jcwxguy Posted November 4, 2022 Report Share Posted November 4, 2022 Hope this is right Quote Tonight A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 37. North northwest wind 11 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Friday A 50 percent chance of showers. Cloudy, with a steady temperature around 41. North wind 14 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. Friday Night Rain showers likely before 1am, then rain and snow showers likely between 1am and 4am, then snow showers likely after 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. North wind 8 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted November 4, 2022 Report Share Posted November 4, 2022 ..and suddenly 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted November 4, 2022 Report Share Posted November 4, 2022 3 hours ago, jaster220 said: Dec of 2012 bliz comes to mind. Has there been another since that I'm not recalling? I seem to recall a pretty large storm around here in 2015, I'd have to double check, but I think I have an 11" recording in my records for a storm around that time frame. And certain parts of the state have been hit hard from time to time, but not so much in eastern Iowa and MBY. I believe we went 3 years without a 6" snowfall in the Iowa City area. We have had a couple 6-8" snows in the last 2-3 years so nice storms, but nothing too out of the ordinary. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted November 4, 2022 Report Share Posted November 4, 2022 The 18z Euro is in agreement with the 18z GFS of some snow falling in western Iowa. I'm posting 10:1 maps to get an idea of the areas that may see flakes, but obviously I wouldn't anticipate this to verify. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted November 4, 2022 Report Share Posted November 4, 2022 0z Euro and 6z GFS still showing widespread 1-3 inch rainfall amounts through the KC area. For some this will be the largest rainfall in over 4 months. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted November 4, 2022 Report Share Posted November 4, 2022 Another storm for KC peeps to mark down on the Calendar. Look at how this storm strengthens and becomes negatively tilted as it moves through MO, it should be a fun one to track as we move through the Winter. 6z Euro puts the heaviest rain right through the city. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted November 4, 2022 Report Share Posted November 4, 2022 Big temp change in the last hour in KC. See new Tweets NWS Kansas City @NWSKansasCity Temperature in KC last hour: 70 Temperature this hour (7AM): 52 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 4, 2022 Report Share Posted November 4, 2022 Out of all the reporting stations out West, Park City, UT takes the cake yet again! I knew my intuition was saying something back in the summer when I visited the area a few months ago. Mother Nature was speaking when the Monsoon season was delivering. What a Winter this area has in store for this season! 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 4, 2022 Report Share Posted November 4, 2022 Very pleased to see Big Bear in SoCall got their first snows of the season...another powerful trough to deliver more early next week! Keep the storm parade coming. @IMoveALot_Weather Can you see the snow on the peaks? 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted November 4, 2022 Report Share Posted November 4, 2022 We could get anything from 1-4" out of this event. Models are shifting the max band(s) around each run. The 00z GFS had 3.7" here, but the 06z 2.2". The 00z Euro had 4", but the 06z only 2" as the max band is farther nw. A few short-range models are fluctuating wildly, with one run showing 3" and the next 1". There could be one max band to my northwest and another to the southeast. It's nowcast time. I'm really hoping for 2". Less than that would be a disappointment. 2 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted November 4, 2022 Report Share Posted November 4, 2022 Got a whopping .01" of precipitation. Right now it is cloudy and 31 degrees with a wind chill of 21. Missed again for most of Central Nebraska. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted November 4, 2022 Report Share Posted November 4, 2022 9 minutes ago, Hawkeye said: We could get anything from 1-4" out of this event. Models are shifting the max band(s) around each run. The 00z GFS had 3.7" here, but the 06z 2.2". The 00z Euro had 4", but the 06z only 2" as the max band is farther nw. A few short-range models are fluctuating wildly, with one run showing 3" and the next 1". There could be one max band to my northwest and another to the southeast. It's nowcast time. I'm really hoping for 2". Less than that would be a disappointment. Your going to do really good...I wouldn't worry...this type of set up has all the classic signs of a heavy precip event for E IA. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted November 4, 2022 Report Share Posted November 4, 2022 15 hours ago, Iceresistance said: The Dew Point is in the upper 60s for DFW, it's 64°F for the Dew Point for my area right now. (Just increased again) And my gut is telling me that something nasty is coming tomorrow . . . We’re braced. The real harm starts at the Ft Worth line but it’s east of me I’m concerned about. Hail and tornados should be east. I’m hoping we just see rain. 2 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted November 4, 2022 Report Share Posted November 4, 2022 29 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said: Got a whopping .01" of precipitation. Right now it is cloudy and 31 degrees with a wind chill of 21. Missed again for most of Central Nebraska. My digital gauge reads .15". It's my biggest rain event since Sept. 10th......when I received 1.63". Just crazy how long it's been since I have experienced anything more than a half an inch. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted November 4, 2022 Report Share Posted November 4, 2022 1.24" up this way overnight 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 4, 2022 Report Share Posted November 4, 2022 Radar looks great for my Iowa home. If only it was snow! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted November 4, 2022 Report Share Posted November 4, 2022 New moderate risk area 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted November 4, 2022 Report Share Posted November 4, 2022 Wow, intense hail storm just hammered the SW side of CR. I've never seen it come down like this. It accumulated on cars and in the grass, it was so loud. Very cool. 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted November 4, 2022 Report Share Posted November 4, 2022 This doesn’t do it justice but you get the idea anyways. IMG_6644.MOV 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted November 4, 2022 Report Share Posted November 4, 2022 12 minutes ago, bud2380 said: Wow, intense hail storm just hammered the SW side of CR. I've never seen it come down like this. It accumulated on cars and in the grass, it was so loud. Very cool. Wow, great! The hail core just barely missed me to the southeast, but I did get heavy rain(0.33"). 