PNW September 2022 Wx Obs/Disc

[Doinko]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

My standard for spring is just climo now.    Pretty reasonable.    Would be a vast improvement over 2022.

How much snow did you have during that week in April?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

My standard for spring is just climo now.    Pretty reasonable.    Would be a vast improvement over 2022.

Wouldn't it be wild if we had a normal summer too. 

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, Doiinko said:

How much snow did you have during that week in April?

Maybe 6 inches total... but snow was on the ground most of that week and it snowed at some point every day.   It was as wintry as possible for the middle of spring.

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Wouldn't it be wild if we had a normal summer too. 

Yeah... some occasional rain in the summer would be nice too.    90 days of rain and then 90 days with no rain is not good.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Did someone say April 2022?!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

BOOM!! Another 90F burger for Springfield!!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

BOOM!! Another 90F burger for Springfield!!

BONUS 90

[SilverFallsAndrew]

108 in Redding with 4% humidity... 

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Did someone say April 2022?!

Hope there is a week of 70s and and 80s in October to balance out winter in the middle of April!

[TT-SEA]

High of 76 at SEA... that is a win considering the front moved through faster than the models were showing.   The main rain band skipped right past Seattle and is already out here... but there is nothing falling and it's partly sunny.  

[TT-SEA]

This front consists only of broken mid-level clouds.   There is noticeable absence of marine layer clouds offshore.   Tomorrow should be quite sunny and pleasant.

[TT-SEA]

1 hour ago, Cloud said:

Gotta try to get that game in for couple more innings for it to become official. Radar still look quite active for the area and these cells could potentially have some thunder and lightning associated with them so we gotta see if they can. 

Game is back on!  

[TT-SEA]

Just scrolled through the 12Z ECMWF cloud maps... its looks basically sunny for the next 10 days other than brief, patchy morning clouds on a few days.   Today was by far the cloudiest day in the Seattle area on that run.

[Cloud]

13 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Game is back on!  

M’s just need to finish bot. 5th, still have the lead and the game will be official for a W! At next delay, I’m sure the umps will have no issue calling the game. Radar does suggest that they may get a chance to complete the game though. 

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, Cloud said:

M’s just need to finish bot. 5th, still have the lead and the game will be official for a W! At next delay, I’m sure the umps will have no issue calling the game. Radar does suggest that they may get a chance to complete the game though. 

Yeah... was just looking at the radar and it seems like they might be able to finish it now.   Amazingly some of the fans waited out that 4.5 hour rain delay!  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

42 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Hope there is a week of 70s and and 80s in October to balance out winter in the middle of April!

Hmmmm we hit 75 a week before that pic was taken. My brother on the coast had 4 straight 70s in early February... We have had 2 solidly below average months in the past.... IDK 27 months... They just happened to be April and May. Not even kidding. The last solidly below normal month we had prior to April 2022 was March 2020, we had a couple slightly below average months sprinkled in, but that’s it...

Edited September 5, 2022 by SilverFallsAndrew

[MossMan]

Raining here in Kirkland where I am currently at. Sure glad I washed my truck this morning…

[Cloud]

44 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

High of 76 at SEA... that is a win considering the front moved through faster than the models were showing.   The main rain band skipped right past Seattle and is already out here... but there is nothing falling and it's partly sunny.  

I’m not really a fan of pivotal weather but it’s cheaper for my sub so the outputs are a tad different. 
 

The 00z runs last night called for a 24-h high of 78 for SEA from the GFS and 76 from the Euro. 
 

Euro was spot on but it was also not a massive warm bust for the GFS either. And it continues to tell us where the GFS’s weaknesses are and that is marine influence… it seems to do just fine with actual cloud deck.

 

im sure that if the GFS calls for something in the mid-80s or close to 90 today, we have a very big very big problem.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Looks like SLE topped out at 87. Haven't checked our high, but upper 70s to around 80 sounds like a good bet. Completely clear. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

49 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

108 in Redding with 4% humidity... 

Better than the 111 we had with high humidity here.

[Anti Marine Layer]

54 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

BOOM!! Another 90F burger for Springfield!!

