Jump to content
The Weather Forums

November 2022 Observations and Discussion


Clinton
 Share

Recommended Posts

Got up to 44 today. Felt downright balmy after the past week.

We went 9 days without highs hitting the freezing mark. The past 12 of 14 days had average temperatures at or below 30. FSD will be running -3 on the month after starting +8 through the first ten days. We've also had nine days in November with at least a trace of snow, topping out at 0.3 on 11/17. 

No big snow numbers like some people (looking at you, Buffalo) but fairly remarkable for the strength and longevity of the cold.

  • Like 5
  • Shivering 1

Weather station: https://sodakweather.com

Twitter: https://twitter.com/SoDakWx

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

We did indeed set a record lowest maximum temperature for today of 32.1 besting the previous record of 33 degrees set back in 1984 (records go back till 1894).

This is the earliest sub freezing day since November 13, 2019 which represented the 2nd earliest sub freezing day in Chester County history behind only November 11, 1987 which is the earliest sub-freezing day on record for the County.

  • Like 5

DISCLAMER: All historical weather data analytics posted here is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA. We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop and spotter observed climate data for the county.  We make no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics.  Unlike NOAA, we do not apply any post observation adjustments to the historical raw data from the NWS observers.  Climate change is natural and is not leading to future calamity. Specifically the Chester County PA analysis has only yielded normal and expected cyclical warming and cooling trends since the 1880's. Any model predictions of catastrophic climate change are not science. Pay little attention to data derived from climate models. To date we have yet to validate even one predicted climate or weather event attributable to climate change. Climate science is only advanced by continually questioning it and challenging it based on the actual climate data. 

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 36.3" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.4" to date) - 02/01 (0.2") / 1/31 (0.1") / 01/25 (0.8") / 01/23 (0.5") / 12/23 (0.5") / 12/15 (0.3" ) / 2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out my historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com and the #1 source of Urban Heat Island (UHI) Contamination analysis follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and be sure to join the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

NWS Trained Observer   image.png.c611f1f0b6407e819c29024d2b740944.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

51 minutes ago, Niko said:

🤣🤣

 

That scenario happened to the city manager in Sault Saint Marie, MI back in Dec '95 except his door wouldn't go up. When he went back inside his house and looked out the window discovering they'd had 5 foot of snow basically overnight. Nothing like getting that much snow and not even being aware. Buffalo and the entire planet knew a week in advance they'd be getting buried. 

  • Like 4

Winter 2022-23 Snow Total = 17.8"    Largest Storm: 7.5" (1/25)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 5.2 Jan: 11.1 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

Annual avg for mby = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2021-22 = 35.6"  

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

Link to comment
Share on other sites

11 minutes ago, jaster220 said:

That scenario happened to the city manager in Sault Saint Marie, MI back in Dec '95 except his door wouldn't go up. When he went back inside his house and looked out the window discovering they'd had 5 foot of snow basically overnight. Nothing like getting that much snow and not even being aware. Buffalo and the entire planet knew a week in advance they'd be getting buried. 

Can you imagine trying to clean up all of that snow. I mean, where do you start. Unbelievable!!!!

  • Like 3

Snowfall for Winter 2022 -23

Oct'22: Trace / Normal is 0.0"

Nov'22: 2.5" Above Average /Normal is 1.9"

Dec'22: 5.0" Below Average / Normal is 8.9"

Jan'23: 11.2" Below Average / Normal is 14.9"

Feb '23:

(Season is @ 18.7")

Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 hours ago, hawkstwelve said:

12z Euro brings home the bacon for South Dakota. It shows a foot of snow falling in Sioux Falls over the course of just six hours on 11/30. Yes please!

ecmwf-deterministic-ncentus-total_snow_kuchera-9809600.png

Not to be a buzz-kill, but not sure how great I'd feel being in the cross hairs 10 days out? Around here, I've been burned getting excited at h48

Winter 2022-23 Snow Total = 17.8"    Largest Storm: 7.5" (1/25)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 5.2 Jan: 11.1 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

Annual avg for mby = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2021-22 = 35.6"  

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Nice little thaw (if you will) coming next week. Temps could actually hit 50F for a day or two, b4 getting slightly colder by weeks end.

