Kolk1604 Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Rob gets buried here. Does look like it's overrunning as the 850s warm 2 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 9 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Don’t move to Whatcom County or the BC Lower Mainland if you can’t stand dry outflow eating snow before it can reach the ground. It is a specialty of this area; the downside of having easier access to the outflow. So many times when there was a major arctic outbreak, especially with strong winds, Whatcom County got the snow shaft. I remember 1989, terribly cold and strong winds, very little snow. Same with the 2 blasts in 1990 (though there was snow later on with other systems) and the 2004 event. 2008 did get cold, but without the strong winds, so we did get good snow. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 24 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: One thing I always notice about the 500mb pattern in these situations. If a ridge is just a little too far east for us it can sit undisturbed for days delivering cold and snow for the intermountain west and northern Rockies. Whenever it’s in the sweet spot for more of a direct hit in the western lowlands there is pretty always a little ULL or something that spins up upstream and screws everything up for a region wide blast. I’m guessing it has to do with short waves gaining energy as they encounter maritime air and becoming overstrengthened? It always feels like threading such an impossible needle to get true arctic air region wide. It’s amazing it happened as often as it did 1990 and before. Totally agree. For my area getting snow isn’t a problem, but real meaningful cold is very hard to come by. 3 1 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 This is just early December though. A lot of fun ahead. 3 2 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 4 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: Rob gets buried here. Does look like it's overrunning as the 850s warm Here we go! 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nov1985 Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Models need to get a handle on this large but weakening low late in the period. Saving this 9°F forecast for comparison in 3 days because it could be a distant memory by then. 6 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 EPS 850s at Hr 204 vs 00z. If you arent getting better you gettin worse, my grandpappy used to be say! 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Ya gotta believe!!!!!!!!!!! Ya gotta believe!!!!!!!!!! (c)Rob 2019? 1 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Day 10 - EPS vs Operational 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 interesting 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 28 minutes ago, Nov1985 said: The snow shadow and east wind drying (my area) should be banned from Western WA snow events. Just sayin' they aren't fair. Yeah I tend to worry about that with snow events as well. I was worried on Feb 2021 when the NWS said the Snoqualmie valley would only get about 2-4”, but then I ended up with almost 9” when all was said and done. I feel like Duvall doesn’t get screwed over as much as other places on the east side because it’s not exposed to any of the places where dry outflow comes out from the gaps but it still gets the dry down sloping winds. 3 2023 - 2024 Cold Season Stats Total Snowfall - 0.75” Max Snow Depth - 0.5” Coldest High Temp - 21 (Jan 13) Coldest Low Temp - 9 (Jan 13) Number of Freezes - 51 Sub-40 highs - 12 Highs 32 or lower - 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 WOW that is a high average snowfall for EPS, things are looking good! 6 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Just now, 12345WeatherNerd said: WOW that is a high average snowfall for EPS, things are looking good! Pepto!! 2 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 New GFS really brings the hammer down. Day 9 comparison Current on top New on bottom 3 5 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 6 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: New GFS really brings the hammer down. Day 9 comparison Current on top New on bottom Glad to see they are finally retooling it to be more realistic 2 1 6 Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Beautiful day, 53 degrees and mostly sunny! 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 23, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 5 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: New GFS really brings the hammer down. Day 9 comparison Current on top New on bottom 16 3 becomes operational on the 29th with the 12z run. Only 6 days away 7 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Friends don’t let friends take ensemble mean snowfall amounts at face value 1 2 2 1 Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Just now, Tyler Mode said: Beautiful day, 53 degrees and mostly sunny! Glad to be away from that crap. Still a little foggy here and just 46. 1 1 Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 4 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 2 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 PDX has some bangers in there 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fubario Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Tim? TIM??????? 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 1 hour ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Often with a low that comes down from Vancouver Island, this will lead to lower snow totals in the area in red (the south puget sound). Will be interesting to watch going forward! I refuse to live in that dark grey area near the water. Seen it get screwed too many times. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 20 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said: WOW that is a high average snowfall for EPS, things are looking good! Pepto for me! 1 1 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nov1985 Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 27 minutes ago, Cold Snap said: Yeah I tend to worry about that with snow events as well. I was worried on Feb 2021 when the NWS said the Snoqualmie valley would only get about 2-4”, but then I ended up with almost 9” when all was said and done. I feel like Duvall doesn’t get screwed over as much as other places on the east side because it’s not exposed to any of the places where dry outflow comes out from the gaps but it still gets the dry down sloping winds. East wind warnings don't pan out here to the full extent either. (I'm just west up the hill about 500', but get my groceries and gas in Duvall, so... I'm a native ) 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Cats Meow Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 If we got one of the old school arctic fronts that sweep through from Bellingham to Eugene that would be special. I miss the old days when those winds would come crashing through and the actual front itself dropped a couple of inches of dry powder and then it was sunny and cold for a few days. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Lots of excitement. 2 2 1 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Just now, TigerWoodsLibido said: Lots of excitement. Just wait until tonight my friend! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 10 minutes ago, fubario said: Tim? TIM??????? Yes? I love snow in December! Need to see a couple more runs but the 12Z ECMWF is the first run which made me think about bringing up the snowblower from the lower shed. 5 1 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 21 minutes ago, Tyler Mode said: Beautiful day, 53 degrees and mostly sunny! Same here... gorgeous day. 2 2 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 14 minutes ago, fubario said: Tim? TIM??????? He only posts maps of warm holidays. 5 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 1 hour ago, TacomaWx said: Too early to worry about it much. I prefer to start worrying early, to ensure I achieve my full complement of worrying. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Spring??? Sun angles increase in LESS than a month! Of course it snowed last April...5 MONTHS after increasing. 3 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MWG Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 12 years ago we had a little bit of snow. That was the year I moved to OR and was happy to see this before Thanksgiving. 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Featured Comment Popular Post smerfylicious Posted November 23, 2022 Featured Comment Popular Post Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 A nice day for a newborn. Here's bellevue from a delivery room. I'll keep yall posted 39 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 Just now, smerfylicious said: A nice day for a newborn. Here's bellevue from a delivery room. I'll keep yall posted Wow! Big day! Hope all goes well. 5 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest administrator Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 3 minutes ago, smerfylicious said: A nice day for a newborn. Here's bellevue from a delivery room. I'll keep yall posted Sending good vibes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 23, 2022 Report Share Posted November 23, 2022 2 minutes ago, smerfylicious said: A nice day for a newborn. Here's bellevue from a delivery room. I'll keep yall posted Awesome! congrats. Was in about that same room 11.5 months ago. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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