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18 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

If people are going to throw a fit then I don’t want to contribute to that. But let’s be real. It’s a fact Prince Andrew was involved in the Epstein mess. 

As someone else keenly pointed out, there’s a banter thread for this crap

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Just now, Deweydog said:

Getting dark out again.

9/8/1949 was getting dark right about now.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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Trip has been going well…unfortunately had to cancel my 3 night stay at lava lake and 1 night at crescent lake. Cascade scenic Highway is closed through the whole area. Staying at the end of the closure elk lake tonight then staying 2 nights in La pine then coming home on Sunday. Definitely a real bummer that I can’t go to lava lake love that place. 

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22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-65

Coldest min-48

Monthly rainfall-0.04”

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6 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

As someone else keenly pointed out, there’s a banter thread for this crap

Then a fair question is why YOU are bringing it back up? 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Fwiw, I don’t think this was discussed and know what the models outputs are for Saturday but if smoke becomes a significant factor for this day, you can expect to knock a few degrees off of the projection and deny SEA #13. We’ve seen this before. 

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2 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Fwiw, I don’t think this was discussed and know what the models outputs are for Saturday but if smoke becomes a significant factor for this day, you can expect to knock a few degrees off of the projection and deny SEA #13. We’ve seen this before. 

2020 if I recall

Know thyself and you shall know the Gods!!!!

All things are possible, who you are is limited by who you think you are!!!!

☥𓂀

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9 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Fwiw, I don’t think this was discussed and know what the models outputs are for Saturday but if smoke becomes a significant factor for this day, you can expect to knock a few degrees off of the projection and deny SEA #13. We’ve seen this before. 

Yeah... smoke could definitely keep it in the 80s.     

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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According to the NWS, tonight seems breezy here with northerly gusts up to 30mph. But they're forecasting a calm wind at Hillsboro just a few miles away.

Location: Bethany, OR at about 250'

Snowfall:

     2021/2022: 6"

     2020/2021: 4.5"

     2019/2020: 1"

     2018/2019: 3.7"

     2017/2018: 5.5"

     2016/2017: 18"

     2015/2016: 1"

     2014/2015: 0"

     2013/2014: 9"

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Pretty nice sustainable winds today.. been going on for most of the day at SEA and appears to be getting stronger. 

Currently clocking 15-16mph with no gust. This will obviously blow all the smoke in our direction. 

Meanwhile, it is dead calm at BFI. 

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This morning started off with blue skies. now it is raining ash from a fire 40 miles away. Fire has burned 5k acres in the last 4 hours. This is looking worse than last years Caldor. I guess by next week we will see if we have to evacuate again. 

 

 

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On 9/7/2022 at 4:50 PM, MossMan said:

I can still hear the jingle in my 10yr old head…

”Yugo Yugo Yugo See Cal” (He sold Fords and Yugo’s) 

“Worthington Ford in Federal Way, the only way, open til midnight everyday…Will see you there!” 

Here in Socal it was Cal Worthington and his dog Spot, which was almost anything but a dog. I remember the jingle from back in the 1980's: "If you need a new car go see Cal, if you need a new truck go see Cal, if you need a new car or you need a new truck go see Cal go see Cal go see Cal!"

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1 minute ago, Cloud said:

00z is still projecting 90-91 for Sat. at SEA. Again, model may be too warm if there is enough smoke in the area. My guess is we fall 1-2 degrees short. 

00Z GFS actually shows 95... but I agree that SEA probably falls short.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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15 minutes ago, AlTahoe said:

This morning started off with blue skies. now it is raining ash from a fire 40 miles away. Fire has burned 5k acres in the last 4 hours. This is looking worse than last years Caldor. I guess by next week we will see if we have to evacuate again. 

 

 

This is depressing. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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1 hour ago, Cloud said:

Fwiw, I don’t think this was discussed and know what the models outputs are for Saturday but if smoke becomes a significant factor for this day, you can expect to knock a few degrees off of the projection and deny SEA #13. We’ve seen this before. 

12 is a good number anyway. No matter what Andrew says.

A forum for the end of the world.

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5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

This is depressing. 

I’m so bummed the cedar creek fire messed up my chance to camp at lava lake and crescent lake. It burned the entire west and north side of Waldo lake. Such a beautiful area it’s a shame. 

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22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-65

Coldest min-48

Monthly rainfall-0.04”

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2 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

12 is a good number anyway. No matter what Andrew says.

😀

I think a 2015 tie is fine.

Went into this summer expecting a 1999 and came out with a 2015.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Even though summer in 2015 started early and was very hot... the rains came before the east wind season.     

