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My friend hiked to Lake 22 today and there are still patches of snow at 2,400 foot lake level in the shade. Absolutely remarkable and shows how crazy snowy last Winter and Spring were.

12EE45B6-C51F-4062-A215-859EDF7D1386.jpeg

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Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation)

Snow since February 2019: 91"

2023-24: 6"

2022-23: 17.5"

2021-22: 17.75"

2020-21: 14.5”

2019-20: 10.5"

2018-19: 24.75"

 

 

 

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78/43 here today. 35º is about as big as diurnal ranges get here so close to the water. Without going back into my records it might be my biggest ever. Maybe on the warmest days when we have something like 88/53 or maybe I've had a 68/33 day before, but none that I can remember.

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 8.0"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 

2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16)

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3 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said:

78/43 here today. 35º is about as big as diurnal ranges get here so close to the water. Without going back into my records it might be my biggest ever. Maybe on the warmest days when we have something like 88/53 or maybe I've had a 68/33 day before, but none that I can remember.

About the same here…think our biggest was 6/28/21. 106/69 temp spread 37 degrees. 

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Nice improvement on the GFS tonight.  Looks like it's giving a little bit back of what it took away on today's earlier runs.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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2 minutes ago, Phil said:

OT but d**n that b*tch be pissed.

6D476478-41B1-4EF5-8B2C-E5382271421D.png

Looks like quite the hybrid storm when it hits Canada.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Temp is falling like a rock tonight.  I'm probably going to beat this morning's 43 tonight.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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It almost looks like Hurricane Fiona is going to pull a page from the Columbus Day Storm playbook.  It's going to morph into a very powerful extratropical storm and then pummel Canada.  Looks to be very potent when it hits.

  • Windy 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Meanwhile the GFS indicates below normal 850s with surface pressure gradients becoming northerly on Friday.  Should be a chilly Saturday morning for many places.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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2 hours ago, TacomaWx said:

About the same here…think our biggest was 6/28/21. 106/69 temp spread 37 degrees. 

6/28/21 was only a 96/70 spread here. The low was remarkably warm, but the high just couldn't match it.

Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 8.0"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 

2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16)

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1 hour ago, Winterdog said:

I’m already 30 degrees cooler than my high of 78.

At least these big diurnal ranges make it somewhat interesting.  My coldest night so far with the temp already down to 49.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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5 minutes ago, ChrisAmunRA said:

A 10° difference just in a short distance, UW Campus showing 57° while Union Bay Natural Area station showing 47° talk about Microclimate

Screenshot_20220921-060953-079.png

Screenshot_20220921-060921-836.png

Its 55 degrees at the stations up here this morning... and 40 in North Bend on the valley floor just 2 miles away.  

I would love to have Phil here so we could drive to NB and back and he could experience crazy temperature swings across a short distance all dependent on air movement!   Its not windy... but there is a little breeze up here and that is all it takes to be 15 degrees warmer than where its dead calm.   

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Its 55 degrees at the stations up here this morning... and 40 in North Bend on the valley floor just 2 miles away.  

I would love to have Phil here so we could drive to NB and back and he could experience crazy temperature swings across a short distance all dependent on air movement!   Its not windy... but there is a little breeze up here and that is all it takes to be 15 degrees warmer than where its dead calm.   

Yeah I just looked definitely chilly out there in NB

Screenshot_20220921-062258-604.png

Eastside Tacoma/Salishan, WA. Elv 263ft

Family home in Spanaway, WA. Elv 413ft

☥𓂀✡️

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4 minutes ago, Phil said:

North Bend almost cold enough for frost. 🥶  

https://www.northbendweather.com/WWL-mobile.php

And honestly feels like a normal summer morning up here... up to 57 at the station just a little lower than my house.   

nb 921.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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11 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I would love to have Phil here so we could drive to NB and back and he could experience crazy temperature swings across a short distance all dependent on air movement!   Its not windy... but there is a little breeze up here and that is all it takes to be 15 degrees warmer than where its dead calm.   

I’ve experienced that and it’s really cool. Both nocturnal inversions/mixing and CAD erosion during storms. Plenty of terrain to induce local weirdness along/west of the fall line here.

Craziest variations happen in the latter scenario, when there is in-situ low level CAD getting scoured out by a strong southerly LLJ. Usually at night during the dead of winter.

During the transition it can be in the 50s and windy on the hilltops upriver, but in the 30s with thick fog a half mile away at lower elevations. When the inversion mixes out you feel the puffs of warm wind contrasting with the in-situ airmass and it feels weird as heck.

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Typical scouring out of CAD wedge here under a LLJ. My station is the cold one, as is often the case in these situations thanks to the local topography.

This is hyper local view, but 20 miles to the west it was in the teens on this night still.

8348734D-9A48-446E-9E75-FAAC4941EC88.jpeg

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26 minutes ago, Phil said:

I’ve experienced that and it’s really cool. Both nocturnal inversions/mixing and CAD erosion during storms. Plenty of terrain to induce local weirdness along/west of the fall line here.

Craziest variations happen in the latter scenario, when there is in-situ low level CAD getting scoured out by a strong southerly LLJ. Usually at night during the dead of winter.

