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November 2022 PNW weather Discussion. #NoRidgeNovember


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9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Not totally sure without seeing the latest ECMWF... but the HRRR current 925mb temp map sort of explains the observations here.

 

hrrr-washington-t925-9784400.png

It looks like the cold line that GFS forecast for 3 days is holding. But will it hold until after 4:00 am as GFS forecast? Might not matter, the bulk of the precip may pass before then. 

hrrr-washington-t925-9784400.png.135eb2cfbe3aaeaf06580b0d66bf6df7.png

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The standard snow map on the 00Z ECMWF significantly overstated what has happened for the last 6 hours.     Kuchera is the way to go.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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17 minutes ago, MossMan said:

This just popped up! 

2DF72E46-D808-4303-9DE3-B80266228311.jpeg

The night shift apparently likes snow way more than the day shift. They’ve flipped back and forth with each shift the last two days. Really confusing.

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Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation)

Snow since February 2019: 91"

2023-24: 6"

2022-23: 17.5"

2021-22: 17.75"

2020-21: 14.5”

2019-20: 10.5"

2018-19: 24.75"

 

 

 

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Pretty hard to complain about how the ECMWF looks for the next two days.  A legit shot of winter for the entire Puget Sound area.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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12 minutes ago, Winterdog said:

Just unbelievable!!!  36 snd rain here.  It got down to 33 about an hour ago then the precip stopped.

I feel your pain.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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4 minutes ago, Cold Snap said:

It is f**king nuking snow at my house rn.

EDIT: Added a video for peoples viewing pleasure.

IMG_0736.MOV 4.1 MB · 0 downloads  

 

The snow has been very light here for the last hour despite the radar showing much heavier precip over us.    I think the warm nose aloft might be moving into my area now.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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3 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Day 5

500h_anom.na.png

Different.  

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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The Euro continues to think it is snowing here despite it being 40F and still predicts 4" falling overnight. I just don't understand how it can be so wrong. I'd sleep a lot better tonight if I knew there wasn't a chance for snow.

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 8.0"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 

2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16)

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1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Day 6

500h_anom.na.png

In real terms that is cold for us.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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1 minute ago, MossMan said:

Too far south! Dump it! 

You have no right to complain. 😀

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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I assume (no Weatherbell... yet) that the relative silence regarding southern snow maps means King EURO wasn't too nice to us... 

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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1 minute ago, Skagit Weather said:

The Euro continues to think it is snowing here despite it being 40F and still predicts 4" falling overnight. I just don't understand how it can be so wrong. I'd sleep a lot better tonight if I knew there wasn't a chance for snow.

It's impossible to say for sure.  Your area is cut off from the cold easterlies that are making snow to the south of you.  On the other hand, mid levels are going to be cooling shortly.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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