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4 minutes ago, NWbyNW said:

I apologize if this was posted earlier. 

NWS Seattle has reported that Seattle recorded a total of .5 inches of rain this summer. The summer of 2017 only got .52 inches but every summer after that recorded at least 1.25 inches of rain. Of the .5 inches that the city got over the past 93 days, more than a third of it fell on Sept. 16.

This summer also broke some records when it comes to heat. Temperatures hit 90 degrees on Sept. 10, marking a total of 13 90-degree days in the Emerald City - which is the most in one year.

KOMO Article

Screen Shot 2022-09-21 at 2.00.36 PM.png

Tim will let you know June was VERY wet. That is if we’re talking meteorological summer. Astronomical summer was very dry. 

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22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-65

Coldest min-48

Monthly rainfall-0.04”

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Dropped to 42 here this morning.  Pretty decent for this time of year.  Currently 75 with smoke.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Coldest Low = 42

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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22 minutes ago, Phil said:

ECMWF now going for 190mph gusts with Fiona over the NATL.  Nova Scotia is about to get slaughtered.

99AA9DB1-07D3-42CF-8429-44A40119AFF6.png

Technically it won't be Fiona then.  Just a "lowly" extratropical storm. 🙁

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Coldest Low = 42

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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  • Longtimer

Raining going over Santiam Pass. 

8D48D27E-862C-410A-87CF-ED379B9FF98D.jpeg

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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1 hour ago, TacomaWx said:

Tim will let you know June was VERY wet. That is if we’re talking meteorological summer. Astronomical summer was very dry. 

Astronomical summer this year was truly summer-like... warm and dry.  

Meteorological summer included a very wet first 3 weeks of June.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 hour ago, Phishy Wx said:

Lawn guy just called asking when do I want to do the fall irrigation system blowout/winterization. (last year we did it on 10/20)  I told him the wx nerds on the internet bulletin board I frequent said winter is cancelled so don't worry about coming around until late october/early november

Ours is getting blown out next Thursday which is about normal for us. The cold will come for us east siders like it always does!

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Cold Season 2021/22:

Total snowfall: 119.0"

Highest daily snowfall: 16"

Highest snow depth: 20"

Coldest high: -5ºF

Coldest low: -25ºF

Number of subzero days: 1

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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6 hours ago, Phil said:

I don’t think that’s a given just yet. Will depend on wind forcing over the Indo-Pacific (IE: any WWBs and resulting downwelling OKWs).

That why I think over the summer Larry Cosgrove was so against the La nina talk He was clearly going by the Data and was not going by what was going on in real time which is surpising as he is normally pro on real time stuff then Data.He has sifted his stance that this La nina is not acting typical.Dispite the enso difference idea wise  He has been nailing the pattern. 

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27 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

Should I dust my heavy winter coat off and see what's going on in Newport?

Very isolated Arctic blast.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Coldest Low = 42

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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2 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

77 here after a low of 48 warm day. Smoke is a bit less than earlier this afternoon. 

I pulled off a 78/42 here.  Interestingly the dps are even lower than yesterday, but low clouds are already advancing inland along the coast.  Kind of interesting.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Coldest Low = 42

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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6 hours ago, BLI snowman said:

Maybe we can add a record warm October to our growing string of record warm months. 

I honestly have no clue where this is headed.  History says a full reversal could still easily happen in the coming weeks.

I think a reversal (deep / cold trough) is actually more likely than just going into a normal type early fall pattern.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Coldest Low = 42

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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  • Longtimer

18z is ok

Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Newport getting the 12/21/22 special I see

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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Wow!

82/37 for OLM today.  45 degree spread.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Coldest Low = 42

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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All of the smoke in Seattle this morning has been pushed out here now... its pretty nasty.  

Luckily its a short term issue as the smoke models show it quickly being shoved east of the Cascades by tomorrow morning with increasing onshore flow.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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6 hours ago, ChrisAmunRA said:

Screenshot_20220921-102754-713.png

Screenshot_20220921-102759.png

Screenshot_20220921-102803.png

The rain never did really show up in 1976-77.  Not that I think we will see a repeat this winter.  On the other hand we are REALLY due for a dry/cold winter in the Seattle area.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Coldest Low = 42

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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Earlier I saw a post about Larry Cosgrove's blown Nino call.  Can't find the post to comment on now, but I'll say there was never ANY historic precedent to make the Nino call by early summer.  He was pretty much doomed to fail on that forecast from the start.

It still seems likely the mid latitudes will respond to the ongoing Nina eventually, but you never know for sure I guess.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Coldest Low = 42

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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19 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

77/48 here not bad. 

The things that was weird here is my mins kept getting lower the last few days in spite of the days getting progressively warmer.  Usually does not work that way.  I ended up with 44, 43, 42 the last three days.  Could have a shot at good fall color this year.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Coldest Low = 42

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

The things that was weird here is my mins kept getting lower the last few days in spite of the days getting progressively warmer.  Usually does not work that way.  I ended up with 44, 43, 42 the last three days.  Could have a shot at good fall color this year.

