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October 2022 PNW weather Discussion. + Ultimate Leg Reveal Extravaganza


TacomaWx

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Just now, SouthHillFrosty said:

When should we start postings Judahโ€™s machine learning weather algo forecast again๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚๐Ÿ˜‚

I seem to recall something about this last winter, and it was less than perfect.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

ย 

Winter 2023-24 stats

ย 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

ย 

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1 hour ago, ShawniganLake said:

I canโ€™t imagine how cold of a winter we are going to see when Jim finally moves!

I'll probably move to a place that would be brutally cold if there is a killer winter here.ย  That might cancel the effect.

  • lol 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

ย 

Winter 2023-24 stats

ย 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

ย 

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The GFS shows a number of nights that will have freezing min temps in the Western Lowlands.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

ย 

Winter 2023-24 stats

ย 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

ย 

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21 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

That guy is a total buzz kill.ย  He is from east of the Rockies though.ย  Maybe some weenie going on here?

He went into total East Coast weenie mode when the Western cold pattern in the latter half of last December started manifesting. (And that was after several winters of the East cashing in on most of the best cold patterns.)

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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8 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

He went into total East Coast weenie mode when the Western cold pattern in the latter half of last December started manifesting. (And that was after several winters of the East cashing in on most of the best cold patterns.)

it was super Lolz

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18 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

He went into total East Coast weenie mode when the Western cold pattern in the latter half of last December started manifesting. (And that was after several winters of the East cashing in on most of the best cold patterns.)

In this case we have every model showing the trough will be in the West.ย  Just stunning he would go against that!

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

ย 

Winter 2023-24 stats

ย 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

ย 

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The GEM is purdy.ย  Nice shot of continental cold.

BTW a cold snap in early November would line up pretty well with some really nice winters.ย  1936 is one year that has caught my eye for various reasons this year, and this advertised cold snap would be another match.

  • Like 3

Death To Warm Anomalies!

ย 

Winter 2023-24 stats

ย 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

ย 

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I know most of you ya-hoos on here have never followed nor likely ever come across this local Twitter account. However last night after seven years and nearly four thousand followers, they decided to abruptly shut down the account without any reason nor indication.

For those unaware, this account was an "institution" of sorts throughout western washington going back to the winter of 2015. Their insight coupled with the embedded humour is what made the account so quirky, likable and informative. And it showed in the responses from folks in the tweet thread with many folks expressing their disbelief.

Many were shocked at the news (myself included) and cannot fathom why, all of a sudden, such an established and go-to local weather account would just "go away"?

Especially considering they had some of the biggest name followers across the country in the weather community.

Hopefully they return again.

Screenshot_20221025-102937_Twitter.jpg

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2 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

he totally loaded hotdogs into the algorithm of his 'learning' model

It should be called the EWM.ย  Eastern Weenie Model.

  • Like 3

Death To Warm Anomalies!

ย 

Winter 2023-24 stats

ย 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

ย 

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1 minute ago, JBolin said:

I know most of you ya-hoos on here have never followed nor likely ever come across this local Twitter account. However last night after seven years and nearly four thousand followers, they decided to abruptly shut down the account without any reason nor indication.

For those unaware, this account was an "institution" of sorts throughout western washington going back to the winter of 2015. Their insight coupled with the embedded humour is what made the account so quirky, likable and informative. And it showed in the responses from folks in the tweet thread with many folks expressing their disbelief.

Many were shocked at the news (myself included) and cannot fathom why, all of a sudden, such an established and go-to local weather account would just "go away"?

Especially considering they had some of the biggest name followers across the country in the weather community.

Hopefully they return again.

Screenshot_20221025-102937_Twitter.jpg

How bizarre.ย  I'm very surprised they weren't more widely known on this forum.ย  I have to admit I had no idea they existed.ย  Why would they give such a vague farewell?ย  Let us know if you find out more.

  • Like 3

Death To Warm Anomalies!

ย 

Winter 2023-24 stats

ย 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

ย 

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8 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

In this case we have every model showing the trough will be in the West.ย  Just stunning he would go against that!

On the Canadian forum, last Decemberโ€™s antics from him led to a standing joke about the โ€œJudah model.โ€

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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18 minutes ago, fubario said:

Can I take Tim's lack board participation lately as a sign we won't be seeing any death ridges in the short and immediate future? Asking for a friend.

Been very busy... but I don't usually cheer for ridging from Nov-Feb because it either ends up being foggy/cold or very wet in the case of flat ridging.ย  ย I don't really have a horse in the race at this time of year.ย  ย Its all about the warm season for me.ย  I am not tracking the models real closely until cold/snow comes into the picture... other than to check the timing of rain events.

Also... we will be in Florida for part of November and that trip is coming up fast.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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22 minutes ago, JBolin said:

I know most of you ya-hoos on here have never followed nor likely ever come across this local Twitter account. However last night after seven years and nearly four thousand followers, they decided to abruptly shut down the account without any reason nor indication.

For those unaware, this account was an "institution" of sorts throughout western washington going back to the winter of 2015. Their insight coupled with the embedded humour is what made the account so quirky, likable and informative. And it showed in the responses from folks in the tweet thread with many folks expressing their disbelief.

Many were shocked at the news (myself included) and cannot fathom why, all of a sudden, such an established and go-to local weather account would just "go away"?

Especially considering they had some of the biggest name followers across the country in the weather community.

Hopefully they return again.

