Jump to content

Recommended Posts

6 minutes ago, Phil said:

Football is just a bunch of dudes humping each other on astroturf. Lame. At least the cat/mouse psychological battle between pitcher and batter is cerebrally interesting.

Counterpoint:  Football rules like nothing has ever ruled before and like nothing will rule in the future. 

  • Like 2
  • lol 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

11 minutes ago, Doiinko said:

I think the forecast is for PDX but I'm not sure

It is, but even they should be decoupling pretty well at this point. Those forecast lows are even warmer than what they had during the warm/hot spells the latter half of September.

I guess we’ll see, but it’s pretty hard for them to stay above the low to mid 50s with a clear night at this point in the season regardless of how warm the airmass is, barring a mixing offshore wind or something.

 

  • Like 2

Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

Link to comment
Share on other sites

17 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Michael Snyder says the end is near. 
 

 

Ensembles often default to climo in the long range due to the blended nature of the mean.   And the EPS is always too cool anyways.  But obviously as we get into the middle of October we start getting into inversion season and by the end of the month ridging often becomes the best way to get cold... while active/wet patterns are warmer.  

  • Weenie 2

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

They could beat the "Guardians" they aren't really world beaters. I am honestly shocked to hear how quickly the tickets went. Baseball is a dying sport. 

It may be, but it's an awful slow death. People have been making this statement since the mid 1990s. Hockey was supposed to become the second most popular sport like 20 years ago.

  • Like 1
  • lol 1

A forum for the end of the world.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Most of this forum when an AR dumps inches of rain: “If only it was snow.”

The most famous case of an AR snow was in December 1924.  It began as a warm rain but eventually transitioned to a major snow event for many areas.

Unoffically, January 1880 was almost certainly an AR snow, and it was a doozie! 

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

22 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

I feel like I've seen these diagrams posted so many times, but never know if they ever really work out.

Big MJO waves usually cause a big amplification of the wave train.  I guess we will find out soon enough.  There's no doubt it plays a role though.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

The most famous case of an AR snow was in December 1924.  It began as a warm rain but eventually transitioned to a major snow event for many areas.

Unoffically, January 1880 was almost certainly an AR snow, and it was a doozie! 

Was November 1921 an AR?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Doiinko said:

I wouldn't guess that this forecast is for early October. Like everyone here I'm really hoping for rain and active weather! It's been kind of boring the past few weeks.

7 Day Forecasta

It would be shocking to see that verify.  Possible I guess.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 minutes ago, Doiinko said:

Was November 1921 an AR?

I'll have to look.  That was an interesting event for sure.  The 1920s are so underrated when people talk about past great winters.

Edit:  It appears that was probably a baroclinic zone that sagged far enough south for some areas to get on the cold side of it.  A generally wet period with two days of snow here.  Probably an AR technically speaking.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Doiinko said:

Looks snowy in the Dalles!

 

Screenshot_20220929_184657.jpg

Wow!  The thing that's really interesting is how cold the mins were in relation to the maxes with that kind of precip going on.  No doubt that was an AR.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Wow!  The thing that's really interesting is how cold the mins were in relation to the maxes with that kind of precip going on.  No doubt that was an AR.

And almost 9" of precip at the Dalles with one storm! 
Looking at the winters from that time period at Downtown Portland and finding out about some events then for the first time is really interesting.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I really hope we can at least get a quick shot of chilly air early in week two when that huge amplification takes place over the GOA and Aleutians.  Interestingly the control on both the EPS and GEFS have been going for a very deep trough digging over us quite consistently the last couple of days.  The operational ECMWF has been strongly hinting it could happen.  Just saying it's possible.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, Doiinko said:

And almost 9" of precip at the Dalles with one storm! 
Looking at the winters from that time period at Downtown Portland and finding out about some events then for the first time is really interesting.

1921-22, 1922-23, 1924-25, 1928-29, and 1929-30 all had exceptional cold and or snow events.  There were also worthwhile cold snaps in January 1927 and December 1927.  Amazing period.

I first found out about all of this looking through old books at the Seattle Public Library.  I spent hours there!  That was before the internet.

  • Like 5

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

It is, but even they should be decoupling pretty well at this point. Those forecast lows are even warmer than what they had during the warm/hot spells the latter half of September.

I guess we’ll see, but it’s pretty hard for them to stay above the low to mid 50s with a clear night at this point in the season regardless of how warm the airmass is, barring a mixing offshore wind or something.

 

There does appear to be a decent amount of mixing over the next 4-5 days. That on top of how ridiculous PDX is now those forecast low temps look pretty realistic to me.