As far as the Thanksgiving storm goes, it looks like rain will be the dominant precipitation maker here. Time will tell.

  • Like 1

Snowfall for Winter 2022 -23

Oct'22: Trace / Normal is 0.0"

Nov'22: 2.5" Above Average /Normal is 1.9"

Dec'22: 5.0" Below Average / Normal is 8.9"

Jan'23: 11.2" Below Average / Normal is 14.9"

Feb '23:

(Season is @ 18.7")

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, Niko said:

Can you imagine trying to clean up all of that snow. I mean, where do you start. Unbelievable!!!!

Front Loader is about the only thing that could really tackle that kind of depth. Sure, you could chip-away at it with lesser equipment but I think I'd just get in line and wait for my number to come up, lol. I remember helping my dad clear our modest 2-lane driveway after the bliz of '79 or maybe it was the April 3rd 1975 storm. One of those. We actually got to borrow a small cheap old snow blower (the snow was really wet and heavy). It couldn't handle just plowing into the roughly 13" depth so we took turns throwing a shovel full in front of it and running over that which it could barely toss. But it sure beat doing all the lifting and tossing by hand. 

  • lol 1

Winter 2022-23 Snow Total = 17.8"    Largest Storm: 7.5" (1/25)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 5.2 Jan: 11.1 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

Annual avg for mby = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2021-22 = 35.6"  

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, Niko said:

Nice little thaw (if you will) coming next week. Temps could actually hit 50F for a day or two, b4 getting slightly colder by weeks end.

As far as the Thanksgiving storm goes, it looks like rain will be the dominant precipitation maker here. Time will tell.

50 gonna feel like a heatwave. I know we just had a similar cold blast and LES event 3 years ago this month, but this seems worse in duration and maybe due to it coming so quickly on the heals of weeks of warm AN temps. Large ponds have iced over even here in the metro. 

  • Sun 1

Winter 2022-23 Snow Total = 17.8"    Largest Storm: 7.5" (1/25)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 5.2 Jan: 11.1 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

Annual avg for mby = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2021-22 = 35.6"  

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 minutes ago, jaster220 said:

50 gonna feel like a heatwave. I know we just had a similar cold blast and LES event 3 years ago this month, but this seems worse in duration and maybe due to it coming so quickly on the heals of weeks of warm AN temps. Large ponds have iced over even here in the metro. 

Break out the shorts, right. I bet you that temps go even higher than 50F. Any snow we have otg will be gone by Tuesday.

Also,  I bet the ground has gotten a lot colder now too. No more warm surface.

  • lol 1

Snowfall for Winter 2022 -23

Oct'22: Trace / Normal is 0.0"

Nov'22: 2.5" Above Average /Normal is 1.9"

Dec'22: 5.0" Below Average / Normal is 8.9"

Jan'23: 11.2" Below Average / Normal is 14.9"

Feb '23:

(Season is @ 18.7")

Link to comment
Share on other sites

This is about as good as it gets out here in the "Valley of the Sun"...we will be immersed in abundant sunshine this Thanksgiving Holiday week as travelers from across the country will be flying in for delightful weather.  Talk about perfect timing...mid 70's and sunny skies...sign me up!

Screen Shot 2022-11-21 at 5.20.11 AM.png

 

 

  • Like 1
  • Sun 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

The models in the LR are not to be trusted and will cave towards the -NAO block that will lock as we open up the 1st month of MET Winter.  Get'r ready for some interesting runs today and throughout this holiday week.  Don't Fret, bc I'll Bet the NE PAC/Alaskan Ridge will Fire up and unload the cold into the lower 48.  I am intrigued by this D10 10mb pattern off the EURO bc it exemplifies what happened in OCT.  #SplitFlow #STJ

image.png

 

image.png

  • Like 5
Link to comment
Share on other sites

The snow event of November 2022 is now over and at Grand Rapids it was sure a record setting event. With 6 days in a row of snow fall. The total for the 6 days was 27.6” That in its self is good for the 2nd snowiest November at Grand Rapids. The total snow fall of 28.0” is the new 2nd most for any November.