Screenshot_20221025-102937_Twitter.jpg

Yea Iโ€™ve know him for years and we follow each other on twitter. Ik he has been battling illnesses the last couple months so that might be a factor. Also, they have left before in the past for a couple periods and came back if my memory is correct.ย 

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Looks like we made it down to 41F. Airport got there much faster than we did in town as it didn't drop below 46F here until after midnight so that's a very misleading number compared to the city proper and the SE valley.

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  • Weenie 1

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Janย 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Janย 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24ย (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4ย (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25โ€
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024ย (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

ย 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

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7 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Looks like we made it down to 41F. Airport got there much faster than we did in town as it didn't drop below 46F here until after midnight so that's a very misleading number compared to the city proper and the SE valley.

Hasnโ€™t been colder than 44ยฐF at my place yet. Expect that to change in the next week or so.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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5 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Hasnโ€™t been colder than 44ยฐF at my place yet. Expect that to change in the next week or so.

Very good bet there.ย  I'm surprised you haven't gotten lower than that so far.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

ย 

Winter 2023-24 stats

ย 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

ย 

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54 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Yea Iโ€™ve know him for years and we follow each other on twitter. Ik he has been battling illnesses the last couple months so that might be a factor. Also, they have left before in the past for a couple periods and came back if my memory is correct.ย 

Illnesses, like what?

I wonder if that's the reason why.ย 

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The ECMWF handles the progression a bit differently on this run, but still looks good.ย  It shows the second incarnation of the block being the bigger deal whereas the GFS and GEM shows the first one being the coldest.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

ย 

Winter 2023-24 stats

ย 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

ย 

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Just now, JBolin said:

Illnesses, like what?

I wonder if that's the reason why.ย 

Not sure but I think if you go through their twitter a few months back I recall them talking about about significant stint in the hospital.ย  Not sure if they divulged but as soon as I saw that tweet shared I thought it was health related.

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Just now, JBolin said:

Illnesses, like what?

I wonder if that's the reason why.ย 

Reading his post again it sounds like it could be health related.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

ย 

Winter 2023-24 stats

ย 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

ย 

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Massive block theme continues on the 12z Euro.

Screen Shot 2022-10-25 at 1.06.04 PM.png

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Cold Season 2023/24:

Total snowfall: 26"

Highest daily snowfall: 5"

Deepest snow depth: 12"

Coldest daily high: -20ยบF

Coldest daily low: -42ยบF

Number of subzero days: 5

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground:ย 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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This could evolve well.

Latest.png

  • Like 6

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Janย 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Janย 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24ย (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4ย (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25โ€
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024ย (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

ย 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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57 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Yea Iโ€™ve know him for years and we follow each other on twitter. Ik he has been battling illnesses the last couple months so that might be a factor. Also, they have left before in the past for a couple periods and came back if my memory is correct.ย 

ย 

1 hour ago, JBolin said:

I know most of you ya-hoos on here have never followed nor likely ever come across this local Twitter account. However last night after seven years and nearly four thousand followers, they decided to abruptly shut down the account without any reason nor indication.

For those unaware, this account was an "institution" of sorts throughout western washington going back to the winter of 2015. Their insight coupled with the embedded humour is what made the account so quirky, likable and informative. And it showed in the responses from folks in the tweet thread with many folks expressing their disbelief.

Many were shocked at the news (myself included) and cannot fathom why, all of a sudden, such an established and go-to local weather account would just "go away"?

Especially considering they had some of the biggest name followers across the country in the weather community.

Hopefully they return again.

Screenshot_20221025-102937_Twitter.jpg

Maybe he'll be back..ย  he has stepped away from his account before... And responding to the bolded part as to why,ย  this time is a more serious matter because if you dig a bit deep into it on his own thread, you'll see that he was apparently reported for "being suicidal." The most messed up part about it is that he never made such reference ever on his account to be reported like that. Regardless, it's a shame and if he doesn't come back, best of luck to him.ย 

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Mountain snow on the EC

latest wa.png

latest or.png

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Janย 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Janย 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24ย (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4ย (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25โ€
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024ย (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

ย 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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6 minutes ago, JBolin said:

Illnesses, like what?

I wonder if that's the reason why.ย 

He battled a severe case of covid in early Sept. that resulted him being in the ER for weeks. He was being very transparent about it on this twitter account.ย 

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Look at that sexy gradient.

Latest.png

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  • Weenie 1

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Janย 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Janย 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24ย (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4ย (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25โ€
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024ย (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

ย 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

24

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1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

This could evolve well.

1667563200-dc4dkAzt93s.png

Potential for something great.ย  Past history tells us Nov 10 or so is when things can really nail us, although 1935 actually got us pretty good in late October.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

ย 

Winter 2023-24 stats

ย 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

ย 

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4 minutes ago, Cloud said:

ย 

Maybe he'll be back..ย  he has stepped away from his account before... And responding to the bolded part as to why,ย  this time is a more serious matter because if you dig a bit deep into it on his own thread, you'll see that he was apparently reported for "being suicidal." The most messed up part about it is that he never made such reference ever on his account to be reported like that. Regardless, it's a shame and if he doesn't come back, best of luck to him.ย 

No doubt some weather fanatics can be on the edge mentally.ย  I've never gotten to that point, but I've gotten into some dark places over this and other stuff.

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  • Confused 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

ย 

Winter 2023-24 stats

ย 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

ย 

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