November 2022 PNW weather Discussion. #NoRidgeNovember

[Slushy Inch]

5 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

So what happens if gfs is close on these snow totals lol. 

Tree damage

[SouthHillFrosty]

5 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

So what happens if gfs is close on these snow totals lol. 

I start going to church I guess

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

1 minute ago, Phishy Wx said:

This will make 2 major heavy snow events for November. Extremely rare and very old school like early winter.

[Doinko]

10 minutes ago, High Desert Mat? said:

Who has the 500mb maps and 850mb maps for the Feb. 2019 event? I’d love to see those. Maybe a couple of the precip maps as well?

From the late month or early month events? Here's from the 24th to 26th with the big snowstorm in central OR

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

It is cold out there!

Only 36 for a high after a 30 degree low for my house. Very chilly winter day for November.

[Snownerd3000]

5 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I just needed a break.  I was getting way too wound up.

The stakes are pretty high with this potential snowfall.  Anything we get could be around for a while!  Of course it would lead to colder temps during the cold snap as well.

Imagine NWS in Seattle is sweating bullets with the uncertainty presented 

[GHweatherChris]

Really hope they get the Langley radar working by tomorrow.

[Perturbed Member]

18z Euro only goes out to 90 hours but the Friday low is definitely weaker than on the 12z (by 4 mb) and further southwest. The 12z GFS to 18z GFS also shifted that low similarly to the SW. Probably bodes well and it will be interesting to see what the 00z Euro shows for Friday-Saturday when that low approaches.

 

[Winterdog]

Chilly indeed, 31 here after a high of 37 with a dewpoint of 30.  

[Dave]

3 minutes ago, High Desert Mat? said:

Might as well start calling this the Washington forums. 

I've posted several times today from Bend. But can you blame them? This type of scenario rarely occurs in the lowlands of the PNW, especially in November. We do need more Oregon posters to join though for sure.

[BLI snowman]

12 minutes ago, Requiem said:

I'm a bit skeptical of any accumulation-- I think if my area (or even the PDX lowlands) were to get anything whatsoever it would be later this week with even a hint of offshore flow. Then again, it might just be too warm for anything but some pretty looking snow showers.

Yeah, Friday night is easily looking like our most interesting window right now. Very iffy though.

[Poulsbo Snowman]

5 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

I start going to church I guess

I thought we already discussed the time for this.

[Front Ranger]

1 hour ago, RentonHillTC said:

 

1 hour ago, RentonHillTC said:

Interesting. NWS Spokane uses "warm tongue" instead of warm nose. Whats more appropriate? 

 

[TacomaWx]

2 minutes ago, Dave said:

I've posted several times today from Bend. But can you blame them? This type of scenario rarely occurs in the lowlands of the PNW, especially in November. We do need more Oregon posters to join though for sure.

Lot of it is a lack of people down there…lot more Washington posters. I wouldn’t be upset at you guys if you were excited for a big event that looked pretty minimal up here. It just hasn’t been the other way around with an Oregon focused winter event in way too long. 

[Nov1985]

16 minutes ago, gusky said:

18z GEFS hot off the press. And you'll *NEVER* believe what it says... lol

Thanks, just cancelled all plans for Fri Dec 9. That looks like a sure thing!

[snow_wizard]

I have to say I'm a bit flabbergasted how much better things got today.  Wow!

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

4 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Yeah, Friday night is easily looking like our most interesting window right now. Very iffy though.

If things stay like this or close it sure looks pretty good for Portland.

[FroYoBro]

4 minutes ago, Dave said:

I've posted several times today from Bend. But can you blame them? This type of scenario rarely occurs in the lowlands of the PNW, especially in November. We do need more Oregon posters to join though for sure.

There just isn't a lot for us Oregonians to post about right now. Let the Washington peeps have their fun. I hope everyone does well with snow over the next week! 

 

 

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, TacomaWx said:

Lot of it is a lack of people down there…lot more Washington posters. I wouldn’t be upset at you guys if you were excited for a big event that looked pretty minimal up here. It just hasn’t been the other way around with an Oregon focused winter event in way too long. 

The way this is changing I wouldn't give up hope if I lived down there.