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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13 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

I’m so bummed the cedar creek fire messed up my chance to camp at lava lake and crescent lake. It burned the entire west and north side of Waldo lake. Such a beautiful area it’s a shame. 

That sucks man. I'm sorry. :(

Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

That sucks man. I'm sorry. :(

I had no idea that the forest service closed all those areas down until I ran into a guy on top of mount bachelor on my hike told me. Everything is closed south of elk lake I’m glad he told me before I went down there. I was at Paulina lake with no service yesterday so we didn’t know. I’m going to camp at the la pine state park for the next couple nights though which should still be fun just gotta make the best of the situation…atleast I got all my campsite fees refunded. 

22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-65

Coldest min-48

Monthly rainfall-0.04”

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Just now, Cloud said:

A dry 00z run thru day 10. 

And then another ridge builds in... as opposed to a big trough on the 18Z run.

Jim and Phil need to stop talking about troughing or it might never rain here again.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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I swear to god if some idiot starts a fire around Jasper or Pisgah...

They need to close those areas off.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 35F (Dec 27, 2021)
  • Coldest low: 17F (Feb 23, 2022)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 36 (Most recent: Apr 17, 2022)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 5 (Most recent: Jan 17, 2022)
  • Total snowfall: 10.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 28, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 28, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 30.7"

 

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My Twitter @358jerseys4hope

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00Z GEM still goes crazy with troughing by day 10... but the GEM at that range is about the same as throwing darts.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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15 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

I swear to god if some idiot starts a fire around Jasper or Pisgah...

They need to close those areas off.

Careless people is the most frustrating aspect.   I remember the most catastrophic fire in San Diego County history was started by a hunter with a campfire during a 70 mph Santa Ana wind event back in October 2003.     We were on edge for days and eventually had to evacuate... and it was dark enough to need headlights during the middle of the day.   We sold our house right after that firestorm.   We were at the end of a long, narrow road out in a rural area near Valley Center.   It was a 2-mile drive to get out to other roads.   One way in and one way out.   But almost 20 years later and that house is still there.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Careless people is the most frustrating aspect.   I remember the most catastrophic fire in San Diego County history was started by a hunter with a campfire during a 70 mph Santa Ana wind event back in October 2003.     We were on edge for days and eventually had to evacuate... and it was dark enough to need headlights during the middle of the day.   We sold our house right after that firestorm.   We were at the end of a long, narrow road out in a rural area near Valley Center.   It was a 2-mile drive to get out to other roads.   One way in and one way out.   But almost 20 years later and that house is still there.

At least our red flag and East wind is happening this weekend as opposed to last. The risk would’ve been much higher last week for the holiday. 

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1 minute ago, Cloud said:

At least our red flag and East wind is happening this weekend as opposed to last. The risk would’ve been much higher last week for the holiday. 

Not on a weekend would be even better.

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29 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

I swear to god if some idiot starts a fire around Jasper or Pisgah...

They need to close those areas off.

Because we live in essentially a de facto third world country there are thousands of people every day cooking over open fires all around us. I see it all along the Willamette in Salem on a daily basis. Many of these people are unfortunately in the throes of mental Heath issues or serious addictions. Probably not people who should have unsupervised fires in any circumstances. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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46 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

I had no idea that the forest service closed all those areas down until I ran into a guy on top of mount bachelor on my hike told me. Everything is closed south of elk lake I’m glad he told me before I went down there. I was at Paulina lake with no service yesterday so we didn’t know. I’m going to camp at the la pine state park for the next couple nights though which should still be fun just gotta make the best of the situation…atleast I got all my campsite fees refunded. 

La Pine State Park is nice. Love the Deshutes down there. I don't know if you fish, but throw a Rooster tail or any lure along the banks and you can pick up some nice brown trout. They just closed those areas Wednesday or Tuesday, the fire really made a run Tuesday evening.  We could see the plume from Salem. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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A little more definitive now.

Estimated power shut off start times by area for Friday, Sept. 9 are as follows:

  • Area 1: Mt. Hood Corridor/Foothills: 3 – 6 a.m.

  • Area 2: Columbia River Gorge 5 – 8 a.m.

  • Area 3: Oregon City 8 – 11 a.m.

  • Area 4: Estacada 3 – 6 a.m.

  • Area 5: Scotts Mills 5 – 8 a.m.

  • Area 6: Portland West Hills 10 a.m. – 1 p.m.

  • Area 7: Tualatin Mountains 10 a.m. – 1 p.m.

  • Area 8: North West Hills 10 a.m. – 1 p.m.

