PNW September 2022 Wx Obs/Disc

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, Deweydog said:

Fun fact!

Sun angles today are lower than they were on 4/11/22.

Not snowing yet...

[Doinko]

5 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Fun fact!

Sun angles today are lower than they were on 4/11/22.

I hadn't joined this forum then but I was lurking without an account. I received around 2 inches of snow! It wasn't as much as some places and melted by midday but was still crazy for April!

[Anti Marine Layer]

Not a very exciting title this month.

[Deweydog]

5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Not snowing yet...

Prolly just cuz the ground is to warm.

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

Not a very exciting title this month.

No one wants to jinx anything!  The August title was a bad deal for people who like cool weather.  

[MossMan]

11 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Fun fact!

Sun angles today are lower than they were on 4/11/22.

Well then I’m fully expecting to see this scene when I get home in a bit. 

[Timmy Supercell]

3 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Prolly just cuz the ground is to warm.

We saw how that worked in Tennessee when they got snow. 

"It'll melt right after falling" turned into don't travel for a couple days.  
I think that argument only works if its an inch or two. 

[snow_wizard]

Looks like SEA is running 15 lower than PDX right now.  We lucked out for the first day of September.  I'm really surprised the marine layer didn't have more punch down south.

 

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[Timmy Supercell]

20 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Looking at the PRISM data, July was the 9th warmest since 1895 here with a monthly mean of 65.4. Warmest was July 1906 with a mean of 67.0. 

August data hasn't been finalized yet. Looks like our warmest August was 1986, also with a mean of 67.0. At least on this data set, slightly warmer than August 1967. 

August 2022 had 79.1 Mean at KMFR. 2017 (record) had 78.1. Hawt.

It's around a 5th or 6th warmest at KLMT. It's hard to give that place warm lows in the late summer which holds August back if the cards don't line up exactly. 

[BLI snowman]

40s to 90s at EUG today.

[AmunRAEL]

77° Boeing Field (BFI) 

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Looks like SEA is running 15 lower than PDX right now.  We lucked out for the first day of September.  I'm really surprised the marine layer didn't have more punch down south.

 

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More like 12 or 13 between SEA and PDX. 

The other day SEA had a high of 90 while PDX reached 100.    So it's not that different in terms of the gap.

It's 82 here... only 8 degrees cooler than PDX.  

[AmunRAEL]

75° Belltown Seattle 

[Tyler Mode]

87 today, below forecast but well above average.

[snow_wizard]

Remarkable stats from the Atlantic this season.

1. Only the third time since 1950 there were no named storms in the month of August...1961, 1997 were the others.

2. First time since 1941 to have no named storms in the July 3 through August period.

1941 and 1997 were both big El Ninos.  Really strange.

[snow_wizard]

39 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

It really does look like we will have a taste of fall by mid-month. 

Yeah...everything is showing the PNA going minus soon.

[Deweydog]

10 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Looks like SEA is running 15 lower than PDX right now.  We lucked out for the first day of September.  I'm really surprised the marine layer didn't have more punch down south.

 

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We’re right on the edge of subsidence inversions being able to hold on. 7-10 days from now it would have been pretty hard to mix out without some kind of downslope component. Even today places in the foothills up around 2500’ got into the mid 90’s while the valleys are around 90. It’s a warm air mass.

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, Deweydog said:

We’re right on the edge of subsidence inversions being able to hold on. 7-10 days from now it would have been pretty hard to mix out without some kind of downslope component. Even today places in the foothills up around 2500’ got into the mid 90’s while the valleys are around 90. It’s a warm air mass.

I was just thinking maybe SEA being a bit north made it just possible for the inversion to hold on today.  At any rate we really lucked out coming in this cool.

[TT-SEA]

1 hour ago, T-Town said:

Pretty amazing stat about the last ten years. 
 

 

Just amazing.    Everything in late spring pointed to a cool payback summer.    And it ends up not being cool or even normal... it actually ups the ante on the warming summers over the last decade and was top tier warm.   Hard to believe.    Not sure how we get a cool payback summer now.   I am starting to doubt its even possible at this point.   