No soaking rains in September will mean bad fall color... the leaves will just turn brown and disappear.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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  • Longtimer
4 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Riverhouse?

Yes

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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1 hour ago, snow_wizard said:

The things that was weird here is my mins kept getting lower the last few days in spite of the days getting progressively warmer.  Usually does not work that way.  I ended up with 44, 43, 42 the last three days.  Could have a shot at good fall color this year.

Dry air, longer nights.

A forum for the end of the world.

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9 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Just a tad. "Summery".

90dPNormWRCC-NW.png

That ridiculous spring has now been balanced out.   Be careful what you wish for in the spring with endless rain and cold.    The payback is going to come during the warmest time of the year.    At least that is how it seems to work now with our warming climate.   

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

That ridiculous spring has now been balanced out.   Be careful what you wish for in the spring with endless rain and cold.    The payback is going to come during the warmest time of the year.    At least that is how it seems to work now with our warming climate.   

Pretty close to average precip on the year now for most locations.

YearPNormWRCC-NW.png

 

Which is pretty impressive, considering summer anomalies (no matter how extreme) represent a very small percentage of overall precip during the year.

A forum for the end of the world.

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42 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

That ridiculous spring has now been balanced out.   Be careful what you wish for in the spring with endless rain and cold.    The payback is going to come during the warmest time of the year.    At least that is how it seems to work now with our warming climate.   

I have said this elsewhere and now I will here. There is no balance. Nature doesn’t work that way. Sh*t just happens.

If everything balanced out, in the next 18 months we would: have our coldest temp ever by 9 degrees, have our 3 coldest days ever consecutively, have our wettest fall ever by a large margin, have our coldest week ever, then have our coldest month ever, then have our coldest month for that month ever, have our second longest all-time streak of days with precipitation, have our wettest astronomical winter, and have our longest streak ever of days not reaching a particular temperature.

Most of those are independent events that don’t overlap. I’m sure I am missing some less extreme and enduring heat and drought records or near records to balance out. 

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  • Longtimer
13 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

That ridiculous spring has now been balanced out.   Be careful what you wish for in the spring with endless rain and cold.    The payback is going to come during the warmest time of the year.    At least that is how it seems to work now with our warming climate.   

This is misinformation. This summer was much hotter than this spring was cold.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 82.13" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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1 minute ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said:

I have said this elsewhere and now I will here. There is no balance. Nature doesn’t work that way. Sh*t just happens.

If everything balanced out, in the next 18 months we would: have our coldest temp ever by 9 degrees, have our 3 coldest days ever consecutively, have our wettest fall ever by a large margin, have our coldest week ever, then have our coldest month ever, the have our coldest month for that month ever, have our second longest all-time streak of days with precipitation, have our wettest astronomical winter, and have our longest streak ever of days not reaching a particular temperature.

Most of those are independent events that don’t overlap. I’m sure I am missing some less extreme and enduring heat and drought records or near record to balance out. 

The climate is warming.   And at least up here becoming wetter.    

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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7 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said:

I have said this elsewhere and now I will here. There is no balance. Nature doesn’t work that way. Sh*t just happens.

If everything balanced out, in the next 18 months we would: have our coldest temp ever by 9 degrees, have our 3 coldest days ever consecutively, have our wettest fall ever by a large margin, have our coldest week ever, then have our coldest month ever, the have our coldest month for that month ever, have our second longest all-time streak of days with precipitation, have our wettest astronomical winter, and have our longest streak ever of days not reaching a particular temperature.

Most of those are independent events that don’t overlap. I’m sure I am missing some less extreme and enduring heat and drought records or near record to balance out. 

I have to agree with this. I've been a member here circa 2008.... the last time western Washington got absolutely wallupted by old man winter. Since then I've seen endless debates about balance. While the fact remains that nature will balance herself out, we humans have a propensity to cling to recognizable patterns. 

 

Not invalidating anything Tim said (yeah I've been around long enough to know you on a first name basis :) ) however, during my travels around the world, I've witnessed snow storms happen in the desert directly after a flood. 

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5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

This is misinformation. This summer was much hotter than this spring was cold.

Not up here.

SEA was -4.2 in April and -4.9 in May and only +2.1 and +2.6 for July and August.

Spring was much more anomalously cold than summer was anomalously warm there.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

The climate is warming.   And at least up here becoming wetter.    

What if I told you that the sun is literally expanding in size and because of that the Earth is quite literally closer to the Sun.

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Just now, crf450ish said:

What if I told you that the sun is literally expanding in size and because of that the Earth is quite literally closer to the Sun.

The sun will eventually envelop the Earth... but before that we get a nice Venus-like experience.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Just now, TT-SEA said:

The sun will eventually envelop the Earth... but before that we get a nice Venus-like experience.  

Precisely. Which is exactly what we are in the pregnancy/ fetus-like eras of as we speak as well as three decades more to come. 

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