North_County Posted October 20, 2022 Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 Smoke situation much, much improved over the last hour-ish in Lynden. I see blue sky for the first time since last week. 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted October 20, 2022 Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 After endless days near 70F this is a pretty incredible 7 day forecast. Sunday is going to be shocking for many tourist. 3 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted October 20, 2022 Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 Hey EPS is back on WeTtErZeNtRaLe! Here iz laz nightz for PDex 7 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted October 20, 2022 Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 If BenNollWeather says it, then it may really happen! 5 1 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 20, 2022 Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 10 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: Hey EPS is back on WeTtErZeNtRaLe! Here iz laz nightz for PDex No ridge November! 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 20, 2022 Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 The 12z GFS op run once again proves to be an outlier. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 20, 2022 Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 Just now, DJ Droppin said: No ridge November! Oh there will be plenty…over Alaska and bridging with one in Greenland, locking in the SE ridge feature. 2 4 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 20, 2022 Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 38 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: thats real nice, clark 4 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted October 20, 2022 Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 The November outlook is hot off the presses. Keep in mind the outlook will be updated at the end of this month. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Cats Meow Posted October 20, 2022 Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 Off and on rain showers this morning. A very pleasant surprise. Smoke still hanging around. Might need some wind to move things along. It's definitely coming. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfan2012 Posted October 20, 2022 Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 5 hours ago, Phil said: Earliest freeze in decades here this AM. That 1988 analog is an interesting one, we’ve been following it to a tee since September. Only thing now is we’ve entered a subseasonal +AAM cycle which looks to stick around for at least a couple of weeks, possibly longer. Larry Cosgrove is very bullish on this winter he been talking about it both on twitter and facebook 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Kayla Posted October 20, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 12z EPS is beautiful! Pattern with NW flow looks to stay locked in for the foreseeable future. Some hints of GOA blocking as we head into November as well. 9 1 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted October 20, 2022 Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 6 minutes ago, MossMan said: almost time to dust off this movie. Come 11/1 its game on for christmas movies in my house. 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post RentonHill Posted October 20, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 3 minutes ago, Kayla said: 12z EPS is beautiful! Pattern with NW flow looks to stay locked in for the foreseeable future. Some hints of GOA blocking as we head into November as well. 8 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted October 20, 2022 Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 also coming 11/1 is my wxbell sub. Time to shell out for that again. Miss looking through the entire suite of maps they have. Bastardi is who he is but I do like to listen to his ideas. Their Pioneer Model is pretty interesting too. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 20, 2022 Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 Some cracks in the -ENSO armor already manifesting. This is a significant deposition of AAM in the tropics, which will likely propagate poleward with time. 2 1 2 1 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted October 20, 2022 Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 Smoke is rapidly clearing here. Now onto clouds that are rapidly increasing. 66 degrees. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshua Lake Oswego Posted October 20, 2022 Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 27 minutes ago, Sonny Summers said: The November outlook is hot off the presses. Keep in mind the outlook will be updated at the end of this month. Is that the same CPC that issued this comically incorrect October forecast last month? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 20, 2022 Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 Smoke is really trying to lift out in Bellingham... 8 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 20, 2022 Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 19 minutes ago, Phil said: Some cracks in the -ENSO armor already manifesting. This is a significant deposition of AAM in the tropics, which will likely propagate poleward with time. Not good... Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted October 20, 2022 Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Not good... How does this impact our weather? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 20, 2022 Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 Just now, SouthHillFrosty said: How does this impact our weather? Flips the PNA back to positive which I believe means the Arctic goodies all end up out east and there is little action here. Hopefully it'll still be exciting tho. I think there will be fun for everyone even if it's brief. 3 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 20, 2022 Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 So close! Yet so far away. 2 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted October 20, 2022 Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 4 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Flips the PNA back to positive which I believe means the Arctic goodies all end up out east and there is little action here. Hopefully it'll still be exciting tho. I think there will be fun for everyone even if it's brief. The PNA has been positive for a while now in the first place! It has finally started to take the nosedive to the -PNA. 3 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted October 20, 2022 Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 5 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Flips the PNA back to positive which I believe means the Arctic goodies all end up out east and there is little action here. Hopefully it'll still be exciting tho. I think there will be fun for everyone even if it's brief. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted October 20, 2022 Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 CPC now has highlighted another storm to the Days 8-14 outlooks! It's now extended to November 1st for the Heavy Rainfall (Heavy Snow for the Mountains) for the PNW! 4 1 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mtep Posted October 20, 2022 Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 13 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Smoke is really trying to lift out in Bellingham... Its looking a LOT better here now. Blue skies above and the sun finally looks normal. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted October 20, 2022 Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 19 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said: Is that the same CPC that issued this comically incorrect October forecast last month? That's not the updated one. They do an update at the end of the month. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 20, 2022 Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 5 minutes ago, Iceresistance said: The PNA has been positive for a while now in the first place! It has finally started to take the nosedive to the -PNA. This wouldn't affect things much until late Nov it would flip back to positive after a brief negative period, which is shitty because late Nov is when I hope things start really ramping up in the Arctic air dept here. Just seems like a -PNA is rarely negative for prolonged periods while it will be positive for extended stretches. Frustrating if that's indeed how it works. 4 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 20, 2022 Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 I have no concerns. We'll transition to neutral after Christmas, then maybe a Nino in the Spring. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted October 20, 2022 Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 Still bad 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshua Lake Oswego Posted October 20, 2022 Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, Sonny Summers said: That's not the updated one. They do an update at the end of the month. Well yea, but that's cheating. We knew at that time that the first couple of weeks of October were going to absolutely torch. The point is that the one issued today is close to the time of the month they initially issued the October forecast and we can see how that tuned out. The bigger point is... don't put a lot of stock in monthly or seasonal forecasts. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 20, 2022 Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 Just now, DJ Droppin said: I have no concerns. We'll transition to neutral after Christmas, then maybe a Nino in the Spring. The issue here would be the atmospheric configuration and system state throwing a goddam wrench into the plan. 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted October 20, 2022 Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 1 minute ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said: Well yea, but that's cheating. We knew at that time that the first couple of weeks of October were going to absolutely torch. The point is that the one issued today is close to the time of the month they initially issued the October forecast and we can see how that tuned out. The bigger point is... don't put a lot of stock in monthly or seasonal forecasts. They'll update it again. It's not perfect. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted October 20, 2022 Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 I've been watching the SOI index, it's down to +1.61 on the daily calculation. The La Nina is still there on the 30-day and 90-day averages. 2 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted October 20, 2022 Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 5 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: The issue here would be the atmospheric configuration and system state throwing a goddam wrench into the plan. Euro weeklies say....trust the process 9 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted October 20, 2022 Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 3 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: I have no concerns. We'll transition to neutral after Christmas, then maybe a Nino in the Spring. We might even do better with a weaker niña. The Pac jet seems to be on 'roids during the stronger events. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Kolk1604 Posted October 20, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 9 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 20, 2022 Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 The oceanic aspect of things is fine. I just get concerned with that notion of an atmospheric flip back to a +PNA for an extended period independent of the ONI. But I agree that things will probly be fine. And we will all see something fun. I'm still all in. 5 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted October 20, 2022 Report Share Posted October 20, 2022 3 2 1 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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