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November 2022 PNW weather Discussion. #NoRidgeNovember

Iceresistance

By Iceresistance
in West of the Rockies

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Posted by smerfylicious,

A nice day for a newborn. Here's bellevue from a delivery room. I'll keep yall posted

Congrats!!!

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Posted by SouthHillJimmy,

Long time lurker here, decided to make an account and interact. This week will definitely be one hell of a ride!

Welcome Jimmy!

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TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

If we get good snowcover to survive into Friday, our cold potential seriously increases. Low level cold is greatly enhanced by snowpack.

I am starting to believe the entire Seattle area will have snow on the ground by Thursday and its going to stick around for quite some time with no SW flow in sight.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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smerfylicious
smerfylicious

A nice day for a newborn. Here's bellevue from a delivery room. I'll keep yall posted

SilverFallsAndrew
SilverFallsAndrew

Ummm we had our first freeze… School delay, and 1.5” of snow. 

MossMan
MossMan

Phantom snow has begun! 

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TT-SEA Grand Master

TT-SEA

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

What you thinking Tim? for your place. Hard call for sure and honestly i think even despite the south flow that you might get hit hard before any change to rain and the change to rain might only be a couple hrs because the post airmass behind this front will drop snow level back down pretty fast.

I think we have 6-8 inches on the ground here by Friday morning.    

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Meatyorologist Grand Master

Meatyorologist

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Dewpoints are running 3-10F colder than modeled over the area. Could be a surprise lurking tomorrow. With insolation maximized, now is the time of year to do it.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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MR.SNOWMIZER Grand Master

MR.SNOWMIZER

Posted
Posted
Just now, TT-SEA said:

I am starting to believe the entire Seattle area will have snow on the ground by Thursday and its going to stick around for quite some time with no SW flow in sight.

I wouldn't be surprised if both me and you had over a foot on the ground by Saturday morning.

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We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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gusky Veteran

gusky

Posted
Posted

Someone ban me from messaging in this forum for a while, I need to stop procrastinating this essay IMMEDIATELY.

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My Weather Station:  https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 

Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5.

My Twitter

 

 

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Requiem Grand Master

Requiem

Posted
Posted
17 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

You at 1k ft?? You should see more than a few flakes?

I'm a bit skeptical of any accumulation-- I think if my area (or even the PDX lowlands) were to get anything whatsoever it would be later this week with even a hint of offshore flow. Then again, it might just be too warm for anything but some pretty looking snow showers.

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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MR.SNOWMIZER Grand Master

MR.SNOWMIZER

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, Kuna_Idaho_Dude said:

Can anyone comment on how a drive from Boise to Astoria will be weather wise on I84/30 on Wednseday? 

If you go by what gfs say's then you will need a snowmobile. If you follow euro guidance than you could drive a convertible Cadillac.

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We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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gusky Veteran

gusky

Posted
Posted

18z GEFS hot off the press. And you'll *NEVER* believe what it says... lol1669658400-U40YuKoXlsA.png

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My Weather Station:  https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 

Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5.

My Twitter

 

 

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

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Nice model improvement today!  The next trough doesn't flop out over the ocean for so long, and the third act is looking pretty legit.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted
7 minutes ago, Nov1985 said:

How's this?

cc38d264-474f-4208-894a-ef6696f4f993.gif

The screw hole finally got filled in.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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gusky Veteran

gusky

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, RayRay said:

I have homework due tonight and a 2 hour test I have to do on Wednesday while distracted by the snow.

I feel ya man. Got tests this week too, I don't know how I'm gonna make myself prepare for them.

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My Weather Station:  https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 

Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5.

My Twitter

 

 

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gusky Veteran

gusky

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

So what happens if gfs is close on these snow totals lol. 

I know, this consistency has to make you wonder at what point we believe it... I'm not saying we've reached that point yet, but I want to.

My Weather Station:  https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 

Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5.

My Twitter

 

 

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SouthHillFrosty Grand Master

SouthHillFrosty

Posted
Posted
11 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Dewpoints are running 3-10F colder than modeled over the area. Could be a surprise lurking tomorrow. With insolation maximized, now is the time of year to do it.

Is this more inline with the GFS?

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, TacomaWx said:

Everything turned around quickly while you were gone jim leave now and don’t jinx us 😂

I just needed a break.  I was getting way too wound up.

The stakes are pretty high with this potential snowfall.  Anything we get could be around for a while!  Of course it would lead to colder temps during the cold snap as well.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted
Just now, Cloud said:

Can confirm some flurries at SODO. ❄️ 

It is cold out there!

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Dave Veteran

Dave

Posted
Posted

I just noticed that my sister's neighbor has a heated driveway. Must be nice. I'm bummed for us in the Willamette Valley, but looking forward to seeing how this plays out for you guys up north. If you haven't done so already, be sure to load up on eggs, bread, milk, kale, and booze. I imagine the grocery stores must be an absolute shitshow right now.

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snow_wizard Grand Master

snow_wizard

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

So what happens if gfs is close on these snow totals lol. 

It is nice to see the ECMWF being a bit more wintry now as well.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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