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41 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

70/54 today no smoke either very nice. 

70/48 here.  We managed to stay clear for most of the night with pretty dry air still in place.  Really felt like September today.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Coldest Low = 42

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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11 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Models are still frustratingly slow to change.  I'm going with a firm prediction when it finally changes it will be a reversal to a deep / cold trough as opposed to progressive and more zonal.

In the Ag Weather update today... they said the exact opposite.    All signs point to a lack of blocking and zonal flow later in October into November.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XflIZo3AKe0

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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3 hours ago, Phishy Wx said:

That cold front saved the Carolinas from a doozy of a storm 

It feels AMAZING here this evening. Stiff breeze, the sound of leaves blowing around. Love it!!

Also the first time it’s felt “cool” in over 4 months.

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15 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

In the Ag Weather update today... they said the exact opposite.    All signs point to a lack of blocking and zonal flow later in October into November.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XflIZo3AKe0

“All signs”? I’m not sure I agree with that.

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I'm a bit tired of testing what is thermodynamically possible for this time of year.

  • Like 2

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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image.png

Tuesday is looking unnervingly warm for this whole portion of the world, at this time of year.

  • Sick 1

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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GFS stalled out on WB for me.

Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 35F (Dec 27, 2021)
  • Coldest low: 17F (Feb 23, 2022)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 36 (Most recent: Apr 17, 2022)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 5 (Most recent: Jan 17, 2022)
  • Total snowfall: 10.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 28, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 28, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 30.7"

 

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13 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

PDX reached 95 degrees on 9/27/2003. Seven and a half weeks later it SNOWED.

Just a bit of flooding up here in between there as well.   Wettest day ever at SEA just 24 days after that 95 at PDX.

 

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Just a bit of flooding up here in between there as well.   Wettest day ever at SEA just 24 days after that 95 at PDX.

 

I get the feeling once the faucet turns on this year it’s gonna be on big time. 

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22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-65

Coldest min-48

Monthly rainfall-0.04”

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Just now, TacomaWx said:

I get the feeling once the faucet turns on this year it’s gonna be on big time. 

Agreed

  • Like 1

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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21 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

I get the feeling once the faucet turns on this year it’s gonna be on big time. 

If it turns on. 😅 Don’t see much to indicate a strong jet anytime soon. 

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3 minutes ago, Phil said:

If it turns on. 😅 Don’t see much to indicate a strong jet anytime soon. 

Do you think this is one of those years though where when it does form, it's got some kick to it?

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Do you think this is one of those years though where when it does form, it's got some kick to it?

I don’t see anything that stands out as favoring a stronger than normal jet this winter. Of course every year has jet extensions/periods of stormy zonal flow, and this year will be no exception.

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4 minutes ago, Phil said:

I don’t see anything that stands out as favoring a stronger than normal jet this winter. Of course every year has jet extensions/periods of stormy zonal flow, and this year will be no exception.

Huh. Ironically that's probably a good thing when -ENSO is controlling ridge placement more directly, in the midwinter. But a bad thing right now now while this weird summer pattern is holding a firm grip.

  • Like 2

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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10 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said:

It's crazy how Fiona merges with the cold front just at the right time before making landfall in Nova Scotia.

 

Wow

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Location: Bethany, OR at about 250'

Snowfall:

     2021/2022: 6"

     2020/2021: 4.5"

     2019/2020: 1"

     2018/2019: 3.7"

     2017/2018: 5.5"

     2016/2017: 18"

     2015/2016: 1"

     2014/2015: 0"

     2013/2014: 9"

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Wednesday looking like our salvation at this point.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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Tomorrow the normal high at KSEA dips below 70F. Actual high temperatures tomorrow may indeed follow suit. Then we warm for four days.

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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17 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Tomorrow the normal high at KSEA dips below 70F. Actual high temperatures tomorrow may indeed follow suit. Then we warm for four days.