Screen Shot 2022-09-29 at 8.28.04 PM.png

  • Popcorn 1

Cold Season 2023/24:

Total snowfall: 26"

Highest daily snowfall: 5"

Deepest snow depth: 12"

Coldest daily high: -20ºF

Coldest daily low: -42ºF

Number of subzero days: 5

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Well the board is still going to be in better spirits than the Dolphins' medical staff...

  • Popcorn 1
  • Sad 1

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

24

Link to comment
Share on other sites

22 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Well the board is still going to be in better spirits than the Dolphins' medical staff...

Did Tua have another back injury?

  • Sad 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

22 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Well the board is still going to be in better spirits than the Dolphins' medical staff...

What the heck happened....I have Tua as my backup QB, and his status went from questionable to doubtful to out back to questionable...never seen a player status change so much in a game.  Gonna have to find some highlights (or maybe lowlights is more appropriate)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, Chewbacca Defense said:

What the heck happened....I have Tua as my backup QB, and his status went from questionable to doubtful to out back to questionable...never seen a player status change so much in a game.  Gonna have to find some highlights (or maybe lowlights is more appropriate)

He was in the hospital during the game.   Unlikely he was coming back.

  • Sad 1

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Head injury.  It did not look good.   

Probably shouldn't have been playing after getting knocked silly last week. 

  • Like 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Probably shouldn't have been playing after getting knocked silly last week. 

That is the overwhelming sentiment on Twitter this evening.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

He was in the hospital during the game.   Unlikely he was coming back.

Well last week...

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

What the heck happened....I have Tua as my backup QB, and his status went from questionable to doubtful to out back to questionable...never seen a player status change so much in a game.  Gonna have to find some highlights (or maybe lowlights is more appropriate)

He got a concussion during the game vs the Bills on Sunday that the team said was a "back injury."

Then here 4 days later, vs the Bengals, he gets hit and his head bounces on the ground and he had a seizure before being put onto a backboard and taken to a hospital. They just discharged him and are now doing the really smart thing and putting him on an airplane...since he's only had 2 concussions and a seizure in the last 5 days.

  • Sad 1

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

24

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

He got a concussion during the game vs the Bills on Sunday that the team said was a "back injury."

Then here 4 days later, vs the Bengals, he gets hit and his head bounces on the ground and he had a seizure before being put onto a backboard and taken to a hospital. They just discharged him and are now doing the really smart thing and putting him on an airplane...since he's only had 2 concussions and a seizure in the last 5 days.

Gotta wonder how serious that head injury is long term. The way his hands curled up after the hit to the head was very scary to see. Hope he’s alright seems like a good guy. 

  • Sad 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

He got a concussion during the game vs the Bills on Sunday that the team said was a "back injury."

Then here 4 days later, vs the Bengals, he gets hit and his head bounces on the ground and he had a seizure before being put onto a backboard and taken to a hospital. They just discharged him and are now doing the really smart thing and putting him on an airplane...since he's only had 2 concussions and a seizure in the last 5 days.

He seems like a tough guy. Hope to see him back on the field next Sunday. 

  • lol 2
  • Sick 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

In 1924, in pursuit of a foul ball, Babe Ruth ran into a wall at Griffith Stadium, knocking himself unconscious.
The Babe was revived and stayed in the game...
He went 3-3 with two runs batted in and even played in the second game of the doubleheader!!!
 
May be an image of 6 people, people standing and outdoors
Tuff men.
  • Confused 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

He seems like a tough guy. Hope to see him back on the field next Sunday. 

lol that dude needs to sit for awhile and the Dolphins med staff needs to be fired and the coaches/management that allowed him to play after the first concussion.  kids going to end up with CTE and/or dead.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:
In 1924, in pursuit of a foul ball, Babe Ruth ran into a wall at Griffith Stadium, knocking himself unconscious.
The Babe was revived and stayed in the game...
He went 3-3 with two runs batted in and even played in the second game of the doubleheader!!!
 
May be an image of 6 people, people standing and outdoors
Tuff men.

Analog?

  • scream 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

11 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

lol that dude needs to sit for awhile and the Dolphins med staff needs to be fired and the coaches/management that allowed him to play after the first concussion.  kids going to end up with CTE and/or dead.

Probably this... But I am afraid I must deliver some bad news. We are all going to end up dead.

Edited by SilverFallsAndrew
  • scream 2
  • Sick 2

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I don't know what to make of this GFS run.  It's so different on the handling of the ULL compared to any earlier runs.  It ends up delivering, but it's hard to have much confidence.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

 

Holy cow

gfs_apcpn24_nwus_43.png

  • Like 3
  • Excited 2

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

×
×
  • Create New...