The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 27/18. There was 0.7” of snow fall. At 7 AM yesterday there was 10” of snow on the ground at GRR. Here in MBY the temperature fell to 18 before midnight but rose to 21 after midnight and that was the overnight low here. At the current time it is 23 and partly cloudy. For today the average H/L is 45/31 the record high of 70 was set in 1913 and the record low of 10 was set in 2014 the record snow fall amount of 4.0” was set way back in 1896. I now have 8” of snow on the ground. With melting taking place from the bottom for the warm ground and the sun from the top the snow depth will drop over the next couple of days and most should be gone by the weekend.

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

We almost set a new record low this morning...but just missed with a low here in East Nantmeal of 18.7 (17.0 record from 1951) After a couple more below normal temperature days we should see a return to normal temps by Wednesday and lasting right through the holiday weekend. Average high temps for the last week of November are around 50 degrees.
The record high for today is 76 degrees set back in 1900. The record low is 17.0 from 1951. The daily rain mark is 2.29" from 1952 and our record daily snowfall is 1.5" from 2008.
image.png.d9002b62ba20e8a69f6f27b44bb8a66d.png
  • Like 2

DISCLAMER: All historical weather data analytics posted here is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA. We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop and spotter observed climate data for the county.  We make no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics.  Unlike NOAA, we do not apply any post observation adjustments to the historical raw data from the NWS observers.  Climate change is natural and is not leading to future calamity. Specifically the Chester County PA analysis has only yielded normal and expected cyclical warming and cooling trends since the 1880's. Any model predictions of catastrophic climate change are not science. Pay little attention to data derived from climate models. To date we have yet to validate even one predicted climate or weather event attributable to climate change. Climate science is only advanced by continually questioning it and challenging it based on the actual climate data. 

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 36.3" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.4" to date) - 02/01 (0.2") / 1/31 (0.1") / 01/25 (0.8") / 01/23 (0.5") / 12/23 (0.5") / 12/15 (0.3" ) / 2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out my historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com and the #1 source of Urban Heat Island (UHI) Contamination analysis follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and be sure to join the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

NWS Trained Observer   image.png.c611f1f0b6407e819c29024d2b740944.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 11/14/2022 at 8:19 PM, jaster220 said:

Where exactly are you man?? 

On a cold, windy af island in the Canadian Maritimes.

Had some accumulating snow since my last post but it melted. Been pretty cold recently but not much available precip for some reason. We're getting there!

  • Thanks 1
  • Excited 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, gimmesnow said:

https://www.aos.wisc.edu/%7Esco/clim-history/stations/msn/msn-sts-2000-01.gif

December like 2022 for southern Wisconsin? YES PLEASE!

Do you mean like 2000?? I think we'd all sign-up for that. Max bliz total was 20" just a bit west of here. 

Winter 2022-23 Snow Total = 17.8"    Largest Storm: 7.5" (1/25)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 5.2 Jan: 11.1 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

Annual avg for mby = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2021-22 = 35.6"  

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Gorgeous outside. Temp is at 46F w abundant of sunshine. Its a little windy, but no biggie. 

  • Like 1
  • Sun 1

Snowfall for Winter 2022 -23

Oct'22: Trace / Normal is 0.0"

Nov'22: 2.5" Above Average /Normal is 1.9"

Dec'22: 5.0" Below Average / Normal is 8.9"

Jan'23: 11.2" Below Average / Normal is 14.9"

Feb '23:

(Season is @ 18.7")

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 hours ago, tStacsh said:

22.5" inches of snow is being eviscerated by upper 30's.  Down to 5.5"

Surprised how much survived our 45F and sunny afternoon. Our soil temps had a chance to cool prior to any real snow falling Sat after dark. 

