snow_wizard Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Just now, SouthHillFrosty said: When should we start postings Judahโs machine learning weather algo forecast again I seem to recall something about this last winter, and it was less than perfect. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! ย Winter 2023-24 stats ย Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 ย Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Low of 37 CVO 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 1 hour ago, ShawniganLake said: I canโt imagine how cold of a winter we are going to see when Jim finally moves! I'll probably move to a place that would be brutally cold if there is a killer winter here.ย That might cancel the effect. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! ย Winter 2023-24 stats ย Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 ย Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randyc321 Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Here we go!ย This is the storm track that delivers the best rains to the peninsula. The radar is looking juicy too. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 The GFS shows a number of nights that will have freezing min temps in the Western Lowlands. 7 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! ย Winter 2023-24 stats ย Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 ย Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 21 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: That guy is a total buzz kill.ย He is from east of the Rockies though.ย Maybe some weenie going on here? He went into total East Coast weenie mode when the Western cold pattern in the latter half of last December started manifesting. (And that was after several winters of the East cashing in on most of the best cold patterns.) 3 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 8 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: He went into total East Coast weenie mode when the Western cold pattern in the latter half of last December started manifesting. (And that was after several winters of the East cashing in on most of the best cold patterns.) it was super Lolz 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 18 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: He went into total East Coast weenie mode when the Western cold pattern in the latter half of last December started manifesting. (And that was after several winters of the East cashing in on most of the best cold patterns.) In this case we have every model showing the trough will be in the West.ย Just stunning he would go against that! 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! ย Winter 2023-24 stats ย Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 ย Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: In this case we have every model showing the trough will be in the West.ย Just stunning he would go against that! he totally loaded hotdogs into the algorithm of his 'learning' model 2 6 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 The GEM is purdy.ย Nice shot of continental cold. BTW a cold snap in early November would line up pretty well with some really nice winters.ย 1936 is one year that has caught my eye for various reasons this year, and this advertised cold snap would be another match. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! ย Winter 2023-24 stats ย Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 ย Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 I know most of you ya-hoos on here have never followed nor likely ever come across this local Twitter account. However last night after seven years and nearly four thousand followers, they decided to abruptly shut down the account without any reason nor indication. For those unaware, this account was an "institution" of sorts throughout western washington going back to the winter of 2015. Their insight coupled with the embedded humour is what made the account so quirky, likable and informative. And it showed in the responses from folks in the tweet thread with many folks expressing their disbelief. Many were shocked at the news (myself included) and cannot fathom why, all of a sudden, such an established and go-to local weather account would just "go away"? Especially considering they had some of the biggest name followers across the country in the weather community. Hopefully they return again. 1 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 2 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said: he totally loaded hotdogs into the algorithm of his 'learning' model It should be called the EWM.ย Eastern Weenie Model. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! ย Winter 2023-24 stats ย Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 ย Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 1 minute ago, JBolin said: I know most of you ya-hoos on here have never followed nor likely ever come across this local Twitter account. However last night after seven years and nearly four thousand followers, they decided to abruptly shut down the account without any reason nor indication. For those unaware, this account was an "institution" of sorts throughout western washington going back to the winter of 2015. Their insight coupled with the embedded humour is what made the account so quirky, likable and informative. And it showed in the responses from folks in the tweet thread with many folks expressing their disbelief. Many were shocked at the news (myself included) and cannot fathom why, all of a sudden, such an established and go-to local weather account would just "go away"? Especially considering they had some of the biggest name followers across the country in the weather community. Hopefully they return again. How bizarre.ย I'm very surprised they weren't more widely known on this forum.ย I have to admit I had no idea they existed.ย Why would they give such a vague farewell?ย Let us know if you find out more. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! ย Winter 2023-24 stats ย Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 ย Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Forum acting super slow for anyone else?ย 1 1 Quote Elevation 580โ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth!ย Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 8 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: In this case we have every model showing the trough will be in the West.ย Just stunning he would go against that! On the Canadian forum, last Decemberโs antics from him led to a standing joke about the โJudah model.โ 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fubario Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Can I take Tim's lack board participation lately as a sign we won't be seeing any death ridges in the short and immediate future? Asking for a friend. 4 1 1 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fubario Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Just now, fubario said: Can I take Tim's lack board participation lately as a sign we won't be seeing any death ridges in the short and immediate future? Asking for a friend. *Intermediateย 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 GFS wants to throw us a bone with some cold air last week of Oct. going into early Nov.ย Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 18 minutes ago, fubario said: Can I take Tim's lack board participation lately as a sign we won't be seeing any death ridges in the short and immediate future? Asking for a friend. Been very busy... but I don't usually cheer for ridging from Nov-Feb because it either ends up being foggy/cold or very wet in the case of flat ridging.ย ย I don't really have a horse in the race at this time of year.ย ย Its all about the warm season for me.ย I am not tracking the models real closely until cold/snow comes into the picture... other than to check the timing of rain events. Also... we will be in Florida for part of November and that trip is coming up fast. 2 1 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 22 minutes ago, JBolin said: I know most of you ya-hoos on here have never followed nor likely ever come across this local Twitter account. However last night after seven years and nearly four thousand followers, they decided to abruptly shut down the account without any reason nor indication. For those unaware, this account was an "institution" of sorts throughout western washington going back to the winter of 2015. Their insight coupled with the embedded humour is what made the account so quirky, likable and informative. And it showed in the responses from folks in the tweet thread with many folks expressing their disbelief. Many were shocked at the news (myself included) and cannot fathom why, all of a sudden, such an established and go-to local weather account would just "go away"? Especially considering they had some of the biggest name followers across the country in the weather community. Hopefully they return again. Yea Iโve know him for years and we follow each other on twitter. Ik he has been battling illnesses the last couple months so that might be a factor. Also, they have left before in the past for a couple periods and came back if my memory is correct.