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October 2022 Observations and Discussion


Tom

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And the string of great fall days continues. Yesterday the official H/L at Grand Rapids was 59/34 there was no rain fall and 82% of possible sunshine. The trees in my area are either bare or have color but very few if any have green leaves on them at this time. The overnight low so far and current temperature is 31 at GRR the low so far looks to have been 32. For today the average H/L is now 55/38 the record high of 77 was in 1901 and the record low of 20 was in 1969. The record snowfall amount of 1.6” was in 1906. A fun fact for the winter season of 1906/07 the total snow fall that season was just a reported 30.1” but of that 2.6” fell in October and 3.1” fell in April. On this date last year the H/L was 53/49 and there was 0.34” of rain fall.

 

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While it may be due to Houghton being closer to the lake than I am but for some reason there seems to be more leaves or about the same on the trees in Houghton than we have here in parts of the Grand Rapids metro area.
https://www.mtu.edu/webcams/view/
It is now light out and there is a good amount of frost once again this morning.

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1 minute ago, westMJim said:

While it may be due to Houghton being closer to the lake than I am but for some reason there seems to be more leaves or about the same on the trees in Houghton than we have here in parts of the Grand Rapids metro area.
https://www.mtu.edu/webcams/view/
It is now light out and there is a good amount of frost once again this morning.

First 3 miles along the shoreline of the GL's was normally 3-4 wks behind inland areas when I spent 7 years in NMI. Most likely what you're saying is spot on correct.

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 2.3"    Largest Storm: 2.1" (11/26-27)        Oct: 0.2 Nov: 2.1 Dec: 0.0 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

Annual avg for mby = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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34F very frosty and some of the most dense fog I've seen in years here in the western burbs of Detroit. I'm working this morning at the office and even here in the industrial park area vis was no more than 150 FEET! This stuff's pea soup legit

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 2.3"    Largest Storm: 2.1" (11/26-27)        Oct: 0.2 Nov: 2.1 Dec: 0.0 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

Annual avg for mby = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Some lower spots like Marsh Creek bottomed out below freezing this morning. Only made it down to 35.6 here in East Nantmeal. Nice dry weekend in store with temperatures remaining in the 50's by day with 30's again tonight. Next chance of showers will be Monday PM.
The record high today is 79 degrees from 1946. Record low is 23 degrees from 1976. The daily rainfall record is 4.04" from 2012.
image.png.68c4633cd5f5d43f57c9cd3a6f100698.png

DISCLAMER: All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA. The data has been statistically validated (p <0.05) for this county as accurate for the period 1894 to Present. This statistical significance has been proven across multiple NWS observers and site changes across a <9 nautical mile area of Western Chester County. We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County.  We ensure there is no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics.  Unlike NOAA, we do not apply post observation adjustments to the historical raw data from the trained NWS observers and spotters.  

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

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Very dense fog this morning, along w/ temps in the chilly 30s. I could not even see across the street from my house. Literally zero visibility.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023:

Jan 2024:

Feb 2024:

Mar 2024:

April 2024:

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A near normal temperature day today with plenty of sun. Some light rain is possible tomorrow...hopefully not enough to impact Game 3 of the World Series (Go Phillies!)
After that we should warm to a nice above normal stretch of Indian Summer weather with high temps in the mid to upper 60's for the rest of the first week of November.
The record high for today is 82 degrees set in 1946. Our record low is 21 degrees set in 1928. The daily rainfall record is 1.48" in 1935.
image.png.1fb14915a5b2903ca8739f26381ca050.png
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DISCLAMER: All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA. The data has been statistically validated (p <0.05) for this county as accurate for the period 1894 to Present. This statistical significance has been proven across multiple NWS observers and site changes across a <9 nautical mile area of Western Chester County. We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County.  We ensure there is no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics.  Unlike NOAA, we do not apply post observation adjustments to the historical raw data from the trained NWS observers and spotters.  

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

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The string of great fall weather continues as yesterday was yet another great day. The official H/L at Grand Rapids was 64/32 with no rain fall and 100% of possible sunshine. The overnight low here in MBY was 34 it is now up to 36 and that 36 looks to be the official overnight low at GRR. For today the average H/L is 55/38 the record high of 79 was recorded in 1950 and the record low of 18 was set in 1988. The record snow fall for today is 1.5” set in 1923. Last year the H/L was 54/44.

