October 2022 PNW weather Discussion. + Ultimate Leg Reveal Extravaganza

[NWbyNW]

GFS is showing some precipitation for Oct 23.  EURO is showing it too.  And so is the Canada one.  Here they all are for the same day.  It's just nice they all agree on rain.  (Oops, I did the wrong day for GDPS... you get the idea though).

 

[LowerGarfield]

2 hours ago, NWbyNW said:

Let's take a peak out of the Faithlife Webcam in Bellingham.  Looking pretty brown out there.  The entire Puget Sound is unhealthy to hazardous air conditions depending on location.  Winds from the strait are blowing SE and there is also winds blowing E from Eastern WA.  Smoke is also blowing up from Oregon into Washington as well.  In the long run winds will shift NE, this will hopefully clear skies some, but that isn't guaranteed 

There is some relief along coastal areas of the northern Puget Sound.  There is also a "convergence" zone if you will of cleaner ocean air hitting against hazardous smoke from Bolt Creek and Darrington. In this area pictured below, clean wind is actually still blowing in from the straight and hitting smoke moving east.  This ocean air is blowing that nasty smoke south deeper into Seattle and the Puget Sound and is effectively creating a cleaner zone around Mukilteo. It creates these massive shift zones that vary from moderate air of 63 AQI in Mukilteo, 70 in Everett, and hazardous air nearby in Marysville and Lake Stevens at 262.  The air around Lake Stevens is stagnating or being pushed further south only to eventually blow back NE when winds shift.  It's a rollercoaster for sure.

 

 

Now for some AQI data around the region.

 

Bellingham - 60

Everett - 73

Seattle - 153

Bellevue - 178

Tacoma - 157

Vancouver - 39

Wenatchee - 145

Kennwick - 54

Spokane - 53

Portland - 55

Salem - 67

Eugene - 109

Roseburg - 152

Medford - 70

 

Is that camera at the Majestic Inn at Anacortes? We stayed there twice in the past for wedding anniversaries when we lived in W. WA.

[NWbyNW]

4 minutes ago, LowerGarfield said:

 

Is that camera at the Majestic Inn at Anacortes? We stayed there twice in the past for wedding anniversaries when we lived in W. WA.

No.  It is the Faithlife Webcam in Bellingham atop this building.  

 

Image Source

[snow_wizard]

39 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

Still up in the air

I don't buy it.  The consistency is too strong.

[snow_wizard]

No doubt this is a first for me.  Up to 78 now with some east wind breaking through.  Warmer than anytime during the actual sunny part of the day.

78/42 on the day for a 36 degree range.

[snow_wizard]

18z EPS is still on track.

[Doinko]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

No doubt this is a first for me.  Up to 78 now with some east wind breaking through.  Warmer than anytime during the actual sunny part of the day.

78/42 on the day for a 36 degree range.

I saw a diurnal range of 51 at CVO today. 89/38

[NWbyNW]

Only hit 65F here today with a low of 49F.

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, NWbyNW said:

Only hit 65F here today with a low of 49F.

BORING!

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, Doiinko said:

I saw a diurnal range of 51 at CVO today. 89/38

That is pretty insane.

[NWbyNW]

4 minutes ago, Doiinko said:

I saw a diurnal range of 51 at CVO today. 89/38

Where is CVO?  Corvallis?  College of Veterinarians Ontario? 

[snow_wizard]

The thing about the forecast discussion is it talks about something having to break through the ridge.  That is not the case with the retrogression pattern being shown.

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, NWbyNW said:

Where is CVO?  Corvallis?  College of Veterinarians Ontario? 

Undoubtedly the latter. 

[SnowWillarrive]

11 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I don't buy it.  The consistency is too strong.

Dry and smoke is our default right now. 

[Doinko]

9 minutes ago, NWbyNW said:

Where is CVO?  Corvallis?  College of Veterinarians Ontario? 

Corvallis lol

[NWbyNW]

3 minutes ago, Doiinko said:

Corvallis lol

I know, I'm just messin' with ya.   Thank you though. 