ย 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted October 25, 2022 Author Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Got down to 47 this morningโฆ50 currently and should be raining here within the next hour based on radar.ย 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randyc321 Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Somebodyโs enjoying the green maple leaves falling. ย 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 4 hours ago, Kolk1604 said: I'll take the very cold in Western North America part ย It was tough, but I found a picture of Judah's super secret weather model.ย 3 1 3 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Finding a Halloween costume can be stressful, because we all live such busy lives, so I have gone to the trouble of finding Judah a costume. I think it would be perfect for him. What do you guys think? 1 1 3 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Looks like we made it down to 41F. Airport got there much faster than we did in town as it didn't drop below 46F here until after midnight so that's a very misleading number compared to the city proper and the SE valley. 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Janย 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Janย 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24ย (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4ย (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25โ Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024ย (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 ย Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 7 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Looks like we made it down to 41F. Airport got there much faster than we did in town as it didn't drop below 46F here until after midnight so that's a very misleading number compared to the city proper and the SE valley. Hasnโt been colder than 44ยฐF at my place yet. Expect that to change in the next week or so. 1 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 5 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Hasnโt been colder than 44ยฐF at my place yet. Expect that to change in the next week or so. Very good bet there.ย I'm surprised you haven't gotten lower than that so far. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! ย Winter 2023-24 stats ย Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 ย Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 54 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Yea Iโve know him for years and we follow each other on twitter. Ik he has been battling illnesses the last couple months so that might be a factor. Also, they have left before in the past for a couple periods and came back if my memory is correct.ย Illnesses, like what? I wonder if that's the reason why.ย Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 The ECMWF handles the progression a bit differently on this run, but still looks good.ย It shows the second incarnation of the block being the bigger deal whereas the GFS and GEM shows the first one being the coldest. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! ย Winter 2023-24 stats ย Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 ย Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Just now, JBolin said: Illnesses, like what? I wonder if that's the reason why.ย Not sure but I think if you go through their twitter a few months back I recall them talking about about significant stint in the hospital.ย Not sure if they divulged but as soon as I saw that tweet shared I thought it was health related. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Just now, JBolin said: Illnesses, like what? I wonder if that's the reason why.ย Reading his post again it sounds like it could be health related. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! ย Winter 2023-24 stats ย Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 ย Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Massive block theme continues on the 12z Euro. 7 2 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ยบF Coldest daily low: -42ยบF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground:ย https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 This could evolve well. 6 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Janย 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Janย 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24ย (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4ย (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25โ Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024ย (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 ย Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 57 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Yea Iโve know him for years and we follow each other on twitter. Ik he has been battling illnesses the last couple months so that might be a factor. Also, they have left before in the past for a couple periods and came back if my memory is correct.ย ย 1 hour ago, JBolin said: I know most of you ya-hoos on here have never followed nor likely ever come across this local Twitter account. However last night after seven years and nearly four thousand followers, they decided to abruptly shut down the account without any reason nor indication. For those unaware, this account was an "institution" of sorts throughout western washington going back to the winter of 2015. Their insight coupled with the embedded humour is what made the account so quirky, likable and informative. And it showed in the responses from folks in the tweet thread with many folks expressing their disbelief. Many were shocked at the news (myself included) and cannot fathom why, all of a sudden, such an established and go-to local weather account would just "go away"? Especially considering they had some of the biggest name followers across the country in the weather community. Hopefully they return again. Maybe he'll be back..ย he has stepped away from his account before... And responding to the bolded part as to why,ย this time is a more serious matter because if you dig a bit deep into it on his own thread, you'll see that he was apparently reported for "being suicidal." The most messed up part about it is that he never made such reference ever on his account to be reported like that. Regardless, it's a shame and if he doesn't come back, best of luck to him.ย 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Mountain snow on the EC 4 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Janย 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Janย 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24ย (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4ย (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25โ Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024ย (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 ย Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 6 minutes ago, JBolin said: Illnesses, like what? I wonder if that's the reason why.ย He battled a severe case of covid in early Sept. that resulted him being in the ER for weeks. He was being very transparent about it on this twitter account.ย 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Look at that sexy gradient. 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Janย 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Janย 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24ย (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4ย (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25โ Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024ย (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 ย Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: This could evolve well. Potential for something great.ย Past history tells us Nov 10 or so is when things can really nail us, although 1935 actually got us pretty good in late October. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! ย Winter 2023-24 stats ย Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 ย Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Terreboner Posted October 25, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 Lots of new members joining today.ย Count me in as well!!! ย ย ย 11 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 25, 2022 Report Share Posted October 25, 2022 4 minutes ago, Cloud said: ย Maybe he'll be back..ย he has stepped away from his account before... And responding to the bolded part as to why,ย this time is a more serious matter because if you dig a bit deep into it on his own thread, you'll see that he was apparently reported for "being suicidal." The most messed up part about it is that he never made such reference ever on his account to be reported like that. Regardless, it's a shame and if he doesn't come back, best of luck to him.ย No doubt some weather fanatics can be on the edge mentally.ย I've never gotten to that point, but I've gotten into some dark places over this and other stuff. 2 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! ย Winter 2023-24 stats ย Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 ย Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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