It's not even football season yet.

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Hmmmm we hit 75 a week before that pic was taken. My brother on the coast had 4 straight 70s in early February... We have had 2 solidly below average months in the past.... IDK 27 months... They just happened to be April and May. Not even kidding. The last solidly below normal month we had prior to April 2022 was March 2020, we had a couple slightly below average months sprinkled in, but that’s it...

SEA was below normal every month from December through June.    It was not just April and May up here.   But that is when it was the most anomalously cold.   

Cold from November - February is actually preferable though.   The weather is usually nicer when its cold.   But that is not true in April and May.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

SEA was below normal every month from December through June.    It was not just April and May up here.   But that is when it was the most anomalously cold.   

Cold from November - February is actually preferable though.   The weather is usually nicer when its cold.   But that is not true in April and May.

Not sure why I took the bait...

[TT-SEA]

4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Not sure why I took the bait...

Just pointing out that we don't have any shortage of colder than normal months up here in the last year.    July and August were the first warmer than normal months since last November.    And before that... September and October were colder than normal.

SEA has had 9 colder than normal months and 3 warmer than normal months in the last year.

[MossMan]

My kids are happily getting soaked…I’m not sure they are actually my kids now. 

[MossMan]

I thought Tim said today was going to be the better day this holiday weekend. Tim you are fired. 

[Cloud]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

I thought Tim said today was going to be the better day this holiday weekend. Tim you are fired. 

That’s what you get for listening to Tim! Deserved!

[TT-SEA]

11 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I thought Tim said today was going to be the better day this holiday weekend. Tim you are fired. 

Yeah... the models let me down.   And I should have known this was coming because every single run for the last 4 or 5 days was just slightly faster with the front.   Even the runs yesterday.    Usually weakening fronts move slower than the models indicate.   But when the models keep moving it in faster even the day before then you know its not going to stall and its going to end up even faster than the models show.  

Good news is that tomorrow should be spectacular now that we got this out the way.    A few days ago the models showed the front moving in tomorrow morning.    So we lost Sunday but picked up Monday.

Even so... it was sunny out here for maybe half the day today and the high was 81.     That will be the warmest day of the holiday weekend.

[TacomaWx]

Another holiday weekend RUINED

[MV_snow]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

This front consists only of broken mid-level clouds.   There is noticeable absence of marine layer clouds offshore.   Tomorrow should be quite sunny and pleasant.

Yeah, tomorrow looks like the nicest day out of all 9 days we had for warm season holiday weekends. Other than the actual 4th of July, I’m pretty sure we did not see the sun at all over Memorial Day Weekend or July 4th weekend. Ironic given the very warm and sunny summer overall.

[TT-SEA]

Just checked the radar... front has re-energized with rain forming all over the Seattle area.  

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, MV_snow said:

Yeah, tomorrow looks like the nicest day out of all 9 days we had for warm season holiday weekends. Other than the actual 4th of July, I’m pretty sure we did not see the sun at all over Memorial Day Weekend or July 4th weekend. Ironic given the very warm and sunny summer overall.

I was thinking the same thing.    Pretty crappy this year on the 9 holiday weekend days in the warm season.   We were due but now we got that out of the way... maybe next year we will have sun on all 9.   

[Deweydog]

Breezy!

[Cloud]

Petition to have all holidays in August so it won't be ruined. D** those ruin-able months! 

[Cloud]

11 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Breezy!

Starting to rain here! My Sunday is ruined. 

[MossMan]

Still dumping in Kirkland! 

[TT-SEA]

6 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Still dumping in Kirkland! 

If it's going to rain... let it dump!

 

[TacomaWx]

76/55 here…no rainfall yet there’s some echoes to the SW of here but not expecting anything. 

[BLI snowman]

Went on an interesting hike today in the Mt. Hood National Forest. First had some splendid views of the mountains with pretty comfortable temps (and no smoke!). Then found some old airplane wreckage from the crash of West Coast Airlines Flight 956. Definitely a somber little area but pretty fascinating how intact so much of the debris still is after 56 years up there. Even found one of the tires.

 

[T-Town]

A shower passed just to our west.