  • Like 1

Winter 2022-23 Snow Total = 17.8"    Largest Storm: 7.5" (1/25)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 5.2 Jan: 11.1 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

Annual avg for mby = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2021-22 = 35.6"  

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

Link to comment
Share on other sites

13 hours ago, westMJim said:

The snow event of November 2022 is now over and at Grand Rapids it was sure a record setting event. With 6 days in a row of snow fall. The total for the 6 days was 27.6” That in its self is good for the 2nd snowiest November at Grand Rapids. The total snow fall of 28.0” is the new 2nd most for any November.

The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 27/18. There was 0.7” of snow fall. At 7 AM yesterday there was 10” of snow on the ground at GRR. Here in MBY the temperature fell to 18 before midnight but rose to 21 after midnight and that was the overnight low here. At the current time it is 23 and partly cloudy. For today the average H/L is 45/31 the record high of 70 was set in 1913 and the record low of 10 was set in 2014 the record snow fall amount of 4.0” was set way back in 1896. I now have 8” of snow on the ground. With melting taking place from the bottom for the warm ground and the sun from the top the snow depth will drop over the next couple of days and most should be gone by the weekend.

That was a pretty special November run! Hope you enjoyed it.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Models are coming into an agreement on a nice rain this Saturday with a storm coming out of the SW.  Pretty cool how it comes together and brings the comma head of the storm through my area.  Big rains for Oklahoma the hot spot for precipitation this season. 

image.thumb.png.8628943b1eaa237d9df575e28e0396f6.png

 

  • Like 2
  • Rain 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I'll be going for a high of 56 today as temps climb above normal.  Quite the streak of cold weather most of us just experienced.

Well, today we finally broke the streak of 10 consecutive days of below normal temperatures where we averaged 13 degrees below normal through that stretch and it was the 2nd coldest Nov 11th-20th on record!
  • Like 1
  • Shivering 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

43 minutes ago, Clinton said:

I'll be going for a high of 56 today as temps climb above normal.  Quite the streak of cold weather most of us just experienced.

Well, today we finally broke the streak of 10 consecutive days of below normal temperatures where we averaged 13 degrees below normal through that stretch and it was the 2nd coldest Nov 11th-20th on record!

It's crazy how much the models have waffled with this system...due to it being cut-off from the main flow it always wrecks havoc in the modeling, esp with the blocking developing over the top of the system.  Should we start a storm thread?  TX Panhandle Cutter??  Another formidable system in the center of the Nation right where the LRC Hot Spot has been setting up Shop.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

40 minutes ago, Tom said:

It's crazy how much the models have waffled with this system...due to it being cut-off from the main flow it always wrecks havoc in the modeling, esp with the blocking developing over the top of the system.  Should we start a storm thread?  TX Panhandle Cutter??  Another formidable system in the center of the Nation right where the LRC Hot Spot has been setting up Shop.

Yes please if you wouldn't mind.  I have a crazy day ahead.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Yesterday, with 91% of possible sunshine and a high of 40 and a low of 22 seen a good amount of snow melt. The day officially started with 7” on the ground at Grand Rapids. There was no precipitation and no snow fall. Here in MBY the overnight low was 16 it is now up to 21 here. For today the average H/L is 44/31 the record high of 66 was recorded in 1913 and the record low of 13 was set in 1929. The record snow fall for today is 7.0” in 1985 there was 6.8” in 1945. The next week or so looks to be more typical of late November with highs in the upper 30’s and low to mid 40’s the snow on the ground here should be mostly gone by the weekend.