 

Totally random factoid.  In the game American Truck Simulator, you can actually drive by CVO and see the airport and airplanes!  The more you know. 

[High Desert Mat?]

48 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

The thing about the forecast discussion is it talks about something having to break through the ridge.  That is not the case with the retrogression pattern being shown.

The guys at NWS are probably rookies. They have a lot to learn. 

[snow_wizard]

26 minutes ago, High Desert Mat? said:

The guys at NWS are probably rookies. They have a lot to learn. 

I just thought the terminology was odd.  This is not a case of something breaking through the ridge.

[snow_wizard]

It just feels wrong out there tonight.  77 and it's full dark.

[Phishy Wx]

whomp whomp

[Deweydog]

Just your run of the mill 79 degree evening here.

Edited October 16, 2022 by Deweydog

[snow_wizard]

Just now, Deweydog said:

Just you’re run of the mill 79 degree evening here.

It feels freakish out there.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

12 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

It feels freakish out there.

Why visit California when California can visit you?

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Down to 61F. Pleasant out there.

[RentonHill]

Jesus we have a whole week before this crap comes GDI 

[Jbolin]

F*****ing Mariners

 

Way to choke yet again, see ya in the wildcard round in 2042

[NWbyNW]

Here are some lovely pics I took from today.  These would be great on tourist brochures...  

Down to 60F.

 

[Deweydog]

9 minutes ago, JBolin said:

F*****ing Mariners

 

Way to choke yet again, see ya in the wildcard round in 2042

2043.

[NWbyNW]

We are actually seeing improving conditions (slightly) in the North Sound from about Mukilteo-Everett northward.  Bellingham has really cleaned out compared to earlier which is a pleasant surprise.  There wasn't supposed to be much air cleaning till Monday.  Conditions have remained clean and good for much of the San Juans and Whidbey Island today.

Locations south of Snohomish County have remained in unhealthy conditions with everything sort of stagnating since about 6pm.  Winds are shifting from NE to N, but it is happening slowly and it doesn't seem to be pulling the smoke away from the South Sound as some people in the local media had hoped for.  

New to the unhealthy air category are communities along the Hood Canal with Clallam and Jefferson County starting to suck in the nasty smoke that is slowly moving NE to N.  Still some onshore winds from the strait.  One can only hope it doesn't just push the smoke it is sucking up from the S and blow it back into the Puget Sound like a never ending cycle.

 

[SouthHillFrosty]

I have zero words to describe the Mariners game. I just wow. Yes I stayed all 18 innings.

Edited October 16, 2022 by SouthHillFrosty

[Dan the Weatherman]

22 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Why visit California when California can visit you?

Southern California is actually getting some scattered downpours with thunder and lightning this evening, and coastal areas have been drizzly for the last couple of nights and mornings.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Just now, Dan the Weatherman said:

Southern California is actually getting some scattered downpours with thunder and lightning this evening, and coastal areas have been drizzly for the last couple of nights and mornings.

And they had a nice rain event in September, too!

[GobBluth]

1 hour ago, High Desert Mat? said:

The guys at NWS are probably rookies. They have a lot to learn. 

No changes, previous discussion below...

[MossMan]

73 on the day. Currently 59. 

[MossMan]

47 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Just your run of the mill 79 degree evening here.

59 here! 

[Blizzard777]

3 hours ago, HoodCanalBridge said:

Can barely see Seattle from the ferry docked in Bainbridge!

Got up early for a bike ride in Tacoma….thought it was fog on the sound but as morning passed it didn’t go away.  Just and ugly blanket of smoke…..yuck! 

[Blizzard777]

46 minutes ago, NWbyNW said:

Here are some lovely pics I took from today.  These would be great on tourist brochures...  

Down to 60F.

 

It definitely was a gross day! Irritation in my throat as well  

[TT-SEA]

Just got back to North Bend... its absurd 79 degrees here right now with a brisk east wind.   High in North Bend was 85 today.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

The city shots of Seattle during the game looked awful. So much smoke. 

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS Day 5