Record lows really tank over the next few days here too. 29F on the 23rd. And 25F on the 24th.  Almost unthinkable for it to get that cold this time of year. 

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6 hours ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said:

And here's the 18z GFS vs the 12z in case anybody actually thought it might rain anytime soon...

 

qpf_acc.us_nw.png

 

qpf_acc.us_nw.png

…and it’s basically all back on the 0z. More in Lake Oswego, most of the northern cascades, and much of NW Oregon, less in NorCal, Willamette valley and around Puget Sound. Also more east of the cascades. 

F994D5D3-6EFB-4BE9-9892-F675F0B5A581.jpeg

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49 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Record lows really tank over the next few days here too. 29F on the 23rd. And 25F on the 24th.  Almost unthinkable for it to get that cold this time of year. 

Those record lows are pretty astonishing actually.  They aren't anywhere near that here.  I have only seen it freeze once in September and that was 1983.  Maybe it did on two days that year.  Did those records happen in 1972?  That cold snap was a beast for so early.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Coldest Low = 42

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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The final 11 days of this GFS run show an average of 57.1 for SEA.  Definitely right on for early autumn.  Outlying areas would certainly haver chillier mins.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Coldest Low = 42

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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15 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Those record lows are pretty astonishing actually.  They aren't anywhere near that here.  I have only seen it freeze once in September and that was 1983.  Maybe it did on two days that year.  Did those records happen in 1972?  That cold snap was a beast for so early.

Much older. 1926

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3 hours ago, Deweydog said:

PDX reached 95 degrees on 9/27/2003. Seven and a half weeks later it SNOWED.

2003 was pretty incredible.  Late heatwave, MAJOR October flood, and then a late October / early November Arctic outbreak.  The cold was so sudden it turned the leaves black here.  The only time I've ever seen that.

  • Like 2

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Coldest Low = 42

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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19 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Much older. 1926

Not surprised.  The 1920s had some pretty crazy stuff.  Looking at the old records 1928 had a lot of abnormal cold here in the autumn.  It seems that 1925 and 1926 had a lot of dry air cold snaps.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Coldest Low = 42

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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5 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

In the Ag Weather update today... they said the exact opposite.    All signs point to a lack of blocking and zonal flow later in October into November.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XflIZo3AKe0

I should have clarified I think the pattern will initially be a reversal and then relax into more of a progressive pattern....best guess anyway.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Coldest Low = 42

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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56 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

The final 11 days of this GFS run show an average of 57.1 for SEA.  Definitely right on for early autumn.  Outlying areas would certainly haver chillier mins.

Who needs actual, tangible cool weather when you’ve got this?

Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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1 hour ago, snow_wizard said:

Not surprised.  The 1920s had some pretty crazy stuff.  Looking at the old records 1928 had a lot of abnormal cold here in the autumn.  It seems that 1925 and 1926 had a lot of dry air cold snaps.

Supposedly Clearbrook got down to 20F on September 25, 1908 while Centralia dropped to 24F. Another cold night was September 24, 1926 when Forks and Darrington dropped to 24F. More recently 9/27/72 looks like it was quite chilly with OIympia at 25F and Quillayute and Bellingham at 28F.

Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.24 (2010)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 5.8"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5"

2021-22: 21.75" (12/24: Tr, 12/25: 5", 12/26: 3", 12/27: 1.5", 12/28: Tr, 12/29: 1", 12/30: 3", 1/5: 2.5", 1/6: 1", 2/2: Tr, 2/21: 1.5", 2/22: 0.75", 2/23: 1.5", 2/24: 1")

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48F and very pleasant out there.

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  • Snow 1

Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 35F (Dec 27, 2021)
  • Coldest low: 17F (Feb 23, 2022)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 36 (Most recent: Apr 17, 2022)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 5 (Most recent: Jan 17, 2022)
  • Total snowfall: 10.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 28, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 28, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 30.7"

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

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