Gradient Keeper Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 6z EPS through Monday compared to 00z trended even colder. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Fairly mild this morning low of 44. Always good to see every single batch of runs trending colder for several days in a row. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terreboner Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Got to love a good December cold snap!!! Siberian express, Fraser/Gorge outflow, bomb cyclone at 140/40, surface level dendritic growth zone, low sun angles, euphoria!!! Do I make you horny baby!! Do I????? 1 2 1 1 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Seattle afd talking about snow in the long range. https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=CRH&product=AFD&issuedby=SEW 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terreboner Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 1 minute ago, T-Town said: Seattle afd talking about snow in the long range. https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=CRH&product=AFD&issuedby=SEW Yes, I saw that. They really shouldn't be talking about specific days/time frames this far out though. I have a feeling it will change a few times up until early next week. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 33 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: The GFS Super Ensemble analog composite Day 6-10, 8-14 looks outstanding. 1972, 2008! 1990 as well. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joelgombiner Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 10 hours ago, Phishy Wx said: Maue = barf True, haha, I eventually stopped following him because he was so unbearable. 2 Useful weather links Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 27 minutes ago, T-Town said: Seattle afd talking about snow in the long range. https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=CRH&product=AFD&issuedby=SEW PDX probably issuing a winter storm warning. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 about another 2" of snow yesterday evening. almost 10" on the month and season IMBY. which is around 20% of average seasonal total already Spokane still running an -8.2 departure on temps for the month. some 'milder' temps in the next few days but still close to normal, probably finish -6+ on the Month, not bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nov1985 Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Hmm, are we transitioning from trough to ridge for mid-week? Here's 12Z GFS yesterday vs today. Hmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 1 minute ago, Nov1985 said: Hmm, are we transitioning from trough to ridge for mid-week? Here's 12Z GFS yesterday vs today. Hmmm 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nov1985 Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Yesterday 12Z vs today's for Tue evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nov1985 Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Drunk uncle picked a bad week to quit drinking. Wednesday morning temps 12Z vs yesterday's 12Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 2 minutes ago, Nov1985 said: Drunk uncle picked a bad week to quit drinking. Wednesday morning temps 12Z vs yesterday's 12Z. 850s in BC still look good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 2 minutes ago, Nov1985 said: Drunk uncle picked a bad week to quit drinking. Wednesday morning temps 12Z vs yesterday's 12Z. It’s probably an outlier and the druncle is the 18z. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 2 minutes ago, Nov1985 said: Drunk uncle picked a bad week to quit drinking. Wednesday morning temps 12Z vs yesterday's 12Z. Its the holidays, I thought we were supposed to be drinking MORE 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 4 minutes ago, Nov1985 said: Drunk uncle picked a bad week to quit drinking. Wednesday morning temps 12Z vs yesterday's 12Z. People referring to the drunk uncle mean the 18z on here btw. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 5 minutes ago, Nov1985 said: Drunk uncle picked a bad week to quit drinking. Wednesday morning temps 12Z vs yesterday's 12Z. Worth noting the arctic front that looks to hit the area on Thursday the 1st! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Massive potential on the 12z. Gets some serious cold and outflow in the lowlands. 4 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Second trough is in a perfect position to drag that Arctic air south 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nov1985 Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 5 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said: Worth noting the arctic front that looks to hit the area on Thursday the 1st! Yes, modified arctic front at 200 hours which is lala for GFS... Will it be there at 100 hours? We've seen this movie before. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post MR.SNOWMIZER Posted November 23, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 This is the first model run that has excited me this year. The ones from a few weeks ago were never going to happen for many reasons. This one is hitting during prime time. My 50th Birthday is the 2nd and it has snowed many many times on my birthday!! 13 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
antipex Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 23 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said: about another 2" of snow yesterday evening. almost 10" on the month and season IMBY. which is around 20% of average seasonal total already Spokane still running an -8.2 departure on the month. some 'milder' temps in the next few days but still close to normal, probably finish -6+ on the Month, not bad 3” yesterday here - 6.5” for the season so far. We missed out on some of the snow just before the arctic front a few weeks ago. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 9 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said: Worth noting the arctic front that looks to hit the area on Thursday the 1st! Let it snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Man time flies, i do not look or feel 50 years old lol. Still doing 125 push ups every day, can do 100 without stopping!!! I have no complaints and i feel great for my age, honestly feel the same as when i was 40. 5 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Still lots of small changes happening in the models at this stage. Still don’t see anything that screams lowland snow for my area, but late next week/weekend looks very cold on the 12z GFS. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 6 minutes ago, Nov1985 said: Yes, modified arctic front at 200 hours which is lala for GFS... Will it be there at 100 hours? We've seen this movie before. valid, maybe we stop looking at the GFS beyond day 7? 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 7 hours ago, ShawniganLake said: I didn’t even know it went out past 180hrs. Looks like they may have updated it recently so it goes out to 240 now! Even more things it can get wrong! Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 A sure sign that it’s coming. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 GEM... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nov1985 Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 5 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said: valid, maybe we stop looking at the GFS beyond day 7? That's pretty much my rule, except when ECMWF isn't showing the cold/snow that I'm looking for. Then GFS week 2 gets attention. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terreboner Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Looks like an Andrew special. Not too shabby over here in the high desert either. Maybe an Eastside event for PDX. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 6 minutes ago, Nov1985 said: That's pretty much my rule, except when ECMWF isn't showing the cold/snow that I'm looking for. Then GFS week 2 gets attention. I feel like long range GFS is usually the one that sniffs out pattern changes but EURO does better with the finer details. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nov1985 Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 1 minute ago, Snownerd3000 said: I feel like long range GFS is usually the one that sniffs out pattern changes but EURO does better with the finer details. Once in a while this is true. GFS isn't afraid to make the high stakes gamble. e.g. 114°F in June. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 7 minutes ago, Nov1985 said: Once in a while this is true. GFS isn't afraid to make the high stakes gamble. e.g. 114°F in June. I guess a broken clock is right twice a day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Looks like we might see a reload towards the end of this run with more really cold air being pulled into alaska from russia, block looks to try and reorganize as well. I know, fantasy land 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 1 hour ago, SnowWillarrive said: PDX probably issuing a winter storm warning. PDX issuing WSW after reading the SEW AFD 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 1 hour ago, SnowWillarrive said: PDX probably issuing a winter storm warning. Helping ensure it will track north and miss PDX entirely. 1 1 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 5 minutes ago, Cloud said: PDX issuing WSW after reading the SEW AFD Yeah Butwin had a good write up. Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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