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Clouds on the increase today with some shower chances increasing this evening and becoming likely by late tonight. Hopefully the steadiest rain holds off till late night so the Phightin Phillies can play Game #3 of the World Series without delay - Go Phillies!!
The record high for today is 81 degrees in 1946. The record low was 19 degrees in 1925. The daily rainfall record is 1.80" in 1951.
image.png.2391c24cc3c29fe28f20bea3cf21bc46.png
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DISCLAMER: All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA. The data has been statistically validated (p <0.05) for this county as accurate for the period 1894 to Present. This statistical significance has been proven across multiple NWS observers and site changes across a <9 nautical mile area of Western Chester County. We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County.  We ensure there is no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics.  Unlike NOAA, we do not apply post observation adjustments to the historical raw data from the trained NWS observers and spotters.  

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

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Happy Halloween! Yesterday was yet another warm late October day with the official H/L at Grand Rapids of 62/36 there was no rain fall and 22% of possible sunshine. Last night was a very mild night and the overnight low here in MBY was just 49. It looks like that 49 was also the official low at GRR. I now have a temperature of 50 with some light mist. I had 0.04” of rain fall overnight. For today the average H/L is now down to 54/38 note the average daily high is falling faster than the overnight lows. The record high of 79 was set in 1950 and the record low of 20 was set in 1988. The record snow fall of 1.5” fell in 1917 the last miserable snow fall on this date was in 2017 when 0.4” fell. The next week looks to continue the warm fall weather with highs in the mostly in the 60’s

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We are past peak here in the western burbs of Philly but....still hanging on to some nice autumnal colors!

Backyard.20221031_083222404.jpg

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DISCLAMER: All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA. The data has been statistically validated (p <0.05) for this county as accurate for the period 1894 to Present. This statistical significance has been proven across multiple NWS observers and site changes across a <9 nautical mile area of Western Chester County. We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County.  We ensure there is no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics.  Unlike NOAA, we do not apply post observation adjustments to the historical raw data from the trained NWS observers and spotters.  

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

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A lot of our trees are now bare.  I have five small trees and they are all bare.  Just a couple weeks ago a few of my trees were still green and full.  The back-to-back hard freezes really flipped the switch.  Now I'm just waiting for my neighbor's giant oak tree to dump its leaves so I can collect them for my garden/compost.  I hope they drop this week while it's warm and dry.

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season snowfall: 5.0"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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5 minutes ago, Hawkeye said:

A lot of our trees are now bare.  I have five small trees and they are all bare.  Just a couple weeks ago a few of my trees were still green and full.  The back-to-back hard freezes really flipped the switch.  Now I'm just waiting for my neighbor's giant oak tree to dump its leaves so I can collect them for my garden/compost.  I hope they drop this week while it's warm and dry.

My neighbor has a giant oak tree; it seems like they take forever to drop all their leaves! My garden is in my back yard and I have a maple tree right next to it. It's nice that all the leaves fall right on the garden for my compost! I still have a couple rows of potatoes to finish digging before I till for the last time. 

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35 minutes ago, chescowxman said:

We are past peak here in the western burbs of Philly but....still hanging on to some nice autumnal colors!

Backyard.20221031_083222404.jpg

Happy Pumpkin Day - that actually looks like peak colors. Great shot!

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 2.3"    Largest Storm: 2.1" (11/26-27)        Oct: 0.2 Nov: 2.1 Dec: 0.0 Jan: 0.0 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

Annual avg for mby = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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Gosh, it seems like a lot of you are past peak around the MW/GL’s.  I remember coming back home from AZ after Thanksgiving and there were still leaves on the trees.  Nature saying something? My neighbor took a pic of my yard and it looks like I got a lot of work to do! 

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On 10/31/2022 at 2:23 PM, westMJim said:

I would not call it warm but with the dew point in the mid 50's it dose feel a little humid out today. I would think that there have not been too many Halloween's that have felt that way here in Grand Rapids.

my 3 year old boys were sweating in their cow costumes.  It sure felt "warm".  

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  • Tom unpinned this topic
Our great stretch of autumnal weather will continue with well above normal temps through the middle of next week. We will then cool back to about normal. Mainly dry weather except for late Saturday night into Sunday AM.
The record high for today is 82 degrees set back in 1950. The record low was set the very next year with a 17 degree reading in 1951. The daily rainfall record is 1.24" from 1910.
image.png.c825d042856c117c05c31218c3e381a6.png
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DISCLAMER: All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA. The data has been statistically validated (p <0.05) for this county as accurate for the period 1894 to Present. This statistical significance has been proven across multiple NWS observers and site changes across a <9 nautical mile area of Western Chester County. We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County.  We ensure there is no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics.  Unlike NOAA, we do not apply post observation adjustments to the historical raw data from the trained NWS observers and spotters.  

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

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