Gradient Keeper Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 The trough is just barely digging on the 18z GEFS. Onto 00z! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 Currently 54F and it's been cloudy all day. SUPER dark clouds towards the Cascade's. No rain at all today though despite the weather forecast saying there was an 87% chance of rain here today... 4 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 On 10/29/2022 at 2:40 PM, TigerWoodsLibido said: A lengthy power outage isn’t exactly how I envisioned my birthday going but here we are. Belated happy birthday! 2 1 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 30, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 All Euro ensemble members now calling for snow at YVR. 9 2 1 2 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 Just now, Rubus Leucodermis said: All Euro ensemble members now calling for snow at YVR. That one calling for 45cm of snow looks nice 1 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted October 30, 2022 Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 Legit... I am in that little circle with NO precipitation all day. What gives? Literally EVERYWHERE ELSE. Lol! This is almost too funny. 2 1 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Chewbacca Defense Posted October 30, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted October 30, 2022 I take a day and a half and holy hell, I have 5 pages to catch up on! Up to .86" today from this AR. I'm happy to say my diva golden retriever finally lost her "diva" status, and embraced her Retriever blood and PNW roots. In the past she has not been too thrilled about the rain. Today she marched out in the back yard during a heavy band of rain, proceeded to lay down in the grass and start munching on a leaf like it was a sunny summer day. Unfortunately I didn't get a picture of that, but here she is winding down for a nap afterwards. 15 1 1 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted October 31, 2022 Author Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 18 minutes ago, NWbyNW said: Legit... I am in that little circle with NO precipitation all day. What gives? Literally EVERYWHERE ELSE. Lol! This is almost too funny. Don’t worry it’ll rain eventually…it was modeled that the Puget sound region would be shadowed to start out with this AR. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted October 31, 2022 Author Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 57/49 today 0.03” of rain 1.29” MTD. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HuskyMaestro Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Just now, TacomaWx said: Don’t worry it’ll rain eventually…it was modeled that the Puget sound region would be shadowed to start out with this AR. Hmmm I'm in the mood for donuts now.. 1 1 Quote 𝘐𝘯 𝘮𝘺 𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘭𝘦𝘴𝘴 𝘥𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘮𝘴, 𝘐 𝘴𝘦𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘵𝘰𝘸𝘯. 𝘗𝘶𝘺𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘶𝘱. Reddit: HotlineMaestro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 27 minutes ago, NWbyNW said: Legit... I am in that little circle with NO precipitation all day. What gives? Literally EVERYWHERE ELSE. Lol! This is almost too funny. Everett is often solidly in the rain shadow during AR events. Its very common with SW flow. 3 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Art_Digbee Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Just hit 1.5" of precip for the day here at Doe Bay, Orcas Island 1 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 15 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Everett is often solidly in the rain shadow during AR events. Its very common with SW flow. If it were a snow storm there would be some people loosing it lol. 1 1 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terreboner Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 9 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: If it were a snow storm there would be some people loosing it lol. I was there many times when I lived there, edge of Lake Stevens and Everett boundary line. Post frontal though I was laughing and the others were crying. Very often I got more snow in 6 hours than they got in 24. It all evens out. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 9 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: If it were a snow storm there would be some people loosing it lol. Definitely not a snowstorm because I'm doing quite well today and that almost never happens when it snows. 1.27" so far on the day. 1 2 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Let's see how this changes. Kind of surprised by the results still. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 4 minutes ago, Terreboner said: The masses love those maps. Helps them push certain agendas. Yes it's absolutely concerning when the pro-sun lobby pushes such information using these maps. As a member of the pro-rain/snow coalition I do my best to fight the drought lovers. 2 3 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 16 minutes ago, NWbyNW said: Let's see how this changes. Kind of surprised by the results still. The inch or so places had received by last Tuesday was not really enough to make up the deficit from an almost total lack of rain in September and October. With this atmospheric river most places should be closer to normal by this Tuesday, but I wouldn't be surprised if it takes a couple weeks for the drought monitor to catch up. 3 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 1 hour ago, NWbyNW said: Legit... I am in that little circle with NO precipitation all day. What gives? Literally EVERYWHERE ELSE. Lol! This is almost too funny. Meanwhile up to .73” here on the day, 3.97” for the month…Or I should say for the last 9 days. 1 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 The ground is still soaking up every drop of the 4” I have received over the last 9 days, my drainage ditches are still high and dry. 2 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted October 31, 2022 Author Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Radar starting to fill in here in the south sound for now. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 2 hours ago, RentonHillTC said: ALL COMES DOWN TO THE NEXT FEW FRAMES!!! That's what John Holmes said. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 2 hours ago, NWbyNW said: Legit... I am in that little circle with NO precipitation all day. What gives? Literally EVERYWHERE ELSE. Lol! This is almost too funny. Primarily due to westerly unilateral flow thus enhancing orographic lift over the west slopes. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Been a while since I've been this shadow'd. Literally no measurable precip today, with a few sprinkles after around 2pm or so, not even enough to wet the ground. Thin clouds with sun occasionally peeking through; actually kind of a bright day today, a skiff of a breeze to boot. If I were uninformed, I would have had no guess there was even a storm overhead today. The only inkling is a dark horizon on all directions. 3 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 3 2 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 34 minutes ago, MossMan said: The ground is still soaking up every drop of the 4” I have received over the last 9 days, my drainage ditches are still high and dry. Standing water in my back yard, it just can't handle this much water this fast. Up to 1.2" for the day, 3.96" for the month. I figured out while doing my deck that most of my back yard is clay hard pan, so not sure what I am going to do to fix my drainage issues. 1 1 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 6 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Been a while since I've been this shadow'd. Literally no measurable precip today, with a few sprinkles after around 2pm or so, not even enough to wet the ground. Thin clouds with sun occasionally peeking through; actually kind of a bright day today, a skiff of a breeze to boot. If I were uninformed, I would have had no guess there was even a storm overhead today. The only inkling is a dark horizon on all directions. Bainbridge Island is typically Ground Zero of the donut hole that happens with progressive onshore flow from due west. When I lived there, I got expert at recognizing the pattern, and would cheerfully plan outdoor activities on days modeled to be total washouts for most areas. Sometimes the donut hole would be quite small (small enough that it would be raining in Seattle or Kingston), and you could see areas of rain falling all around the horizon. 2 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnarkyGoblin Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 41 minutes ago, MossMan said: The ground is still soaking up every drop of the 4” I have received over the last 9 days, my drainage ditches are still high and dry. Interesting tidbit. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Here are today's 6-10 and 8-14 day analogs. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 3 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Bainbridge Island is typically Ground Zero of the donut hole that happens with progressive onshore flow from due west. When I lived there, I got expert at recognizing the pattern, and would cheerfully plan outdoor activities on days modeled to be total washouts for most areas. Sometimes the donut hole would be quite small (small enough that it would be raining in Seattle or Kingston), and you could see areas of rain falling all around the horizon. The ol' reliable! It's pretty weird how far south it is today. Not common that I get an all-day shutout. And this is with a relatively small shadow too. 1 1 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 3 minutes ago, Sonny Summers said: Here are today's 6-10 and 8-14 day analogs. Pretty crazy how not amplified everything is on the other side of the planet. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 6 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said: Standing water in my back yard, it just can't handle this much water this fast. Up to 1.2" for the day, 3.96" for the month. I figured out while doing my deck that most of my back yard is clay hard pan, so not sure what I am going to do to fix my drainage issues. A backhoe and drain rock is in your future. I had similar issues here at my place when we first bought the place over 4yrs ago. 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randyc321 Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Finally, we are done with the rain shadow. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 9 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: The ol' reliable! It's pretty weird how far south it is today. Not common that I get an all-day shutout. And this is with a relatively small shadow too. Definitely further south than usual. I'm usually dead in the center of the rain shadow (especially since we get so much southwesterly flow), but since this morning I've been in the thick of the moisture. Depending on what happens in the next 5 hours, this has a chance to be one of my wettest days ever. I think I need another 0.25" or so to make it into my top 10 wettest days. Currently at 1.43". 1 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randyc321 Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 24 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Bainbridge Island is typically Ground Zero of the donut hole that happens with progressive onshore flow from due west. When I lived there, I got expert at recognizing the pattern, and would cheerfully plan outdoor activities on days modeled to be total washouts for most areas. Sometimes the donut hole would be quite small (small enough that it would be raining in Seattle or Kingston), and you could see areas of rain falling all around the horizon. Yep, it can be frustrating. Mostly when it's snowing elsewhere. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 Been telling my guys at work for a couple months that we would have snow in the lowlands this year in November. Looks like the long range is headed in the right direction atleast. 2 6 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 00z GFS in 1 hour 17 minutes What ya guys and gals thinking? As cold as 18z? a total dud? or chilly at times with some rug pull? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 3 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: 00z GFS in 1 hour 17 minutes What ya guys and gals thinking? As cold as 18z? a total dud? or chilly at times with some rug pull? #3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randyc321 Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 34 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Bainbridge Island is typically Ground Zero of the donut hole that happens with progressive onshore flow from due west. When I lived there, I got expert at recognizing the pattern, and would cheerfully plan outdoor activities on days modeled to be total washouts for most areas. Sometimes the donut hole would be quite small (small enough that it would be raining in Seattle or Kingston), and you could see areas of rain falling all around the horizon. BTW, on which part of the island did you live? I am a little bit less than a half a mile North of the ferry dock. Wing Point/Hawley Cove area. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted October 31, 2022 Report Share Posted October 31, 2022 6 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: 00z GFS in 1 hour 17 minutes What ya guys and gals thinking? As cold as 18z? a total dud? or chilly at times with some rug pull? Your going to need those diapers 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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