 

  • Like 1
  • Sun 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

A nice couple days through Thanksgiving. Temps moderating to near normal. Some rain possible later Friday into Saturday AM. More rain looks to arrive by Sunday AM - Sunday now looks like the wetter of the 2 days.
Our record high for today is 72 degrees from 1931. The record low is 13 degrees from 1964. Daily rain record is the 1.86" that fell in 1991. The daily snow record is the 1.7" that fell back in 1989.
image.png.23923971dc13420838e55454fb251880.png
  • Like 1

DISCLAMER: All historical weather data analytics posted here is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA. We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop and spotter observed climate data for the county.  We make no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics.  Unlike NOAA, we do not apply any post observation adjustments to the historical raw data from the NWS observers.  Climate change is natural and is not leading to future calamity. Specifically the Chester County PA analysis has only yielded normal and expected cyclical warming and cooling trends since the 1880's. Any model predictions of catastrophic climate change are not science. Pay little attention to data derived from climate models. To date we have yet to validate even one predicted climate or weather event attributable to climate change. Climate science is only advanced by continually questioning it and challenging it based on the actual climate data. 

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 36.3" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.4" to date) - 02/01 (0.2") / 1/31 (0.1") / 01/25 (0.8") / 01/23 (0.5") / 12/23 (0.5") / 12/15 (0.3" ) / 2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out my historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com and the #1 source of Urban Heat Island (UHI) Contamination analysis follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and be sure to join the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

NWS Trained Observer   image.png.c611f1f0b6407e819c29024d2b740944.png

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, tStacsh said:

Lot's of systems, just not much cold air.  Hopefully the pattern continues into December and turns these rainers into snowstorms.  

In a Nina, it's all about the amount/timing of cold air.

Winter 2022-23 Snow Total = 17.8"    Largest Storm: 7.5" (1/25)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 5.2 Jan: 11.1 Feb: 0.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

Annual avg for mby = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2021-22 = 35.6"  

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, jaster220 said:

In a Nina, it's all about the amount/timing of cold air.

Yep, lot's of storms out there, but they all look like hard cutters right now.  Need good timing this early winter.  Might need to get closer to the Holidays before we get some consistent winter conditions.  I'm predicting a big dog this year because I never predict big dogs.  So now that I do it will come true.  Around the New Year.  

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

I'd watch that end of the month system for a potential severe thunderstorm threat... assuming it evolves roughly as current models depict.  How far north a severe threat would get is debatable as moisture/instability are usually hard to come by at this time of year with northward extent, but it's something to keep an eye on.  If we have a rapidly deepening system, then it will probably find a way to produce some severe wx (at least damaging winds) even where CAPE is meager.

  • Like 1
  • Storm 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

I'd watch that end of the month system for a potential severe thunderstorm threat... assuming it evolves roughly as current models depict.  How far north a severe threat would get is debatable as moisture/instability are usually hard to come by at this time of year with northward extent, but it's something to keep an eye on.  If we have a rapidly deepening system, then it will probably find a way to produce some severe wx (at least damaging winds) even where CAPE is meager.

Completely agree and we are getting to the 7 day range where the models suck just a little bit less.  The ICON tonight is really digging this storm south with the blocking setting up. I think the other models will eventually do the same.  I would love to see Nebraska get some moisture and a big snow.

icon_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_60.png

  • Like 2
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 minutes ago, Clinton said:

Completely agree and we are getting to the 7 day range where the models suck just a little bit less.  The ICON tonight is really digging this storm south with the blocking setting up. I think the other models will eventually do the same.  I would love to see Nebraska get some moisture and a big snow.

icon_mslp_pcpn_frzn_us_60.png

Yeah they need it.  I can't believe how much of the country is in drought.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

I ran some numbers for Chicago O'Hare for the period from 11/11-11/20 of this year.  I figured it was one of the coldest such periods (because it sure felt like it) but turns out it was "only" 15th coldest.  2014 was actually the coldest 11/11-11/20 on record.

Did the same thing for Detroit, and they came in 17th.

  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

00z GFS looking quite a bit snowier than previous runs for the northern states with that system on the 30th. I have a feeling the stronger solutions will win out over the ones showing a weaker system. Some folks could get nailed depending on the track. It'll be fun to track over the next week. 

gfs-deterministic-central-total_snow_kuchera-9842000.png

  • Like 3
  • Snow 1

Weather station: https://sodakweather.com

Twitter: https://twitter.com/SoDakWx

 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Tom unpinned this topic

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
 Share


×
×
  • Create New...