  • Area 9: Central West Hills 10 a.m. – 1 p.m.

  • Area 10: Southern West Hills 11 a.m.– 2 p.m.

In addition, while the following areas are not in the designated high fire risk zones or in the PSPS areas, because of the imminent high winds, the extreme fire conditions currently found in Oregon and in partnership with local officials, the areas of Silverdale/Corbett and Silver Falls will also experience preventive outages. We expect the outages for these two areas to start Friday, Sept. 9 between 5:00 a.m. and 8:00 a.m.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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25 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

La Pine State Park is nice. Love the Deshutes down there. I don't know if you fish, but throw a Rooster tail or any lure along the banks and you can pick up some nice brown trout. They just closed those areas Wednesday or Tuesday, the fire really made a run Tuesday evening.  We could see the plume from Salem. 

The entire west coast is becoming a banana republic. 

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7 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Next weekend looks very pleasant. I get to watch BYU clean the field with Oregon and then go to a wedding that evening. Should be nice. 

Ditto except Cougars vs CSU at Pullman in our case. Looks like sweater weather for the second half though.

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44 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

A little more definitive now.

Estimated power shut off start times by area for Friday, Sept. 9 are as follows:

  • Area 1: Mt. Hood Corridor/Foothills: 3 – 6 a.m.

  • Area 2: Columbia River Gorge 5 – 8 a.m.

  • Area 3: Oregon City 8 – 11 a.m.

  • Area 4: Estacada 3 – 6 a.m.

  • Area 5: Scotts Mills 5 – 8 a.m.

  • Area 6: Portland West Hills 10 a.m. – 1 p.m.

  • Area 7: Tualatin Mountains 10 a.m. – 1 p.m.

  • Area 8: North West Hills 10 a.m. – 1 p.m.

  • Area 9: Central West Hills 10 a.m. – 1 p.m.

  • Area 10: Southern West Hills 11 a.m.– 2 p.m.

In addition, while the following areas are not in the designated high fire risk zones or in the PSPS areas, because of the imminent high winds, the extreme fire conditions currently found in Oregon and in partnership with local officials, the areas of Silverdale/Corbett and Silver Falls will also experience preventive outages. We expect the outages for these two areas to start Friday, Sept. 9 between 5:00 a.m. and 8:00 a.m.

Actually pretty nice that they have timed it all out for everyone.

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Cold Season 2021/22:

Total snowfall: 119.0"

Highest daily snowfall: 16"

Highest snow depth: 20"

Coldest high: -5ºF

Coldest low: -25ºF

Number of subzero days: 1

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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It appears that Montana made it through mostly unscathed from its wind and high fire danger event with no real new big ones started. Of course the Moose fire exploded again which gave us some bad air quality for a day but that was about it. Currently 45F with a highs only in the 50's there today.

Now all eyes are on the west coast and this wind and high fire danger event. I've been monitoring and following closely from Germany. I of course have family in Portland, Estacada and down in Northern Cali in Auburn right near the Mosquito fire. So lots to worry about. Stay safe everyone!

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Cold Season 2021/22:

Total snowfall: 119.0"

Highest daily snowfall: 16"

Highest snow depth: 20"

Coldest high: -5ºF

Coldest low: -25ºF

Number of subzero days: 1

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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Another warm season without a substantial thunderstorm outbreak. Sad.

Had a decent morning storm in early June, but that was about it. Only other event is when I saw a couple lightning bolts hit the Sound back on the 10th of August, but barely any thunder.

Probably a good thing sadly, given the lack of precip over much of the region. I'd trade the destructive smokefest in for a dreadfully boring end to Summer any time.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Careless people is the most frustrating aspect.   I remember the most catastrophic fire in San Diego County history was started by a hunter with a campfire during a 70 mph Santa Ana wind event back in October 2003.     We were on edge for days and eventually had to evacuate... and it was dark enough to need headlights during the middle of the day.   We sold our house right after that firestorm.   We were at the end of a long, narrow road out in a rural area near Valley Center.   It was a 2-mile drive to get out to other roads.   One way in and one way out.   But almost 20 years later and that house is still there.

It was horrible the smoke was. Up near Riverside where I lived there were two or three ore fires closer to us so it was nothing but smoke. My aunt flew out for a high school reunion and they didn't cancel it despite it being outside.

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Cedar Creek Fire has quite the heat signature for so late at night-- doesn't exactly bode well once those winds do hit it. 

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

00Z GEM still goes crazy with troughing by day 10... but the GEM at that range is about the same as throwing darts.

And the GFS isn’t? :lol: 

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