDX on Saturday

  • Like 1

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, Meatyorologist said:

00z GFS has highs in the low 50s with rain south of PDX on Saturday

Then it's western WA's turn on Sunday.... And central California's turn Monday! Even a decent Sierra snowstorm.

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

00z GFS has highs in the low 50s with rain south of PDX on Saturday

That is the other side of the GFS temp output issues.   Often way too cold with troughing.    It also shows low 50s in Seattle on Sunday.

The ECMWF shows mid to upper 60s those days. 

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

You live in a climate that averages 210 dry days a year and you want rain every single day.   You are going to be disappointed the majority of the time.  Don't blame me.   I live in a climate where its closer to a 50% split but prefer the dry 50% and know the wet 50% is inevitable.   I concede all of Nov-Jan to the rain gods.   Travel also helps.   I start expecting closer to 50/50 from Feb-Apr.   Many years work out that way.   Hopefully won't see a spring 2021 again for a long time.   That was pretty rare.

You live in a climate that averages 210 wet days a year and you want sun every single day.   You are going to be disappointed the majority of the time.  Don't blame me.  I live in a climate where its closer to a 50% split but prefer the less humid 50% and know the steamy 50% is inevitable. I concede all of June-Sept to the swamp gods. Travel also helps. I start expecting closer to 50/50 in Oct-Nov. Many years work out that way.   Hopefully I won't see a summer like 2010/11/12/13/15/16/18/19/20/21/22 again for a long time. That was pretty typical.

  • Like 1
  • Popcorn 1
  • Weenie 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

ECMWF weeklies are drier than average in the NW US through the end of October, on balance. No bueno. 

  • Like 1
  • Popcorn 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

15 minutes ago, Phil said:

You live in a climate that averages 210 wet days a year and you want sun every single day.   You are going to be disappointed the majority of the time.  Don't blame me.  I live in a climate where its closer to a 50% split but prefer the less humid 50% and know the steamy 50% is inevitable. I concede all of June-Sept to the swamp gods. Travel also helps. I start expecting closer to 50/50 in Oct-Nov. Many years work out that way.   Hopefully I won't see a summer like 2010/11/12/13/15/16/18/19/20/21/22 again for a long time. That was pretty typical.

You travel to places with worse humidity!

And there is roughly 180-185 days with no rain here per year.   Not much of debate. And some of the days with rain are also sunny for a decent part of the day.   So not all the days with rain are rainy days.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

16 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

That is the other side of the GFS temp output issues.   Often way too cold with troughing.    It also shows low 50s in Seattle on Sunday.

The ECMWF shows mid to upper 60s those days. 

That model comparison is lazy. The cool Saturday put out by the GFS is the result of a stratoform rain shield, not a fundamentally different airmass and weather pattern. The Euro simply doesn't have that feature. Pretty typical disagreement for four days out w/ a diving and cutting off trough.

What the GFS shows would make sense given the rain. Evaporative cooling would keep things chilly pretty easily. Whether that rain will happen or not is a more relevant question.

  • Like 3

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

Link to comment
Share on other sites

00z GEM is chilly!

Screen Shot 2022-09-14 at 8.13.04 AM.png

  • Like 4
  • Snow 1

Cold Season 2023/24:

Total snowfall: 26"

Highest daily snowfall: 5"

Deepest snow depth: 12"

Coldest daily high: -20ºF

Coldest daily low: -42ºF

Number of subzero days: 5

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

That model comparison is lazy. The cool Saturday put out by the GFS is the result of a stratoform rain shield, not a fundamentally different airmass and weather pattern. The Euro simply doesn't have that feature. Pretty typical disagreement for four days out w/ a diving and cutting off trough.

What the GFS shows would make sense given the rain. Evaporative cooling would keep things chilly pretty easily. Whether that rain will happen or not is a more relevant question.

GFS does not really show all day rain on Sunday but still spits out low 50s.   It's a common theme with the GFS to be too extreme on both sides... with ridging and troughing.

gfs-deterministic-nw-precip_3hr_inch-3545600.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

You travel to places with worse humidity!

