snow_wizard Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 Another thing about those analogs. Almost all had the best stuff of the winter in either Dec or Jan. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 Just now, BLI snowman said: 83 here with east wind surfacing even west of I-5. Gross. 68 with smoke ain't much better. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 25 minutes ago, Doiinko said: Still gotta wait and see Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 14 minutes ago, Deweydog said: They broke through around 11am here which is pretty average for a warm downslope event. Today's WRF GFS run shows them breaking through pretty late, at around 6 or 7pm. But then once it does it shows gusts 30-35mph throughout the night. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 Fantastic EPS run. The pattern looks to set in pretty solidly. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 3 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said: Still gotta wait and see The point of no return is within the 5 day window now. Close to being safe, but not 100% yet. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 8 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said: Oh wait, it's stuck on 6:55 AM You catch on fast! Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 PDX already has a new record high for the day before 1pm. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 16 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Nice!! As I've mentioned on here 1971-72 was awesome for the Puget Sound region. The January snowstorm remains one of my absolute favorites. A composite of those winters would be pretty solid. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 Seventh record high of the month at Hillsboro. 1 4 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 3 hours ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said: I can’t get on board with the rain for the end of next week until the ICON is on board. It’s not at this point, but it is for a big cooldown. https://weather.us/model-charts/german/washington/acc-total-precipitation/20221023-0000z.html Seriously, the ICON? What about the Mongolian and Zimbabwean models? Will you wait for those to come on board as well? 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 12 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: The point of no return is within the 5 day window now. Close to being safe, but not 100% yet. It is never too late for a last-minute rug pull. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted October 15, 2022 Author Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 68 after a low of 48 back home. Think we should be at 11 +70 days on the month after today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 25 minutes ago, Doiinko said: (71) 72 appears twice on that previous map for true weighting Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 Nakia Creek Fire seems to be putting out more smoke-- worth keeping an eye on as winds strengthen into the overnight hours. 2 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 34 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: 68 with smoke ain't much better. You'll get your taste of 80+ tomorrow. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 84 at PDX at 1pm with east winds 14g28 mph 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Jones Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 88 at Aurora at 12:53 on 10/15 is off the charts absurd. 2 2 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 Just now, Doiinko said: 84 at PDX at 1pm Definitely gonna be completely rewriting the record books this weekend. 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 70s here. Unreal outside. 1 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 12z GFS says winter begins here next weekend. Going to be an extremely abrupt change! 6 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 5 minutes ago, James Jones said: 88 at Aurora at 12:53 on 10/15 is off the charts absurd. 90 maybe? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 At least the end is finally here!! 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 Tillamook is at 86 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 (Sorry Jessie) Latest 81+ on record at PDX. 1 3 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randyc321 Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 1 hour ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Pepto for the cascades Hood Canal surprise. @MR.SNOWMIZER I would be hitting up your side of the peninsula if this run verifies. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 15 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: Definitely gonna be completely rewriting the record books this weekend. The occasions when we’re not setting warm records are becoming rarer than when we are. 1 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 1 hour ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Pepto for the cascades Lots of spooky changes could happen between now and Halloween. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randyc321 Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 1 hour ago, Doiinko said: Viewing these rain totals remind me of looking at pepto decorated model runs of the lowlands in December and just hoping but still doubting. I know. Wienie. It needs to rain. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshua Lake Oswego Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 40 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Seriously, the ICON? What about the Mongolian and Zimbabwean models? Will you wait for those to come on board as well? I’m dead serious. Outside of the forecast timeframe for mesoscale models, the ICON is the best for QPF. It only goes out a week though. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshua Lake Oswego Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 Low 90s at some Cascade foothill stations in Oregon. Incredible. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 It hasn’t gotten a lot of buzz around here, but before we finally get this supposed cool down, another round of record highs is looking likely for the middle of next week too. 1 1 1 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 6 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said: Low 90s at some Cascade foothill stations in Oregon. Incredible. It isn't even 2pm yet too Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 Larch Mtn RAWS near the Nakia Creek Fire recorded a gust to 41mph already. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 92 is Portland's all time record for October. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 Getting pretty windy here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 The EPS control shows some continental cold after day 10. Would basically be frigid in the winter. As it is the above normal heights bridging across the Arctic shown on the ensemble means is quite intriguing. 3 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 4 hours ago, Mr Marine Layer said: Lots of time for things to change Nah. I called the pattern change between the 20th and 25th weeks ago. The only way this doesn’t happen is if Jim spikes the ball on the 5 yard line. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 SEA’s up to 73 with visibility of 3 miles at 2pm. And I’ve got the fans running with all the windows closed due to the smell of smoke. Its 10th 70+ for the month. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted October 15, 2022 Report Share Posted October 15, 2022 Newport is back up. 54 at 1:30 PM. We'll never know if it spiked earlier this morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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