PNW September 2022 Wx Obs/Disc

[GobBluth]

.05 in Beaverton

[ShawniganLake]

28 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Stickage!!

I shoveled mine into a pile so that it lasts longer.  Also put some in the freezer so this memory lasts forever. 
 

just a trace here and the sun is coming out. 

[The Blob]

I've been busy with family visiting the last few days. The weather has been perfect.

 

I do know winter will be good since Safeway has eggnog in store now.

[The Blob]

17 hours ago, TacomaWx said:

Got a new job at the Fred meyer distribution center today in the deli area…so I’ll be getting my fair share of cold in if this winter busts. Super excited to move onto a better job. It’s low elevation in the swamp though  

I've always heard working for Freddie's was worse than Amazon.

[TacomaWx]

36 minutes ago, The Blob said:

I've always heard working for Freddie's was worse than Amazon.

We will see! 

[TacomaWx]

Picked up an overwhelming 0.01”. Still sprinkling but atleast it feels like fall finally 58 degrees. 

[Front Ranger]

5 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Horrible.    I was talking to a co-worker yesterday who lives in Cape Coral and he was getting pretty worried.   I hope people have heeded the warnings and got out of the way.   

That area saw a huge influx of people the past few years with remote work and other factors.

[Front Ranger]

4 hours ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Ian is coming ashore as a strong Cat 4 that like Michael may be upgraded to Cat 5 after the fact.

Ft. Meyers beach cam:

 

That palm tree on the left bites the dust starting around 1:23.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

50 minutes ago, The Blob said:

I've always heard working for Freddie's was worse than Amazon.

Strange. Isn’t Freddie’s mostly unionized?

[TacomaWx]

6 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Strange. Isn’t Freddie’s mostly unionized?

It’s unionized. My buddy works there and likes it. It’s hard work but it pays well. 

[RentonHill]

Is there a way to see a timeloop of the 500mb charts on a long term basis? Like, if i wanted to make a clip of the progression over the last 6 months (using 1 day averages or something like that to smooth it out a bit) is there a way to do that? 

[Doinko]

Looks like Ian will redevelop and hit SC and GA 

[T-Town]

6 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

It’s unionized. My buddy works there and likes it. It’s hard work but it pays well. 

Gotta be more opportunities to do different things than working in the store. Sounds like something to be excited about. Go make the most of it and if you don’t like it take the experience gained and go do something else. 

[TT-SEA]

12Z ECMWF looks even warmer and drier than its 00Z run for next week... surprising to no one. 

[TacomaWx]

8 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Gotta be more opportunities to do different things than working in the store. Sounds like something to be excited about. Go make the most of it and if you don’t like it take the experience gained and go do something else. 

Yeah I got very burnt out working at the stevens street store. So much theft and homeless problems. The final straw for me was some crazy guy was following me around the store threatening to kill me and came back several times harassing me. Store security did absolutely did nothing about it either I won’t miss dealing with customers. 

[TacomaWx]

0.04” and still raining. Radar looks good at the moment more than I was expecting today. 

[GobBluth]

14 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z ECMWF looks even warmer and drier than its 00Z run for next week... surprising to no one. 

Cut off ends up further offshore which is probably what's needed to kill the west coast ridge.

[SouthHillFrosty]

34 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z ECMWF looks even warmer and drier than its 00Z run for next week... surprising to no one. 

Maybe if it starts to rain, the Mariners will start to win. 

[James Jones]

Crazy stat: PDX has seen 100 consecutive days with a high of 70 or greater, beating the record of 96 set last year, which beat the record of 92 set in 2017. Seven of the top eight 70+ streaks have been set since 2012.

Decent chance of a sub 70 high today or tomorrow, but if not the streak could get truly absurd (if it isn't already).

[RentonHill]

fun while it lasted

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Storm surge in Fort Myers Beach.

 

[ShawniganLake]

3 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

fun while it lasted

Jim succeeded at destroying another potential trough. 

[ShawniganLake]

The Canadian north is seeing a heatwave currently too.  Interesting that some of the old records from western Canada right now are from 1949. 
 

Weather summary
for the Northwest Territories
issued by Environment Canada
at 2:18 a.m. MDT Wednesday 28 September 2022.

Discussion.

Late season warmth brought several new temperature records to the 
Northwest Territories on Tuesday. 

The following areas set a daily maximum temperature record on 
September 27, 2022 (temperature values given in degrees Celsius): 

Fort Providence Area 
New record of 25.5 
Old record of 22.2 set in 1949 
Records in this area have been kept since 1943 

Fort Smith Area 
New record of 26.8 
Old record of 24.4 set in 1976 
Records in this area have been kept since 1913 

Hay River Area 
New record of 27.6 
Old record of 26.1 set in 1949 
Records in this area have been kept since 1893 

Yellowknife Area 
New record of 22.3 
Old record of 17.7 set in 2001 
Records in this area have been kept since 1942 

 

[JSnowlin]

21 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Maybe if it starts to rain, the Mariners will start to win. 

Start dancing mofo

[TT-SEA]

11 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Jim succeeded at destroying another potential trough. 

He is trying though.   Unfortunately he posted a map which I guess is still considered a jinx by nature.    Duly noted.   

[Eujunga]

Sunny now after a welcome 0.11" rain this morning. Don't really see anything else coming in on radar or satellite.

