SouthHillFrosty Posted November 24, 2022 Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 The GEM had a slight run to run shift…. 5 1 1 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted November 24, 2022 Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 5 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: There are a lot of people here who like heat along with nothing else. Name one. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 24, 2022 Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 GEFS delivers the goods day8.5 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 24, 2022 Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 4 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: The GEM delivered. Model wars 2022 brewing??? No good. Dump that one and let’s stick to the GFS! 3 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 24, 2022 Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 3 3 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted November 24, 2022 Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 8 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: I remember that one very well. First temps in the single digits I’ve witnessed when I was old enough to know what was going on. Lots of icing on local rivers. Plus cold is just fun on its own. There are a lot of people here who like heat along with nothing else. As has been mentioned, we had a very nice overachieving snow event in the Portland area later on that month as well. Just depends on what you’re interested in. Me personally I’d prefer a 30/20 day with a few inches of snow over a 25/15 day with none. Either is pretty dope though! 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted November 24, 2022 Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: I like this better! 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted November 24, 2022 Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 3 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Very nice! Looks like I'll be snowmobiling in December. That has unfortunately been rare as of late. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 24, 2022 Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 00z GEFS Day 8 (Past 4 runs) 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nov1985 Posted November 24, 2022 Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 A lot going on next 10 days with so many chances. 00Z GFS is showing 4° to 6° F next Saturday morning SE of Everrett. Monroe, Snohomish, Lake Stevens. Reminds me of one of the recent (2019 or 2020) events when both GFS and ECMWF way over did the cold to similar single digits, then warmed up to upper 20's in later model runs. Yet it still got just cold enough for multiple good snows. Hoping for the modified arctic front + multiple precipitation events. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 24, 2022 Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: 00z GEFS Day 8 (Past 4 runs) A noticeable shift NW of the ridge with this run. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 24, 2022 Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 1 minute ago, Nov1985 said: A lot going on next 10 days with so many chances. 00Z GFS is showing 4° to 6° F next Saturday morning SE of Everrett. Monroe, Snohomish, Lake Stevens. Reminds me of one of the recent (2019 or 2020) events when both GFS and ECMWF way over did the cold to similar single digits, then warmed up to upper 20's in later model runs. Yet it still got just cold enough for multiple good snows. Hoping for the modified arctic front + multiple precipitation events. Great take 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 24, 2022 Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 It is nice to see the GEFS and EPS are BOTH trending colder and the GFS isn't on its own like usual. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weiner Warrior Posted November 24, 2022 Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 Weiners for everyone!!! 1 1 16 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nov1985 Posted November 24, 2022 Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 3 minutes ago, Weiner Warrior said: Weiners for everyone!!! Speaking of Leavenworth... 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 24, 2022 Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 If that block were positioned better amplifying up through Alaska this GEFS run would have been ridiculously cold. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted November 24, 2022 Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: It is nice to see the GEFS and EPS are BOTH trending colder and the GFS isn't on its own like usual. Yeah it’s definitely nice to be seeing that. The more I see them trend colder the more confidence I have in this happening. I feel like this could be as good as last December snow wise but maybe not temp wise. 3 1 2023 - 2024 Cold Season Stats Total Snowfall - 0.75” Max Snow Depth - 0.5” Coldest High Temp - 21 (Jan 13) Coldest Low Temp - 9 (Jan 13) Number of Freezes - 48 Sub-40 highs - 12 Highs 32 or lower - 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 24, 2022 Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 00z GEFS Snowfall totals. Surface temps for PDX actually support this snowfall too. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 24, 2022 Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 Not BAD! 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 24, 2022 Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 Great Op and GEFS run! Honestly I could see runs trending colder and colder with the second arctic trough. 7 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted November 24, 2022 Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 38 minutes ago, Dave said: Eugene didn't get screwed at all in 2008. It just wasn't the epic once in 30 years type system that it was for Portland and other areas. We got about 4-5 inches of nice dry snow and 3-4 days of subfreezing temps. A very good event. Yeah you're right, I guess they just didn't do as well as the rest of the region but still pretty great then! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 24, 2022 Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 00z ECMWF Day 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted November 24, 2022 Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 32 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: Just depends on what you’re interested in. Me personally I’d prefer a 30/20 day with a few inches of snow over a 25/15 day with none. Either is pretty dope though! The first type of day followed by the second would be ideal! 6 1 Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 24, 2022 Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 I think one of the most fun and exciting event around here for the winter time is seeing an Arctic front move through (at least personally). I can't wait for this. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted November 24, 2022 Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 2 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: The first type of day followed by the second would be ideal! I'm pretty sure that a lot of posters here would prefer that it becomes 75-80 degrees right after the snowfall has occurred. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 24, 2022 Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 3 minutes ago, Cloud said: I think one of the most fun and exciting event around here for the winter time is seeing an Arctic front move through (at least personally). I can't wait for this. Agreed! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bueryan Posted November 24, 2022 Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 If you talk about the weather during Thanksgiving and get doughnut-holed on snow maps it's because the models account for jinxes. That's just science. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 24, 2022 Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 Day 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted November 24, 2022 Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 40 minutes ago, MossMan said: No good. Dump that one and let’s stick to the GFS! Sorry Moss. Let's pretend we're playing my son's favorite game, Minecraft and go with the many GEMs. I like the Gem better for my location and run to run changes too. Currently I'm in Spokane and we have the freezing fog and there's still snow in the parking lots from yesterday. Not looking forward to waking up in five hours to catch a flight but model riding is fun. Currently debating whether or not to cancel our return stay at this airport hotel on Saturday night or drive back through snow showers on Sunday. 1 Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 24, 2022 Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 One thing to note is that any precipitation or any details to look at is a BONUS. The key ingredient is getting the Arctic airmass in place first, the details will then iron itself out. By looking at the overall trend (for now) and the ensembles, I feel a lot more confident this time around than what we saw last month in the intermediate range. But knock on wood, @GHweatherChrisracoons are always lurking. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
van city Posted November 24, 2022 Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 50 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: The GEM delivered. Model wars 2022 brewing??? 10 days out frosty, wish you all the luck 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 24, 2022 Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 1 hour ago, Gradient Keeper said: Day 10 BC Torch CA Deep Freeze 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 24, 2022 Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 The one thing I am weary about and hope that it will continue to trend better is that we are still seeing the bulk of the Arctic airmass being bottled up in BC. Would see some improvements on this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 24, 2022 Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 2 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said: BC Torch CA Deep Freeze I wouldn't say BC is torching. Maybe Northern BC but not the South. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 24, 2022 Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 Day 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Slushy Inch Posted November 24, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 This is a great GEFS run 7 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 24, 2022 Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 5 minutes ago, van city said: 10 days out frosty, wish you all the luck 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted November 24, 2022 Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 1 minute ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: I wouldn't say BC is torching. Maybe Northern BC but not the South. Maybe just a Yukon torch. Btw I saw your post to NWS Spokane and way to go on the snow you got. Was there any significant melt today? Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 24, 2022 Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 Day 4 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 24, 2022 Report Share Posted November 24, 2022 1 hour ago, TacomaWx said: I don’t think most people even remember the December 2009 arctic blast. Pretty decent on the temps but no snowfall in an overall garbage winter. 09-10 and 15-16 are the only winters I’ve seen here not even manage to have snowflakes in the air. Dec 2009 was really cool here. I have memories of playing with my dad on the ice that never melted. Very dry but very, very cold. 6 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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