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted November 4, 2022 Report Share Posted November 4, 2022 75* and we’re under a severe thunderstorm and tornado watch. The SE sky is very dark so lots of action that direction. It appears the front is running into very warm moist air just SE of me from east of Ft Worth on a line to Sherman on the Red River extending into Oklahoma. As the afternoon wears on this could get ugly. It’s very much like a Spring storm. The big difference are the Fall colors. 4 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted November 4, 2022 Report Share Posted November 4, 2022 Exactly 1 inch so far at the IA house 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted November 4, 2022 Report Share Posted November 4, 2022 Bands of heavy rain and severe weather continue to slide across North Texas. Nice to see all this rain. 76* Winds SSW at 18-30 mph Some dime to quarter size hail in areas and tornado watches as these systems move east. The tornado watch is in effect until 8pm. At this hour most of it is just barely east of Ft. Worth. Extremely dark to the SE. The clouds earlier had large wispy horse tails dropping out of them. Really nice sky watching today. New residents from out of state, mostly west, freak out in these storms. Old timers like me put their feet up and find something to read. I've had tornadoes bounce over my house and land on the field next to me and jump over my parents' house numerous times. Fascinating to look up into those beasts. You feel like you're in Wizard of Oz. 3 1 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted November 4, 2022 Author Report Share Posted November 4, 2022 VIOLENT TORNADO NEAR HUGO, OK! 1 3 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted November 4, 2022 Report Share Posted November 4, 2022 Plenty of hook signatures as these move eastward. One near Mexia that they are watching closely. Wind is gusty and howling here in the DFW area so plenty of lift. I have some clearing to the west as this mass/mess moves east. Weathermen are having a bus-man's holiday today! Update: As these move east Mets are announcing more and more circulations, and warnings. Likely will continue until heating is gone (hopefully avoiding night tornados) 1 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted November 4, 2022 Author Report Share Posted November 4, 2022 PDS TORNADO WARNING FOR SULPHUR SPRINGS, TX! 1 2 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted November 4, 2022 Report Share Posted November 4, 2022 Nice rain for KC still plenty more to fall before it ends. @NWSKansasCity As of 5 PM, 1.80" of rain had fallen at Kansas City International. This breaks the previous record of 1.65" set in 1956. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted November 4, 2022 Report Share Posted November 4, 2022 We have currently 5 Tornado Warnings in effect east of Dallas. Amazing. Still very windy in Ft Worth. 1 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted November 4, 2022 Author Report Share Posted November 4, 2022 The storm that produced the tornado near Sulphur Springs, TX is weakening. Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted November 4, 2022 Report Share Posted November 4, 2022 This has been a very dynamic system to watch. So much circulation. 2 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted November 4, 2022 Author Report Share Posted November 4, 2022 Large Brick homes reported destroyed near Paris, TX 5 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted November 4, 2022 Author Report Share Posted November 4, 2022 He's crazy! 3 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted November 4, 2022 Report Share Posted November 4, 2022 Another hit around Sulphuric Springs on the Ok/Tx border. It struck something as you could see debris but no details on it. These gained volatility as they moved east. I feel lucky as I’m SW of Ft Worth. The evening clouds were gorgeous as the sun hit the tail end of the clouds. Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted November 5, 2022 Report Share Posted November 5, 2022 I think today’s moderate risk is definitely living up to it’s potential. Not good. Obviously already damage from other tornadoes and then this guy. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Andie Posted November 5, 2022 Report Share Posted November 5, 2022 We picked up about 2 1/2” rain. Not bad. 3 2 Quote Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. “If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.” Gen. Sheridan 1866 2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iceresistance Posted November 5, 2022 Author Report Share Posted November 5, 2022 Horrible damage from tornadoes in Paris, TX, Diangerfield, TX, Idabel, OK, New Boston, TX, and parts of Arkansas. There was two Tornado Emergencies, the first one over Idabel, OK with a CC drop even above 30k feet high! (At least EF-4+) with a mesonet station that recorded 108 mph wind gusts and survived the tornado. And the other over New Boston, TX with an absolutely MASSIVE CC drop from that monster tornado. 2 2 1 Quote Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible! All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 5, 2022 Report Share Posted November 5, 2022 5 hours ago, Andie said: Plenty of hook signatures as these move eastward. One near Mexia that they are watching closely. Wind is gusty and howling here in the DFW area so plenty of lift. I have some clearing to the west as this mass/mess moves east. Weathermen are having a bus-man's holiday today! Update: As these move east Mets are announcing more and more circulations, and warnings. Likely will continue until heating is gone (hopefully avoiding night tornados) Tornadoes at night are the worst 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OttumwaSnomow Posted November 5, 2022 Report Share Posted November 5, 2022 Awesome rain! 2.10 so far and still raining. Thunder several times and even some hail early afternoon.. drought is taking a beating! 3 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted November 5, 2022 Report Share Posted November 5, 2022 Rain is finished here I received 2.1 inches. Quite the rain for KC today with some 3 inch amounts on the SE side of the city. Things have turned wet here the last 2 weeks, I've received 4.3 inches since Oct 23rd. US National Weather Service Kansas City Missouri 21 minutes ago Today we broke the daily record rainfall for KC with 2.43". The previous record for today was 1.65" set in 1956. This tops the normal rainfall for all of November which is 2.00". Today is also the 5th wettest November day on the 135 year record. Oh and this is the most rain we have seen in one day in the last 157 days... The last time it rained this much was May 31st when 2.96" fell. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted November 5, 2022 Report Share Posted November 5, 2022 @mlgamer @Jayhawker85 @someweatherdude looks like you guys may see some flakes early in the morning. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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