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1 hour ago, BLI snowman said:

The summer pattern and near nationwide blowtorch pattern not breaking down more is just a bad sign IMO for the winter. Raging Pacific jet will probably wait until December to get going at this rate. We're definitely due for a regional dud anyways and I'm feeling like we're going to continue the 2-3 magic of the last couple decades.

Might have to eat these words later but I’m cautiously optimistic out this way. Pattern of wave breaking over the NATL resembles many of the “cold” winters of recent decades. 

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12 minutes ago, Phil said:

Might have to eat these words later but I’m cautiously optimistic out this way. Pattern of wave breaking over the NATL resembles many of the “cold” winters of recent decades. 

Yeah, you're probably due for a meaningfully snowy/active winter (or at least a major blizzard) just as we're due for a regional dud.

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12 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

65 after a low of 51 this morning and partly cloudy very nice day. Don’t see any haze at all either sky is deep clear blue for the first time in awhile. 

Very blue here too.

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Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches

HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24.

Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24

Days with  trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel)

First Freeze: 10/27/2023

Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24)

Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

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12 minutes ago, Phil said:

Might have to eat these words later but I’m cautiously optimistic out this way. Pattern of wave breaking over the NATL resembles many of the “cold” winters of recent decades. 

I think you mentioned 2013/14 earlier, and that was a pretty good winter for the Willamette Valley as well. Arctic blast and South Valley snowstorm in December that brought a -10 temp to Eugene and then three snowstorms in February with accumulations of up to 18" in the Corvallis area. I think there was also a NW WA and SW BC event in late Feb.

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1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z EPS is much less troughy next weekend than the ECMWF. 

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-z500_anom-4064000.png

Tim, you really love to deliver bad news. We all know it ain’t gonna rain until some point in October. We know it’s going to be relatively very warm for a while too. No need to post every model run or meteogram that tells us what we already know. 

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32 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said:

Tim, you really love to deliver bad news. We all know it ain’t gonna rain until some point in October. We know it’s going to be relatively very warm for a while too. No need to post every model run or meteogram that tells us what we already know. 

I posted about the much more troughy ECMWF run as well... even before the EPS came out.   Unfortunately the ECMWF does not really have support from the EPS yet.    You seem to want me to only post about things you like but its sort of fooling yourself to only see one side.    Oddly enough... you also seem to like to always assume the worst.   So I am confused.   😀

Either way... there is a better chance now that it will rain in a week than there was yesterday just based on the ECMWF.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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KSEA is going to record measurable precipitation out of this spontaneous blob of convection.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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72F and beautiful. Same temp inside as outside.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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13 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Sprinklefest!

Any implications on this winter?

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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6 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

Alaska Braces For Strongest Storm In A Decade

 

https://weather.com/news/weather/video/alaska-braces-for-strongest-storm-in-a-decade

 

Anal LogZZ?

9748FECA-7F43-4336-A961-411AC159068B.gif

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

24

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