October 2022 PNW weather Discussion. + Ultimate Leg Reveal Extravaganza

[Phil]

40 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

 

Those were all bonafide El Niño years, though.

End of October could still change things up. Though in the grand scheme of things, this doesn’t look like a winter that’ll have a strong pacific jet.

[snow_wizard]

22 minutes ago, Phil said:

So maybe you’re due for climo.

It almost never works that way after something this whacked out.  Most cases that are anything like this came out of it with either abnormal cold or a deluge.

[snow_wizard]

22 minutes ago, Phil said:

Those were all bonafide El Niño years, though.

End of October could still change things up. Though in the grand scheme of things, this doesn’t look like a winter that’ll have a strong pacific jet.

I honestly can't decide whether I am more annoyed or intrigued by all of this.  We are way out on the fringes of anything that has ever happened in the period of record right now.

[Phil]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Flowers and vegetables picked today... just keeps going.    So much more still coming. 

I hope you’re not using that stove when “the big one” hits.

[snow_wizard]

Oh great!  The weenie king is here again.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

12 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I honestly can't decide whether I am more annoyed or intrigued by all of this.  We are way out on the fringes of anything that has ever happened in the period of record right now.

I’m intrigued. Why not. 

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I’m intrigued. Why not. 

I'm leaning that way myself.  This could lead to something epic.

[MossMan]

15 minutes ago, Phil said:

I hope you’re not using that stove when “the big one” hits.

Why? 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

17 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Oh great!  The weenie king is here again.

The more you complain about it, the more he gets the reaction he desires.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 hour ago, snow_wizard said:

All Ninos too.  Things are really messed up right now.

It’s why I suspect a very Niño-like winter is coming for us.

[Kayla]

6 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Why? 

Because of all the stone work above the stove.

[snow_wizard]

4 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

The more you complain about it, the more he gets the reaction he desires.

I suppose.

[MossMan]

This winter is going to be WILD! The festivities will begin the first week of November. Flooding rains, then a major arctic event, then a windstorm for the ages! Christmas will be sunny with highs around 50. January will be epic, then early spring by the second week of February. 

[snow_wizard]

3 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

It’s why I suspect a very Niño-like winter is coming for us.

That wouldn't make sense, but anything is possible.  We are still going to have La Nina forcing in the tropics.  The only Nina that ever acted like a true Nino was 1933-34 and that was a way different context than this year.

[MossMan]

2 minutes ago, Kayla said:

Because of all the stone work above the stove.

Ahhhh!  I didn’t look that closely lol. 

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

This winter is going to be WILD! The festivities will begin the first week of November. Flooding rains, then a major arctic event, then a windstorm for the ages! Christmas will be sunny with highs around 50. January will be epic, then early spring by the second week of February. 

Past history says it could well be January this time.  

[Rubus Leucodermis]

3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

That wouldn't make sense, but anything is possible.  We are still going to have La Nina forcing in the tropics.  The only Nina that ever acted like a true Nino was 1933-34 and that was a way different context than this year.

I don't think it will necessarily be Niño-like everywhere, but I think it will be here. I.e. milder and drier than normal.

[TT-SEA]

6 minutes ago, Kayla said:

Because of all the stone work above the stove.

Guessing a person could just step back when they feel rumbling.   But if its that bad then we have much bigger problems!

[TT-SEA]

6 minutes ago, MossMan said:

This winter is going to be WILD! The festivities will begin the first week of November. Flooding rains, then a major arctic event, then a windstorm for the ages! Christmas will be sunny with highs around 50. January will be epic, then early spring by the second week of February. 

Few weeks of crazy weather and then lets get onto spring in February... try something totally different!  

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

I don't think it will necessarily be Niño-like everywhere, but I think it will be here. I.e. milder and drier than normal.

Least likely outcome, but you never know.  I hope you're wrong, but will give you a gold star if you're right.

[Kayla]

7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Guessing a person could just step back when they feel rumbling.   But if its that bad then we have much bigger problems!

I will say to his defense they usually begin with a sudden drop or thud feeling (as if someone dropped something heavy in the house) then the rolling motion. At least for the small ones cause that’s all I’ve ever felt! But yeah, pretty unlikely the stone work just comes crashing down immediately.

[MV_snow]

The patterns have been nothing but stubborn recently, so when it flips it could flip hard to cold and stormy and stay that way for a while. Hopefully through January, ending with an epic blast and snow for all!

[MV_snow]

39 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Oh great!  The weenie king is here again.

Cascadia seems like an equal opportunity weenie king so I don’t think you’re getting singled out or anything. That said, there’s no predicting which posts he’ll downvote or weenie… like Tim’s vegetables lol.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

29 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I'm leaning that way myself.  This could lead to something epic.

My mind says no but my heart says yes!

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, Kayla said:

I will say to his defense they usually begin with a sudden drop or thud feeling (as if someone dropped something heavy in the house) then the rolling motion. At least for the small ones cause that’s all I’ve ever felt! But yeah, pretty unlikely the stone work just comes crashing down immediately.

