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October 2022 Observations and Discussion


Tom

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Absolutely gorgeous outside. Temps in the upper 60s w tons of sunshine. Indian summer will show its appearance this weekend w temps in the 70s.

Btw: tons of frost here this morning as if it had snowed. 

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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1 hour ago, OmahaSnowFan said:

Severe weather threat down to a marginal risk for Sunday.

Meanwhile it was too nice to work in my basement this afternoon so I drug my equipment out to my back patio.😁

77 and no wind. Getting bit by the D**n gnats though 

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I know! I hate being bitten by bugs! That is why I don't like being outside a lot when the temperatures are warmer.

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Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible!

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted

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Is this just the beginning of a Parade of Storms????  If this is a clue of the new LRC, then this is going to be a Fun time for you guys down south @Iceresistance @OKwx2k4 @Andie @Black Hole .  Say no more, Open the Door for the "Southern Stream"....I have opined that this will be a much different season for the southern U.S. and it appears that we will be heading into a wonderful looking pattern.  The latest 0z EPS is suggesting 4 potential storms to track into what may be the LRC "Hot Spot" during this coming 2 week period.  The TX/OK region could very well end up being a magnet for systems that come out of the Rockies into the S Plains.  The blocking pattern over SE Canada is really another Big Clue that will in fact keep the storm track south during this period.

 

 

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Yesterday was the start of what looks to be some very mild Indian Summer weather for our area. The official H/L was 70/33 there was no rain fall and 93% of possible sunshine.  For today The overnight low in MBY was 48 and the current temperatue is 50 with clear skies. For today the average H/L is now down to 58/40, The record high of 82 was set in 1953 and again in 1979 the record low of 23 was set in 1944. The record snow fall is 0.9” set in 1981. Last year the H/L was 52/37. For anyone wondering if highs in the 70’s are uncommon for today. It has reached 70 or better in 23 years on this date in the past. The last time was in 2017 when it reached 75.

 

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1 hour ago, Tom said:

Is this just the beginning of a Parade of Storms????  If this is a clue of the new LRC, then this is going to be a Fun time for you guys down south @Iceresistance @OKwx2k4 @Andie @Black Hole .  Say no more, Open the Door for the "Southern Stream"....I have opined that this will be a much different season for the southern U.S. and it appears that we will be heading into a wonderful looking pattern.  The latest 0z EPS is suggesting 4 potential storms to track into what may be the LRC "Hot Spot" during this coming 2 week period.  The TX/OK region could very well end up being a magnet for systems that come out of the Rockies into the S Plains.  The blocking pattern over SE Canada is really another Big Clue that will in fact keep the storm track south during this period.

 

 

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That's truly beautiful. All i have to say about that. Perfecto.

Its a new era, indeed.

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The entire South Central area will welcome the rain, Tom.  Everything is parched and ground water needs to be replenished not to mention the Edwards aquifer and the Trinity and Red rivers. Farmers and ranchers won’t complain about the mud.  
We’re at 67 at 10am and 70% chance of rain Monday.   I’m nowhere close to outdoor projects being done but we’ll manage. Let it rain.  

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Record Rainfall - 62.65"   Record High Temp. 120.0*F
Record 
Low Temp. - 8.4*F

 

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Yesterday morn started off at 31F. Went home to 72F. Getting whiplash from "The Plains Effect" over here!

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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80 degrees with 15% humidity at 12:30 pm. Desert like conditions, but a calm wind. Tomorrow 85 degrees with winds over 50 mph. With these drought conditions, the spread of fires is possible. Very similar to last spring that had deadly results with loss of lives. What we wouldn’t give for a long,  steady, soaking rain. Not looking anything like that in the extended forecasts. 

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34 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

80 degrees with 15% humidity at 12:30 pm. Desert like conditions, but a calm wind. Tomorrow 85 degrees with winds over 50 mph. With these drought conditions, the spread of fires is possible. Very similar to last spring that had deadly results with loss of lives. What we wouldn’t give for a long,  steady, soaking rain. Not looking anything like that in the extended forecasts. 

Hoping people keep their heads a few more days with the fire risk. My area is under those conditions today. Its so windy its frustrating to be outside. Lol. Too windy.

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Yesterday was a great late October day here in Grand Rapids with an official H/L of 75/52 there was no rain fall and we had 100% of possible sunshine. It was yet another warm night (for late October) as the low here in MBY was 49 and the official low looks to be 53 at the current time it is 50 here and 55 at the airport with clear skies. For today the average H/L is 58/40 the record high of 83 was set in 1963 and the record low of 19 was set in 1969. The record snow fall is 1.0” set in 1917. Last year the H/L was 50/36.

The average last 70 day at both Lansing and Grand Rapids is October 24th so that it looks like this year will be just about average for that to happen. The range at Lansing is from September 15th, 1968, to December 31, 1975. At Grand Rapids the range is from October 1, 1925, to November 31 1931.  The winter of 1875/76 at Lansing was a very mild one and while there was a reported 44.4” of snow fall that winter 30.0” of that fell in late March.

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It certainly looks and feels like Autumn here in the Valley of the Sun as we have a low stratus cloud deck, gusty S/SW winds and temps in the mid 60's.  Snow is flying in the northern Gand Canyon this morning and will spread east into the White Mtn's later today as temps continue to fall.  Only a few inches are expected but its the moisture that counts!

The 1st Hard Freeze is expected Mon/Tue...

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0z EPS suggesting many "winners" in the precip dept over the next couple weeks...La Nina pattern becoming established and this is right during the time when we typically see the heart of the LRC as we close out OCT and head into NOV.

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Some light rain or drizzle will be possible across Chester County this PM but hopefully not enough to slow down the Phillies game this afternoon in Philly. Most of the rest of the week look dry and mild to start with highs well into the 60's. Temps will fall back to normal levels by the end of the work week.
Go Phillies!
The record high today is 85 degrees set back in 1947. Our record low is 22 degrees from 1969. The daily rainfall record is the 2.81" that fell today way back in 1912.
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All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the unique climate specific to Chester County PA.  We analyze only the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop/AWOS/MADIS climate data for Chester County.  Unlike the data you will find on NOAA/NCEI there have been absolutely no post observation computer adjustments to massage the data . All data here represents the actual data validated by the NWS from trained observers, stations and spotters since 1893.  

Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" -  11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8")

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us at the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx or on Instagram just follow us at chescoweather

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

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Simply gorgeous wx here this weekend. Walking my pooch this morning and just soaking in all the vibrant colors. Looks like the immediate Metro Detroit area is entering peak colors and will have them this week - perfect timing!

 

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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