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24 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

I was coming on here to post about this very thing.

The storm is the remnants of what was Typhoon Merbok, and could be one of the worst storms in recent memory, with hurricane-force winds and high surf along Alaska's remote Western Coast.  But there are villages that aren't prepared for this kind of thing. Water levels could be up to 18 feet above the normal high tide line.

Typhoon Merbok was formed further east in the Pacific than usual. The water temperatures are warmer this year giving the storm the fuel to grow. 

256ec146-694e-4313-a0ce-1be871e95b7b-medium16x9_AP22259725983521.jpg.e6fbed9c350a272f2a468bbbe16d3fd9.jpg

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6 hours ago, Doiinko said:

I think you mentioned 2013/14 earlier, and that was a pretty good winter for the Willamette Valley as well. Arctic blast and South Valley snowstorm in December that brought a -10 temp to Eugene and then three snowstorms in February with accumulations of up to 18" in the Corvallis area. I think there was also a NW WA and SW BC event in late Feb.

2013/14 was my second favorite winter of all time. Frequent snows (at least 25 days with at least a T of snow, including multiple 12”+ events and one 18” event). Big cold as well, two subzero lows and a 65mph windstorm producing ground blizzard conditions. 

Only 2009/10 tops it.

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13 minutes ago, Phil said:

2013/14 was my second favorite winter of all time. Frequent snows (at least 25 accumulating snow events including multiple 12”+ events and one 18” event). Big cold as well, two subzero lows and a 65mph windstorm producing ground blizzard conditions. 

Only 2009/10 tops it.

It was an excellent winter for widespread, frequent Arctic air intrusions into the lower 48. -EPO dominated and just about everyone got their turn. Bitterly cold winter for the upper Midwest.

Dec13TDeptUS.png

Jan14TDeptUS.png

Feb14TDeptUS.png

 

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9 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

It was an excellent winter for widespread, frequent Arctic air intrusions into the lower 48. -EPO dominated and just about everyone got their turn. Bitterly cold winter for the upper Midwest.

Dec13TDeptUS.png

Jan14TDeptUS.png

Feb14TDeptUS.png

 

January 2014 was persistently cold here. Stands out in that regard as it wasn’t a one and done hit.

I know this is weak sauce by Midwest standards, but for these parts it is very impressive. 11 days with single digit lows.

B90C06DC-0241-409D-8E15-AD433819065D.jpeg

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8 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

It was an excellent winter for widespread, frequent Arctic air intrusions into the lower 48. -EPO dominated and just about everyone got their turn. Bitterly cold winter for the upper Midwest.

Dec13TDeptUS.png

Jan14TDeptUS.png

Feb14TDeptUS.png

 

And the February snowstorms were really nice as well down here. On 2/6/2014 we had a temp of 18f at 6pm with probably 40mph+ gusts and blowing snow.

 

 

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2 minutes ago, Phil said:

January 2014 was persistently cold here. Stands out in that regard as it wasn’t a one and done hit.

I know this is weak sauce by Midwest standards, but for these parts it is very impressive. 11 days with single digit lows.

B90C06DC-0241-409D-8E15-AD433819065D.jpeg

I was in NYC Superbowl weekend and there was a big snowstorm the Monday after when I flew out. Did you get anything with that?

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1 minute ago, Doiinko said:

And the February snowstorms were really nice as well down here. On 2/6/2014 we had a temp of 18f at 6pm with probably 40mph+ gusts and blowing snow.

 

Yeah, pretty cool how even though the PNW was far from the center of the cold weather that winter, there were still two impressive Arctic events. Nothing as widespread since.

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6 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

I was in NYC Superbowl weekend and there was a big snowstorm the Monday after when I flew out. Did you get anything with that?

Nope lol. Here it was a cold rain that ended as a wall of sleet and 50mph NW winds. Got maybe 1/4” of ice, no snow.

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February 2015 was definitely more impressive though, especially considering it occurred so late in the season.

I remember we *advected* down to -4°F with roaring winds all night. Big clouds of previously-fallen snow were blowing off the ground and high into the air. Would love to experience that again, haven’t seen anything like it since.

F5C29C7E-CBA6-4565-8D8F-11B3978D1C79.jpeg

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1 hour ago, NWbyNW said:

I was coming on here to post about this very thing.

