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55F and smoky.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 35F (Dec 27, 2021)
  • Coldest low: 17F (Feb 23, 2022)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 36 (Most recent: Apr 17, 2022)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 5 (Most recent: Jan 17, 2022)
  • Total snowfall: 10.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 28, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 28, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 30.7"

 

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Near surface level will increase again this morning and thickens throughout the day into sunday. Then onshore kicks in and blow the smoke back at us before headed out Sunday aft.-eve. 
 

When the wind shifts, it’ll blow the goat rocks fire smoke over us and this is when the smoke will be heaviest. 

floop-hrrr-2022091006.smoke_sfc.us_state_wa.gif

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All the models show rain next weekend now... finally consistency.   Confidence is growing!

Smoke has really cleared out here for now... and there is a light east wind.   I know the smoke is coming back again but it's nice to get a break and nice to see the entire smoke event might be ending from west to east already by tomorrow afternoon.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Dropped down to 31F at my house this morning. So officially my first freeze of the year and ending my growing season at exactly 100 days this year which is pretty close to average.

Looks like the airport got its first freeze of the year as well.

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Cold Season 2021/22:

Total snowfall: 119.0"

Highest daily snowfall: 16"

Highest snow depth: 20"

Coldest high: -5ºF

Coldest low: -25ºF

Number of subzero days: 1

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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3 hours ago, Kayla said:

00z EPS agrees with the operational on that trough dropping in on days 9 and 10. Operational and EPS show Bozeman getting a decent amount of remnant moisture from Kay later this upcoming week. Then possibly even some snow with that deep trough on day 10 as well. Fall has arrived!

And yes Tim, we know it shows ridging on days 12-15 but it keeps getting pushed back so stop peeing in everyones cereal.

Screen Shot 2022-09-10 at 12.15.36 PM.png

The EPS and control run are in very good agreement now on that trough next weekend.   

One clarification though... the 00Z EPS was actually faster with the ridging later compared to its 12Z run so its not really being pushed back.     

But obviously the most important thing right now is getting a solid rain event for the region and that is feeling much more likely now that the all the models are locking in.    Next weekend should be very different than this weekend.   What happens after that is too far out for any confidence.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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SEA hung onto a north wind all night and it's still going.    Odd that there is an east wind here and a north wind at SEA.  Usually the east wind punches through all the way to SEA.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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26 minutes ago, Kayla said:

Dropped down to 31F at my house this morning. So officially my first freeze of the year and ending my growing season at exactly 100 days this year which is pretty close to average.

Looks like the airport got its first freeze of the year as well.

That makes you the first. Side note. Is the cold icon only available on PC/laptop/tablet. I see it when I'm using my laptop but not when using mobile as I am now.

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  • Longtimer

Spooky warm night, as expected. 

Out here at the coast at Cannon Beach and it appears that the low at the station in town was 72. Also 72 for a low at PDX.

If the low of 66 at AST holds up then it would be an all time record for that station. Might push that down though later this evening.

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Visible satellite shows that the Seattle area is in a relatively good spot this morning in terms of smoke.   There is definitely smoke but its better than areas to the north and south.    HRRR shows that main smoke plume from the Cedar Creek fire passing through the Seattle area from south to north overnight.    You can see the smoke at the source of that fire moving more to the NE now so it should start getting better once that plume works it way through western WA.

 

COD-GOES-West-subregional-Pac_NW.02.20220910.143117-over=map-bars=.gif

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Getting hard to see the Coast Mountains this morning, which means the air quality is starting to get pretty bad, as those mountains are pretty close. Sky still looks blue (although it's a dingy blue) so air quality is not abjectly awful yet.

Low of 11.4˚C overnight which works out to (clickity clack) 52.5˚F. (No strong outflow winds here yet, of course.)

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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  • Longtimer

Sky isn’t bad. But the smell is super strong! 
Low of 53. Currently 57. 

