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Here’s some truly incredible PDX weather stats of late:

No high temp below 70 degrees for 98 days. 

Not been below 50 degrees for 127 days. 

<.25’’ of rain in the past 99 days.

58 out of the last 63 days have been warmer than normal including a streak of 40 in a row.

Hottest week ever in July, hottest month ever in August, hottest September ever.

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1 hour ago, High Desert Mat? said:

This is where my brother in law lives right now. Where the white dot is. He said he’ll do fine since he has shutters and beer. 

Ha, just 15 minutes away from where my cousin is staying.

2BCBED77-39A2-47C7-B548-3B86C8F051F3.jpeg

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5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

00Z GFS shows 44 inches of rain around Tampa... and 3 inches a little farther south.

gfs-deterministic-florida-total_precip_inch-4578800.png

Wonder what would happen if 44” fell in the Seattle area. 🌊 

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12 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

What was the winter of 67-68 like?

Dec/Jan were troughy, Feb went full blown +PNA.

CB51FF61-BEE5-455E-95E9-7FDAE6793A68.png94A18787-F3AA-4386-98BD-805D5B1DDFB8.png76608206-E996-4C2D-A677-9573AF55ADA6.png

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13 minutes ago, Phil said:

Wonder what would happen if 44” fell in the Seattle area. 🌊 

Tim would go jet-skiing.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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Just now, ChrisAmunRA said:

Pretty strong winds but that rain looks more concerning 

GFS is awful with surface winds too.

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2 hours ago, Phil said:

I think 1967 is a decent 500mb match, actually.

FB0515E8-F199-4DEB-BEA4-B7FE41D01F47.png

The offshore low was much deeper than this year.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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42 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said:

D**n, how far is his house from the bay?

About 15 miles I think. Will have to check.

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2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

The offshore low was much deeper than this year.

Geopotential heights were lower back then. It wasn’t actually all that different, relatively speaking.

Can’t nitpick with this stuff. It’s a decent match. Whether that continues remains to be seen, of course.

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There was a flip to a cooler/stormier pattern in October 1967. Will have to see if that happens this year.

08A8BE42-8524-44F3-808E-C6F055D39C3A.png

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2010 is an interesting analog. Has performed well in the WPAC and the upcoming pattern bears some resemblance.

3ED9EB2A-BC06-4D6D-ACAC-A49127519062.png

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3 minutes ago, Phil said:

Geopotential heights were lower back then. It wasn’t actually all that different, relatively speaking.

Can’t nitpick with this stuff. It’s a decent match. Whether that continues remains to be seen, of course.

I guess you have to call it a decent match when you look at the observed weather.  I think multi year Ninas carry more weight though.  At any rate I'm not a fan of the way this is playing out.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Just now, snow_wizard said:

At any rate I'm not a fan of the way this is playing out.

It’s late September, my friend. What happens now has no bearing on what will happen this winter. I’m certain you would’ve hated Sep/Oct 1988.

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2 hours ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said:

Here’s some truly incredible PDX weather stats of late:

No high temp below 70 degrees for 98 days. 

Not been below 50 degrees for 127 days. 

<.25’’ of rain in the past 99 days.

58 out of the last 63 days have been warmer than normal including a streak of 40 in a row.

Hottest week ever in July, hottest month ever in August, hottest September ever.

Just your typical, reasonable snapback from the like thirteenth coldest Spring on record

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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September SOI looks like it will be the highest since 2010 and second highest of the century so far.  This is a very healthy Nina although you wouldn't know it by looking around.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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15 minutes ago, Phil said:

It’s late September, my friend. What happens now has no bearing on what will happen this winter. I’m certain you would’ve hated Sep/Oct 1988.

I did hate 1988.  I still remember it.  I get what you're saying.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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9 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Just your typical, reasonable snapback from the like thirteenth coldest Spring on record

Not really.  This summer was pretty ridiculous for rank for both temp and precip.  There was no reason to expect it to drag on.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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The GFS is a dumpster fire until the final third of the run where it does turn pretty nice.

BTW...I'm sure this is the mode Jesse was waiting for me to get into.  One thing you can count on from this climate is to eventually be very disappointed at some point.  That is pretty much true no matter what kind of weather you like.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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2 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

We’ve lost Jim.

Things are looking up for a downturn.

Probably so.  It seems like when I give up is when things turn.  It's not something I can fake either.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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