October 2022 PNW weather Discussion. + Ultimate Leg Reveal Extravaganza

[Phishy Wx]

8 hours ago, Brennan said:

How come we don’t all live in Vermont or Maine? Great summers, beautiful falls and amazing winters…. 

Lived in NH for 4 years in the early 2000s. would move back yesterday if the opportunity presented itself

[MossMan]

.07” so far on the day, 2.32” for the month.

currently 41 degrees. 

[TT-SEA]

Live cam from Issaquah... its unusually green and leafy for being almost November.     The trees in our area are still mostly green as well.   I would guess it was mid to late September just by looking at our yard.   It is probably related to the late leaf out and the warmth this fall.  

[Rubus Leucodermis]

9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Live cam from Issaquah... its unusually green and leafy for being almost November.     The trees in our area are still mostly green as well.   I would guess it was mid to late September just by looking at our yard.   It is probably related to the late leaf out and the warmth this fall.  

I have noticed a lot of trees are finally starting to get the message as to what season it is now that the colder temperatures are here.

[SouthHillFrosty]

 

[Terreboner]

Wait for it, wait for it.  Got a whopping .01 here in Terreboner land. At least that is what my Davis tells me.  I got her mounted about a month ago and she isn't perfectly level so I probably need to get up and fix it.

[AlTahoe]

33 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Live cam from Issaquah... its unusually green and leafy for being almost November.     The trees in our area are still mostly green as well.   I would guess it was mid to late September just by looking at our yard.   It is probably related to the late leaf out and the warmth this fall.  

The Aspen in my yard just turned yellow this week. About 2-3 weeks later than normal.  

[AlTahoe]

11 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

 

God I hope not. Those 3 Dec's combined were like 10% of normal precip for us which would be a disaster. Dec 1989 was the only Dec shutout recorded here. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

26 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

 

Looks icy off the South American coast.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

From this morning’s ride into the office. Sorry about the dirt on the lens.

[T-Town]

 

[Phishy Wx]

47 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

 

whomp, whomp

[TT-SEA]

15 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

From this morning’s ride into the office. Sorry about the dirt on the lens.

I am sure there are strips of landscape trees around here that look the same... but the native trees in the forest canopy here are unusually green for this point in the fall.  

[Kolk1604]

56 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

 

It's another one of them East coast Weather Weenies! 

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, Kolk1604 said:

It's another one of them East coast Weather Weenies! 

FWIW... the ECMWF weeklies also show the troughing and cold centered in the Midwest and NE by early December as well.  

[Kolk1604]

12 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

FWIW... the ECMWF weeklies also show the troughing and cold centered in the Midwest and NE by early December as well.  

At least we get some snow!

I'm saving the rest for Christmas and into January 

[MossMan]

Good lord…The burn ban was lifted at 6am and there are already people burning in their yard and creating the same stench as we just endured for the last month straight…What is peoples obsession with fire and smoke?? 
 

Okay rant over. Weenie tag away if you wish. 

Edited October 26, 2022 by MossMan

[ShawniganLake]

2 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said:

At least we get some snow!

I'm saving the rest for Christmas and into January 

Nice. Even a dusting to the coast in Southern California.   

[Sonny Summers]

3 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Good lord…The burn ban was lifted at 6am and there are already people burning in their yard and creating the same stench as we just endured for the last month straight…What is peoples obsession with fire??? 
 

Okay rant over. 

Your neighbors:

[Rubus Leucodermis]

3 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Nice. Even a dusting to the coast in Southern California.   

I never take those gray amounts seriously. At least it shows most of us as being in the blue (or better). Standard disclaimers about clown range still apply.

[Gradient Keeper]

20 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

FWIW... the ECMWF weeklies also show the troughing and cold centered in the Midwest and NE by early December as well.  

Positive anomaly at ~150 W often is quite good for us.

12z ECMWF in 50 minutes

[Kolk1604]

9 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Good lord…The burn ban was lifted at 6am and there are already people burning in their yard and creating the same stench as we just endured for the last month straight…What is peoples obsession with fire and smoke?? 
 

Okay rant over. Weenie tag away if you wish. 

There all fans of Beavis and Butthead

Fire Fire Fire! 

[ShawniganLake]

1 minute ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

I never take those gray amounts seriously. At least it shows most of us as being in the blue (or better). Standard disclaimers about clown range still apply.

I was being totally sarcastic. 46 day ensemble snowfall maps are about as useful as something my 3 year old could draw.  

[Rubus Leucodermis]

11 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said:

There all fans of Beavis and Butthead

Fire Fire Fire! 

I have never fully outgrown my teenage pyro phase. Am looking forward to helping friends winterize their cabin in Boston Bar for the season in a few weeks. One highlight will be using their burn barrel to dispose of the past years’ yard and garden waste. I can usually get that thing glowing red hot with the proper stoking policy.

[Gradient Keeper]

Next powerhouse frontal system for Friday.

[ShawniganLake]

9 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Next powerhouse frontal system for Friday.

That one is tapped into some sub tropical moisture currently. We will see how fast is sags south but there is going to be some very heavy rain along the frontal boundary. 

[Phishy Wx]

don't worry when I win the Powerball tonight I'll make sure we engineer our local weather for snow cover 8 months out of the year

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Lookin’ good to be above average total precip for the month by the time the month ends.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

We ended up with a little over an inch of rain overnight. Up to 3.22" on the month. Starting to look like we will not make it quite to average this month, but not bad all things considered. 

 

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

GEM is ACTIVE

[Guest administrator]

Feels nice outside. Low sun, clear sky, and cool air.

[Guest administrator]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

FWIW... the ECMWF weeklies also show the troughing and cold centered in the Midwest and NE by early December as well.  

I agree with you, this winter ain't it. We've had a lot of good ones but we are due for a few duds and like you have pointed out many times with never being wrong, we should just expect warm and benign.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Not positively expecting a dud La Niña this winter, but wouldn’t be surprised if one happens. So long as it’s not a total droughty torch, I will not make any big complaints.

[AlTahoe]

Just now, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Not positively expecting a dud La Niña this winter, but wouldn’t be surprised if one happens. So long as it’s not a total droughty torch, I will not make any big complaints.

Well if you guys get a dud hopefully the storm track is pointed our direction ala 2004 and not a 1991-1992 region wide dud. 

[BLI snowman]

1 hour ago, ShawniganLake said:

I was being totally sarcastic. 46 day ensemble snowfall maps are about as useful as something my 3 year old could draw.  

Honestly it's a bit concerning when the 46 day ensemble map is only showing a few inches for most of the lowlands.

We may be screwed, guys.... 

[Kolk1604]

Euro and GFS continue to be world's apart on total precip. Actually, GFS is still on Mars

12z Euro, 8pm Sunday

[Rubus Leucodermis]

4 minutes ago, AlTahoe said:

Well if you guys get a dud hopefully the storm track is pointed our direction ala 2004 and not a 1991-1992 region wide dud. 

My feeling is it probably would be.

[Skagit Weather]

6 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said:

Euro and GFS continue to be world's apart on total precip. Actually, GFS is still on Mars

12z Euro, 8pm Sunday

Yeah, I was going to say the Euro still has 2-3 times as much precip over the next week as the GFS. GFS looks to actually be almost below average for the Puget Sound.

[jakerepp]

27 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Honestly it's a bit concerning when the 46 day ensemble map is only showing a few inches for most of the lowlands.

We may be screwed, guys.... 

Can't tell if sarcasm, but the 46 days gets us to only December 9th. How much snow do the lowlands usually get by the beginning of the second week of December?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

The Euro and GEM seem a lot wetter than the GFS right now.