And there is roughly 180-185 days with no rain here per year.   Not much of debate. And some of the days with rain are also sunny for a decent part of the day.   So not all the days with rain are rainy days.

You average over 200 wet days per year.

It’s your problem, not mine.

  • Popcorn 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 minutes ago, Phil said:

You average over 200 wet days per year.

It’s your problem, not mine.

Not true.   The Cedar Lake station at 1,500 feet and deeper in the foothills averages around 180.    And probably 25% or more of the days with measurable rain here are not even "rainy days" with the rain at night or only for a short period during the day.   So there are significantly more days per year that are not true "rainy days" than there are rainy days.

  • Weenie 5

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, TT-SEA said:

Not true.   The Cedar Lake station at 1,500 feet and deeper in the foothills averages around 180.    And probably 25% or more of the days with measurable rain here are not even "rainy days" with the rain at night or only for a short period during the day.   So there are significantly more days per year that are not true "rainy days" than there are rainy days.

Days with a trace aren’t included in that tally. Rain falls from the sky 200+ days per year in North Bend.

Deal with it.

  • Popcorn 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Living in North Bend and complaining about rain is like living in Death Valley, CA and complaining about heat. You get what you pay for.

  • Like 4
  • Popcorn 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

14 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

GFS does not really show all day rain on Sunday but still spits out low 50s.   It's a common theme with the GFS to be too extreme on both sides... with ridging and troughing.

gfs-deterministic-nw-precip_3hr_inch-3545600.png

image.png

Not really though? It's more of a day with sporadic, immeasurable drizzle than simply CAA. Pretty good evaporative cooling. Also puts WA under the crosshairs of that same shortwave that gave OR its cool day, bringing large scale lift and lots of dense cloudcover. Dealing with late March sun angles now... harder to keep things mixed in the low levels.

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Also Tim, yes, I do understand the GFS in reality shows daily highs in around 60F in the Willamette on Saturday. Yes, I understand I am simply ripping the 2m temp maps for 00z Sun and calling it the daily high, even though a higher temperature is modeled earlier before the rain and evaporative cooling reaches that area.

I simply do not care. It is irrelevant to me when either way, it is still 50F and raining at 4pm in mid September in a low lying inland Valley. I adopt my false interpretation as the truth simply out of my own malaise and a general discontent for your preferences. It is humorous to me. I find it funny.

  • Like 2
  • Popcorn 1

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I know that no one cares about these posts except for me, but smoke has been eeking back into the central Puget Sound and has brought air quality from good, back down to moderate.  The same can be said for the Lower Mainland with smoke coming through the Fraser River outflow again.  Conditions look like they will worsen overnight and into the morning.  Onshore flow should clear the skies again tomorrow.

Screen Shot 2022-09-14 at 12.07.06 AM.png

  • Like 9
Link to comment
Share on other sites

56F and pleasant out there.

  • Like 1

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

24

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 hours ago, Meatyorologist said:

Also Tim, yes, I do understand the GFS in reality shows daily highs in around 60F in the Willamette on Saturday. Yes, I understand I am simply ripping the 2m temp maps for 00z Sun and calling it the daily high, even though a higher temperature is modeled earlier before the rain and evaporative cooling reaches that area.

I simply do not care. It is irrelevant to me when either way, it is still 50F and raining at 4pm in mid September in a low lying inland Valley. I adopt my false interpretation as the truth simply out of my own malaise and a general discontent for your preferences. It is humorous to me. I find it funny.

I completely understand this... thanks for the honesty!    And I agree that if its raining and 50 degrees at 4 p.m. its sort of irrelevant if the high was 65.   It's still impressive.   

It's the same thing as saying a day with .05 that falls before dawn and is sunny in the afternoon is not really a "rainy day".  Although for statistical purposes it is a technically a rainy day and is meaningful in terms of averages for the month and streaks etc.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

×
×
  • Create New...