I am also really interested to see how the effects of Tonga play out over the next 5+ years.    It just seems like warmth might be even easier to achieve.    All speculation of course... but we are dealing with an unprecedented event and the first northern hemisphere summer has been crazy warm in many far apart places like China and Europe and the PNW.

[MossMan]

28 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Well then I’m fully expecting to see this scene when I get home in a bit. 

Well that didn’t work out. 

[Deweydog]

Last 90 of 2022 at PDX???

[Timmy Supercell]

7 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Remarkable stats from the Atlantic this season.

1. Only the third time since 1950 there were no named storms in the month of August...1961, 1997 were the others.

2. First time since 1941 to have no named storms in the July 3 through August period.

1941 and 1997 were both big El Ninos.  Really strange.

Analogs don't always work, but 41-42 was the first of 3 straight solid winters in K-Falls. 45", following 69" in 42-43, and another 46" in 43-44. Sometimes a weak one happened back then too, so having multiple winters in a row like that was a treat no matter what time period you look at.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Analogs gone wild. 

[BLI snowman]

12 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Last 90 of 2022 at PDX???

October is pretty dew. Just had their latest 100+ since 1988, so might as well do the latest 90+ since then too.

[Deweydog]

1 minute ago, BLI snowman said:

October is pretty dew. Just had their latest 100+ since 1988, so might as well do the latest 90+ since then too.

Indigenous People’s Day heat storm 2022!

[Timmy Supercell]

5 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

October is pretty dew. Just had their latest 100+ since 1988, so might as well do the latest 90+ since then too.

2020 had the warmest start to an October since 1996 where I lived, with three consecutive ~85+ days. 

2015 was overall a warmer October though, so probably due for another one like that.

[BLI snowman]

10 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Indigenous People’s Day heat storm 2022!

Portland hit 116mph on October 12, 1962 and on October 12, 2022 it will hit 116 again.

[BLI snowman]

6 minutes ago, Timmy Supercell said:

2020 had the warmest start to an October since 1996 where I lived, with three consecutive ~85+ days. 

2015 was overall a warmer October though, so probably due for another one like that.

Octobers 2014 and 2015 were both historically warm throughout the region, just lacking amplification sexy enough for a late season 90+.

[Timmy Supercell]

1 minute ago, BLI snowman said:

Octobers 2014 and 2015 were both historically warm throughout the region, just lacking amplification sexy enough for a late season 90+.

I like how 2014 kickstarted windstorm season, a decent start to the water year and managed a warm October at the same tme. KLMT picked up a lot of rain in 2014 and 2016.

[SnowWillarrive]

34 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I was just thinking maybe SEA being a bit north made it just possible for the inversion to hold on today.  At any rate we really lucked out coming in this cool.

Very pleasant in Puget Sound region today. Only 75 here. Feels much better today vs the last two days. 

[KeyPeninsula_Wx]

78/59 today. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

And that's another one! 90F-burger achieved!

[TT-SEA]

It really would be nice to get at least one significant rain event.    Fall color will not be impressive if it stays this dry through September.     At one point the ECMWF was showing a significant AR event starting tomorrow. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

1 hour ago, BLI snowman said:

40s to 90s at EUG today.

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Nice day. Glad it is fall. 

[BLI snowman]

16 minutes ago, Timmy Supercell said:

I like how 2014 kickstarted windstorm season, a decent start to the water year and managed a warm October at the same tme. KLMT picked up a lot of rain in 2014 and 2016.

Ironically 2014-15 was probably the best windstorm season of the century so far for NW OR and SW WA.  Several potent storms in the midst of all that Nino loveliness. 

[AmunRAEL]

75-77° City of Seattle Neighborhoods just around average. 76° is average for last day before going 75° tomorrow for average. 

[NWbyNW]

Only reached 72F here today.  Currently 68F.

[Cascadia_Wx]

59 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Last 90 of 2022 at PDX???

I know you’re trying to jinx it anyway, but they will have 90s going deep into the fall this year. Their last 90 in 2021 was a notably early August 15, despite the ridiculous early part of the warm season.

[SnowWillarrive]

12 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

I know you’re trying to jinx it anyway, but they will have 90s going deep into the fall this year. Their last 90 in 2021 was a notably early August 15, despite the ridiculous early part of the warm season.

PDX might hit 90 in November the way things going.