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November 2022 PNW weather Discussion. #NoRidgeNovember


Iceresistance

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1 minute ago, T-Town said:

Seattle afd talking about snow in the long range. 
 

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=CRH&product=AFD&issuedby=SEW

Yes, I saw that.  They really shouldn't be talking about specific days/time frames this far out though.  I have a feeling it will change a few times up until early next week.

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about another 2" of snow yesterday evening.  almost 10" on the month and season IMBY.  which is around 20% of average seasonal total already

 

Spokane still running an -8.2 departure on temps for the month.  some 'milder' temps in the next few days but still close to normal, probably finish -6+ on the Month, not bad

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1 minute ago, Nov1985 said:

Hmm, are we transitioning from trough to ridge for mid-week? Here's 12Z GFS yesterday vs today. Hmmm

8575abd9-f7a6-4427-a6f1-68ae3b7c5d03.gif

Alex Trebek Football GIF by Jeopardy!

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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23 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

about another 2" of snow yesterday evening.  almost 10" on the month and season IMBY.  which is around 20% of average seasonal total already

 

Spokane still running an -8.2 departure on the month.  some 'milder' temps in the next few days but still close to normal, probably finish -6+ on the Month, not bad

3” yesterday here - 6.5” for the season so far. We missed out on some of the snow just before the arctic front a few weeks ago.

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7 hours ago, ShawniganLake said:

I didn’t even know it went out past 180hrs. 😂 

Looks like they may have updated it recently so it goes out to 240 now! Even more things it can get wrong!

Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 8.0"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 

2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16)

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6 minutes ago, Nov1985 said:

That's pretty much my rule, except when ECMWF isn't showing the cold/snow that I'm looking for. Then GFS week 2 gets attention. 😅

I feel like long range GFS is usually the one that sniffs out pattern changes but EURO does better with the finer details.  

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1 minute ago, Snownerd3000 said:

I feel like long range GFS is usually the one that sniffs out pattern changes but EURO does better with the finer details.  

Once in a while this is true. GFS isn't afraid to make the high stakes gamble. e.g. 114°F in June. 🤣

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