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  • Longtimer
5 minutes ago, Kayla said:

I don't think anyone is necessarily writing this winter completely off but more saying that people might want to keep their expectations in check which I think is founded IMO. Especially considering that this Spring there was a lot of talk that a 1949-50 or 2008 type winter was imminent.

I’m going with a November 1985! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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  • Longtimer
57 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I have to mention there is now a major conifer die off underway in the Central Willamette Valley. Looks like something similar that happened in the Grants Pass-Eugene area in 2015. 

I didn’t notice anything out of the ordinary last time we drove the 5 south to Roseburg. But that was in late June. The relentlessly hot July/August this year, following last year’s acute heat damage probably hasn’t been easy on them. I was hoping the wet spring this year helped but there’s only so many hits our native vegetation can take, even with token cool and wet periods thrown in every couple years.

Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Really distinct smoke gradient this morning between the Sound and the eastside.  

Horrible in Seattle... but just across Lake Washington in Issaquah there is very little smoke. 

 

sp 9-22.png

iss 9-21.png

090vc01581.jpg

Yea it’s interesting. Definitely a very sharp distinction between areas with and without smoke. 

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2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Really distinct smoke gradient this morning between the Sound and the eastside.  

Horrible in Seattle... but just across Lake Washington in Issaquah there is very little smoke. 

 

sp 9-22.png

iss 9-21.png

090vc01581.jpg

The way the smoke is hung up reminds me of a lot of arctic fronts and CZ’s we see.

 

FA2926ED-AD84-433B-BB34-B1E93F0B97B5.jpeg

  • Snow 1

Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation)

2021-22: 17.75"

-12/24: 0.5"

-12/26: 8.5"

-12/27: 1.5"

-12/29-30: 4"

-1/2: 2"

-1/5: 0.5"

-2/22: 0.25"

-2/24: 0.5"

2018-19: 24.75"

2019-20: 10.5"

2020-21: 14.5”

 

 

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Just now, Doiinko said:

image.thumb.png.dc187edbd417f5ac1141796cfcb834c7.png

We posted simultaneously!  

And of course Jim will probably spike the football now and it will all disappear on the next run.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Smoke is much worse than when I got to work this morning. It’s not very visible on satellite imagery but like others said it’s all down at the surface. 

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22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-34

Coldest min-24

Sub 40 highs-3

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-10

Total snowfall-5.2”

Monthly rainfall-0.56”

Wet season rainfall-7.76”

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Just now, TT-SEA said:

We posted simultaneously!  

And of course Jim will probably spike the football now and it will all disappear on the next run.

Jim’s jinxing it on purpose for the cool mins and dry days. He’s liking the Waterville plateau lite weather. 

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22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-34

Coldest min-24

Sub 40 highs-3

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-10

Total snowfall-5.2”

Monthly rainfall-0.56”

Wet season rainfall-7.76”

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1 minute ago, TacomaWx said:

Jim’s jinxing it on purpose for the cool mins and dry days. He’s liking the Waterville plateau lite weather. 

FWIW... the ECMWF is trending more splitty with that trough later next week.   But its still good enough for significant rain on this run.    If anyone jinxes it further then it will probably go back to ridging in that period.  

00Z run on top and new 12Z run on the bottom.    

ecmwf-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-4582400 (1).png

ecmwf-deterministic-namer-z500_anom-4582400.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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It is kinda weird how the smoke is very low level…the skies look very blue still…but down at the surface it’s murky. Thankfully it’ll get kicked out soon. Hopefully the euros right and we can get a nice system to roll through and end the smoke for the remainder of the year. 69 degrees currently. 

22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-34

Coldest min-24

Sub 40 highs-3

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-10

Total snowfall-5.2”

Monthly rainfall-0.56”

Wet season rainfall-7.76”

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Just now, TacomaWx said:

It is kinda weird how the smoke is very low level…the skies look very blue still…but down at the surface it’s murky. Thankfully it’ll get kicked out soon. Hopefully the euros right and we can get a nice system to roll through and end the smoke for the remainder of the year. 69 degrees currently. 

You can see on the satellite that NW flow is taking hold now across the Seattle area.   Smoke is dispersing somewhat and pushing to the south and east in the process.    I think it will get better in Seattle this afternoon.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 minute ago, Deweydog said:

JINX

You really think the “Hitler of sunshine” as he’s been described doesn’t want a jinx 😉

22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-34

Coldest min-24

Sub 40 highs-3

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-10

Total snowfall-5.2”

Monthly rainfall-0.56”

Wet season rainfall-7.76”

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1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

You can see on the satellite that NW flow is taking hold now across the Seattle area.   Smoke is dispersing somewhat and pushing to the south and east in the process.    I think it will get better in Seattle this afternoon.

Yeah…makes sense why it’s gotten worse over the last couple hours here. 

