October 2022 PNW weather Discussion. + Ultimate Leg Reveal Extravaganza

[TigerWoodsLibido]

19 minutes ago, Sonny Summers said:

Can you imagine the traffic on this site if something like that transpires?

Lol it's going to be insanity on here this winter. An absolute gala.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

17 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

It would be like 2019 all over again. We had two or three threads by the end of February 

Yup, like 3 of the threads were exclusively the multiple snow events for the region.

[MossMan]

5 minutes ago, Sonny Summers said:

Your January forecast will probably happen.

Probably the only month where I will be remotely correct lol! 

[Doinko]

5 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

January is due MBG. I doubt the string of Januarys underperforming will continue and I doubt Feb will continue to produce big snowstorms. Law of averages 

 

https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/momentum-isnt-magic-vindicating-the-hot-hand-with-the-mathematics-of-streaks/

I had 14.5" of snow in January 2017 so that was nice but yeah a regionally cold and snowy January would be nice.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

The plan is still in play.

[Doinko]

14 minutes ago, MossMan said:

My guess for winter…

November: windstorm, flooding, snow.

December: flooding, snow, windstorm. 

January: Dry/smoky, with highs in the 70’s. 

February: Snow.

March: Wet snow that will destroy my carport again. 

 

Windstorm of the century in December!

[Doinko]

22 minutes ago, Iceresistance said:

It got crazy in February 2021 and 2022 on my other weather forum

February 2022 was good there?

[Iceresistance]

Just now, Doiinko said:

February 2022 was good there?

Yes, it also blew up, but nothing compared to what February 2021 did.

[Gradient Keeper]

21 minutes ago, NWbyNW said:

Seven day streak for @DJ Droppin!  Wooo!  Whatever you are doing, you're doing it right! Congrats! 

 

 

Thanks for the acknowledgment, I'm just surprised my jibberish has garnished such a lofty reputation. LOL I mean compared to other members I feel I'm just kind of your average, normal run of the mill poster. In my humble opinion many others here are far more vital with exceptional knowledge and insight.

00z GFS in 5 hours 18 minutes

[Iceresistance]

2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Thanks for the acknowledgment, I'm just surprised my jibberish has garnished such a lofty reputation. LOL I mean compared to other members I feel I'm just kind of your average, normal run of the mill poster. In my humble opinion many others here are far more vital with exceptional knowledge and insight.

00z GFS in 5 hours 18 minutes

Here's something even crazier and I have no bragging intentions because I checked the stats. You're #1 for the entire month of October by a huge margin!

[Sonny Summers]

5 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Thanks for the acknowledgment, I'm just surprised my jibberish has garnished such a lofty reputation. LOL I mean compared to other members I feel I'm just kind of your average, normal run of the mill poster. In my humble opinion many others here are far more vital with exceptional knowledge and insight.

00z GFS in 5 hours 18 minutes

Here is an imaginary award.🎖

[Jbolin]

1 hour ago, DJ Droppin said:

Is that what I am now? I have been diminished to that? Devolve from what I once was? My reputation has been completely shot now!

00z ECMWF in 8 hours 36 minutes

First of all, you're reading into it too much.

Secondly, you need to stop hanging around that unsavory bastard (whom shall not be named), he's corrupting you.

It's not your fault he's going to be all alone in the Bering Sea this winter, screw him.

Thricely?, (thirdly) You da' man and I'm in no way tryi....Wait, why the hell am I trying to defend myself to you when it's that "salty" bastard in the 70's era raincoat that sullied your rep.

F*** this, I'm outta here!

 

[Deweydog]

CNN IS ON BOARD

https://www.cnn.com/2022/10/20/weather/winter-outlook-cold-forecast/index.html

[Gradient Keeper]

1 minute ago, Sonny Summers said:

Here is an imaginary award.🎖

Wow. Thanks so much. I'm going to put this on my real shelf in my real bedroom next to all of my other imaginary awards and medals. You should see the growing collection! I knew one day I'd make my Momma proud if she could only see them.

[RentonHill]

4 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

CNN IS ON BOARD

https://www.cnn.com/2022/10/20/weather/winter-outlook-cold-forecast/index.html

[TacomaWx]

61 in Tacoma after a low of 45. Smoke is still here in puyallup…hopefully it’s mostly gone by the time I come back outside for lunch. 

[Gradient Keeper]

2 minutes ago, JBolin said:

First of all, you're reading into it too much.

Secondly, you need to stop hanging around that unsavory bastard (whom shall not be named), he's corrupting you.

It's not your fault he's going to be all alone in the Bering Sea this winter, screw him.

Thricely?, (thirdly) You da' man and I'm in no way tryi....Wait, why the hell am I trying to defend myself to you when it's that "salty" bastard in the 70's era raincoat that sullied your rep.

F*** this, I'm outta here!

 

Mr. Gorton's is very influential. This is sound advice that I appreciate. We'd be better off if he was still in the old folks home, but @Sonny Summers broke him out recently. Chaos will only ensue now.

[Jbolin]

2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Mr. Gorton's is very influential. This is sound advice that I appreciate. We'd be better off if he was still in the old folks home, but @Sonny Summers broke him out recently. Chaos will only ensue now.

