Blizzard777 Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 1 hour ago, Snownerd3000 said: Just got done walking my dog. Ran into one of my neighbors who knows I'm a weather degen and i let slip the possibility of the 4 letter S word next month. You realize for doing this we’ve both gained a strike against us here! 3 strikes were out unless the goods are delivered! Welcome to the game Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 1 hour ago, North_County said: Halfway decent light show this evening. I thought you said “SNOW”….now my hearts pumping….ugh 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Not a lot of rain for most of the region, but a few places did manage some decent numbers! A good rain band over over Whatcom County at the moment and some good snow and rain around Stevens Pass. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 1 hour ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Rob, y'all gonna be QB for the GFS and EC tonight? Were you wanting to do the honors? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 00z GFS Day 1 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 8 minutes ago, Jginmartini said: You realize for doing this we’ve both gained a strike against us here! 3 strikes were out unless the goods are delivered! Welcome to the game 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Had a couple of rumbles of thunder about an hour ago and several flashes of lightning. Tried to take the puppy out to "use the facilities" in the heavy rain that followed the light show. It was her first heavy rain (she was born in late April and came home to us in late June). We walked out on the back porch and she looked up at me with a "f*ck this....I'll hold it!!!" look in her eyes. We went out anyway but all she did was give big ole sad puppy eyes and try to convince me to take her back inside. She better get used to it!! Picked up .23" in that downpour bringing us to .63" for the day. We can go ahead and dismiss the eye candy the models are showing in fantasy land. When my son got home tonight I went outside and got his tire size and told him he would need to buy snow tires for his car soon. He has to commute from Bellingham to Hamilton every day, so a decent chunk of his commute is among the sh*ttiest roads when winter precip is in the area. Not to pull things off topic, but what do you Subaru drivers run on in the winter? Are there any tires that are good on ice that he can drive on year around? He has a 2016 Forester, and drives about 80 miles round trip per day. 4 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 8 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Were you wanting to do the honors? I'll try and QB the night shift GFS. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CliffMassYelledAtMe Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 14 minutes ago, Jginmartini said: You realize for doing this we’ve both gained a strike against us here! 3 strikes were out unless the goods are delivered! Welcome to the game Jaya tweeted something about it the other day for early November with graphs for Paine Field, but he likes to do teasers sometimes on the long range stuff even when he's not actually buying in. So you wouldn't be alone in jinxing it. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 5 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said: Had a couple of rumbles of thunder about an hour ago and several flashes of lightning. Tried to take the puppy out to "use the facilities" in the heavy rain that followed the light show. It was her first heavy rain (she was born in late April and came home to us in late June). We walked out on the back porch and she looked up at me with a "f*ck this....I'll hold it!!!" look in her eyes. We went out anyway but all she did was give big ole sad puppy eyes and try to convince me to take her back inside. She better get used to it!! Picked up .23" in that downpour bringing us to .63" for the day. We can go ahead and dismiss the eye candy the models are showing in fantasy land. When my son got home tonight I went outside and got his tire size and told him he would need to buy snow tires for his car soon. He has to commute from Bellingham to Hamilton every day, so a decent chunk of his commute is among the sh*ttiest roads when winter precip is in the area. Not to pull things off topic, but what do you Subaru drivers run on in the winter? Are there any tires that are good on ice that he can drive on year around? He has a 2016 Forester, and drives about 80 miles round trip per day. I'm in Spokane and have never used snow tires on my 2012 Outback. I run some top of the line Cooper All Seasons. never had any issues. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CliffMassYelledAtMe Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Is this account a good follow on Twitter? A bit far north for me, but always interested because stuff can trend south... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Day 3 (Past 4 runs) 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Day 4 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GoldenEars Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 A couple Thunder showers rolled through this evening. Really nice to see it finally dump rain. 6 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Day 5 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Skies mostly clear in Corvallis! C’MON! Cold low! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Day 6 (Past 4 runs) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Day 7 (Past 4 runs) Sure looks like the GFS is moving towards the ECMWF/EPS to me. That would be awesome 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Day 7.5 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Day 8 2 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Day 9'er 7 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Day 10 Ohhh how I wish this was at Day 3-4! 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 00z GEM 00z ECMWF in 1 hour 3 minutes 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Nearly midnight and it’s 71 degrees in Chicago. 1 2 2 2 1 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 5 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: 00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals Looks like a Cat 4 hurricane on this run too in early November 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 58 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said: I'm in Spokane and have never used snow tires on my 2012 Outback. I run some top of the line Cooper All Seasons. never had any issues. Interesting....I asked my mother in law about it, she has owned Subarus forever, and lived in Hood River/The Dalles for a while before moving to Great Falls. She talked to her "tire guy" and he said on the east side of the continental divide, they could get away with "all seasons" with the triple peaks because the snow is so dry. He also told her that in parts of Montana west of the continental divide like Missoula folks needed a set of winter tires because of the higher moisture content in the snow. She said it was the same in Hood River/The Dalles. I would assume that would be the case for Spokane but maybe not? For my son, the fact that he will be hitting to road at 4am, and getting to Hamilton just before 5am, I'm a little concerned about what he is going to find for the road conditions. Fortunately, he is on the interstate and a major state highway, but still, the canyon south of Bellingham can get downright nasty in a hurry. 2 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 GFS clown range has a major hurricane 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North_County Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 1 hour ago, Jginmartini said: I thought you said “SNOW”….now my hearts pumping….ugh My bad. No snow. Yet. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 15 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: Nearly midnight and it’s 71 degrees in Chicago. The craziness continues. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 18 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: 00z GEM 00z ECMWF in 1 hour 3 minutes Truly amazing how fast the models have changed their tune on early November. As always the details of any blocking features will be subject to rapid change. 3 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 I feel like a night shift is in order, Rob. 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 At this point it appears a cold Halloween might be on the table with that first cold shot. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcmcgaffey Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Looking like Stevens will get 3-4ft of snow over the next 7-10 days 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 2 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: I feel like a night shift is in order, Rob. Could be! I hope I'll be awake. 00z ECMWF in 34 minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
selkirks Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 15 minutes ago, jcmcgaffey said: Looking like Stevens will get 3-4ft of snow over the next 7-10 days The start of the persistent weak layer we'll be dealing with in January! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 11 minutes ago, jcmcgaffey said: Looking like Stevens will get 3-4ft of snow over the next 7-10 days IDK about that. Looks to me like the snow level will bounce around between 3,500 and 5,500 feet. Stevens will get periods of rain between each snowfall which will probably keep much from piling up at pass level. It’s too early in the season for any cold East wind helping out the passes so they’ll have to rely on cold enough upper level air masses. Does look like the upper slopes there will get a lot though. 3 1 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 00z GEFS Day 8 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HuskyMaestro Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 31 minutes ago, Doiinko said: GFS clown range has a major hurricane Feels reminiscent of Hurricane Iota back in 2020. Hopefully it dissipates in the clown range. 2 Quote 𝘐𝘯 𝘮𝘺 𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘭𝘦𝘴𝘴 𝘥𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘮𝘴, 𝘐 𝘴𝘦𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘵𝘰𝘸𝘯. 𝘗𝘶𝘺𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘶𝘱. Reddit: HotlineMaestro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 It says NOPE.. I'm going back the other way. 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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