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Another incredible sunset tonight.  This is hands down the best year I have ever seen for that.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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1 hour ago, Frontal Snowsquall said:

And just a little more than 2 months away! ❄ Hopefully the first sign of the longer range models picking up on Alaskan blocking for early winter.

A flip has to come eventually.  When the dry / ridgy pattern drags on and on like this it often flips very hard when it does.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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6 minutes ago, ChrisAmunRA said:

Hopefully this really is the last couple of 80 degree days this Sunday-Tuesday for the Puget Sound and Willamette Valley

Pretty likely.  Interestingly there have only been 3 or 4 80+ days in the Puget Sound area this month.  Pretty pedestrian for that stat.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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1 hour ago, Frontal Snowsquall said:

The 4 people are safe and survived, no word yet on the horses however.

 

I'm guessing the horses are ok.  Apparently parts of that island are nearly 100 feet elevation.  Certainly high enough to be above any storm surge or wave action.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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4 minutes ago, ChrisAmunRA said:

What was the latest 80?

The last one this month was on the 10th both for SEA and here.  Pretty shocking when you look at the month to date average.  The latest on record for SEA was October 14 way back in 1961.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

The last one this month was on the 10th both for SEA and here.  Pretty shocking when you look at the month to date average.  The latest on record for SEA was October 14 way back in 1961.

Dang!!! I'd imagine for North Bend, Spanaway or other warmer locations during warmer days had later dates. 

Eastside Tacoma/Salishan, WA. Elv 263ft

Family home in Spanaway, WA. Elv 413ft

☥𓂀✡️

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9 minutes ago, ChrisAmunRA said:

Dang!!! I'd imagine for North Bend, Spanaway or other warmer locations during warmer days had later dates. 

I think some places a bit south had 80s much more recently.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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2 hours ago, T-Town said:

The video doesn’t work for me but I was on I-5 SB and 16 WB during the peak of the sunset and it was spectacular.  

As I mentioned earlier this has been the year of amazing sunsets.  Never seen so many spectacular ones like this year.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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12 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

As I mentioned earlier this has been the year of amazing sunsets.  Never seen so many spectacular ones like this year.

The one on August 9th right before some thunderstorms in the area was definitely my favorite. I only saw some distant lightning but the sunset was amazing.

 

20220809_203121.jpg

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2 hours ago, Jginmartini said:

Just watched it again and noticed that there was a big party in your neighborhood tonight!

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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24 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said:

Book it.

 
500h_anom.conus.png

I still don't like that trough being in the east.  Could just be a transition artifact though.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Does anyone have the link for the running graphs on current global temperature?  I lost the link.  The monthly data I have access to only goes through July at present.  At that time there was no warming being noted from the Hunga Tonga volcano.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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1 hour ago, snow_wizard said:

Does anyone have the link for the running graphs on current global temperature?  I lost the link.  The monthly data I have access to only goes through July at present.  At that time there was no warming being noted from the Hunga Tonga volcano.

I only have the UAH one from Roy Spencer. If you want it, here you go:

https://www.drroyspencer.com/latest-global-temperatures/

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50F and clear in downtown Springfield.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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3 hours ago, DJ Droppin said:
00z GFS Wishcasting
Day 10-16 GIF: 500mb Height Anomaly, Rainfall totals, Snowfall totals.
HERE WE GO! The first real deal big league trough of the Fall season way out in la-la land! Models have begun to show the infamous wishcasting/eye candy type stuff in the Day 10-16 time frame and that will only become more common throughout the Fall and Winter months. I often wonder why any model extends out that far as the degree of accuracy is nearly non-existent. BUT dang it isn't it fun to look at! YEAH it is. This isn't to be taken seriously it's more of a "What IF?" post, plus it's boring right now. I think you figured that out though. C'MON!!!!
 
 

floop-gfs-2022092500.qpf_acc.us_nw.gif

floop-gfs-2022092500.500h_anom_na.gif

floop-gfs-2022092500.sn10_acc.us_nw.gif

Always nice having you back!😎

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Cold Season 2023/24:

Total snowfall: 26"

Highest daily snowfall: 5"

Deepest snow depth: 12"

Coldest daily high: -20ºF

Coldest daily low: -42ºF

Number of subzero days: 5

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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3 hours ago, DJ Droppin said:
00z GFS Wishcasting
Day 10-16 GIF: 500mb Height Anomaly, Rainfall totals, Snowfall totals.
HERE WE GO! The first real deal big league trough of the Fall season way out in la-la land! Models have begun to show the infamous wishcasting/eye candy type stuff in the Day 10-16 time frame and that will only become more common throughout the Fall and Winter months. I often wonder why any model extends out that far as the degree of accuracy is nearly non-existent. BUT dang it isn't it fun to look at! YEAH it is. This isn't to be taken seriously it's more of a "What IF?" post, plus it's boring right now. I think you figured that out though. C'MON!!!!
 
 

floop-gfs-2022092500.qpf_acc.us_nw.gif

floop-gfs-2022092500.500h_anom_na.gif

floop-gfs-2022092500.sn10_acc.us_nw.gif

Rob is back... the most definite sign of the seasons changing!    Hope all is well.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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No sign of fall.

  • Sun 1
  • Snow 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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51 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

06Z GFS and 00Z EPS both were really dry over the next 2 weeks...

gfs-deterministic-namer-qpf_anom_16day-5468000.png

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-namer-qpf_anom_15day-5360000.png

Looks like the same map for the past 3 1/2 months for the NW. So many long-term models have had us cooler and wetter than normal only for it to never materialize.
 

I’m not buying any rainfall until it is within day 5 and it is consistent amongst the models. 

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Smoke looks more widespread from Seattle to Bellingham this morning from the Bolt Creek fire.   West side fires are definitely more prone to smoldering for long periods of time.    And given what the models are showing this might continue well into October.  

COD-GOES-West-subregional-Pac_NW.truecolor.20220925.144617-over=map-bars=.gif

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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