8768DFE8-8F00-4604-A8B0-7CC371FD2CDF.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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3 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Tried posting last night but I was in la pine and the forum said I was banned every time I tried to sign in. Would that be because culver josh was near my area and it thought it I was him? Lol. Got down to about 30 this morning in La pine. The state park here is amazing. On my way to crater lake right now. 

475724CB-D1EE-4B1C-A40B-A18BA85AB891.jpeg

2921C4ED-898E-4DB2-99A4-2641F0DC218A.jpeg

Love that State park and kayaked that stretch of river a lot!   
Beautiful shots 

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7 hours ago, Dave said:

Smoke is MUCH better now. No more ash fall either.  🙂

You can clearly see the wind shift on this visible sat loop.  Smoke plume headed due north.

https://a.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/wxloop.cgi?vis1km_pnw_color+12

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Coldest Low = 42

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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12 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Tried posting last night but I was in la pine and the forum said I was banned every time I tried to sign in. Would that be because culver josh was near my area and it thought it I was him? Lol. Got down to about 30 this morning in La pine. The state park here is amazing. On my way to crater lake right now. 

475724CB-D1EE-4B1C-A40B-A18BA85AB891.jpeg

2921C4ED-898E-4DB2-99A4-2641F0DC218A.jpeg

Beautiful. Heading down that way tomorrow. Kinda concerned it’s gonna be a smokefest by that time. 

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It looks like a fire is really blowing up around the King / Snohomish County line right now.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Coldest Low = 42

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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10 minutes ago, smerfylicious said:

I too enjoy taking pictures of hell. Also it's snowing ash here. Cool.

 

20220910_080406.jpg

20220910_080609.jpg

Not sure if cool is the word most people would use.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Coldest Low = 42

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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2 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Beautiful. Heading down that way tomorrow. Kinda concerned it’s gonna be a smokefest by that time. 

We’ve really lucked out so far…I’m going home tomorrow and yeah I’d expect it’ll be worse east of the mountains starting tomorrow. 

22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-65

Coldest min-48

Monthly rainfall-0.04”

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It's reassuring to see the wind has shifted to SW all the way into NW OR now.  Somewhere between Eugene and Salem it appears.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Coldest Low = 42

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

It looks like a fire is really blowing up around the King / Snohomish County line right now.

Yeah... the Goat Rocks fire near Packwood looks pretty quiet this morning but that fire east of Gold Bar is just exploding right now.

Screenshot_20220910-081948_Chrome.jpg

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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3 minutes ago, T-Town said:

The wind has pretty much died here. Got down to 57 earlier, up to 61 now. 

We've had some pretty strong east winds here.  It was 62 at Midnight and was 75 by sunrise.  You know fall is hear when the east wind shows up.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Coldest Low = 42

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

It's reassuring to see the wind has shifted to SW all the way into NW OR now.  Somewhere between Eugene and Salem it appears.

Now it's smoky and yellow here

Location: Bethany, OR at about 250'

Snowfall:

     2021/2022: 6"

     2020/2021: 4.5"

     2019/2020: 1"

     2018/2019: 3.7"

     2017/2018: 5.5"

     2016/2017: 18"

     2015/2016: 1"

     2014/2015: 0"

     2013/2014: 9"

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2 minutes ago, T-Town said:

You timed it right. 

There’s been a bit of smoke each day except Thursday but not a lot. Just a bit of haze. You might get lucky and the cedar creek smoke might go to the north of you with SSW flow. I’d expect atleast some though. 

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22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-65

Coldest min-48

Monthly rainfall-0.04”

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3 minutes ago, smerfylicious said:

Ah the ash is from a new fire near Skykomish. Theyre under a level 1 now. It's pretty impressive how dark and cold it is here in Gold Bar. 47 degrees. Here's my view, normally can see a bit of Baring and Index through the gap:

 

20220910_082157.jpg

I'm surprised the east wind hasn't surfaced there.  If it doesn't you may end up with very suppressed temps today.

There is also a huge smoke plume nearing Portland right now that may keep them down today as well.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Coldest Low = 42

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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