November 2022 PNW weather Discussion. #NoRidgeNovember

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Really starting to rip here at work. 33 degrees.

[Doinko]

 

[Front Ranger]

Goofus still showing a widespread 10-15" for Seattle area through Saturday morning. Before melting.

[Ice_is_Everywhere]

Snow mixing back in here with heavier precip. Lots of juicy stuff off the coast still.

[Snownerd3000]

6 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

GFS still erroneously aggressive with Cascade gap outflow, but temps will fall this evening at least Seattle north. Will it be enough for stickage, or even a switch back? We'll see!

The sun is going down and getting less powerful, and precip is picking up.

That maybe but I feel like the 12z EURO might be a little too warm if basing actual values around the sound and what was forecast for this time of day.  I could see a compromise between the two being closer to actual results.

[Perturbed Member]

18z GFS is trying. Really marginal stuff. 

[Doinko]

Just now, Doinko said:

 

Gives an ice storm too

[Cloud]

Friday into Sat looks snowy. Kuld also. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

4am Thursday.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

4am saturday

[North_County]

3 minutes ago, gusky said:

18z GFS is ALL SNOW. Says no to any rain in Seattle. Absolutely ridiculous.

16 inches in the next 24 hours?

(I don't actually believe it, but....)

[Front Ranger]

Blocking ridge is much more robust 4 days out compared to modeled just a couple days ago.

[Skagit Weather]

Getting some light flakage, but no stickage now at 35F.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Roofs are dusted white. Streets still just wet.

[Blizzard777]

2 hours ago, Meatyorologist said:

Remember folks, if it doesn't snow tonight where you live, it's probably because you didn't want it enough.

10 points awarded for making me laugh out loud….nice job!

12:30 or so we officially flipped over to the clear liquid snow 36*

Ferndale Wa. on the other hand showing 28* and light snow with a 14 mph NE wind. 

[seattleweatherguy]

Got to see snow! Only stuck mostly on grass and a trace on the cement at best.

[MikeInEverett]

Starting to restick to surfaces that had previously melted during the lull earlier. Should be a full go now

[Cloud]

SEA's back down to 34 again w/ light snow reported... may have reached max daytime heating. 

[Perturbed Member]

It is probably going to just a hair too warm Thursday for PDX but both the GFS, 3KM NAM and RGEM are now showing that as snow. Might be a little surprise for someone.

[Blizzard777]

55 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Wind! Blowing snow! 

I’m listening to Charlie Brown Christmas music while all this is happening…..pure bliss  

[RentonHill]

33 and snowing at home at 409ft: east and north wind kinda rippin through at times?? Sick!! Probably an inch or so but looks like it’s had some good meltage 

[Doinko]

Euro is much better than the GFS with the reload next week:

[Poulsbo Snowman]

Dewpoints and temps are really close to one another.  35 in Silverdale with a 34 dewpoint.  

Ugly.

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

 

[Requiem]

6 minutes ago, Perturbed Member said:

It is probably going to just a hair too warm Thursday for PDX but both the GFS, 3KM NAM and RGEM are now showing that as snow. Might be a little surprise for someone.

I'd imagine anyone with some elevation or our usual cold-hogging areas could do pretty well

[SnowWillarrive]

Moderate snow picking up again! 

 

[DeepFriedEgg]

I feel like there is absolutely not enough ensemble support for PDX snow.... Just won't happen except maybe west hills or east metro. Really hoping for a reload next week but that also has very weak ensemble support...

[Front Ranger]

11 minutes ago, Perturbed Member said:

It is probably going to just a hair too warm Thursday for PDX but both the GFS, 3KM NAM and RGEM are now showing that as snow. Might be a little surprise for someone.

Mark Nelsen will SCORE.

[Doinko]

1 minute ago, DeepFriedEgg said:

I feel like there is absolutely not enough ensemble support for PDX snow.... Just won't happen except maybe west hills or east metro. Really hoping for a reload next week but that also has very weak ensemble support...

Washington county screw zone has been pretty annoying the past few years

[FroYoBro]

4 minutes ago, Requiem said:

I'd imagine anyone with some elevation or our usual cold-hogging areas could do pretty well

I’ll be pissed if you steal my snow. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Looks like about 2 inches at home.

[Doinko]

2 minutes ago, thickhog said:

Stuff of nightmares

Hasn't been as bad here a bit to the northern part of the metro area compared to Tigard and that area but it's still been annoying. Maybe we can get an event like February 2014 or the 2016/2017 events to give the W/SW metro more snow sometime soon.

[Poulsbo Snowman]

33 rain.  This must be what it feels like to get a lump of coal in my Christmas stocking.

[Cloud]

Amazing what little elevation can do. Sea level at SODO is rain, 270ft at home is snow and sticking. 

[Hawksfan2008]

-2 line at 925mb. Consistent with the snowfall cutoff on most the models. 

[SnowWillarrive]

Just now, Cloud said:

Amazing what little elevation can do. Sea level at SODO is rain, 270ft at home is snow and sticking. 

Where is home? 

[RentonHill]

24 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Blocking ridge is much more robust 4 days out compared to modeled just a couple days ago.

oh ya? howd this turn out on this run

[Kolk1604]

12 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

 

Force that ***** south and we in business 

[Phishy Wx]

dang first flank of showers already approaching Spokane.

 

[MossMan]

It’s beginning to look a lot like…November 29?