My experience has been the sound of rumbling in the distance and then it starts shaking.   But I have only experienced 3 or 4 that I distinctly remember.  The biggest being the Northridge quake in 1994 which happened at 4:30 a.m. and was my first.   I could hear that one coming and it woke me up about 1/2 a second before it literally shook us out of bed.   I was sure it was centered in San Diego based on the intense shaking and was surprised to find out it was 150 miles away.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

My question is what is the point of responding to weenies and downvotes?

[Meatyorologist]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

My question is what is the point of responding to weenies and downvotes?

I wear the wieners like a badge of honor.

[TT-SEA]

13 minutes ago, MV_snow said:

Cascadia seems like an equal opportunity weenie king so I don’t think you’re getting singled out or anything. That said, there’s no predicting which posts he’ll downvote or weenie… like Tim’s vegetables lol.

I always imagine him throwing a little hissy fit and lashing out with reactions like a petulant child.    That will teach us to not have the exact same opinions as him.   

Its really silly but I like it when he is handing out negative reactions to every post. 

[Kayla]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

My experience has been the sound of rumbling in the distance and then it starts shaking.   But I have only experienced 3 or 4 that I distinctly remember.  The biggest being the Northridge quake in 1994 which happened at 4:30 a.m. and was my first.   I could hear that one coming and it woke me up about 1/2 a second before it literally shook us out of bed.   I was sure it was centered in San Diego based on the intense shaking and was surprised to find out it was 150 miles away.

We had a 5.8 near Helena in July 2017 that woke us up with a thud then the roll motion. Of course all the YNP ones as well but it’s usually just a small thud with those and no roll. I was also in Christchurch NZ in 2012 working and the aftershocks there were no joke! Still the same anvil drop sensation and sound before the roll. 

[Kayla]

12 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

My mind says no but my heart says yes!

Spoken like a true weenie!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Nice 69F right now. A bit smoky.

[TacomaWx]

This place is gonna go crazy…when the first real rainstorm shows up. Forget snowstorms lol. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

21 minutes ago, Kayla said:

I will say to his defense they usually begin with a sudden drop or thud feeling (as if someone dropped something heavy in the house) then the rolling motion. At least for the small ones cause that’s all I’ve ever felt! But yeah, pretty unlikely the stone work just comes crashing down immediately.

It depends on how far from the epicenter you are. If there is some distance, then yes, that is the case. What you have felt is the p-waves (compressional), which travel faster than the s-waves (transverse). The latter carry most of the energy, so the former can serve as a warning. I have felt the same thing (When it happened, I spent a few seconds wondering “was that a p-wave?” before I found out the answer was YES.)

[Rubus Leucodermis]

9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I always imagine him throwing a little hissy fit and lashing out with reactions like a petulant child.    That will teach us to not have the exact same opinions as him.   

Its really silly but I like it when he is handing out negative reactions to every post. 

I find it amusing more than anything else. What, I’m supposed to get all bent out of shape because someone on an obscure weather forum gave my post a weenie react? It is to laugh.

[Phil]

21 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

My experience has been the sound of rumbling in the distance and then it starts shaking.   But I have only experienced 3 or 4 that I distinctly remember.  The biggest being the Northridge quake in 1994 which happened at 4:30 a.m. and was my first.   I could hear that one coming and it woke me up about 1/2 a second before it literally shook us out of bed.   I was sure it was centered in San Diego based on the intense shaking and was surprised to find out it was 150 miles away.

That’s how the 2011 quake started here. Heard it before I felt it. Thought it was a low flying chopper or construction at first, then stuff started shaking and I noped the f**k outside.

Of course that was only a 5.9. Can’t imagine what a 7+ would feel like. And hopefully never will.

[Kayla]

5 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

This place is gonna go crazy…when the first real rainstorm shows up. Forget snowstorms lol. 

I almost posted this when it started raining in Portland last week! You guys were just so excited! I'll expect the same reactions when it rains in Seattle finally.

 

[Kayla]

12 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

It depends on how far from the epicenter you are. If there is some distance, then yes, that is the case. What you have felt is the p-waves (compressional), which travel faster than the s-waves (transverse). The latter carry most of the energy, so the former can serve as a warning. I have felt the same thing (When it happened, I spent a few seconds wondering “was that a p-wave?” before I found out the answer was YES.)

Thanks for the explanation, that makes total sense! Pretty neat in a terrifying way haha.

[Joshua Lake Oswego]

28 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

This place is gonna go crazy…when the first real rainstorm shows up. Forget snowstorms lol. 

Heck, I might call in sick.

[Cascadia_Wx]

47 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

I wear the wieners like a badge of honor.

I don’t think I ever really weenie or downvote you, or many others on here. Only those who deserve it.

[Cloud]

Not really a fan favorite around here but we are pulling some remarkable weather around here for this time of the year. We haven't had an 80F weather in decades and now pulled out 75+F weather for the first time ever in October. Love it or hate it, I think you gotta appreciate this anomalous stretch. We should be in the mid-60s for this time of year, so this is quite an extreme we're dealing with.