I swear to god, if he starts assaulting the staff and pinching nurses a**es, we're going have to tranq him.

If he can't be controlled and wont "steer" us to an epic winter then we'll have no choice but to go "Billy Bats" on the old f*****

 

[Gradient Keeper]

19 minutes ago, Iceresistance said:

Here's something even crazier and I have no bragging intentions because I checked the stats. You're #1 for the entire month of October by a huge margin!

How? I guess.

* Reads acceptance speech *

"I would like to thank everyone. All of the weather geeks, geekstresses on this forum, in my PDX WX Analysis FB group, and Fox12 Weather Blog for their encouragement. I'd like to thank my fan club, my Momma and Daddy for raising me to be a freaking geek(apparently?), all of the meteorologists and their infinite wisdom that I've half way absorbed over the years. I'd like to thank The Weather Channel back when they kicked ass with infectious local forecast music, and lastly I'd like to thank Wilford Brimley, wait Willard Scott. I ALWAYS GET OATMEAL guys mixed up! Nah. This must be a computer error, or I paid off Fred very handsomely. I mean, how is that even remotely possible? I hope this doesn't inflate my ego and then I end up acting like some arrogant prick."

00z ECMWF (Halloween) in 247 hours 9 minutes

[Rubus Leucodermis]

At last!

Many areas are still bad, but better air seems to be slowly working its way into the metro area from west to east.

[Doinko]

Rather than the two ridges merging it looks like one cuts off and goes over us for a short amount of time on the 18z GFS

[Sonny Summers]

30 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Mr. Gorton's is very influential. This is sound advice that I appreciate. We'd be better off if he was still in the old folks home, but @Sonny Summers broke him out recently. Chaos will only ensue now.

Mea culpa. It's all my fault. I accept full and complete responsibility for my questionable actions. He offered me a lifetime supply of fish sticks. Who could resist an offer like that? And he had a razor sharp machete pressed against the main artery in my neck. I'm sure that helped a little bit.

[Doinko]

Just now, Doiinko said:

Rather than the two ridges merging it looks like one cuts off and goes over us for a short amount of time on the 18z GFS

Another trough drops in after that though

[Iceresistance]

9 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

How? I guess.

00z ECMWF (Halloween) in 247 hours 9 minutes

I'll give you a stat, it's over 400!

[joelgombiner]

It's coming. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

12 minutes ago, Doiinko said:

Rather than the two ridges merging it looks like one cuts off and goes over us for a short amount of time on the 18z GFS

The goodies will come.

[Gradient Keeper]

9 minutes ago, joelgombiner said:

It's coming. 

She's a beaut, Clark!

[Iceresistance]

9 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

The goodies will come.

Yes! It will! Lots of snow in the mountains and rainfall in the lower elevations up to 10 days out!

[Doinko]

[Doinko]

This looks fun!

[Anti Marine Layer]

47 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

[Iceresistance]

2 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

I'm like "Well, here we go, we must prepare for the storm"

[Cloud]

1 hour ago, Sonny Summers said:

Can you imagine the traffic on this site if something like that transpires?

 

1 hour ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

It would be like 2019 all over again. We had two or three threads by the end of February 

Yes... it can be imagined and it got there. 

 

It took us 6 days to get to 153 pages and almost 8k posts. 

 

We ended the second threat at 179 pages and 9k posts. 

 

There was a week missing somewhere between the 6th and the 13th that probably had another thread. 

The first week of that month was probably the most wild. Almost impossible to catch up. 

[Doinko]

2 minutes ago, Cloud said:

 

Yes... it can be imagined and it got there. 

 

It took us 6 days to get to 153 pages and almost 8k posts. 

 

We ended the second threat at 179 pages and 9k posts. 

 

There was a week missing somewhere between the 6th and the 13th that probably had another thread. 

The first week of that month was probably the most wild. Almost impossible to catch up. 

I had a grand total of 4" of snow that month! Most of it on the 25th

[Anti Marine Layer]

9 minutes ago, Cloud said:

 

Yes... it can be imagined and it got there. 

 

It took us 6 days to get to 153 pages and almost 8k posts. 

 

We ended the second threat at 179 pages and 9k posts. 

 

There was a week missing somewhere between the 6th and the 13th that probably had another thread. 

The first week of that month was probably the most wild. Almost impossible to catch up. 

February 2019 was cold even in LA, where it failed to reach 70. May 2019 was also cold there as the high averaged below 70.

[Iceresistance]

Well, I know that the hype train is about to start!

[Gradient Keeper]

Hmmm, where's Brett Anderson's outlooks with his outstanding crayon artistry?

[NWbyNW]

We got advisories popping up along the Washington and Oregon coasts!  Some decent wind events headed their way on top of the 8-10 foot swells.  Should be a windy weekend for Westport, Aberdeen, and the like.  

[Iceresistance]

3 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

Hmmm, where's Brett Anderson's outlooks with his outstanding crayon artistry?

OMG! You broke the screen!

[NWbyNW]

Just the smoke... mostly.