snow_wizard Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 33 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: Yeah I'm a ways out there but I think next week is worth watching That is close to epic. The EPS and GEFS are both going for a much longer duration of cold tonight than previous runs. PNA and EPO are both -3 for a sustained period. No way it's not cold with that. 6 1 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 Cold 2 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 I clearly remember that before the big cold wave in December last winter the EPS kept hanging up the really cold air at the Candian border and then one day it showed the cold flooding in. When cold air makes into southern BC it doesn't take much to get it there. 6 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I clearly remember that before the big cold wave in December last winter the EPS kept hanging up the really cold air at the Candian border and then one day it showed the cold flooding in. When cold air makes into southern BC it doesn't take much to get it there. Nothing like a 20 degree day with an Arctic front sitting on your house 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 25 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Tons of mountain snow on the way! I'm far from sure what the moisture situation is going to be with the coming pattern. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 Incredible how long the EPS keeps the cold pattern going. We'll see how things look tomorrow. 7 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Incredible how long the EPS keeps the cold pattern going. We'll see how things look tomorrow. The fun part is the weeklies show extended cold essentially through December 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 Truly fun and outstanding model riding ahead! Buckle up, unless you got no buckle, then wtf do you do? I did not think that far ahead. NIGHT SHIFT 6z GFS in 1 hour 8 minutes 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 12 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I'm far from sure what the moisture situation is going to be with the coming pattern. Me too. 00z ECMWF in 21 hours 12 minutes 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 90 or so mins to go until the night shift gives us some goodies. And with the football analogy, the next drive's gameplan is to establish the point of attack and then spread it out to open up the passing game. Ideally some 2nd and short situations to make the 2nd level of the defense falter. 6 1 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smerfylicious Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 52 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I'm far from sure what the moisture situation is going to be with the coming pattern. Evaporated tears of east coast weather weenies Edit: I already made the joke, but had to delete it because you posted too many times and I grabbed the wrong one lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 For those who are into it. Argentina vs Saudi Arabia coming up at 2AM. Argentina o2.5 goals is a pretty good bet and good value, esp parlayed with a Denmark draw no bet vs Tunisia. Something to have on in the background while we watch the goodies roll out. Hopefully make a little cash at the same time. 1 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 20 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: For those who are into it. Argentina vs Saudi Arabia coming up at 2AM. Argentina o2.5 goals is a pretty good bet and good value, esp parlayed with a Denmark draw no bet vs Tunisia. Something to have on in the background while we watch the goodies roll out. Hopefully make a little cash at the same time. U betting on OSU versus the team up north this Saturday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 The late November period reminds me of the early November shot. Little bit too much over water trajectory and not a ton of cold air to work with. Still some lowland snow opportunities but not a region wide event. I think the early December period is the one to watch as the NAPC block continues to hold and build which allows the cold air source to really expand and eventually allows the Arctic air to seep southward in a more continental direction. At least that's how I see it unfolding at this point. 6 1 Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 55 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: U betting on OSU versus the team up north this Saturday? Not sure yet. A lot of variables. 1 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Kayla Posted November 22, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 I'm here in Sweden this week where it is cold, dark, snowy and windy but beautiful! This shot was taken around 2pm yesterday. 23 2 1 Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 Wow. 6z GEFS colder, and prolonged cold shot. This run puts the Gorge and Columbia Basin into the deep freezer! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 3 hours ago, Kayla said: The late November period reminds me of the early November shot. Little bit too much over water trajectory and not a ton of cold air to work with. Still some lowland snow opportunities but not a region wide event. I think the early December period is the one to watch as the NAPC block continues to hold and build which allows the cold air source to really expand and eventually allows the Arctic air to seep southward in a more continental direction. At least that's how I see it unfolding at this point. The early November thing looked like a one time event before ridging built back in, amazing to see model consistency now with more opportunities later 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 6z GFS Analog Composite, Day 6-10, 8-14! 6 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 Blocking has been off the charts since last spring. I think we find out in the coming years that this is related to Tonga. Blocking does not just mean warm... patterns can get locked in on the cold side as well. I don't believe that this would have zero effect on the weather patterns across the world. 5 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 29 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: 6z GFS Analog Composite, Day 6-10, 8-14! Not a single bad winter in any of those! Or even average, all of those were good. December 2008 is the top analog for 8-14! December 1972 also shows up twice in the 6-10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 2 minutes ago, Doinko said: Not a single bad winter in any of those! Or even average, all of those were good. December 2008 is the top analog for 8-14! December 1972 also shows up twice in the 6-10 December 1990 as well. Back to back arctic blasts. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 Just now, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: December 1990 as well. Back to back arctic blasts. Portland also saw a high of 17 degrees with the December 1964 blast 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 4 hours ago, Kayla said: I'm here in Sweden this week where it is cold, dark, snowy and windy but beautiful! This shot was taken around 2pm yesterday. Looks like Maine or NH 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 59 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: 6z GFS Analog Composite, Day 6-10, 8-14! Dang! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Cats Meow Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 nice rain shower at the moment 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 Its a strange November when a rainy morning feels out of place... but here we are. Rain until early afternoon and then dry again the rest of the week. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Its a strange November when a rainy morning feels out of place... but here we are. Rain until early afternoon and then dry again the rest of the week. Yeah, raining here in the land of perpetual sun. What gives? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 5 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: For those who are into it. Argentina vs Saudi Arabia coming up at 2AM. Argentina o2.5 goals is a pretty good bet and good value, esp parlayed with a Denmark draw no bet vs Tunisia. Something to have on in the background while we watch the goodies roll out. Hopefully make a little cash at the same time. I was up for this. Wow, talk about a BAD BEAT and arguably the biggest upset in WC history. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 3 minutes ago, Cloud said: I was up for this. Wow, talk about a BAD BEAT and arguably the biggest upset in WC history. I’m guessing SA was not expected to win a game much less beat Argentina. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 1 hour ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: December 1990 as well. Back to back arctic blasts. That 1990 pattern was weird. All time cold in California during Dec 1990 and then not a drop of moisture until March 1st. San Jose had like 38 days of freezing weather which is unheard of. Then Miracle March started and dropped 100" of snow up here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 58 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said: Looks like Maine or NH Except of course the sun angle in ME or NH would be much higher at 14:00 local time. 2 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 43.5˚F and 0.36" in the gauge so far today. It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randyc321 Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 11 hours ago, TacomaWx said: We will see. Would be crazy to end up with yet another solid winter. I’m sure something atleast decent happens this winter…but the multi year dud is probably gonna start after this one if I had to guess. Not looking forward to the next 2014-2015 and 2015-2016 combo winters. Didn't you used to be a positive, kind of excitable poster? Your posts are fairly grim lately 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 24 degrees where I am at the moment. Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 3 minutes ago, Randyc321 said: Didn't you used to be a positive, kind of excitable poster? Your posts are fairly grim lately I think he is being more realistic than anything. If you like cold and snow, our winters, particularly those for areas south of Whatcom County, tend to be duds quite often. 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randyc321 Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 Just now, Rubus Leucodermis said: I think he is being more realistic than anything. If you like cold and snow, our winters, particularly those for areas south of Whatcom County, tend to be duds quite often. It's all about managing expectations and appreciating the region for what it is. I love our climate. But, I have gotten much more realistic of late as well. Still a lot of fun to hope for COLD and SNOW! C'MON! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post SouthHillFrosty Posted November 22, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 7 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawksfan2008 Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said: 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 Day 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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