22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-34

Coldest min-24

Sub 40 highs-3

Sub 32 highs-0

Sub 32 lows-10

Total snowfall-5.2”

Monthly rainfall-0.56”

Wet season rainfall-7.76”

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Looking good!latest wa.png

latest or.png

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 22-23 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 4F (Dec 1, 2022)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Nov 19, 2022)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 13 (Most recent: Dec 2, 2022)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Jan 17, 2022)
  • Total snowfall: 0.5"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 1, 2022
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 1, 2022
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 40.2"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 0

 

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seeing 2000-01 tossed around

 

I lived in the New Hampshire White Mtns in 2000-01 winter (2000-2004) and had ~130" of snow IMBY that year.  Most snow I've ever seen in a winter to date.  I had just moved up there from SC and was dumbfounded at so much snow.  it was on the ground from late October and patches remained through early June.  would move back to NH in a heartbeat if the opportunity presented itself again.

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  • Longtimer
56 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

I didn’t notice anything out of the ordinary last time we drove the 5 south to Roseburg. But that was in late June. The relentlessly hot July/August this year, following last year’s acute heat damage probably hasn’t been easy on them. I was hoping the wet spring this year helped but there’s only so many hits our native vegetation can take, even with token cool and wet periods thrown in every couple years.

I have really just started noticing in the past 3-4 weeks. Things looked good in the spring, but the heat this summer has been even more relentless than last year. It started early last year, but was pretty much done by mid-August. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 11.2"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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  • Longtimer
8 minutes ago, umadbro said:

Haven’t been around since April and the meltdowns are already in full swing. Oh it’s good to be home.

Hola Juicy

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 11.2"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Looks like smoke conditions are improving significantly around Seattle as NW flow lifts and disperses the low level layer that came in overnight.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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2 minutes ago, AlTahoe said:

Currently sitting at 43F at almost 1pm. Snow levels are down to about 8k currently. Sunday we are back up to almost 80F!

NWS posted this picture from Mt Rose looking down on Reno

72876210-bdbd-4703-8a99-b6f72025a029.PNG

That little slogan is pulling its own weight in this image!

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 48"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 2.75"*

-Most recent snowfall: 1.5”; December 3rd, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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Almost 80 out here now.

My UW son just came home to get the boat... heading to Lake Sammamish with his friends.   Summer rolls on.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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8 minutes ago, ChrisAmunRA said:

71° here in Belltown Seattle currently, lower level smoke fading.

Definite improvement over the last 90 minutes.

 

sea 922 4.png

sea 921 3.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Looks like we're up to 65F and have seen 0.06" out of this so far.

Currently +2.7F on the month which is in 2nd place behind Sept 1974 which was like +4.7F

Springfield, Oregon regular season 22-23 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 4F (Dec 1, 2022)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Nov 19, 2022)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 13 (Most recent: Dec 2, 2022)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Jan 17, 2022)
  • Total snowfall: 0.5"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 1, 2022
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 1, 2022
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 40.2"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 0

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @363jerseys4hope

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41 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

So glad it’s starting to look better in Seattle. Can’t have people associating historic stretches of warm and dry weather with its actual negative ramifications or anything.

The ground here is disturbingly dry. Not nearly as bad as 2015 when there was a pretty stark bush die-off, but still getting worried for the Fall grass green up. Wouldn't be shocked to find that a good bit of the lawn has died. That also happened in 2015.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 48"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 2.75"*

-Most recent snowfall: 1.5”; December 3rd, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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11 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Subtropical highland climate, one of the best types.

Definitely glad to get away from the hot and humid weather for a few days. Feels like home here with heavy fog/mist this morning. About 1500m or 5000’ to get this type of weather. 

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ECMWF now going for 190mph gusts with Fiona over the NATL.  Nova Scotia is about to get slaughtered.

99AA9DB1-07D3-42CF-8429-44A40119AFF6.png

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Lawn guy just called asking when do I want to do the fall irrigation system blowout/winterization. (last year we did it on 10/20)  I told him the wx nerds on the internet bulletin board I frequent said winter is cancelled so don't worry about coming around until late october/early november

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1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I have really just started noticing in the past 3-4 weeks. Things looked good in the spring, but the heat this summer has been even more relentless than last year. It started early last year, but was pretty much done by mid-August. 

Just driving on I-5 in the Portland metro area, there are tons of dead or dying trees if you pay attention. I am very sensitive to it and notice it everywhere I go.
 

Nowhere is immune to it: coast range, Cascade foothills, coast, Willamette Valley… it doesn’t matter. We have had way too many bouts of extreme or persistent heat and drought. Drought/heat stress often doesn’t manifest itself in mature flora for years. So, the problem is going to accelerate in the near future. 

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I apologize if this was posted earlier. 

NWS Seattle has reported that Seattle recorded a total of .5 inches of rain this summer. The summer of 2017 only got .52 inches but every summer after that recorded at least 1.25 inches of rain. Of the .5 inches that the city got over the past 93 days, more than a third of it fell on Sept. 16.

This summer also broke some records when it comes to heat. Temperatures hit 90 degrees on Sept. 10, marking a total of 13 90-degree days in the Emerald City - which is the most in one year.

KOMO Article

Screen Shot 2022-09-21 at 2.00.36 PM.png

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