[Requiem]

6 minutes ago, Dave said:

I've posted several times today from Bend. But can you blame them? This type of scenario rarely occurs in the lowlands of the PNW, especially in November. We do need more Oregon posters to join though for sure.

At *some* point I'm sure the shoe has to be on the other foot...

[awright-31]

SR 8 between Olympia and McCleary is a mess. 32 degrees with moderate snow, multiple scanner reports of spinouts and vehicles in the ditch.

[Front Ranger]

2 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Lot of it is a lack of people down there…lot more Washington posters. I wouldn’t be upset at you guys if you were excited for a big event that looked pretty minimal up here. It just hasn’t been the other way around with an Oregon focused winter event in way too long. 

April '22!

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

If things stay like this or close it sure looks pretty good for Portland.

No doubt the Portland area has a way better shot than points south.

[SouthHillFrosty]

Just now, awright-31 said:

SR 8 between Olympia and McCleary is a mess. 32 degrees with moderate snow, multiple scanner reports of spinouts and vehicles in the ditch.

Wow!!!

Was this modeled today?

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Just now, snow_wizard said:

The way this is changing I wouldn't give up hope if I lived down there.

 

Just now, snow_wizard said:

The way this is changing I wouldn't give up hope if I lived down there.

Reminds me of 2008 in many ways. It just kept getting better and when it got rolling it just kept on going and going.

[T-Town]

17 minutes ago, gusky said:

I feel ya man. Got tests this week too, I don't know how I'm gonna make myself prepare for them.

It’s good preparation for your post-graduation life when you post on the forum instead of doing your job. 

[gusky]

3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I have to say I'm a bit flabbergasted how much better things got today.  Wow!

I'm trying so hard to keep my expectations in check. I'm also failing badly.

[snow_wizard]

Just now, Requiem said:

At *some* point I'm sure the shoe has to be on the other foot...

It happens.  In events like Dec 1919 and Jan 1930 Seattle got absolutely owned by Portland.  There are much more recent ones too of course.  The most notable in recent times was Jan 2017 and of course Feb 2014.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

1 minute ago, awright-31 said:

SR 8 between Olympia and McCleary is a mess. 32 degrees with moderate snow, multiple scanner reports of spinouts and vehicles in the ditch.

Not even forecasted. 

[RentonHill]

Down to 35 with 21 DP

[Doinko]

1 minute ago, Front Ranger said:

April '22!

Only Portland, not the rest of the valley. Great event though

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Wow!!!

Was this modeled today?

I'm surprised there is still so much moisture left.  Cold wise I'm not surprised.  This looks like it's just beginning.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

It happens.  In events like Dec 1919 and Jan 1930 Seattle got absolutely owned by Portland.  There are much more recent ones too of course.  The most notable in recent times was Jan 2017 and of course Feb 2014.

Jan 2017 and Feb 2014 came during a time when I was living in the Puget Sound area and getting skunked by big snowfalls to my north and south. For a number of years I never got more than an inch or two at any one time. Got quite frustrating.

[Poulsbo Snowman]

It's really hard to play Battlefield 4 and monitor this event.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Just now, snow_wizard said:

I'm surprised there is still so much moisture left.  Cold wise I'm not surprised.  This looks like it's just beginning.

As someone on the Canadian forum is fond of tagging, #surprises.

[Doinko]

2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

It happens.  In events like Dec 1919 and Jan 1930 Seattle got absolutely owned by Portland.  There are much more recent ones too of course.  The most notable in recent times was Jan 2017 and of course Feb 2014.

Hard to imagine something like 1930

 

[awright-31]

3 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Wow!!!

Was this modeled today?

This area of Thurston County is always the winner in the snow department because of elevation, and models will typically highlight this area with heavier totals; but most models predicted little to no accumulations in Thurston County at all tonight.

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

 

 

Edited November 29, 2022 by Brian_in_Leavenworth

[Requiem]

2 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Only Portland, not the rest of the valley. Great event though

A good event, but I'd argue a very west-side centric one.

[Snownerd3000]

9 minutes ago, Nov1985 said:

Thanks, just cancelled all plans for Fri Dec 9. That looks like a sure thing!

I have some friends trying to leave N Bend Friday to catch a flight to SF for a buddies bachelor party to watch SF take on the Phins. I told them i see a delay of game happening lol.