The storm is the remnants of what was Typhoon Merbok, and could be one of the worst storms in recent memory, with hurricane-force winds and high surf along Alaska's remote Western Coast.  But there are villages that aren't prepared for this kind of thing. Water levels could be up to 18 feet above the normal high tide line.

Typhoon Merbok was formed further east in the Pacific than usual. The water temperatures are warmer this year giving the storm the fuel to grow. 

256ec146-694e-4313-a0ce-1be871e95b7b-medium16x9_AP22259725983521.jpg.e6fbed9c350a272f2a468bbbe16d3fd9.jpg

Yea its a beast.  one thing I read said strongest in 70 years in that vicinity

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1 hour ago, NWbyNW said:

I was coming on here to post about this very thing.

The storm is the remnants of what was Typhoon Merbok, and could be one of the worst storms in recent memory, with hurricane-force winds and high surf along Alaska's remote Western Coast.  But there are villages that aren't prepared for this kind of thing. Water levels could be up to 18 feet above the normal high tide line.

Typhoon Merbok was formed further east in the Pacific than usual. The water temperatures are warmer this year giving the storm the fuel to grow. 

256ec146-694e-4313-a0ce-1be871e95b7b-medium16x9_AP22259725983521.jpg.e6fbed9c350a272f2a468bbbe16d3fd9.jpg

Great information.    As usual!

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Bit of a tinge of crispness to the air tonight. Fall is nearing and I feel like this active weather season is going to surprise people in a really positive way.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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18 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Bit of a tinge of crispness to the air tonight. Fall is nearing and I feel like this active weather season is going to surprise people in a really positive way.

Quick note to remind all there is negligible correlation between the weather in September and the winter proceeding it. Arguably there is a positive correlation, but that is probably filtered out of a deeper relationship between ENSO and winter weather. After all, that kind of correlation is still there in September, too.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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Major regional blast incoming! Or maybe not!

...It will rain?

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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25 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Major regional blast incoming! Or maybe not!

...It will rain?

I was wondering, would December 2013 be considered the last regional Arctic blast? Or February 2014? I know 850mb temps didn't get that cold in the February event at SLE but a ~22/18 (23/19 at PDX) day in February is still impressive!

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52/45 on the day here with 0.26" of rainfall. Currently 45F. Feels like fall!

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Cold Season 2023/24:

Total snowfall: 26"

Highest daily snowfall: 5"

Deepest snow depth: 12"

Coldest daily high: -20ºF

Coldest daily low: -42ºF

Number of subzero days: 5

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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1 hour ago, Meatyorologist said:

Quick note to remind all there is negligible correlation between the weather in September and the winter proceeding it. Arguably there is a positive correlation, but that is probably filtered out of a deeper relationship between ENSO and winter weather. After all, that kind of correlation is still there in September, too.

Yeah....September doesn't have much of a correlation.  As people have discussed on here before it almost appears precip anomalies in the autumn may actually be a better forecasting tool for the character of the coming winter than temperature.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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No doubt the air has a much different feel to it tonight.  An unmistakable taste of autumn.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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6 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Yeah....September doesn't have much of a correlation.  As people have discussed on here before it almost appears precip anomalies in the autumn may actually be a better forecasting tool for the character of the coming winter than temperature.

Skagit river flood correlation seems much stronger. 

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51F at the Wunderground station down the street. I'm curled up so not going to check mine but usually it's similar.

Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches

HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24.

Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24

Days with  trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel)

First Freeze: 10/27/2023

Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24)

Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

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Down to 49F. Pleasant and chilly.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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Woke up early on Saturday for no reason but it is 44F outside currently. Coolest I've yet seen this Fall.

Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches

HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24.

Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24

Days with  trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel)

First Freeze: 10/27/2023

Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24)

Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

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59 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said:

Prior to yesterday, PDX had 40 consecutive days of above normal temps. WTF?! 

I think SEA had a similar period of almost constant below normal temps this spring.    No balance.   One extreme or the other.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Today is much more sunny than I was anticipating.   Strange to see the first significant fall storm in the West bypassing WA and heading straight for the Bay Area.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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10 hours ago, TacomaWx said:

Skagit river flood correlation seems much stronger. 

To be fair, that worked out splendidly here!

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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29 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said:

Incredible. Hard to fathom even close to that many days of below normal in a row.

Even PDX was below normal for most of April and May.

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