[TT-SEA]

In a meeting now and my co-worker who lives in Fort Meyers is connected and working while he says the wind is blowing at 115 mph in his backyard.    Crazy.  

[MossMan]

Wet deck! .01”!! 

[NWbyNW]

Not to lead conversation away, but Hurricane Ian made landfall as Category 4 (it was Category 5 off the coast).  150mph winds in places.  The eye is north of Cape Coral.  Here is the latest satellite from about ten minutes ago.  I added the precipitation layer.  Storm surge is really bad for these western coast communities as the water is roaring back in as the winds howl. 

 

 

 

[NWbyNW]

2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z ECMWF looks even warmer and drier than its 00Z run for next week... surprising to no one. 

I'm really starting to wonder if we are going to enter drought and have a very dry first half of winter.  I hope not, but I am feeling that (with zero evidence to back it up!) lol! 

[TacomaWx]

60 degrees here. We’ve picked up 0.05” so far today. Should be the coolest day of the fall so far. 

[snow_wizard]

Really weird today.  There was fairly significant rain where I work in Kent, and yet I came home to bone dry conditions.  Didn't even scrape up .01 here.

[Doinko]

3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Really weird today.  There was fairly significant rain where I work in Kent, and yet I came home to bone dry conditions.  Didn't even scrape up .01 here.

Here we had a few hundreths of rain in the morning probably and now it's mostly sunny. Seems like the rain will be back soon though. I'm really hoping for a pattern change

[snow_wizard]

31 minutes ago, NWbyNW said:

Not to lead conversation away, but Hurricane Ian made landfall as Category 4 (it was Category 5 off the coast).  150mph winds in places.  The eye is north of Cape Coral.  Here is the latest satellite from about ten minutes ago.  I added the precipitation layer.  Storm surge is really bad for these western coast communities as the water is roaring back in as the winds howl. 

I heard the pressure was so low that the hurricane literally sucked water out of the bays north of the storm.

[snow_wizard]

Just now, Doiinko said:

Here we had a few hundreths of rain in the morning probably and now it's mostly sunny. Seems like the rain will be back soon though. I'm really hoping for a pattern change

Yeah....this is just a one off this time.

It was disappointing to see the EPS less hopeful than the 0z was.

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I heard the pressure was so low that the hurricane literally sucked water out of the bays north of the storm.

I posted a pic here earlier of this happening in Tampa Bay.

[snow_wizard]

2 hours ago, ShawniganLake said:

The Canadian north is seeing a heatwave currently too.  Interesting that some of the old records from western Canada right now are from 1949. 
 

Weather summary
for the Northwest Territories
issued by Environment Canada
at 2:18 a.m. MDT Wednesday 28 September 2022.

Discussion.

Late season warmth brought several new temperature records to the 
Northwest Territories on Tuesday. 

The following areas set a daily maximum temperature record on 
September 27, 2022 (temperature values given in degrees Celsius): 

Fort Providence Area 
New record of 25.5 
Old record of 22.2 set in 1949 
Records in this area have been kept since 1943 

Fort Smith Area 
New record of 26.8 
Old record of 24.4 set in 1976 
Records in this area have been kept since 1913 

Hay River Area 
New record of 27.6 
Old record of 26.1 set in 1949 
Records in this area have been kept since 1893 

Yellowknife Area 
New record of 22.3 
Old record of 17.7 set in 2001 
Records in this area have been kept since 1942 

 

Kind of weird seeing both 1949 and 1976 there.  Two of the most extreme blocking episodes of the 20th century happened in the following winters.

[snow_wizard]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I posted a pic here earlier of this happening in Tampa Bay.

Almost like what happens before a tsunami.

[snow_wizard]

For those that are dying to see some eye candy at least.  This is the EPS control so take with a grain of salt.

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

Almost like what happens before a tsunami.

I saw other videos online of it also happening before Charley in 2004... which took almost the exact same track.

 

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

For those that are dying to see some eye candy at least.  This is the EPS control so take with a grain of salt.

Seems like every other control run for the last 6 weeks has gone crazy after 240 hours.   Never actually happens though.

[snow_wizard]

2 hours ago, RentonHillTC said:

fun while it lasted

That run may have been the highlight for this season!

[TacomaWx]

Looks like a band of rain is moving in off the coast we will see if it makes it here. Definitely should in Oregon. 

[snow_wizard]

3 hours ago, Front Ranger said:

That palm tree on the left bites the dust starting around 1:23.

Did anyone else notice the morons in the water.  Talk about colossally stupid!

[Omegaraptor]

PDX has reached 70.

[T-Town]

Done. I’d like to thank my OCD for helping me prioritize the puzzle over eating, sleeping, working, family commitments…. Couldn’t have done it without you. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

57 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

For those that are dying to see some eye candy at least.  This is the EPS control so take with a grain of salt.

[NWbyNW]

1 hour ago, snow_wizard said:

I heard the pressure was so low that the hurricane literally sucked water out of the bays north of the storm.

It did.  Tampa Bay is drained right now.  But water will start flowing in again soon. 

[Chewbacca Defense]

10 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Done. I’d like to thank my OCD for helping me prioritize the puzzle over eating, sleeping, working, family commitments…. Couldn’t have done it without you. 

Probably why I don't do puzzles....

[snow_wizard]

3 hours ago, ShawniganLake said:

Jim succeeded at destroying another potential trough. 

I didn't say anything about it last night.  Somebody requested me to post the map.  I made no comment.