Jump to content
The Weather Forums

Hurricane Matthew


TT-SEA
 Share

Recommended Posts

12Z ECMWF shows Matthew getting right up to SE GA on Saturday morning before turning back around and weakening over the weekend east of Florida.  

 

Strange path.   

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Replies 8
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Top Posters In This Topic

I copied these over from the PNW October topic.

 

 

Looks like it's already weakened by the time it gets to GA, having hit the east coast of Florida.

 

 

On the 12Z ECMWF it literally skirts the entire east coast of Florida and then follows the SE GA and SC coastline without weakening too much... then turns away and heads to the SE and out to sea.

 

An absolute worst case scenario track as far as damage area and number of people directly affected.

 

 

No kidding.  It hits the same spot in Florida twice.

 

ecmwf_uv850_vort_seus_fh0_216_2.gif

 

 

90% chance someone turns that into a conspiracy theory... :P

 

 

Unusual, but such crazy tracks have happened before.

 

Regardless, looks like anywhere from FL to NC could be under the gun. Really surprised to hear this was the first major hurricane to strike Haiti in 50 years.

 

 

This article has a bunch of examples of meandering, looping hurricanes: https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/news/bizarre-hurricane-paths-20130807

 

 

Lol GFS w/ Matthew. Makes landfall as a major, loops back out, then tries to make another landfall as a major in the same region.

 

 

Amazingly some hurricanes in the past have had tracks like that.  I imagine some people in Florida and the Bahamas are feeling a bit queasy after seeing that run.

 

 

00z Euro also shows a Matthew loop. Getting weird.

 

 

At least it does not show the second landfall... and in fact curves away from the coast sooner which would be good news for GA and SC.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Nice. Juno Beach cam is a good one too: http://www.beachcamsusa.com/fl/juno-beach/juno-beach-pier-surf-cam

 

Jacksonville is the one I'm watching since it's a good proxy for Saint Simons GA:

 

http://www.jaxpiercam.com

 

There's some other ones on Surfline.com that provide live wave heights and wind speeds + local forecasts:

 

http://www.surfline.com/surf-report/jacksonville-beach-florida_125267/

 

 

Sunny Isle Beach cam should be a good one to watch for a little while:

 

http://www.miamiandbeaches.com/see-miami#webcams

 

 

12Z ECMWF track is the worst possible solution for the coastline between Jacksonville and Charleston.  

 

 

Here are some live streaming hurricane Matthew beachside cameras. Will get very interesting at many of these locations:

 

http://www.mybeachcams.com/florida/northeast/

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
 Share


×
×
  • Create New...