During the transition it can be in the 50s and windy on the hilltops upriver, but in the 30s with thick fog a half mile away at lower elevations. When the inversion mixes out you feel the puffs of warm wind contrasting with the in-situ airmass and it feels weird as heck.

Currently a 21 degree difference across less than a couple miles out here!   Maybe 1.5 miles between those stations.   

50s are more common in general... but the valley floor is obviously dead calm.    In my driveway there is just the slightest breeze and the breeze feels warm.  

 

nb 9-21.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Very nice to see some chilly lows up north. Definitely not seeing that down here. In coming years I think we have to just look forward to September warmth continuing to migrate poleward. 

  • Weenie 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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53 minutes ago, Phil said:

Typical scouring out of CAD wedge here under a LLJ. My station is the cold one, as is often the case in these situations thanks to the local topography.

This is hyper local view, but 20 miles to the west it was in the teens on this night still.

8348734D-9A48-446E-9E75-FAAC4941EC88.jpeg

In the right east wind conditions North Seattle becomes like that. I've had hard frost and near surface radiation fog around my house and Thorton Creek.... A five minute walk up the 300' hill to its south, and suddenly it's in the 50s and windy out of the east. Air feeling mild to the skin. A pretty weird sensation as someone just walking in a straight path. It's incredible how such a sharp boundary can take shape, over the course of less than a city block.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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00z GFS ensemble is not bad. We are not in a crazy warm pattern right now, just continuing to see warm temps regardless of 850mb temps it seems. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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By far the most amazing microclimate I've ever encountered was the spine of SanFran... My god.

Summing Mt. Davis from the west was wild. 52F and drizzling, socked in clouds, everything damp. A short walk up the hill, and the sun begins to poke through, and by the very summit you *just* break through the inversion. Instantaneous, and I mean instantaneous, temp hike to 95F. Immediately start sweating buckets as the heat forces me to face the exercise I've just done. This was in the late morning, around 10am.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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F25A06DE-D65D-4736-AFC4-099AFC15A216.jpeg

In other news, the smoke is absolutely horrendous this morning. It's like the opposite of earlier this August when all the smoke peacefully drifted overhead. This go around it seems like it's trapped near the surface and all the clean air is sliding aloft!

Ironically the smoke remaining near the surface makes the sky itself feels less apocalyptic, since high altitude smoke layers take on such an ominous orange hue.

  • Like 3

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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3 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

F25A06DE-D65D-4736-AFC4-099AFC15A216.jpeg

In other news, the smoke is absolutely horrendous this morning. It's like the opposite of earlier this August when all the smoke peacefully drifted overhead. This go around it seems like it's trapped near the surface and all the clean air is sliding aloft!

Ironically the smoke remaining near the surface makes the sky itself feels less apocalyptic, since high altitude smoke layers take on such an ominous orange hue.

I was just going to mention that it looks terrible on the Space Needle cam this morning with low level smoke.   Its crystal clear from 405 eastward... not even a hint of smoke out here.    Hopefully that means it will mix out in Seattle as well.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I was just going to mention that it looks terrible on the Space Needle cam this morning with low level smoke.   Its crystal clear from 405 eastward... not even a hint of smoke out here.    Hopefully that means it will mix out in Seattle as well.

The smoke is much, much worse than it appears on the needle cam. It's really bad, especially on the north end of the city. Looking at satellite and HRRR analysis, this smoke is a low level trickle from the Bolt Creek complex. Not a situation where antecendent smoke presence can be "mixed away".... This is a healthy, localized stream of smoke with an active source, with no meteorological reason to vacate by this afternoon.

Finally getting the broad extent of my smell back after the worst of my Covid infection, just in time to smell all this horrid air. 🙃

  • Sad 1

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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Just now, Meatyorologist said:

The smoke is much, much worse than it appears on the needle cam. It's really bad, especially on the north end of the city. Looking at satellite and HRRR analysis, this smoke is a low level trickle from the Bolt Creek complex. Not a situation where antecendent smoke presence can be "mixed away".... This is a healthy, localized stream of smoke with an active source, with no meteorological reason to vacate by this afternoon.

Finally getting the broad extent of my smell back after the worst of my Covid infection, just in time to smell all this horrid air. 🙃

Yeah... appears the smoke is drifting westward down the Hwy 2 corridor and then being pushed south near the Sound by a northerly wind.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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23 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

F25A06DE-D65D-4736-AFC4-099AFC15A216.jpeg

In other news, the smoke is absolutely horrendous this morning. It's like the opposite of earlier this August when all the smoke peacefully drifted overhead. This go around it seems like it's trapped near the surface and all the clean air is sliding aloft!

Ironically the smoke remaining near the surface makes the sky itself feels less apocalyptic, since high altitude smoke layers take on such an ominous orange hue.

Flying in last night just off the Oregon coast a bit.  Made for a pretty sunset ride in. At least I think this was smoke….haven’t been paying attention to weather lately…ugh 

1149F757-DC5A-49E1-83DF-3F3CFE6FE713.jpeg

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